Here's my EOG:
1901:
I go into this game thinking I'll try a Sealion if Germany is game. I really like the alliance and I hadn't done it before as France, and my initial press leaves me feeling a lot better about Germany than England. I feel a little guilty about misleading England with a DMZ in the channel in 1901 - there's got to be a better way, I'm thinking, but you live and learn. Germany and I end up revising our plans a bit but the year ends with me in a great position against England and with no other enemies. Germany comes through beautifully as an ally, and erist turned out to be a great ally for most of the game.
I will say that I saw through the key lepanto right away... Austria sent me some messages that seemed really disingenuous about being angry at Italy. I didn't pay much attention to anyone in the east except for Russia at the start of the game and that was probably an error. I'm pretty sure I even told Austria something like, "well maybe italy will move to Serbia," as if I was just thinking about it and not suspecting a key...
In terms of the grey press, I didn't really have any idea what to do, so I decide to convince everyone I'm England. Maybe that can be used to my advantage later (largely in making Germany trust France, who I actually am). I'm also not very creative so I used a morse code translator to make my mundane press more mysterious.
1902:
So around this time I remember being extremely amused by Russia's messages, but looking back, there wasn't much substance to them. Russia takes Norway, which is great for me, and Germany decides to move east instead of against England to keep people guessing. The ploy works perfectly, almost a little too perfectly - everyone starts messaging me that Germany is a loose cannon, what's this Germany doing, etc.
So Russia ends up giving England Sweden after he takes Norway. I noticed that in F01, England had self-bounced in London to avoid a convoy.
I took a gamble that he would do the same in Wales this year to avoid my successful convoy, and go ahead and support London to Wales. 'lo and behold, it works! I sneak into London. Favourite move of the game for me.
Germany is probably just stroking my ego at this point, but he tells me I look like a genius. And then he asks to borrow Belgium.
1903:
I start talking to russia a bit more and he lobbies that I give Germany what he wants. Not what I was expecting to hear, but okay. I've got an eye on the east, but again, not paying enough attention to what's happening. I know the key is devouring turkey but that's it.
So England's demise accelerates and Germany trusts me a little more as I give him Belgium. Not much excitement for me this year, although probably more press than most because of the whole Belgium deal, which I always was going to go along with anyway.
I think at this point I'm still using my grey press to make people think i'm England sending messages that might theoretically help me as France, but it seems that was relatively ineffective.
1904:
This is the year of stabbing. Brutal, fatal stabbing. I stab Germany, and Austria stabs Italy, who, miraculously, has absolutely no units on the boot.
Russia wants me to stab Germany. Sort of. He's not very straightforward about it, and I can't really tell who's idea it is. He does, however, believe that it will be tough fight if I do. I almost forgot to mention this, but I do stab Germany, and it's a really slow stab at first. I figure he will eventually if I don't. We're both out of position, but I'm confident I can get in position faster than he can, and I'm confident it will benefit me a lot more than Russia.
I'm really curious about what happened between England and Russia this year. England was on his last legs, and for some reason, Russia got England to help him against Germany, even though that largely benefitted me, the primary architect of England's demise. I get into Edi uncontested, and England is seemingly fine living temporarily of off Russia's charity slowing down Germany in the east. Strange combination of moves that made the north a lot easier for me than it had to be.
Other pivotal point this year: Austria and I support Russia into Munich in the fall. In retrospect, big mistake. I'm desperate for German disbands so I'm totally in favour of it at the time, but not being be able to get armies past Munich makes things a lot more difficult for me later on. I should have moved to ruhr, especially since Germany didn't see the move coming and A/R didn't my help to take it. This is, IMO, my first big mistake.
1905:
I don't know what Russia is thinking now, but I start to move south. My only shot at winning is distrust between Russia and Austria, enough to get them to fight, as best I can see it. I start messaging Russia ominously about an Austrian solo, a coming deluge of Austrian fleets, etc., but I don't think he ever buys it. I'm pretty sure this whole time he and Austria think I just might win. At the very least, I don't honestly believe Austria ever has a shot at getting in position to win, and every shot I had, I blow up pretty spectacularly. I'm just trying to keep Russia from working with Austria so i still have a shot.
My other big mistake this game: Tunis is completely undefended and instead I move to GoL. Not even Tyrhhenian, which would have been more useful later. I'm trying to push an army into Piedmont, but Tunis would have been so much better. Italy is actually pretty persuasive, enough that I want to keep him alive and see how much I can get his two fleets in the south to help me, which is probably the main reason I don't take Tunis. But not taking Tunis was bad. I would have gotten into the Ionian next year if I took tunis.
Austria is getting pretty annoyed with me at this point, and I don't blame him. But there I am. Russia and I continue cooperating seamlessly in the north, and Russia was right about one thing - I was out of position when I stabbed Germany, which didn't delay Germany's demise by much (aside from a lone unit Russia kept alive for a while).
1906:
I take Kiel instead of Munich, mainly because it never occurs to me I should take Munich from russia. Italy rightly points out to me that taking Kiel instead of Munich was a mistake. Again. I do have a fleet in Kiel, so potentially not all is lost, and I end up getting into Munich anyway. Maybe things are looking up!
1907:
Alas, I no longer have any hope. I have lost Italy's support, and I can tell I can't hold Munich or secure any centers in Italy. A northern push could be useful, but there Russia is with a build in Stp(nc). I give a shot at Rome, but I know I'm not staying there long.
1908:
Pretty resigned to the draw now. Works out really quickly. Maybe I should have tried to push in the north, I might have gotten somewhere in Scandinavia. Who knows. We'll never find out, but I have my doubts.
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If it's not clear by now, I am pretty sure I should have been able to figure out how to win this game. I was a bit distracted, I admit - I quit my job a little over a month ago, and started a new (and better) job three weeks ago, so post-1904 or so, I didn't have much time for the game. That resulted in mistakes like taking Kiel instead of Munich because I didn't spend much time looking at the map and planning beyond the next turn. I don't know if anyone in the game noticed, but my press probably dried up for a little while there, particularly around two weeks ago, because of work.
I'm not totally sure what I could have or should have done differently at the end - taking Tunis and Munich earlier would obviously have made a big difference, but given those mistakes in the bank, I think the 3-way draw was the best I could do.
All said, really fun game, and the players I dealt with the most - erist and AviF mainly, but also josunice and Gen Lee - were fantastic. The grey press was a cool idea but I had no idea how to use or how to think about everyone else's messages...with some tweaks it could be really cool though.