Okay, I reread almost all of Tom (stopped around D7 I think), and I was reminded of why I'd given him the pass for so long: he looks at things in-depth, does a lot of questioning and (though reading through just his posts I can't see if he avoided questions) didn't look like he was afraid to share his own thoughts as well. He's effectively been a model town member this game. If he's scum, he's done a good job, probably the best job I've ever seen a scum manage.
Prado, on the other hand, has made quite a few questionable argument, and, while his voting record appears rather solid, his statements themselves sound like someone who's got a plan/agenda. though I haven't finished rereading him).
Just on Day 1, for example, there's an interesting interaction where snowy calls Prado out on saying Snowy and Ghug can be scum together, while Ghug is voting and pushing snowy fairly hard. Prado, having just started a push his vote on Ghug, adamantly tells snowy that he's wrong, and scum can absolutely start pushes on each other early on D1.
Now, that's kind of putting the cart before the horse, and frankly more a funny story for after the game, should Prado actually be scum.
In the end, my feeling is that Tom's posting indicates to me he reasons his way through, then comes to a conclusion, while Prado has conclusions and sort of back-fills the reasoning as necessary.
Going out to lunch for a bit, will be back later.