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A place to discuss topics/games with other webDiplomacy players.
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Tolstoy (1962 D)
02 Dec 10 UTC
Rank the diplo territories in order of importance using Instant Runoff Voting (IRV)
Vote for the territories you feel are important by listing them in order of importance.
41 replies
Open
Agent K (0 DX)
18 Nov 10 UTC
Grand Festive High Wizard Tournament
Where is Abgemacht? What is the status of ye old tournament? I know my games are over
41 replies
Open
stratagos (3269 D(S))
06 Dec 10 UTC
Crapity
Xmas approachs.
My wife wants to know what I want
I don't actually *want* anything.
Suggestions?
83 replies
Open
numberzero (127 D)
04 Dec 10 UTC
Pushing on to win after a major CD is poor sportsmanship
Or after a first turn CD; especially if more than one. At least thats how I view it.
36 replies
Open
Crazy Anglican (1067 D)
05 Dec 10 UTC
A December Holiday Survey
Please respond if you so choose.
44 replies
Open
goldfinger0303 (3157 DMod)
06 Dec 10 UTC
Austria needed.
We deliberately left you some room to grow, so its not like you're just jumping in to be killed
7 replies
Open
Hirsute (161 D)
05 Dec 10 UTC
The best books of all time
I've been working on a list of the supposed "best books of all time" to act as a sort of reading list for myself. I finished it tonight and I figured I'd post it here to see what people think.
237 replies
Open
Draugnar (0 DX)
05 Dec 10 UTC
World of Warcraft - Cataclysm drops Tuesday morning.
While I will continue playing games,my forum participation will be dwindling. Send a PM if you need me.
3 replies
Open
deathpod (102 D)
06 Dec 10 UTC
Mod request. Is this the right place?
Sorry if this is the wrong place.
Game Id # 4098. Looking for an unpause hopefully. One of our players has been AWOL for 13 days and we would like to just have the game unpaused and let him slide into civil disorder so we can finish.
7 replies
Open
Crazy Anglican (1067 D)
06 Dec 10 UTC
Greek gods and goddesses
Hi all I was wondering if you had any clip art of this nature. No nudity. To be used in a game I'm developing for a 6th grade class. Pleas post a link if you have any.
8 replies
Open
patizcool (100 D)
06 Dec 10 UTC
wta gunboat
Come and join. We got 2, starting in 25 minutes, let's go people

http://webdiplomacy.net/board.php?gameID=43500
1 reply
Open
figlesquidge (2131 D)
28 Nov 10 UTC
Wikileaks
With wikileaks apparently on the verge of another major release of classified information, it felt about time the webDip community discussed the issue:
Should wikileaks publish sensitive information they are given, and should it be censored?
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Invictus (240 D)
02 Dec 10 UTC
There should be more crazy commies like you, Putin33. At least you're wrong for the right reasons.
Chrispminis (916 D)
02 Dec 10 UTC
I must share orathaic's optimism. Though we might all argue the quality of our governance, I think history plainly shows us that through even the most dismal political climates, humanity perseveres and technological progress marches on.

Putin, I might accept the truism that corporations single-mindedly seeking profit enhances the wellbeing of its shareholders, but I don't think that logic extends to its employees. I would say that competition between profit seeking firms generally benefits society, but I'm not so sure that this market logic applies to the interactions between nations, given that productivity is nonzero sum whereas relative power and influence is zero sum.

I've always viewed a nations power as a means more than an end, but it seems you would have all states adopt a nationalistic realist position to expand power for its power's own sake. I'm wondering if you would argue that this policy will not only result in prosperity for the nation adopting it, but also world prosperity as a side effect.
Putin33 (111 D)
02 Dec 10 UTC
"It is easy to predict catastrophe, but humans behaviour has a way of defying most predictions."

It is equally difficult to make predictions of either an optimistic or pessimistic nature. As you rightly point out, humans are not automatons. But keep in mind that it is also 'easy' to say that human ingenuity and technology will take care of things.

"I doubt that there are any nihilistsm anarchists or populists who will overthrow the system. There will be a huge element of populism incorporated into the next change in IR - recall the first world war and the league of nations, replacing previous individual diplomatic embassies and militrary alliances, replacing colonial powrs with mandates, changing the way the world organised itself. Recall the Second world war, the invention of atomic weapons, and the Unite nations, a second attempt to create a world order - though argueably peace was achieved only be the fear of mutual assured destruction rather than the existance of the UN."

All of these orders had more than one political-military power. This world order has but one. Increasingly states believe that the principle threat to their interests is not other states, but unpredictable acts of terrorism by individuals - or "states" which completely lack any kind of authority - like Somalia, Yemen, Afghanistan. This order will die a death of a thousand small cuts. States need some kind of motivating factor to create a new functional world order, usually that motivating factor has been great power war. Great power war created the League of Nations, great power war created the United Nations, great power war created the Concert of Europe, etc. The problem is the West 'won' the Cold War without a shot fired. There was no war that allowed for states to get together to create a new system. As a result we're left with, as you later correctly say, the skeleton of an old system that is no longer relevant to the current power structure.

"In recent decades we've seen the rise of special economic areas, the EU/EEA, South American Union, NAFTA, and other super-national bodies which link nation-state's interest together. The new world order will not be a simple authoritarian government as we've had in the past(however democratic). The continued failure of the UN leaves us with no option but to explore other avenues. People have no faith in the idea so for now it will not come to pass."

Actually what is surprisingly about the current international system is the complete lack of any real alliances or supra-national groupings. Think about the Cold War, you had two pretty tight supra-national political-military alliances - NATO and the Warsaw Pact. You see really nothing of the kind right now. The only real 'successful' case of states pooling their interests is the EU, but that community really pre-dates the New World Order, it started with the Coal and Steel Community, then changed in the Common Market/EEC, etc. NATO is falling apart because nobody wants to contribute their fair share to common defense and there's no real tangible common threat to continue to fuel defense spending. Bulgaria, for example, just scrapped its long-standing submarine program. The UK is making major cuts, etc.

"But new models of organisation have sprung up (with the technology which has developed) wikis are an example, the fact that systems don't have to be authoritarian, that power an be communally shared... scientific investigation does not run on any authoritarian basis, simple peer-review."

I don't see these new 'anti-authoritarian' forms of organization as a positive. For example, the same forces that enable 'wikipedia' also enable every manner of attack on professional science - notice the plethora of blogs who spout off about "climate change hoax" theory, claim the scientific community is some cabal conspiring to make up data, and engage in illegal activity in order to try and discredit them. The democratization of knowledge means that all points of view are equal, and I don't think this leads us any closer to solutions.

"The trend of human societies has been to build on old system, build our connections to ever more people, and i believe this will continue."

The 1,000 year period of ignorance that reigned between the fall of Rome and the Renaissance/Columbian Age makes me less optimistic. Furthermore, I don't believe in linear history or the unstoppable march of progress. We go backward just as much as we go forward, and I do not believe systems build off each other so much as there are qualitative transformations (staircases rather than inclines).

"I do not think the system will be replaced by chaos, i think the system will adapt itself to include new ideas and methods of decision making."

I hope you're right, but I fear you're wrong.
orathaic (1009 D(B))
02 Dec 10 UTC
1,000 year reign of ignorance is a very western centered view of history.

Look at the islamic world and you see that as an age of florishing new idas and urbanisation. Look at China and i'll admit to not knowing what you see, look at the Mayan civilisation... but yes in principle you are right, western europe went backwards - though so much of the knowledge was saved (be it on the fringes of europe in Irish monastries, or in east within the byzantium empire) And recall some of the renewed interest in greek writings during the renaissance was a result of the overthrow of the byzantium empire and the scholars who fled back to italy...

Not to deny your point. We do go backwards, failed paths turn around, however your example belies the point. It is far more complex a history than your narrative portrays and massive advances in communication technology have massively changed the world.

IF the internet age comes to an end or fails to continue it's massive growth (worldwide figure of ~23% according to google, so there definitely a long way to go...) then we may revert to a society which is based on various local-feudal, self-sufficient, unglobalized world, but baring that we are going to head more towards global security agaisnt those terrorist threats.

"We go backward just as much as we go forward, and I do not believe systems build off each other so much as there are qualitative transformations (staircases rather than inclines)."

That is fair, i believe that communism may have been a step and it's failure means no-one else is going to take it, copy that quality, the EU's (precieved) success is being copied because it can be built on the old model of nation-states without too much hassle.

Whether it becomes the dominant meethod of forming trading blocks (as opposed to the monopolistic oil producing countries OPEC, or the Chinese complete domination of world production) where neighbours share their wealth and facilitate movement of capital and people...

That these nation-states become so interdependant, based on trade, cultural exchange and migration, as to superscede the nation-state OR how national identity will incorporate into such a supernational structure...

ah i'm rambling... National interest become interdependant, and thus you have perhaps 6-8 massive global trading powers. (EU, US/Nafta, China, non-chinese east asia? India, middle east, plus two african?) and life becomes much simpler for 8 power to negotiate...

Or some other power shift occurs which i can't even imagine. I doubt human civilisation will adopt chaos, even if they resort to merchantilism, nationalism and self-reliance.

"I don't see these new 'anti-authoritarian' forms of organization as a positive. For example, the same forces that enable 'wikipedia' also enable every manner of attack on professional science - notice the plethora of blogs who spout off about "climate change hoax" theory, claim the scientific community is some cabal conspiring to make up data, and engage in illegal activity in order to try and discredit them. The democratization of knowledge means that all points of view are equal"

Fair point, and perhaps new forms of concensus building will allow for authoritive regimes to execute great things... That the scientific community largely functions without paying attention to the extreme views, and those are not held to be equal b the majority.

To be pessimistic for a moment - we are stuck with an outdated public education system. When designed there were those who considered it unnecesary that everyone be able to read/wrtie. Too taxing on their brains even. An educational revolution is needed if scienctific literacy is to become as widespread as numercy and literacy is today.

Otherwise these attacks on science will continue, but we have no better model to do science at present...

'I hope you're right, but I fear you're wrong.'

I think the globalization trend will continue, and i trust that this will result in much damage and restructuring of our system, some transparency will be attempted no doubt. Forces like wikileaks will have an impact but i don't see them bringing down the current system which keeps us from going to war.

Fundamentally diplomacy didn't stop Iraq, Afghanistan or Lebanon being invaded this past decade, or Koreans dieing when the north shelled the south the past month.

All the negatives you point out are valid, but there are negatives about the earlier systems we've suffered through. After all "Democracy: the best worst system we can think of" is so bad we all survive on it...
orathaic (1009 D(B))
02 Dec 10 UTC
</ramble>
Putin33 (111 D)
02 Dec 10 UTC
"That these nation-states become so interdependant, based on trade, cultural exchange and migration, as to superscede the nation-state OR how national identity will incorporate into such a supernational structure...

ah i'm rambling... National interest become interdependant, and thus you have perhaps 6-8 massive global trading powers. (EU, US/Nafta, China, non-chinese east asia? India, middle east, plus two african?) and life becomes much simpler for 8 power to negotiate..."

There are way too many divisions for these trading blocs to move beyond mere economic treaties and go toward some kind of political union - like the EU. Even in the EU, the most developed economic bloc, it is largely an elite-driven project that is bereft of any kind of popular support. Nationalist parties are doing quite well in certain countries. If they continue to gain strength, even the EU's political ties could unravel. Some of them are already propping up governments (Netherlands, Denmark, Italy). Even among people who aren't necessarily voting for nationalists, there is widespread animosity towards cultural 'others', which doesn't bode well for the project of supra-national organization.

I would also add that the reason why the EU even worked in the first place and moved towards a political union was because economically the west European states were relatively equal economically. You're seeing now the problem the EU is facing for having expanded into areas that were not economically on par with the west European powers - countries like Portugal, Ireland, Spain, Greece. In cases like NAFTA, the disparity is far more severe. The US wants to build a border fence to keep immigrants from poor, developing Mexico out. Mexican immigration has created a political firestorm, and 'free trade' is as unpopular as ever.

In the Middle East, we just heard that the entire Arab world wants the US to attack Iran. Numerous Pan-Arab projects have been attempted and totally failed. Ditto Pan-Africanism. You have fairly rich countries like Nigeria and Gabon and then you have basketcases like Sierra Leone and the DRC. Hard to build any kind of meaningful political union with such disparities. East Asia (Japan, China, RoK, Taiwan) doesn't even have an organization like the OAU or Arab League. They're at the lowest level of regional political integration, and ironically they're one of the most advanced and interdependent regions economically.

In general I think the extent of global economic interdependence has been exaggerated. America could continue operating quite easily even if other countries tried an economic blockade. Heck, blockading countries has been notoriously ineffective in this globalized world, while blockades have been much more effective in previous eras. In the one case deemed 'successful' - South Africa, economic growth actually grew after trade sanctions. And the government had been living under an OPEC embargo since 1973.

"Forces like wikileaks will have an impact but i don't see them bringing down the current system which keeps us from going to war."

Of course, I don't mean to exaggerate the impact of wikileaks in particular. It is trivial. But like I said, it will be a death by a thousand small cuts. The one power providing security to the rest of the world - the United States - will not be able to sustain the constant vigilance and defense against countless unpredictable threats. The US, in the immortal words of Condi Rice, will be swatting at flies until its too tired to swat anymore.

mcbry (439 D)
02 Dec 10 UTC
"So the people who say the system is rotten should be replaced may be correct, but they have no vision of what to replace it with. All they offer is visions of chaos." funny, it was you who offered the vision of chaos... I have a clear vision of what to replace it with and it's not all chaos and it comes with some prestigious supporters. But that wasn't the topic of discussion though. :)
Putin33 (111 D)
02 Dec 10 UTC
"I have a clear vision of what to replace it with and it's not all chaos and it comes with some prestigious supporters."

What is this vision, again? I must have missed it.
orathaic (1009 D(B))
02 Dec 10 UTC
@Putin: interesting points about the EU, you're right about the nationaism, but your terminology as regards the relatively equal economies seems a little off.

Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain (the PIGS) are all more developed countries - relative to the newest members states. Their economic woes and that of the Union is due to the common currency - which the newest members haven't yet joined, so they can simply devalue their currency.

When you say 'western european' countries, i would have assumed ireland, spain and portugal are in that group - however perhaps you mean (west) germany, france, Italy, and the benelux countries...

As to economic equality, it may take some time, but regional funding has massively improved Ireland, and will continue to bridge the gap between european economies - this recession notwithstanding.

we will see how much of this is salved by internal migration, and how much by financial support.

i also doubt that the erosion of US power will overturn our system, a reduction in overseas US militrary aid and bases will likely have an impact on America, but i can see India, China and the EU continuing on their merry way and enforcing regional security (along with Russia) in a way which suits each of these powers...

Oh, and to the point of supranational entities, In terms of language, population, and geographic area, both China and India are comparable to the EU.

India is an artificial state set up in the '47 and comprising 28 seperate regional areas with their own elections. It is the worlds biggest democracy, and is barely unified, with English as the language of trade being most used...

Chiuna is in a sense one country, but is also made up of several different regions, economically disadvantaged areas, language and religion differs, and in a sense is the worlds largest authoritarian single party state.

China does also have the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) which is a central aisan supranatioanl body.

I don't see Japan, Korean, Tawain, and Vietnam joining any Chinese dominated economic group, but they do represent that other major economic region which wasn't mentioned.

What happens in Africa will depend on how the continent develops. When India and China are no longer the cheapest places to produce everything, the regions of Africa which can provide stability may see huge investment... but i doubt there will be any successful union before that.

South/Latin America on the other hand is a different ball game. And i would be surprised if we didn't see them continue to push for further regional integration.
dannyboi (0 DX)
02 Dec 10 UTC
Most of this thread has little, if nothing to do with wikileaks lol
Invictus (240 D)
02 Dec 10 UTC
I agree with orathaic except on India being artificial. The continent has been united many times before and while there are many different cultures there, there's still something of a shared history. Perhaps not so much in the Northeast and Kashmir, but on balance an Indian nation does exist. The same cannot be said for Pakistan, however, which was created with only religion to tie it together and including wildly different sorts of people without a shared history. Apart from Punjab and Sindh the territory of Pakistan has always been the periphery of "Indian" civilization. Baluchistan is influenced more by Persia and the Northwest Frontier should be in Afghanistan. Sindhis have little in common with Pashtuns besides religion, and this idea of throwing people into a newly fashioned state is the source of what's behind the problems there.
dannyboi (0 DX)
02 Dec 10 UTC
Yawn
Putin33 (111 D)
02 Dec 10 UTC
"Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain (the PIGS) are all more developed countries - relative to the newest members states. Their economic woes and that of the Union is due to the common currency - which the newest members haven't yet joined, so they can simply devalue their currency."

Right, I should have been more precise and say that the EU expanded their monetary union into areas that were not on par with the west European economies. EU membership without being in the monetary union is not real membership, but rather saying you want to be considered 'part of Europe' without fully integrating into the supra-national body. The EU's monetary union expanded into the PIGS for political reasons, ignoring the economic perils of doing so. They're paying the price now. Economically unequal countries cannot form sustainable political unions (unless it's a colony-type relationship).

The other 'new' EU countries have been hit much harder than the PIGS (my God - look at what happened in Latvia), but it doesn't cause the kind of tremors all over Europe that Greece or Ireland does. Those countries are not even close to joining the Euro now. The EU's failure to be decisive in the face of economic crisis may very well be its undoing, and shows the limits of political union even when conditions are ideal for it.

As for 'west Europe', I consider - as do political scientists anyway - Portugal, Spain, and Greece to be 'southern European'. And since those countries were not democracies for much of the post-war era, their political development is both similar to each other and different from the rest of Europe.

I did have in mind the 6 classical west European countries, but point taken about Ireland. Although I don't know if people either in the British Isles or on the continent really consider the UK and Ireland to be part of Europe. The UK was rejected from membership in the Common Market by France for this very reason.

"i also doubt that the erosion of US power will overturn our system, a reduction in overseas US militrary aid and bases will likely have an impact on America, but i can see India, China and the EU continuing on their merry way and enforcing regional security (along with Russia) in a way which suits each of these powers..."

Who is going to pay for it, in Europe anyway? Nobody wants to. The absence of the US Security blanket in East Asia will cause anxiety in China and Korea, since they do not trust an independent Japan for one second. About India you're right, they don't depend on US security guarantees, but then again they're still bogged down in perennial combat with a regional 'rival' that is a borderline failed state. The raging security competition in South Asia - in the absence of US power - is what is preventing South Asia from becoming more like other more economically integrated regions. South Asia is a nuclear armed tinderbox waiting to explode at any point.

"Oh, and to the point of supranational entities, In terms of language, population, and geographic area, both China and India are comparable to the EU."

Which buttresses my point about the fact that world is tending toward disorder. If China and India, two of the economically and militarily more powerful countries of the world, have tenuous grips on political authority, that's not solid grounds for future stability.

"China does also have the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) which is a central aisan supranatioanl body."

A pretty loose one though. It is very careful to say it is not a political-military alliance akin to NATO or the Warsaw Pact. It's more like a joint terrorism and drug trafficking task force.

"ee Japan, Korean, Tawain, and Vietnam joining any Chinese dominated economic group, but they do represent that other major economic region which wasn't mentioned."

Well Vietnam is really part of a different region - the ASEAN countries. And you're right there is lots of suspicions among countries in East Asia, which is why political regionalism is at such low level. They're still fighting over the Spratly Islands and things like this.

"What happens in Africa will depend on how the continent develops. When India and China are no longer the cheapest places to produce everything, the regions of Africa which can provide stability may see huge investment... but i doubt there will be any successful union before that."

When India and China no longer are able to provide low-value added production and services, this global economy is going to be in serious trouble. As it is, the rising economic clout of these giants is putting severe energy strains on the world. And who is going to be manufacturing center of the world producing goods for not only the developed west but a China and India with a strong middle class that wants to maintain their higher standard of living? It isn't going to work. You're going to have too much of the global economy trying to produce the same types of things.

"South/Latin America on the other hand is a different ball game. And i would be surprised if we didn't see them continue to push for further regional integration."

Possibly, although there is big disparity between the economies of Argentina and Chile (who is an OECD member) and poverty ravaged countries like Paraguay and Bolivia.








orathaic (1009 D(B))
02 Dec 10 UTC
@invictus, i will grant your point on India and i think the same could be said of europe, shared culture and history, united in the past - though not many times or as fully as we see it today.

@Putin: i guess that italy falls between this southern europe and western europe classification. weakest of the 'western' economies in most estimates, and closer to Spain and Greece in many ways...

@danny, this has become about whether the current diplomatic system which wikileaks damages needs to be replced, and what will become of us all...
Putin33 (111 D)
02 Dec 10 UTC
Yes, Italy is sort of in-between, although it is right behind the UK in terms of economic size, and it was one of the original members of the Coal and Steel Community.
mcbry (439 D)
03 Dec 10 UTC
@Putin. heh, maybe I oversold it. :)No, you didn't miss it. Like I said, it's off-topic. Perhaps we should start a new thread regarding what happens after the barbarian wikileaks run roughshod through Rome. This thread is getting difficult for me to keep up with as it is. We were talking about wikileaks, remember, and how it reduces our IR overlords' ability to turn our foreign policy into the moral equivalent of a heavily armed frat party on PCP with impunity? I think you and I agree on just about everything anyway, except that I'm a little more optimistic about the outcome and have greater faith in humanity.
I don't agree with the others here that are gushing over your account of international relations (I much prefer to read your valiant defenses of the USSR and watch how it blows people's minds.) It's as if there were a menace to the flock in my questions, and when you came forward and answered my questions without fear, it produced a general outpouring of relief and gratitude. I like to think it's much easier to give a good response when someone is asking the right questions. To be sure, your answers are concise, but you avoid, I think deliberately, any of the blurry areas and bigger issues that obviously underpin the questions, to the point that your answers are essentially just begging the questions.

Me:“Who are the IR professionals? How do you know they're the professionals?"

Putin: “The people whose occupations involve international relations - civil servants in the Defense and State departments, academic social scientists who study and analyze international relations, policy think tanks, etc. How do we know they're professionals? The same way we know doctors and lawyers are professionals. They have rigorous degrees qualifying them as such, or they are practitioners of statecraft.”

____I understand that someone who has a degree in IR has a degree in IR and someone who works in IR works in IR, it probably would have been safe for you to assume my questions were aiming a little deeper. It's not too late, though, let's dig a bit beyond the surface shall we? Obviously there are different schools of thought within International Relations which is reflective of identifiable values and ideologies. On this page there seems to be a superabundance of “Realists” but that does not mean that the value system that informs the context for the Realism is the same, and clearly Realisms in different value contexts lead to vastly different conclusions regarding objectives and methods. How does one identify the national interests? This is just an example of the diversity that can be present in the field, but I think it's safe to postulate that in the real professional world, the diversity is dramatically reduced. Getting a job in IR, one must suppose is not just a matter of being educated, but for any given job, a particular ideology will be preferred, a certain way of making decisions and a certain system of values. Pockets form, like bonds with like, certain ideologies or value contexts extend and reproduce. If you have to hire someone for your team, who do you bring in? We can suppose that someone that has received the same indoctrination as you would have a certain competitive advantage. Indeed, the exam for joining the foreign service is basically an ideological litmus test. The ascending ideologies infect the schools (we must suppose that at this point in the game, the diversity is already reduced to maybe two dominant competing world views with various niche evolutions resulting, but the base remaining more or less stable.) And now choosing from the candidates is more purely a matter of credentials, all those belonging to a competing indoctrination being eliminated out right (approximately half presumably). And without any input from the body politic, and more as a result of organic infection rather than an evolution or dialectic of reason, international policy is canalized and takes its direction.

Me: "What is the agenda of the professionals and where does it come from?"

Putin: “Like any professional community, there is no monolithic 'agenda'. Some IR professionals seek to advance the national interests of their respective states (so-called 'realists'). Some however, are not nationally focused and aim to advance the cause of international law and global governance (so-called neo-liberals, cosmopolitan theorists, etc). It depends. It comes from their experience, analysis, and normative beliefs.”
____Here again, you've underestimated the scope of the question but I've already gone a long way toward getting into the juicy bits. Curiously there are precisely two schools that you thought worth mentioning so it appears we're pretty much on the same page at this point, though you pretend that's just the natural state of things rather than going for an underlying cause. Even assuming you're right, that the main division in schools is a natural division between focus on the nation versus a focus on an overarching or global framework, it still doesn't account for the clear biases that exist in terms of identifying the interests at either level.

Me: "Who decides if they're doing a good job or not?"

Putin: “Who decides if a doctor is doing a good job or not? Other doctors, typically. Since the foundation of cosmopolitan or international law is weak, typically IR practitioners are judged by the extend to which they advance the interests of their states, although international lawyers do have a say also, since IR professionals are indeed agents of the law.”
_____I think comparing IR professionals to doctors is an exercise in self-flattery (assuming you are or have been yourself in the field of IR) and belies a predisposition to view doctors with respect that I apparently don't share. Curious that you would say the doctor is the doctor's judge. And of course it is not only natural but convenient that it should be so for it discounts and ignores the object upon which the doctor practices his art: the patient. To a patient's protests that the cure did not take, that the side effects were worse than the disease, that a doctor immerses himself in the comfort and reinforcement of the brotherhood who, it turns out, are so much more sympathetic and understanding. It's no surprise that finally the doctor is deaf and dismissive of any other voice that intrudes.

Me: "Who prevents them from abusing their position?"

Putin: International relations has no centralized authority - it is a system of sovereign states - so it is difficult to prevent 'abuse'. But to the extent that international law is accepted (and it is to a great extent), international organizations such as the ICJ and United Nations tribunals are able to prevent abuse. However, typically the Law of Nations has always been the law of the stronger. Without a centralized authority capable of independent enforcement, this will continue to be the case. I personally do not believe any such centralized authority will ever exist. So to a certain extent, the state and its agents can do as their power permits.
____I've already started a response to this line elsewhere. Evidently it is an accurate description, but it is in part because this state of affairs is no longer acceptable or viable in a technologically globalized world in which one language has become more or less dominant (and where that fails the electronic translators are becoming increasingly adequate) and the people of disparate backgrounds and cultures (all the non-IR types) are realizing that their own interests and the interests of the citizens of the neighbour state are not in conflict as the governments and IR Realists of their respective states would have it. Indeed it may be said that such a centralized authority already exists albeit in a nascent and just awakening form, it is the authority of the people. Of course there are differences, the culture clash cannot be ignored, but I believe the greatest part of the bite of these differences is removed when government and organizations at every level are forced kicking and screaming into a heightened state of transparency. I think the response of the US government has been exactly the response Wikileaks was hoping to provoke. A constriction of the conduits of information has already begun, the club of initiated insiders is getting smaller, which means the number of informed and disgruntled outsiders is on the rise. There will be more leaks regardless of what comes of the absurd and trumped-up charges against Mr. Assange. The precedent goes much farther back, but in the last regime finds its counterparts in the heroic atomic spies in the nuclear-scientific community who recognized the danger of a single or one-sided nuclear power the need to disseminated their knowledge, in particular to the Soviet Union (whether or not their efforts were finally successful or necessary).

@goldfinger: “why not let the "priestly class" do the statesmanship?” _____Because their belonging to the priestly class has more to do with having been initiated into the arcane rites and secret handshakes than an actual superior preparation and because the continuity of their influence rests on their ability to maintain a veil of opacity and mystery. In short, because they are priestly. Haven't you ever read Beyond Good and Evil?

@Putin again: “For a clue as to how the mass public would run our foreign policy, simply look at Congress.” ______A better argument for transparency and against corporate and indeed all financial influence in politics I have never heard. It turns out the people are massively in favor of campaign finance reform. I bet we can make it happen if we try. I am not a populist, but I firmly believe that given the right conditions, the population is much more sensitive and reasonable than you give them credit for. Every resource must be managed by those who use it and have an interest. When the people see that they have a responsibility for the management of what is closest and effects them most directly, they will behave more responsibly. The tendency of power is to concentrate and centralize. That tendency should be resisted.

@chrispminis: “mcbry, really with doctors and plumbers?” _____Yes, chrisP, really. Oh, wait, are you from Canada? Being a doctor in the US is a lifestyle choice, not a sober acceptance of great responsibility. And consider the dermotologist. If you're not using a steroid cream they put you on. If you're not, they take you off. What's so fucking impressive about that?

@ Putin again: “And what is replacing it is anarchy and disorder, just like what replaced the Roman Empire was to certain extent, anarchy and disorder. Like you say, internal contradictions will lead to the unraveling of the international order which is held up by the lonely creaking shoulders of the United States.” _____What huh? The internal contradictions have their most qualitative and quantitative advocate in the United States! The lonely creaking shoulders? The United States has been the single most destabilizing force in the world in the last hundred years. They've had their hand in almost every significant regime change, most often in favor of dictatorships and against democracies. That's how you get situations like Afganistan where the US finds itself fighting against people it trained and armed and who are funded by its own addiction to foreign oil. Iraq was even worse, how they could justify a war by citing WMDs the recipe for which was sold to Iraq by the US in the time of the Iran Iraq war which was also deliberately provoked by the US in the wake of a revolution that ousted the US's strongman... it's enough to put your hands on your head. With its already much discussed rift between rhetoric and reality, it has almost single handedly revealed the utter hypocrisy and self-contradiction of the system by being its most extreme (ie most Realist) proponent. I suppose I should be thankful.

Putin:”We are in an era of information overload, where the dawn of new technology makes information of all kinds instantaneously available. In order to be 'heard' in such a world, you have to scream louder and louder. People are becoming more extreme as a result, and much less deferential to authority. This is going to mean that every individual is going to feel 'entitled' to get 100% of they want, and if they don't they will not hesitate to engage in violence against authority. It's now fashionable to simply want to tear down, destroy and be cynical, rather than build.” ____Of course this shift is driven by the information explosion, but I see many ways in which this explosion has been empowering, has increased ties facilitated organization and resistance and permitted cultural boundaries to be crossed. I concede that your vision may be right. I am more optimistic than you, but I don't have a crystal ball with all the answers. I can say this: Even if your vision is true, and the only thing between humanity and self-extinction in a conflagration of chaos and destruction is a secretive regime that keeps the population in a state of placid torpor and ignorance while it seeks its own ends, I still prefer to see the system fall. If more people got busy looking at the inevitable future and thinking about how to make the transition less painful and more likely to succeed rather than lamenting the changes and fighting against them tooth and nail (exactly the response of the US gov to the leaks, which was without any doubt the response Wikileaks was designed to provoke) I think our chances of coming through this would be greatly enhanced.

@Putin again: I see the trap you've set: any populist that would disagree is a fool, no? Well, I'll spring the trap but I'm not a populist. I don't want to give the population what they want, I want to give them to smacks in the face and wake them up. It's certainly true that historical events have happened in such a way as to produce the unification of Germany, but there were so many factors involved in that process that were so far beyond the foresight of Otto von Bismark, that to imply that germany's current success is a direct result of Otto's choices, for much that he may have been an IR genius, is bullshit at its most rank.
“States should behave in such a way as to maximize the overall power and influence of their state. Operating according to any other principle will sacrifice the long-term security of the state for short-term popularity, or the long-term security of the state for utopian fantasies of a law and morality based international order.” ______a concise and accurate description of the objectives of Realism in statecraft, and an excellent reason to believe that the state ruled by this precept is an enemy of the people. Speaking of foresight, George Orwell saw perfectly clearly what would be the product of an applied realpolitik over time. He put his insights into a book and called it 1984. I'd just as soon destroy that future before it arrives. I may not know exactly what I want, but I sure as hell know what I don't want.

@orathaic: I don't really see any points of disagreement, so I'm not sure why you singled me out to disagree. :)


Sicarius (673 D)
03 Dec 10 UTC
Truth should not be restricted and hidden in any circumstance, but especially not to cover the crimes of an imperialistic government.
the.dibster (100 D)
03 Dec 10 UTC
Realpolitik as described by the "states should behave... international order" quote is indeed the whole point of government, banding together to further the interests of all, in absolute rather than relative terms. This, however, does not necessarily lead to 1984 because it neglects both the possibility of victory as well as the motivation that is not international-related: standard of living. In 1984, the state achieved neither improvement of its citizens' lives as a whole nor reduction of the casualties of war (although it did, importantly, gain security in an international sense; there is no fear of a foreign terrorist attack, for example).

Wikileaks is (theoretically at least; recently some left and are creating a different site due to unfair singling out of the US) more of a moral statement than anything. It is saying, "keeping secrets is a thing of the past, open communication is important and the people deserve to know what the government is doing". However, while this is an important and worthy goal, it is absolutely unacceptable to endanger american lives and interests abroad. The way to accomplish this is not to hurt the US, it is to help-- that means perhaps pointing out flaws in the way the US operates but not telling so much that the Taliban learns US tactics (it's not like none of them have internet) and kills more US soldiers. That means not releasing diplomatic messages, which do not in any way help further the goal of Wikileaks, which again does no end of harm (come on, everyone says things like what's in the messages, the US just got singled out because some traitor to the nation gave a ton of US-related stuff to the founder, Julian Assange, also wanted for several charges of sexual assault).

In light of all this the US is completely justified in its response, "fighting tooth and nail," if you will. How is securing our diplomatic messages bad? How is blocking a website hurting the government bad? The government ought to protect itself and by extension its people. Internal, legal change is much better than destructive, short-sighted, outsider attempts which are doomed to failure. Proof of this failure is simply: we aren't all debating about the contents, are we? That's right, everyone arguing about the morality of it, not the contents. Thus, failure in the goal, and success in harming the US. (I'm assuming here that the intention of the traitor was to help the US in the long run, although perhaps Assange is just spouting distracting ideological garbage as a cover for actively trying to undermine the US. Who knows?)
Putin33 (111 D)
03 Dec 10 UTC
1-On the issue of ideological vetting among IR professionals, yes it happens to a considerable extent. As someone in the IR field, I've encountered it first-hand. But this is inevitable. States are not suicidal, the trustees of their care are not going to allow 'subversive' ideologues, of whatever stripe, to ascend in the policy-making hierarchy.

Now, there's the question of whether this narrowing of points of view necessarily leads to errors or bad policy. I'm not one that believes that an ideological free-for-all necessarily leads to optimal decision-making. From the point of view of making decisions that benefits the state generally, I don't think this narrowing of the field undermines decision-making at all - quite the contrary - I think it's usually necessary for survival. For example, should the State of Israel permit Arab nationalists who believe Israel is an apartheid state that ought to be destroyed in their top IR leadership? Of course not. There's this tendency out there to believe that all points of view are equal and harmless, that 'debate' is always beneficial, as is openness and transparency. I resolutely reject this idea. Especially when it comes to matters of life and death for the state.

2-Perhaps comparing doctors to IR specialists is a matter of self-flattery, I don't disagree. However I am trying to combat the tendency to view politics, especially pertaining to matters of foreign policy, as something that requires no expertise. It's easy to be a critic of any profession, not just IR. But because there exists this cult of democracy, everybody thinks they're entitled to have a say in what goes on with politics, whereas with other fields that's not the case. If patients had a say in which doctors got medical licenses, we'd be short of qualified doctors. Even more so lawyers. Heck, look at what electing judges has done to the judicial system. Every decision is for sale or catered to the whims of popular fury. The fatal flaw in the 'let's democratize foreign policy' argument is this idea that there is such a thing as a consistent, sustainable public opinion, or public opinion at all. Unlike other matters of politics, foreign policy is much too dangerous to subject it to something so unstable.

3-"Evidently it is an accurate description, but it is in part because this state of affairs is no longer acceptable or viable in a technologically globalized world in which one language has become more or less dominant (and where that fails the electronic translators are becoming increasingly adequate) and the people of disparate backgrounds and cultures (all the non-IR types) are realizing that their own interests and the interests of the citizens of the neighbour state are not in conflict as the governments and IR Realists of their respective states would have it. Indeed it may be said that such a centralized authority already exists albeit in a nascent and just awakening form, it is the authority of the people"

Now, earlier you had said I gave a description of IR perspectives that was unduly narrow - internationalists/cosmopolitans vs realists. However, you've articulated a common form of the cosmopolitan argument, albeit with a bottom-up twist.

The problem with this idea that people will just get along if government stops manipulating them is that when you look at cases of crises, it's usually the government that has to step in to tell people that "Hey, not all Muslims are terrorists" like the Bush administration did after 9-11, to prevent race riots or lynchings. If you look at Chinese online forums, it's quite clear that Chinese nationalism is a boiling cauldron largely kept cool by the Chinese leadership. I mentioned elsewhere the point about the EU- the greatest amalgamation of nations ever attempted- is an elite-driven project which has little popular support. To say that cultures will clash is an understatement. It is a great irony that in this heightened age of technology and instantaneous communication cultural identity has only become more salient, not less. We thought nationalism and these sorts of things would be long dead by now. Nationalism has proven to be one of the few ideas that has withstood the test of time. The flaw of cosmopolitanism or globalism or whatever you want to call it is that people have a biological need for community. To say everyone is part of the community is to say no one is part of it. The bonds of community require exclusivity. The idea of family is meaningless if everyone is your brother. People want to feel a part of something. And the abstract ideal of 'humanity' is not concrete enough or real enough. People who die on the battlefield with you? They're real. Your neighbors? They're real. To say that the people who live halfway across the globe are just as important as your family, your neighbors? That contradicts the human psyche. This is why nationalism won't go away and why this idea of technology bringing people together is, ultimately, a fantasy.

"Every resource must be managed by those who use it and have an interest. When the people see that they have a responsibility for the management of what is closest and effects them most directly, they will behave more responsibly. The tendency of power is to concentrate and centralize. That tendency should be resisted. "

4 - I don't think the problem of the Congress being generally more bellicose and nativist when it comes to international relations will go away by getting private money out of elections. Maybe it'll help, I don't know. But I think the issue is more fundamental. Legislators by nature serve narrow interests - they serve their particular constituencies. The greater good of the nation is a secondary concern - this is why pork barrel spending is so hard to curb. Everybody hates it when the other guy gets money for their district's pet project, but when it comes to bringing home the bacon to their own district, they're all for it. So, applying this to foreign policy, Congressmen aren't elected by the people of the world. It's easy to get elected by bashing some foreign enemy or saying your opponent is a wuss on defense and doesn't want to spend the money on our boys in uniform. Nativism is good politics when it's local. So, what you have is a legislature full of people who want to look tough, and the result is usually terrible for our foreign policy. Why haven't we ended the embargo on Cuba? Ask the Florida Congressmen, since our Presidents have been wanting to end it for years.

5-You won't get any argument from me about US interventionism in the world, especially during the Cold War. However, the problem is this. The issue of terrorism and individual nihilists wreaking havoc on society is not going to go away regardless of how big states are behaving. The very sad problem we have is despite the fact that the US has generally behaved badly they're the only mechanism we have for combating the forces of disorder. The Mujahadeen didn't care that the US has helped topple secular regimes and spread radical Islam around the world. They'll kill Americans just the same whether the US is nice to them or not.

" Even if your vision is true, and the only thing between humanity and self-extinction in a conflagration of chaos and destruction is a secretive regime that keeps the population in a state of placid torpor and ignorance while it seeks its own ends, I still prefer to see the system fall."

Now to me I think the fundamental difference between us is this. My preference is for any order over disorder. As bad as the Roman Empire was, at least there was civilization. I'm much less concerned with the process than with the outcome. If a secretive cabal of Men in Black keeps stuff from going to hell, fine. Why do I need to know, especially if me knowing makes the job that much harder? If openness and transparency leads to total dysfunction, why shouldn't it be discarded? Why is process considered morally prior?

"If more people got busy looking at the inevitable future and thinking about how to make the transition less painful and more likely to succeed rather than lamenting the changes and fighting against them tooth and nail "

The unstoppable march of progress, eh. And how do we know that loosening restrictions and decentralizing power will make these transitions less painful and not more? Perhaps we're pulling the rug out from underneath authority which already has a difficult time of keeping it together. Look around the world, and you see the major problems like Afghanistan, Iraq, Somalia, etc, stemming from too little authority, not too much. There's too little centralization, not too much. The inability of states to enforce their laws and protect their citizens allows transnational crime and malevolent forces to set up shop and act with impunity. What wikileaks and like-minded forces are doing is revealed by their name, they're trying to poke holes in one mechanism we have for dealing with the myriad problems that we face - the state. We're in a maelstrom of in the middle of the ocean, and wikileaks is trying to sink our only ship. Granted maybe the ship is ugly and has bad accommodations, but it's better than drowning. What we should be doing is trying to enhance the authority of state, to make it more capable, not less, of dealing with very serious global problems. Destroying what we have without providing any kind of replacement strikes me as the height of irresponsibility. It may make some feel morally good or morally pure, but it's not going to help us in the long run.

PS - I'm not going to rehash the 'Orwell' debate. Ask Denis about that.










Backtracking a bit...I don't that when admitting Portugal, Greece, Ireland, etc to the EU, that monetary concerns were overlooked for the sake of political causes. As I recall, Goldman Sachs and other firms fudged the balance sheets of those nations so that they could meet the monetary requirements necessary to enter the EU. So its not that those issues were neglected, its just that the EU was lied to
Putin33 (111 D)
03 Dec 10 UTC
But in Greece's case, even the fudged numbers were not in accordance with normal EMU membership requirements - especially on the questions of public sector borrowing (which was more than 100% of its GDP) and inflation. Of course the fudging the numbers made things much worse, but the EU had some idea of what they getting themselves into.
Putin33 (111 D)
03 Dec 10 UTC
Interesting BBC article from when Greece joined the Euro
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/1095783.stm

The punchline is here: "Investors worried

Some investors have said they are worried the decision to allow Greece to join the euro will send out the wrong signal to financial markets - suggesting that in future other, weaker economies may be allowed in without complying fully with membership conditions."
mcbry (439 D)
03 Dec 10 UTC
I wasn't here for the great 1984 debate, sorry I missed it. :)

@ dibster: I disagree with you evaluation of Realpolitik as the correct and good expression of government. In fact, I think it is destructive in the extreme. In what way have the people of the US benefited from it's narrow sighted grabbing and meddling? The people are all addicts of a consumerism that gets passed off as quality of life but in reality is nothing more than a sedative that keeps us (those of us that can actually accede to that quality life) quiet and docile, Panem et Circenses to infinity. To this end, the US consumes a vastly disproportionate percentage of the world's resources while oddly enough generating a surprisingly low index of happiness. To a significant extent, the US DID win, thanks to this great synthetic engine of consumption and production that generated unprecedented credit-based wealth, any other system that tried to keep pace overheated. And winning was really the beginning of the end for the US, wasn't it? This then is the objective of Realpolitic, the ideal of all government? No thanks.

I also disagree with your feeling that Wikileaks should not reveal US secrets or have the US squarely in it's sights. I think they should be revealed wholesale as they are received. And the US attacking Wikileaks for doing so is tantamount to killing the messenger. Wikileaks didn't obtain the info illegally, but once they did obtain it, they have a responsibility to divulge it. Which they didn't do, rather they sent it to five major Western newspapers which conducted the release themselves, each according to their own scruples or lack-there-of. So tell me what did wikileaks do in this case that was somehow more damaging than what those newspapers did? Everyone has Julian Assange in their crosshairs, which I believe is exactly what he wanted for a mixture of ideological and probably personal reasons. I don't pretend to know wikileak's methods intimately, to the contrary, they are surprisingly opaque for an organization that pretends to champion transparency. But the fact is Wikileaks doesn't chose the source of the leaks it publishes. And publishing information on the US gets much more attention from the media which means it is accomplishing much more effectively it's objective. And anyway, why is it unacceptable for Wikileaks to publish info that puts in danger American lives and interests? Why should American lives and interests be given greater consideration by the international community, the citizens of the world, than the lives and interests of every non-American who are put at risk by those very same American policies?

Of course the content is irrelevant, which is why it should be published integrally because the transformative power of the leak is not as a fine-pointed tuning sort of criticism, but rather as a system-wide stress and the revelation of certain false assumptions upon which the entire edifice is built. And finally, I would say that the US shouldn't fight tooth and nail to maintain a system of doing things whose time has passed. They should look for ways to adapt to the new conditions. The efficacy of the wars in Iraq and Afganistan are highly suspect even from the point of view of protecting American interests. The leak was a result of a flaw in their own record keeping, not that of some offshore website. This should be an opportunity for inward examination and self-criticism for the US, not lashing out.

@Putin: thanks for that complete and candid response, I applaud you, for it is not often that I encounter someone with as great a capacity for self-reflection and serious consideration of criticism and challenges to his own worldview, or to recognize explicitly even the internal contradictions evident in his own position.

On the first point regarding vetting in IR and the narrowing of POVs, subversive ideologies are only subversive when viewed from the outside, in this case from the POV of a Realist. From my POV it is the realist ideology which is subversive to our wellbeing and interests. Of course a state shouldn't admit those whose stated goal is the destruction of the state, but that isn't my stated goal nor the stated goal of any number of theoretical POV alternatives. Rather, I seek the reform of the state and the reduction of influence that Realism has in policy formation, but my POV is considered no less subversive by a realist than if it were that of a jihadist bent on the destruction of the infidels. Diversity of POVs makes for less efficiency, but it does allow for the consideration and serious debate of other conceptions of what constitutes the State's real best interest. Given this crisis has come about precisely because the Realist ideology brooks no questioning of what constitutes those interests, and because the interests it identifies brings the US in direct conflict with the rhetorical principles on which it was founded, I'd say a loosening of it's strangle hold of foreign policy might be considered an innovation and opportunity to reform and so save the system rather than as a hostile attack.

On the second point regarding the cult of democracy, I admit this is a legitimate concern and a reform of the system must be handled delicately with that in mind. My thought, which I take to be somewhat of an innovation, is that what is needed is a reform of the very concept of democracy. Democracy as it exists in the US is illusory to an extreme. there is much attention paid to the national level where the nations' focus is on big far-away issues that have little or no immediate impact on the daily lives of the majority of the citizens, and about which it is easy for an average citizen without any context or real understanding to express the most barbaric and crass opinion and expect it to be heeded by those populist congressmen that feed those flames to get elected. For me, democracy should begin close to home. Each citizen should be able to participate as directly as possible in the decision-making process regarding those resources upon which he or she is dependent and from which he or she benefits. The local planning, schools, parks and services, the decisions of the municipal and county governments regarding infrastructure, services, marketing of local products, etc. This is where the attention of the democratic spirit should be focused and where to a much greater extent we can truly expect the rational and responsible interaction and contribution of the citizen. Emphasis should be taken away from processes and sensationalism at the national level, but in exchange, the management at the federal level should be as transparent as possible and held to the rhetorical principles expressed in its founding documents. And the people should elect representatives from their local community who represent their interests at the state level, and from the state level should be elected representatives to the national level. (National and State elections should not be separated as they are currently in the US. And these representatives should be held accountable for acting according to the interests of the community and be in constant and more or less direct contact with the community it represents. In this way, the citizens are given power over those things which affect them directly, the federal gov is relieved reduced in size because many of the decisions and control that is currently centralized would be transferred out and put in the hands of those people and communities who are directly affected by them rather than some far-away and out-of-touch representation. This makes the government accountable and affects the awakening of the citizens to their very real responsibility and power within the system. It could also have the effect of drawing away attention from the national level in terms of irrational expressions of national pride and jingoism.

I believe this re-founding of the concept of democracy also speaks to some of the concerns you raise in the third point. I do not believe that the real interests of someone in Spain are particularly different from the interests of someone in Finland or Georgia. They have the same basic necessities and the same basic interests on a human level. There are differences on some questions of taste, certainly, but by and large the differences are superficial. They want to be able to meet their basic needs and have their peculiar differences of taste respected and protected. Of course the rights of the minorities must be rigidly respected at all levels, there are certain encroachments that cannot be allowed to the majority at any level, regarding any topic of interest. Of course, this different conception of democracy does not do away with the need for skillful leadership nor the need to be vigilant against the excesses of the majority, but it would go a long way to diffusing the tendency on the part of the citizenry (and the media!) to treat national politics as if it were a sporting rivalry in which all manner of barbaric sentiments can be unleashed on the opposing team and supporters with little or no real effect. and it would also go along way to distancing the people from national decisions while at the same time making national representatives directly responsible to the state they represent and so achieving some semblance of balance between National and local interests. Taxation could be done strictly at the national level with a percentage taken to cover national expenses like defense while the rest would be redistributed to the states according to population and from there on to the county and city level.

Well. Maybe its a pipe dream, but it's just an example of how the state could be reformed in a way that increases transparency and accountability of representatives to the people, locates the source of power rightfully with the people, and at the same time makes the people take their responsibilities and participation more seriously and generally better citizens.

Regarding the constant of enemies of the state, do you not think that many of the enemies of the state were created directly by the authoritarian policies of the state? Would there be so many terrorists or freedom fighters in Palestine if the Palestinians had been offered some way to live a life with more dignity? If some of that huge population of unemployed and idle young men were given some other outlet for their energies? Have you read Three Cups of Tea? Does that not only seem to provide a more humane but also a dramatically more effective answer to the Madrasas than a whole army of drones buzzing through the Karakorum? Of course there will always be nut jobs, but I truly believe that most of our enemies are of our own manufacture.

Now to the real meat.

"Now to me I think the fundamental difference between us is this. My preference is for any order over disorder. As bad as the Roman Empire was, at least there was civilization. I'm much less concerned with the process than with the outcome. If a secretive cabal of Men in Black keeps stuff from going to hell, fine. Why do I need to know, especially if me knowing makes the job that much harder? If openness and transparency leads to total dysfunction, why shouldn't it be discarded? Why is process considered morally prior?"

this is indeed a point of impasse. For me, the end does not justify the means if the means reduces the people which the government is supposed to serve is removed of its voice, moral concerns and reduced to a sedated incoherent meaningless existence subject to the whims of those men in black. Either we participate or we should wipe ourselves out with our own hands. Give me liberty or give me death. And my neighbor too.

Any amount of efficacy is only a dangerous whimsy in the absence of a serious and transparent debate about the real interests which that efficacy should serve. It should be clear at this point that I am not advocating a descent into chaos or the wholesale destruction of our current system (though sometimes, frustration leads to feelings of hoplessness and nihilism) However, I continue to believe that the ship we are on is already sinking and the question is are we going to find a way to make the necessary repairs before it sinks of it's own inherent inadequacies without ripping the ship apart in the process.

I think this will be my last significant post on this thread, as it has become to diffuse and cumbersome and requires too much attention and energy. I have greatly enjoyed the opportunity to compare and contrast my ideas regarding what I consider the paramount question of our times with you and refine my own ideas in the process. You have certainly given me a lot for further consideration.
Putin33 (111 D)
03 Dec 10 UTC
Good discussion. I'll just add one point about realism in IR and then leave it at that.

While on this forum realism may be popular, it's not very popular among the 'priestly class' (I like that term) these days. In fact, while your vision of direct democracy may not be embraced, the high priests of IR seem to want to go more or less in your direction. Gone are the days of Balance of Power. Gone are the days when military power used to be valued. I mean look at Europe today and look at how Europe was in 1914. There's no security competition there at all. Germany won't even give orders to its soldiers in Afghanistan to engage. In Africa, where the borders are all by and large arbitrary and artificially cobbled together, there is a shocking absence of revanchism. In academia, realism has come under continuous assault since the end of the Cold War. There is a growing belief that a 'new paradigm' is needed, that the focus on the state is outdated, and inter-state war is obsolete. Realism is said to be dead or dying. The act of forcible regime in Iraq was by and large opposed by most realists, thinking it to be an act of Wilsonian idealism run amok. The very fact that you claim to be seeing a more interconnected world where national interests seem to matter less I think points to the declining influence of realism.

I think this change has lulled us all into a false sense of security and that the decline of realism has us on a turbulent course of unpredictability. Instead of the stable state-to-state relations of Balance of Power, military strengthening and security competition, we're experimenting with this idea of 'global governance' - in which states all work together on an ad hoc basis to deal with whatever flare-ups occur, while reducing or eliminate the concern with military power and relative gains in favor of economic power and absolute gains. I don't think this kind of thing will work very well (you need a world government for it to work). And the decline of security competition will reduce motivations for countries to establish authority, because war is the only thing that gets people to sacrifice the need resources to build up authority. The end result is more countries with a total lack of authority. While the world of realpolitik may have been amoral and unsavory, it worked. The problem for us is we've "moved beyond" that world but have no clue as to where we're heading and how to act. The demands are for government do more and more, and the faith in government is less and less. It's an explosive combination.
Putin33 (111 D)
03 Dec 10 UTC
Sorry for the numerous typos there.
mcbry (439 D)
03 Dec 10 UTC
your typos or mine? :) I was wondering about how the invasion of Iraq was seen by different schools of thought. It seemed a dangerous blend of Wilsonian Idealism with it's ideas of American Exceptionalism (a term which is now become a battle cry of the "new" right) and Realism. As I've already said, I understand the underpinnings of the different schools, but it's rather difficult to translate it into what one school or the other will prefer in terms of policy. It almost seems like those interests are identified by the elder ideologues of each school. I don't see the criteria for discerning what each will identify as it's interests. What seemed odd about the invasion in Iraq was the pathetic optimism which was behind it, from the ease of the invasion phase, to the lack of a coherent plan for what came after, to the seeming surprise at the ferocity of the resistance once the invasion was already complete. Mission Accomplished, and all that, just thinking about it makes me blush with shame. Regardless of what the world becomes, the voices of caution should certainly be a permanent part of the debate.
Putin33 (111 D)
03 Dec 10 UTC
Sure, there are significant differences within each school of thought. They're more like general paradigms than seamlessly coherent world-views. For example, there are heated differences between 'containment' realists (think Kennan/Kissinger), the type that had generally dominated US policy thinking in the Cold War, believed the Soviet Union was like any other power and had roughly the same kind of interests - advocating a cautious foreign policy; and the 'rollback' types (think Goldwater, Scoop Jackson) who wanted an aggressive foreign policy and believed the USSR was an evil aggressive power that had to essentially be destroyed or else they would expand relentlessly.

A segment of the latter type became influential in the GW Bush's admin, they're often called "neo-conservatives". A lot of them were Scoop Jackson-type liberals at one point and are heavily influenced by Wilsonian internationalism in its moralism and almost messianic POV. It's for this reason that they seem to almost be on a different planet from the containment types.

I'd say the rollback types are 'realist' only in the sense that uphold military power as the currency of IR and have a pessimistic view of human nature, at least of their adversaries. But realism has traditionally disavowed the injection of moralism in foreign policy thinking, and the rollback types seem to want to engage in things like democracy building for its own sake, without thinking solely about national security. They make to re-make the world in their own image, very much like Mr. Wilson.

checkmate (0 DX)
03 Dec 10 UTC
don't know if this had been told here, but acording assange, if something happened to him or his team, much many other curious documents would authomatically appear in the computers of more than 100 thousand people... or something like that, it's a bad translation of a bad translation
checkmate (0 DX)
03 Dec 10 UTC
"And damn the right-wing outrage over the Wikileaks revelations. It is the American people who should be outraged that its government has transformed a nation with a reputation for freedom, justice, tolerance and respect for human rights into a backwater that revels in its criminality, cover-ups, injustices and hypocrisies."

copy paste from http://wlcentral.org/ where you can find info related to wikileaks
orathaic (1009 D(B))
04 Dec 10 UTC
wow, so much to reply to... if only i coudl review it and make it more concise...

aside@ "We thought nationalism and these sorts of things would be long dead by now. Nationalism has proven to be one of the few ideas that has withstood the test of time." - well nationalism and relgion...

@"The unstoppable march of progress, eh. And how do we know that loosening restrictions and decentralizing power will make these transitions less painful and not more?" We don't know and can't possibly know - but that does not mean we should allow the failings in our current system to continue. We can merely strive to improve what we have, even when that menas ripping it down first. To do otherwise is all i can claim immoral.

@"To say that the people who live halfway across the globe are just as important as your family, your neighbors? That contradicts the human psyche."

- i believe the human psyche is based on evolution and understand nationalism as an expression of clan-based loyalty.

That does not exclude the possibility that people can form bonds based on (say) internet communities, labour unions, profit motive, etc.

Putin, You suggest criminal/terrorist/exploitative/opressive groups (be they political, religious, or profit motivated) can and will take advantage of people if allowed. This is certainly a 'them' against whom we can fight.

A global fight against terrorism, or drugs, or global warming (though it is much harder to see as a solid enemy) or alien invasion, could easily be the 'them' which unite 'us' as in ALL of us humans.

I don't see it as inevitable that we will only worry about nations if/when the world becomes more interdependant if/as technology progresses...

@ morally good/better system?

I don't think i would claim transparency to be morally superior, and though i do care about the methods as much as the result (if the results of Hitler's nazi party began with a massive improvement in the germany economy, and restoration of lost national pride/expression of the resentment of the treaty of versailles - does that make it right?) I'd prefer to see Rome fall quickly than to let it slowly crumble away as it dies the death of 1,000 cuts.

Surely we can build better than we have and it is worth trying. (of course building better does not neccesarily require blowing up the boat we're all currently in... or it might if the current system resists change - actually the ability of a democracy to adapt and not resist change is one of it's greatest strenghts)

@mcbry: It is interesting that you comapre media treatment of national politics to a sporting event. Again we find sports team follow a loyalty akin to nationalism in it's evolutionary roots. We follow a team, we support them in combat against our neighbouring competitors and we share in their victory.

Very much a clannish tradition, made safe by the reduction in violence (not to say american football, rugby, or hurling isn't violent at all) this is just an exmpale of the subversion of traditional social norms as we reorganise into larger communities. (and i'll have more to say about scale in a bit)

That natioanl politics in America rings of the same competitiveness is no surprise. Basic human tendancies to simplify drive the success of both sports broadcasters and political news correspondants.

"but I truly believe that most of our enemies are of our own manufacture." - well obviously those who choose to use YOU as the them to unite against could not have done so if YOU hadn't been there and been a thing which threatened. Of course 'threatening' here may just been 'acting in the national interest' but i now fear i'm circling the point...

@Mcbry: "Give me liberty or give me death. And my neighbor too. " I too am an idealist, but i do not think more liberty neccesarily means more happiness for an individual.

go find 'the paradox of choice' great lecture, but it basically explains why 2 choices make you happier than 1 choice, but an increase in the number of choices does not neccesarily make you happier still.

My idealism is tempered with some practical elements of the human condition. I fear living in a system run by 'men in black' is preferable to death. However fighting to improve said system is a worthwhile endeavour, even if it is replaced with chaos - said chaos will inevitably lead to a new system forming (and all anarchists ever can achieve imho is a means to the destruction of their ideology)

"The end result is more countries with a total lack of authority. While the world of realpolitik may have been amoral and unsavory, it worked."

When, did the 'balance of power' not result in the first world war? Ok, in realistic terms it destroyed much of Europe and the rest of the world (apart from China-Japan) i htink largely gained, in the long term from the decline of Europe.

In a sense this idea of working together with your neighbouring countries is largely a european phenominum, surely due to the two wars of last century. Whereas US policy is heavily changed because of the Cold War, which i guess i don't know enough about to suggest it's direction...

Is it seen as a victory by default? The increasing economic growth managed to outdo the USSR and pressure their eventual collapse?

Or is the economic collapse of the USSR seen as an internal failure of that system which was inevitable and mrely proves the superiority of the US economic system? (Though given hte most recent failing of that system i would of course call into question the verity of that 'proof')

Meanwhile i think asusming human nature to be capable of adapting itself to peaceful means when the failings of violence have been shown is not any conceit.

That the US used violence to end a regime in Iraq does not to me suggest the failings of violence have been demonstrated or taken on board by the Iraqii people.

This is not to suggest that the belief in positive aspects of human nature is wrong, merely that the understanding of human nature is flawed...

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204 replies
The Lord Duke (3898 D)
05 Dec 10 UTC
Passwords
How do you find out a password if you would like to join a game?
8 replies
Open
Maniac (189 D(B))
05 Dec 10 UTC
Come play with me
gameID=43452 please join if you can retreat and build quickly to avoid dragging a game on unnecessarily
0 replies
Open
ormi (100 D)
04 Dec 10 UTC
fast game start soon check in!!!
http://www.webdiplomacy.net/board.php?gameID=43360
5 replies
Open
Tolstoy (1962 D)
01 Dec 10 UTC
Has America Become the Evil Empire?
Well, has it?
55 replies
Open
orathaic (1009 D(B))
01 Dec 10 UTC
Should I have a problem with this?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gay_village

With regard the 'do you guys find this offensive thread' i came across this idea....
54 replies
Open
Malleus (2719 D)
03 Dec 10 UTC
Sitter etiquette
I need to get a sitter, but I've never gotten one before. What's the etiquette on that? I was thinking of going through old games and finding people that I got along well with. Is that the best bet for finding someone?
11 replies
Open
obiwanobiwan (248 D)
03 Dec 10 UTC
Happy Holidays! (And WHat I DON'T Like To See...)
Happy Channukah! (a day late...) ;) And Christmas to come...but controversy--DOES Santa Claus really exist? Oh, and then there's the matter of idiots who, instead of having a good, civil conversation (like we often have here) just decide to do the real-world equivalent of shout and troll... http://news.yahoo.com/s/yblog_thelookout/20101202/ts_yblog_thelookout/atheists-slick-ad-campaigns-sometimes-meet-with-resistance So let's talk here...what do you think?
18 replies
Open
JetJaguar (820 D)
02 Dec 10 UTC
Russia 2018, Qatar 2022
Anyone else have their opinion of FIFA's leadership sink to never before imagined lows today?
110 replies
Open
Dan Wang (1194 D)
03 Dec 10 UTC
What are public-messaging-only games like?
In your experience, do players in public-messaging-only games choose to ally and coordinate in full view of the other players, or is it more like a gunboat game but with the ability to negotiate draws amongst opposing factions, etc? Or somewhere in between?
11 replies
Open
airborne (154 D)
04 Dec 10 UTC
Oh Civ how lowly you have fallen!
Civ V may be one of the biggest disappointment in my gaming career. No more religions! No more multible leaders! No more +/- numbers dip-o! No stable gameplay! No more crazy number of civs! On and on...and I thought Black Ops needs a couple patches, gees
18 replies
Open
Indybroughton (3407 D(G))
03 Dec 10 UTC
GhostRatings - Take the Pledge...
...take the challenge.

I challenge every one of the top 100, as well as any player who moves up 20 spots or more, to pledge to contribute $5 via PayPal to this website. Sign your name to this thread to pledge! I'll start: INDYBROUGHTON
18 replies
Open
pathannarris (599 D)
04 Dec 10 UTC
World Game needs players
Anyone interested in playing a semi slow world game? We need two more players in the next 15 minutes. It is called:

Conquer the World!
1 reply
Open
orathaic (1009 D(B))
02 Dec 10 UTC
car free cities?
see sometimes i'm a little crazy...

This got me thinking : http://www.oecd.org/document/46/0,3343,en_21571361_44315115_46566894_1_1_1_1,00.html
28 replies
Open
jonK99 (133 D)
04 Dec 10 UTC
Who is up for a 5 min. game?
Who is up for a 5 min. game?
2 replies
Open
trip (696 D(B))
03 Dec 10 UTC
Is there a Mod in the house?
Help
5 replies
Open
superchunk (4890 D)
02 Dec 10 UTC
Various script errors in game recently causing inability to set full moves.
Any idea what is causing this as its preventing the setting of convoys, at least for me?
12 replies
Open
cannonfodder5 (100 D)
01 Dec 10 UTC
North Sea action
Which power has the longest staying power (pardon the repetition) in the North Sea corridor? Does France see itself in the mix?
23 replies
Open
Thucydides (864 D(B))
02 Dec 10 UTC
Rank the diplo territories in order of importance.
You get one vote per post, and one post per page.
29 replies
Open
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