Forum
A place to discuss topics/games with other webDiplomacy players.
Page 1266 of 1419
FirstPreviousNextLast
Al Swearengen (0 DX)
06 Jul 15 UTC
The Dream Job
Please pick a company (preferably a large company) that you would want to work at. Google and the NSA are disqualified.
67 replies
Open
steephie22 (182 D(S))
08 Jul 15 UTC
(+1)
So I'm really busy and everything's going great..
So now I'm considering the option of delegating some work around the webdesign-stuff. I have no clue how this would work legally though, amongst other things..

(Feel free to contact me.)
29 replies
Open
wjessop (100 DX)
06 Jul 15 UTC
Join Me for A Gunboat?
WTA, 24 hour phase, (Semi) Anon, 250 D buy-in, Hidden Draw Votes.

Anyone fancy the challenge?
9 replies
Open
Mujus (1495 D(B))
07 Jul 15 UTC
2012 World Cup Quotes
Russia: (your predecessor can be quite annoying)

Russia, his predecessor is reading the press. Austria, you too. Not saying who that is, but hey.
1 reply
Open
aussiegamer (100 D)
09 Jul 15 UTC
(+1)
New ancient game back up - live
Its called Quick ancients-2
Pot is 10
5 minute rounds
We almost got there, 1 player off just a minute ago
1 reply
Open
aussiegamer (100 D)
09 Jul 15 UTC
(+1)
Live game now available
5 minute turns
Ancient
3 players already
4 replies
Open
SpaceDip (768 D)
08 Jul 15 UTC
gameID=164258
It's build phase, I (Germany) have 3 supply-centers, 2 units and "No orders to submit"?

I have a pic to show it.
1 reply
Open
☺ (1304 D)
08 Jul 15 UTC
(+1)
Discuss
"I think we can all agree that if I can save a child for the low low cost of who gives a shit, it was just some beers and a shirt and a weird smell, I should save the child."

http://www.philosophybro.com/post/120721529553/peter-singers-drowning-child-argument
11 replies
Open
ssorenn (0 DX)
04 Jul 15 UTC
(+2)
Happy 4th of July
To all my Webdip friends, and Thucy too....:))
52 replies
Open
cb6000 (100 D(S))
08 Jul 15 UTC
question about cheating investigations
I am a player in a (now paused) game "live gunshot 412." In the middle of a turn the game was apparently paused by a moderator...message was posted that the game had been paused due to a cheating investigation. Do those playing in the game find out the results from the investigation? Is it the case that even if no cheating is found that the game will still be cancelled? Can I go to bed without fear of the game resuming and me being charged with an nmr? Thank you.
12 replies
Open
Eadan (454 D)
07 Jul 15 UTC
Feature Question
Is there a way to remove from the left panel ("My Games") the games in which I have been defeated? Put another way, can I toggle something so that the only games I see in "My Games" are those that I'm still actively playing?
5 replies
Open
Tru Ninja (1016 D(S))
07 Jul 15 UTC
preview
Can we change the preview to allow us to submit test moves for opponents in addition to our moves so we can look at various outcomes?
8 replies
Open
Ace881 (100 D)
08 Jul 15 UTC
(+1)
Post Your Game
Post Your Game Here
2 replies
Open
orathaic (1009 D(B))
02 Jul 15 UTC
Problem solving test
www.nytimes.com/interactive/2015/07/03/upshot/a-quick-puzzle-to-test-your-problem-solving.html?smid=fb-nytimes&smtyp=cur&abt=0002&abg=0

Excellent test to examine your problem solving skills.
Espi (338 D)
02 Jul 15 UTC
Sadly it wouldn't allow me to submit my answer, so I can go to ahead and click the link. That was interesting, thanks for sharing.
captainmeme (1723 DMod)
02 Jul 15 UTC
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vKA4w2O61Xo

Interesting video about this problem. Try out the problem before you watch it, as it contains the solution.
Espi (338 D)
02 Jul 15 UTC
What were your processes for solving the answer? I tried doing doubles 2 times, then ascending numbers, then the same number and finally descending numbers.
TrPrado (461 D)
02 Jul 15 UTC
Well, I saw the video some time back, so I really figured out how to check that really easily and knew the answer already.
orathaic (1009 D(B))
02 Jul 15 UTC
Alas, i also knew the answer in advance :(
uclabb (589 D)
02 Jul 15 UTC
I went:
111
124
125
321
5826 111144 8875419
DeathLlama8 (514 D)
02 Jul 15 UTC
I did

1-2-4
1-2-3
1-2-2
1-1-1
3-2-1
-5.7 - -3.3 - -1.111111
i - 2i - 3i (not allowed)
steephie22 (182 D(S))
02 Jul 15 UTC
Spoiler alert? I'm too afraid to read this thread right now, and I'm completely fried right now so I'm not doing the test I think.
Mr. Asimov (100 D)
02 Jul 15 UTC
1-2-4
2-4-6
3-5-7
Then it was obvious.
JamesYanik (548 D)
02 Jul 15 UTC
1-2-3
1-3-6
then i got it
zultar (4180 DMod(P))
02 Jul 15 UTC
(+1)
I tested until I saw three nos. There are many ways for three numbers to obey a sequence so negative information was worth more than the yes'es. Assuming that the numbers obey a particular rule WITHOUT a counterexample is a bad idea. Just my thought.
Espi (338 D)
02 Jul 15 UTC
^
Espi (338 D)
02 Jul 15 UTC
Did you read the answer description Zultar? Only about 8% of the people they tested followed that method.
zultar (4180 DMod(P))
02 Jul 15 UTC
I only skimmed the answer description. More and more of my quantitative training is geared towards disproving my work, to look for reasons why my work *might* be wrong, so that false positives don't get into the literature. Some days it's kinda fun, some days it's depressing as hell.
Espi (338 D)
02 Jul 15 UTC
If only you worked for the government or many other industries. :P
After deciding that doubling everything was too obvious, I tried the next best thing, and it kept giving me Yes! in response, so I assumed I got it right. Then I started watching the video and about the time it got to 2:40 or so, it hit me. Figuring out a riddle in less than 10 minutes.....I'm moving up in the world.
Valis2501 (2850 D(G))
02 Jul 15 UTC
Mostly a test of how uncreative you are I would claim, but whatever.
uclabb (589 D)
02 Jul 15 UTC
@Valis- How so? At my job we ask a very similar question of potential hires to make sure they have a handle on avoiding confirmation bias. Creativity seems completely orthogonal to me
Valis2501 (2850 D(G))
02 Jul 15 UTC
I didn't have any problem being wrong (had 4 nos), but I spent like 10 submissions making sure it wasn't anything more complicated. I was just disappointing I suppose.

Also "not wanting to hear no" isn't Confirmation Bias in any context I've heard of. Confirmation bias is selectively realizing or remembering evidence that favors your hypothesis rather than those that contradict it, something the follow up article seems to understand but insists is related to "I don't want to hear no". Some of my guesses were specifically set up to be "no" based on my hypothesis, so getting red back was actually a confirmation.
abgemacht (1076 D(G))
02 Jul 15 UTC
OK, but you're a scientist and do this for a living.
Valis2501 (2850 D(G))
02 Jul 15 UTC
My apologies, never mind what I said.
abgemacht (1076 D(G))
02 Jul 15 UTC
I'm not saying what you said is wrong. It's just that you aren't a good representative of the population at large.
orathaic (1009 D(B))
02 Jul 15 UTC
"Confirmation bias is selectively realizing or remembering evidence that favors your hypothesis rather than those that contradict it"

This is looking at problem-solving strategies where you do not seek out information which contradicts your theory. Very closely related...
Espi (338 D)
02 Jul 15 UTC
To be honest, if I didn't feel that the test was a trick after getting 2 yeses in a row, which then caused me to find what would give me a no, I would have said that doubling was the answer.
Tru Ninja (1016 D(S))
02 Jul 15 UTC
I'm a member of the 8% group. I tested a series of doubling and, seeing only yes answers, I thought I needed to test something to make sure not everything was a yes. I found a few no's then went to a few more yes's to check in any series of ascending numbers worked. Tested some decimals like 1, 1.00q and 1.002
Tried starting with 0 and then tried descending values before settling on the correct answer.
These things are stupid, after any number of combinations you could say the rule you deduced is "confirmation bias" as they term it, and have a different rule that they would have gotten if they tried a few more things. Not to mention Wittgenstein and the paradox of following a rule. *disclaimer I did get it Right*
orathaic (1009 D(B))
02 Jul 15 UTC
*spoiler alert* @Soc: their claim is that 92% of people never bother checking for some a no. They come up with a theory, then test it for a few yeses, and settle on it.

I don't know how i would have approached this problem had i not already known the answer...
orathaic (1009 D(B))
02 Jul 15 UTC
A no would make me more curious, but so would a yes when i was expecting a no. You can't grt that extra bit of data unless you go looking for it.
@ora, I get that; but there will be a point even for the other 8, where they settle after a certain number of yes' and a certain number of no's. At that point they could be said to be capable of a v. Similar thing... Not checking for a further no, and guessing it's the theory they think it is.. They settle on the theory they came up with after a certain point.
orathaic (1009 D(B))
03 Jul 15 UTC
And that isthe same reason science will never be done, because in real life we can mever be sure we've tested every possible alternative theory (ie ones which don't disagree with the data so far)
semck83 (229 D(B))
03 Jul 15 UTC
I got it correct. But I think it tells us very little about anything.
orathaic (1009 D(B))
04 Jul 15 UTC
Ok, what about this one (taken from the facebook page 'i f**king hate pseudoscience')

"Name the logical fallacy all three examples have in common.
1) John was a marathon runner. After starting to drink wheat grass juice John had the best marathon time of his life. The next race was not as good, but still better than usual. Soon John was finishing at his normal time again despite continuing his juice drinks. John concludes the wheat grass had an effect on his performance until his body became used to it.
2) John had back pain, but on most days it was bearable. One particularly bad day he could take no more and drank a homeopathic remedy his neighbor offered. His pain returned to normal levels the next day, proving the treatment worked.
3) John was married to Jane, both were exceptionally tall. Their children, although taller than average, were not nearly as tall as either parent. Based on this, John concludes Jane cheated on him and he is not the father.
All three examples make the same mistake. What is it?"
Stubie (1817 D)
04 Jul 15 UTC
Correlation does not imply causation.
Tru Ninja (1016 D(S))
04 Jul 15 UTC
(+1)
John sounds like a miserable person to be around.
TrPrado (461 D)
04 Jul 15 UTC
Post hoc ergo propter hoc?
orathaic (1009 D(B))
04 Jul 15 UTC
I don't think 3) is a post hoc ergo procter hoc issue. But i might be wrong.

There is another interesting fallacy though, and that error is definitely there in the first two.
Omitted variable/excluded middle/false dilemma?
JamesYanik (548 D)
05 Jul 15 UTC
all of these are basically absolutist statements, assuming that a single variable is affecting the result, instead of taking into account many different factors.
TrPrado (461 D)
05 Jul 15 UTC
Fallacy of the single cause (causal oversimplification)?
JamesYanik (548 D)
05 Jul 15 UTC
“There are four kinds of people in this world: cretins, fools, morons, and lunatics…Cretins don’t even talk; they sort of slobber and stumble…Fools are in great demand, especially on social occasions. They embarrass everyone but provide material for conversation…Fools don’t claim that cats bark, but they talk about cats when everyone else is talking about dogs. They offend all the rules of conversation, and when they really offend, they’re magnificent…Morons never do the wrong thing. They get their reasoning wrong. Like the fellow who says that all dogs are pets and all dogs bark, and cats are pets, too, therefore cats bark…Morons will occasionally say something that’s right, but they say it for the wrong reason…A lunatic is easily recognized. He is a moron who doesn’t know the ropes. The moron proves his thesis; he has logic, however twisted it may be. The lunatic on the other hand, doesn’t concern himself at all with logic; he works by short circuits. For him, everything proves everything else. The lunatic is all idée fixe, and whatever he comes across confirms his lunacy. You can tell him by the liberties he takes with common sense, by his flashes of inspiration, and by the fact that sooner or later he brings up the Templars…There are lunatics who don’t bring up the Templars, but those who do are the most insidious. At first they seem normal, then all of a sudden…”

-Foucault's Pendulum, Umberto Eco

If you've never read the book, you desperately need to do so.
orathaic (1009 D(B))
05 Jul 15 UTC
All sound like purely logical fallacies, this one is a statistical one, which assumes extra information.
orathaic (1009 D(B))
07 Jul 15 UTC
Regression to the mean.

All examples where something exceptional is unusual, and thus the only explaination needed for returning to average is: the average is what you should actually expect!


42 replies
orathaic (1009 D(B))
03 Jul 15 UTC
Quick quiz
What do the following countries have in common?

US, North Korea, Iran, Israel, India, Pakistan, Egypt
50 replies
Open
TheMinisterOfWar (553 D)
22 Jun 15 UTC
(+1)
AmsterDip 2: Face To Face in Amsterdam on 28 June
We're doing another Face To Face in Amsterdam, this Sunday 28 June, and everyone's invited!

(see inside)
69 replies
Open
Lando Calrissian (100 D(S))
24 Jun 15 UTC
Anyone live in Philadelphia?
Might be going there in August.
5 replies
Open
peaceinourtime (845 D(B))
07 Jul 15 UTC
Iphone/Ipad issue?
I've had to make some recent moves using these devices, and notice that in builds, I thought I've entered a fleet, only to have an army appear. It's almost certainly user input stupidity, so am I missing something in the save/ready commands? Is there a default set to army if an order is entered but improperly saved? Help - the admirals are pissed off.
3 replies
Open
pjmansfield99 (100 D)
05 Jul 15 UTC
Gunboat Series....
Am again running out of games.... Usual set of 5 gunboats, 15 point bet, 36hr phases with a commitment to ready up. No shifting of countries. Sign up below, first come, first served (subject to reasonable experience and reliability rating). All five games to be played simultaneously.
50 replies
Open
renotechs (0 DX)
07 Jul 15 UTC
(+2)
Social Media Marketing: Building a Strong Online Image
No spam on the forum, please
0 replies
Open
abgemacht (1076 D(G))
19 Jun 15 UTC
(+1)
steephie and I are starting a game of Civ V
Anyone want to join?
206 replies
Open
A_Tin_Can (2234 D)
29 Jun 15 UTC
Bouncing Russia in Sweden
German players who do this- why?
59 replies
Open
steephie22 (182 D(S))
06 Jul 15 UTC
A guy told me it's very suspicious if you pay with cash in America.
Bullshit?
46 replies
Open
retardedarcher (323 D)
05 Jul 15 UTC
How do you not become the odd man out in diplomacy?
I play very pragmatically: I don't let my allies get too big and I try to cooperate with former enemies to maintain a status-quo (while trying to get ahead of the status-quo).
25 replies
Open
Valis2501 (2850 D(G))
21 Jun 15 UTC
(+1)
2015 June GhostRating Challenge
All previous GRC games are completed and a recent GR update was just put out, you know what that means!

Full Press Classic WTA GR Challenge Signup!
115 replies
Open
Hannibal76 (100 D(B))
06 Jul 15 UTC
2 questions, it's been a while
Hi:
(1) If you destroy an enemy unit WITHOUT taking a center from that person, are they able to build a replacement?

(2) Russia has just launched an attack on Germany, successfully grabbing Denmark in an autumn season; the relevant units in spring are:
15 replies
Open
TheMarauder (1270 D)
06 Jul 15 UTC
Possible Error in Code for World Diplomacy
I have a fleet in Vostok and I am given Dumont dUrville as a possible move destination. This should not be a valid move, right? That would be the same as a fleet moving from Liverpool to Edinburgh in classic.
6 replies
Open
Tru Ninja (1016 D(S))
06 Jul 15 UTC
settlers of catan
I'm gonna start a game via catan online world at playcatan.com if anyone wants to play
8 replies
Open
LeinadT (146 D)
06 Jul 15 UTC
(+1)
United States wins Women's World Cup!
With a 5-2 win over reigning champions Japan, which included 4 goals in the first 16 minutes (3 of them by Carli Lloyd), the USWNT has won their 3rd World Cup (the record), and first since 1999.

Any thoughts? Presumably I'm not the only one who cares about this...
9 replies
Open
ejb0527 (967 D)
05 Jul 15 UTC
UNited States vs Europe game
Would it be cool to try something like a United States vs. Europe game..there will be an equal amount of americans playing vs an equal amount of europeans, however, the teams will be split up so nations will be divided
4 replies
Open
Page 1266 of 1419
FirstPreviousNextLast
Back to top