"What do you mean? If you're the 3rd person in a disagreement you will always find the other two trying to persuade you to side with them (eg UK election!)."
As a general principle, perhaps. But when you're Austria, and Russia and Turkey are both openly persuading you to attack Italy, you can reasonably be assured they aren't fighting (after all, according to your own principle, they should be getting Austria to side with them against the other). And if two relatively strong powers on your eastern flank are actively encouraging you to fight someone on your western flank who's been friendly to you the whole game... doesn't that tip you off at all?
"Attack? If you are referring to the Trieste-Venice bounce, that is pretty common but carries no more threat."
Oh, no no. In fact, I do that virtually every time. I'm aware it's not a threat.
It's more like... let's see. http://webdiplomacy.net/board.php?
gameID=31253I opened with Obrieni and told Austria to bounce in Tyrolia. The idea was that I would be able to throw off Russia/Turkey (who I found out were forming a Juggernaut within the first couple of game years), and still be in the same Lepanto position by S1902. I even explained openly to Austria what I was doing, and he stood me off... then proceeded to attack me, saying that "me [himself] Russia and Turkey are gonna come down on you hard." Needless to say, the Juggernaut rolled and Russia eventually won.
There was another one on Facebook where I Lepantoed and sent the spare army to Piedmont to harass a France being invaded by Germany and England. That game is ongoing, but Turkey has eight centers, Austria two (two of my HSCs), and I'm hopelessly trying to grab Tunisia in an extremely predictable move to survive.
I just don't get it. Attacking Italy right away NEVER works as Austria. NEVER. It's "Turkey moving A Con somewhere besides Bulgaria in S1901" kinda never. And yet people do it. I just don't understand.