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A place to discuss topics/games with other webDiplomacy players.
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obiwanobiwan (248 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
SHAKESPEARES AND EINSTEINS OF WEBDIP--DEFEND THE HONOR OF YOUR FIELD!
http://webdiplomacy.net/board.php?gameID=73825
We've had some fun, friendly Field vs. Field fracases...so it's time to take it to the next level--a WebDip invitational! :)
Bio Majors, Physics Folks, Mathematicians, Literaturists (I'm stealing that one, abgemacht! lol) come for the discourse, stay for the 50 D and the honor of your Discipline...and may the "Most Worthy" (Nerdy?) Discipline Win!
24 replies
Open
Flameofarnor (306 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
Pure Old School Diplomacy
Set 2 hours from now, the game "Old School Diplomacy" will begin. All of the ORIGINAL rules from Avalon Hill's Diplomacy apply, so come in if your feeling up for some classic play. No passwords and all out diplomatic discussion is allowed with a bet-in of 10, so please come join up!
3 replies
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Flameofarnor (306 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
Join Up!
We need 4 more players. Game starts in one hour! Classic style Diplomacy where all of the traditional rules apply. Join up now!
2 replies
Open
Flameofarnor (306 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
15 Minutes Remaining! Need one more player!
gameID=73891 One player left somebody join up! 15 minutes till game begins. Classic Diplomacy style.
0 replies
Open
Flameofarnor (306 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
30 Minutes Left
Classic Diplomacy game with all of the traditional rules. 12 hour turn intervals. Join up now! gameID=73891
0 replies
Open
tboin4 (100 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Linear Algebra Help
Hey guys, I'm studying for my linear algebra class and I'm having some problems with notation.
75 replies
Open
Putin33 (111 D)
01 Dec 11 UTC
The Federal Reserve Balance Sheet
Can someone explain the difference between Quantitative Easing & Credit Easing? I'm not getting it. I get that QE is pumping money into circulation by buying large numbers of treasury bonds, but how is the process different with this "credit easing"? It's still expanding the balance sheet, is it not?
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Putin33 (111 D)
01 Dec 11 UTC
Sorry for non-Americans, but I believe Osbourne also came out and said he's doing this "Credit Easing".
Only thing I can think of is perhaps they're making it easier for people to buy things on credit by lowering interest rates....but I don't know anything about credit easing
Invictus (240 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
I think the difference here is that the interest rates are lower so that it's easier for the debt-riddled Europeans to buy the bonds of the debt-riddled Americans, British, Japanese, etc. With QE, it was the Fed buying its own bonds, this is making it easier for others to buy those bonds.

At least, that's what I gleamed from an article this morning. I've given up trying to understand the financial legerdemain in the eurocrisis.
Putin33 (111 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
My thinking so far is that money is injected not by buying government bonds but by buying corporate debt. That's what the Term Auction Facility and Corporate Paper whatever-it's-called facility seem to do. So it seems more targeted than regular QE. I could be wrong.
Invictus (240 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Well, whatever it is it won't work. Europeans have the option to either be economically annexed to Germany and be ruled from Brussels, or have the whole common currency shatter and live with inflation and economic chaos with New Drachmas, New Lira, even New Francs in their pockets. What a mess, and what a shame.
Putin33 (111 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
I wasn't talking about Europe, but ok. Europe doesn't believe in this kind of Keynesian policy, that's their problem. You won't see Germany do Quantitative Easing, ever. The history of inflation is too traumatic.
Invictus (240 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Well, the Fed and other central banks didn't do this just on a whim. It's a desperate attempt to save the euro or, more likely, buy time to come up with a way to keep the fall of Europe from bringing the entirety of the world economy with it.

Germany's already killed some of its sacred economic cows in this crisis. I won't pretend to know what the Germans will do, but it wouldn't surprise me if the German printing presses did get going at some point. The collapse of the euro could easily make both periods of German hyperinflation look like minor rough patches.
Frank (100 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Quantitative easing is when the Fed expands its balance sheet by purchasing treasuries or other government bonds. This is what the Fed did in November 2010. Credit easing is when the Fed expands its balance sheet by purchasing private sector assets. This is what Bernanke did back during the financial crisis when the Fed bought up a whole bunch of mortgage backed securities.

Happy to help! I wish there was more discussion of finance and economics on here.
Putin33 (111 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Thanks Frank, glad to get confirmation on that.
Putin33 (111 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Ah I see what Invictus is referring to now. The Fed is apparently involved in some plan to pump money into Europe. Interesting.
What does expanding a balance sheet mean? And if it is what I assume it can't it only happen by issue debt or equity, not purchasing it?
Frank (100 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Also, if you are right about Germany not wanting to increase the money supply dramatically because they are scarred by the hyperinflation of the 20s, they are still able to do certain types of quantitative easing that can affect interest rate term structures without expanding the balance sheet. For example, the Fed earlier this fall did something called Operation Twist. The short term interest rates were already so low that they decided to stimulate the economy by flattening the yield curve. They bought longer term securities at the same time as selling the same amount of shorter term securities. This way, the balance sheet is unchanged but longer term rates are pushed down. That's one way that Germany could do "Keynesian policy" without too much inflationary pressure. .
Putin33 (111 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
When the fed "prints money", it basically gives credits to banks which can be converted into cash. These credits are put on the balance sheet as "notes outstanding" and counted as liabilities, so the balance sheet is expanded.They grant these credits to banks (normally), by buying treasuries from the banks. This is how the interest rates are controlled. QE is simply a massive purchase of treasuries from banks (massive expansion of the balance sheet on the liability side), as far as I can tell. It's not done to control interest rates since they're already zero. From what Frank said, Credit Easing seems to do the same thing except by buying private debt instead of government treasuries. So the balance sheet is expanded but more attention is paid to the asset side.
Does the fed even have equity or is their balance sheet just assets = liabilities?
Frank (100 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Yeah, Putin nailed it. A balance sheet of a central bank is different from any other balance sheet since they can actually introduce more money into the economy. So they can expand their balance sheet by purchasing assets. Unlike a company or governemnt, where I guess you would need to issue debt or equity to expand the balance sheet rather than just purchase it.
Frank (100 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Sorry didnt see your last question. Central banks can have equity. Here is the Bank of Canada's balance sheet:

http://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/statement_financial_position_311011.pdf
Invictus (240 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Over under on when Tolstoy comes into the thread?
This makes sense. Do you remember in the 90s and 2000s when Japan's interest rates had fallen so low? When they set target amounts of money in circulation did they control it in this same fashion?
Putin33 (111 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
I don't think the Fed is allowed to hold equity. I could be wrong.
Putin33 (111 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Yes, I think that's why the Fed now wants to do Credit Easing, because the QE in Japan is said to have not worked.
Frank (100 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
I don't know anything about Japan but most central banks either set targets for inflation or just targets for interest rates. Than they try to reach these targets through open market operations. I don't think the US has an explicit inflation target but Canada.
Frank (100 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
also in case anyone is interested, here is the fed's financial statements and balance sheet. it is kind of cool to look at:

http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/BSTcombinedfinstmt2010.pdf
Japan had set the target interest to zero and couldn't go lower so they reduced target money supplies, I believe. @Putin that makes sense, this thread is way educational.
Putin33 (111 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Duh on the equity thing. Forgot that the fed has tons of AIG shares.
fulhamish (4134 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
@Frank
also in case anyone is interested, here is the fed's financial statements and balance sheet. it is kind of cool to look at:

http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/BSTcombinedfinstmt2010.pdf

I see that it is audited by our friends at Deloitte & Touche LLP 555 12th St. N.W. Suite 500 Washington, DC 20004-1207 USA.

Weren’t they involved with these guys: Taylor, Bean & Whitaker Mortgage Corp. ("TB&W")? http://mobile.bloomberg.com/news/2011-09-26/deloitte-touche-sued-for-7-6-billion-in-taylor-bean-collapse.html

I believe that they also incorporated a significant segment of the Arthur Andersen train wreck. Incidentally despite senior partners ordering the shredding of Enron documents no one has been found to carry the can. Funny that!
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/2749202/Shred-Enron-papers-says-Andersen-memo.html

@Frank
also in case anyone is interested, here is the fed's financial statements and balance sheet. it is kind of cool to look at:

I wonder if you could direct me to the section of the accounts which lists the major shareholders of the organisation. I know that truth seeker/conspiracy/contrarian/sceptical theories abound on this point and it would be nice if the accounts could provide a definitive answer to this question. I believe that other company accounts routinely carry this information.
ulytau (541 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Bank of Japan issues money supply forecasts but they are not formal intermediate targets of monetary policy. That makes sense since the rigid monetarist rules for money supply (like Friedman's k-percent rule) ceased to work when the innovation in the financial sector loosened the relation between money supply and inflation rate. That was already a quarter century ago. It doesn't follow explicit inlfation targeting either though, just like FED. The difference is that FED has other issues to care about (employment) and so it makes sense to not commit too much to curtailing inflation whereas BoJ is much more independent and while it objects to inflation targeting as inflation nuttery, it is about as hawkish when it comes to economic stimuli as Bundesbank and its successor ECB. That's usually given as a reason why the QE didn't work in Japan, it was too small (mostly artificially inflated), late and weak-minded.
Frank (100 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
@largeham: Deloitte is one of the Big 4 accounting firms. They are all pretty respected but I'm sure they all have had scandals and mistakes in their pasts just because of the huge number of institutions they each audit.

Page 7 and 21 of that pdf discuss the ownership of the Fed ( note p: capital paid in). Basically, member banks (which are private) own shares of the regional feds, but these shares don't appreciate in value, can't be traded, etc. And Congress -- not the shareholding banks -- are the ones who oversee the bank. This link explains it pretty well: http://www.federalreserve.gov/faqs/about_14986.htm

For example, here is a list of the member banks for the Richmond Fed (one of the 12 branches)
http://www.richmondfed.org/banking/federal_reserve_membership/state_member_banks/index.cfm.
Frank (100 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
I meant @fulhamish, not @largeham. My bad.
Putin33 (111 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
I've never heard of this 'conspiracy' about the owners of the fed. It's pretty transparent. Guess I don't run around in crazypants circles enough.
fulhamish (4134 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
@ Frank I see from your link that:
''The stock may not be sold, traded, or pledged as security for a loan; dividends are, by law, 6 percent per year.''

So would you define the Fed as a for profit company?

Also, as the suspicion must be that there are several overlapping shareholdings in the 12 branches, shouldn't this be clarified with an overall statement of the eventual ownership of large shareholdings as would be the case with other audits? Surely such a transparant and clear statement would only serve to dispel damaging rumours. Maybe I have missed it, is it there?

On the large accountancy firms as long as the audit and commercial consulting functions overlap they will be prone/tempted to act in their own interests and not those of the wider community. In my view an auditing company should just perform that function for the client and nothing else. Powerful vested interests are at work here. In the UK we have a Labour MP who is particularly lucid on this and associated points:
http://political-cleanup.org/?p=4189

PFI, anti-competitive practices etc..etc...

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55 replies
Yellowjacket (835 D(B))
03 Dec 11 UTC
Why Not?
An idea of a way to retool replacements.
17 replies
Open
P-man (494 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
So I think I found a bug...
either that or I don't know the rules correctly...
gameID=73804
In Autumn 1908 I moved Pie-Ven via convoy. The convoy failed, yet the army still moved. Should this have happened?
20 replies
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Moderator (100 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
Test
Please feel free to disregard.

abge
2 replies
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Catsglove (199 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
breaking suport
Galacia suported Ukrain into Warsaw, while Warsaw attacked Galacia, it is my understanding that this should have prevented ukrain taking warsaw.but warsaw was taken as suport should have been broken.
1 reply
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jmo1121109 (3812 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Ghostratings...
Anyone have any updates about how soon we'll be able to see the new rankings? Thanks.
3 replies
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Mujus (1495 D(B))
02 Dec 11 UTC
Statesmen or Robbers?
I'd never heard of this reporter until today and was shocked by the video. Apparently he's a regular for the BBC and other British media. What does everyone think about the truth of this information??
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-8187301869971500776
15 replies
Open
abgemacht (1076 D(G))
01 Dec 11 UTC
The 10,000 Year Clock
Thoughts? A modern Wonder or a waste of time and money?

http://longnow.org/clock/
58 replies
Open
jmeyersd (4240 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
50CC-005-2 EOG
3 replies
Open
Haitian Revolution...
I've got a seminar on the Haitian revolution due next week. Anyone know anything about it?
5 replies
Open
Jacob (2466 D)
01 Dec 11 UTC
The Second-Largest Power
Many people have observed that the largest power becomes a target for alliances to take down. This makes the second-largest power a desirable position to hold as it often can become the winning power. Builds can be withheld or centers not taken in order to achieve this position. Discuss below.
17 replies
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AzygousWolf (100 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
is the enemy of my enemies enemy, my friend or my enemy...
What things do you to keep track of whats going on in a game, from a diplomacy perspective... to work out the likelihood someone is going to "stab" (a phrase I am becoming quickly accustom with) you a few turns in advance.

is it wise to have a separate word doc open to keep track of whats going on with each country?
8 replies
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fulhamish (4134 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Academic Publishing Scam
George Monibot has this to say: http://www.monbiot.com/2011/08/29/the-lairds-of-learning/. I thoroughly agree with him.
0 replies
Open
Thucydides (864 D(B))
02 Dec 11 UTC
Hi hi hi
How are you guys. What is happening blah blah blah

What is TC doing he is posting about smoking pot or someshit i dunno. Did anyone get banned etc. Can I have mod back now k thx
4 replies
Open
Tettleton's Chew (0 DX)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Pot makes driving safer
Here is a research article that is intriguing.
Medical Marijuana Laws, Traffic Fatalities, and Alcohol Consumption
by D. Mark Anderson, Daniel I. Rees (November 2011)
22 replies
Open
Invictus (240 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Favorite Whiskies
As suggested in the beer thread, post your whiskey recommendations here.
20 replies
Open
2ndWhiteLine (2611 D(B))
30 Nov 11 UTC
Favorite Beers
Post beer recommendations: national brands, regional craft beers, etc.
55 replies
Open
mr.crispy (0 DX)
01 Dec 11 UTC
Diplochatness
So I clicked my name today and noticed I talk a decent amount in diplomacy games but never thought I spoke this much. How many chat messages do YOU have under your belt?

Game messages: 4112
48 replies
Open
Tettleton's Chew (0 DX)
30 Nov 11 UTC
Job Creation
If you owned a company and someone said they would cut your costs to hire an employ for the next six months, but after that they would raise the costs tremendously why would you hire anyone based on a six month cut? This is exactly President Obama's payroll tax reduction plan.
18 replies
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Gobbledydook (1389 D(B))
02 Dec 11 UTC
The Gobbledydook Challenge V2
Hm I do not have any more active games.
Seeing there is a lack of quality games open...here goes.

Post here to indicate interest!
0 replies
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Geofram (130 D(B))
01 Dec 11 UTC
Anyone else notice?
http://webdiplomacy.net/rules.php
=)
29 replies
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Octavious (2701 D)
01 Dec 11 UTC
The UK Public Sector Strikes
Yesterday, so we are told, 2 million UK public sector workers sacrificed a day's pay and caused the rest of us great inconvenience in order to make a point. But I can't help feel they're missing a trick...
34 replies
Open
thatonekid (0 DX)
30 Nov 11 UTC
Is this going to get me in Trouble?
My brother(The Man Who Can't Be Moved) without my knowing, decided to joing some daily games that I was in without telling me, 2 of which I believe are Anonymous, this will not compromise how I play the game but it is certainly aggrivating that I could get banned when uses my Laptop, is there anyway I can avoid being under scrutany for this or should I simply avoid it in the future?
14 replies
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yebellz (729 D(G))
01 Dec 11 UTC
test thread
Blah
8 replies
Open
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