"Estimates suggest the CIA directly employs over 20,000 people."
Fair enough. If Uncle Ruslan had been connected with someone who happened to be a CIA analyst on the Burkina Faso desk, this would not be news. but Graham Fuller wasn't just *anyone* at CIA. He was the guy who ran the CIA's covert operations in the Middle East during the '80s and served as Vice-Chair of the National Intelligence Council. The number of people in the American foreign intelligence bureaucracies at Fuller's level isn't in the tens of thousands, it's in the dozens or scores. Maybe a couple hundred, tops.
Then there's the other side of the equation. How many actual terrorists are there in America who have successfully pulled off an attack on American soil? With 9/11 there were the 19 perpetrators, a handful of people accused of being the "20th hijacker", an unknown number of support personnel almost certainly less than 10. Two were involved in the DC Sniper attacks. There have been a few other small-sale shootings of armed forces recruiting centers and the like. Then the Marathon Bombing. This is off the top of my head (and not counting all the gullible dupes who were recruited by government "terrorism facilitators" to be involved in fake terrorism plots), but we're definitely under a hundred here.
There are 320 million people in the United States. Just for the sake of putting numbers on the board, let's say that everyone on average knows 50 people well enough for the connection to be interesting in the perspective of a terrorism investigation. What are the odds that one of the less than 100 or so real terrorists in America in the last 12 years is connected to one of the (let's say) 1,000 past or present senior-most intelligence officials in the US government? Statistics was never my thing, but I'll take a crack at this:
1,000 senior intelligence officials will know 50,000 people.
The odds of someone in America being in the "intelligence official connection" set is 50,000 in 320,000,000, or about .015625%.
100 terrorists will know about 5,000 people.
The odds of someone in America being in the "terrorist connection" set is 5,000 in 320,000,000, or about .0015625%.
The odds of someone being in *both* sets - like Uncle Ruslan is - would be .015625% X .0015625%, or 0.000000244140625%.
Granted, these numbers are completely arbitrary. And I was never that good at statistics (if I'm doing something wrong in the math department, a correction would be appreciated). But even if we add a zero or two to the number of people a senior intelligence official might know (which would be entirely reasonable - people like that know lots of people), or include *everyone* who works at the CIA including the interns in the mail room, the odds of someone being in both sets is *still* astronomical.
What does this mean? I do not know. Maybe nothing. Maybe something. But if it is something, wouldn't you like to know about it?