@Draugnar, regarding your first response, I did say "more than likely".
But regarding your second response, I have to disagree. If you are setting up a grand alliance and some putz doesn't do his part right, that's your fault too. When I'm trying to stop a solo I discuss with each other person what we need to do, down to the necessary moves. If I have to, I'll outright tell them what to do, but in a diplomatic way of course.
As an example, in what I believe was my last survive, we had a 5 way alliance against Italy. I was Russia. Austria was in Portugal and France had 4 or 5 centers. We had the stalemate and then Italy pulled back to give France the chance to take out Austria. But Italy moved back at the same time and France took out Austria yes, but broke the stalemate line in doing so and Italy won the next year. While I told France not to do it, I should have pointed out how to do it and not break the line if possible.
I was Russia and France fucked it up, but by my book, I fucked it up too. Don't give me any "it was someone else's fault" crap. I'm not buying.
In any case, this is just my opinion and is very different from what we have now so doesn't even really matter that much, take it for what you will.