F05: Very interesting turn of events. Some were to be expected but some were less expected but still sound decisions and we still have some people doing little to nothing and at this phase in the game, doing nothing means that you're expendable.
#1 Germany: You're either in a very good spot or in a very tight spot. The stab was effective but it was a shoe-in stab, and the only ends that should have been tied up along with the stab would be ensuring that you have other allies. Making the stab is great but if you're alone in the process, then your top spot is going to falter. On another bright side, Austria being out of the picture means that you have a little more cushion room. The biggest drawback of the stab is the impending loss of Belgium and in addition, if F and R are working together, you'll have to cover more of your border than you should be covering. For builds, I expect either an army in Munich (more likely) or a fleet in Kiel (less likely).
#3 Russia: Although you don't have the second most number of centers, you do have one of the best positions on the map. Depending on what happens in the coming season, you could be in a really great spot. You've got room to grow and will continue to do so as the game progresses. Next season will show some futures to come. I won't say more quite yet to prevent influencing some things but needless to say, your future looks bright. For builds, an army in Sevastopol makes a little sense but deferring a build seems to make a lot of sense as well.
#3 Italy: Again, this is a difficult idea to place you here. Many would argue that you should be controlling the second position on the map, and to some extent, I agree with that assessment. The biggest hangup I have is that with F and G no longer allies, you'll have to wonder about the affairs of the east. Serbia is absolutely undefended and Greece is not far off. Turkey has been lurking in the corner doing oddly nothing while Russia is on your backdoor. If things go well for you this season, then you're in a better spot than you are right now but if things go sour, you could be facing a similar situation as France. Granted, the strong F/G forced some movements along the lines you're in but once you agreed to take out Austria with Russia, it would have been better for you to take Budapest and see him into Vienna since it puts you closer to centers you control than anyone else. On another note, I love the movement ideas along the French border. If you didn't negotiate France leaving Tunis, then the way you out-thought your opponent and opt out of movement to the Western Med was excellant, and better yet, it was paired with a convoy to close all gaps. If it was agreed upon, it was still a great maneuver to cover your bases. Very nicely done.
#4 France: Although your position has decreased somewhat, I'm hesitant to put you at the fourth spot in the game. Some could argue that you're in the third, maybe second spot but I put you here because of the massive gaps you have in your defenses along your border and you still have to disband a unit during this year's build phase. Sure, Belgium could be an easy gain but then you have to deal with the question about his retreat location and what you do there. With PE on your side as your new TA, he should have some good guiding lights to help you increase your status, and you could be in a rather handsome spot in years to come. The stab, although painful, was not lethal and you should take it as a learning lesson to never let your guard down. There was no need to leave Edi and move to the NRG and even less reason to try for St Pete since it's way outside your bounds for reasonable gains and should have been left to Germany. After all, you did get the entire English Island out of the original deal, which is more than a vast majority of French players can claim under similar circumstances. With the deterioration of the F/G and the elimination of Austria, I'd certainly say that the east is in the "bargaining" position once again and new contracts can be drawn up between you and another player pretty easily. Always remember, in every game, someone out there wants to find growth through the territory of your enemies. You just need to determine who that is and what you can offer. For disbands, the Barents Sea is the most likely choice.
#5 Turkey: Still not entirely sure what you're doing back there. You look like a fish that swam toward the shore during high tide and was left there on the banks once the tide receded just biding your time flopping around. There are opportunities to be had and it's about time to begin to figure out where you're going. If you don't do something, then as I stated before, you're expendable.
Things to look for:
The next phase of the game depends on what Russia, Italy and Turkey are going to be doing. If the east remains cohesive and focuses on attacking the west, then I'd say we have our 3-way draw pointed out for us unless someone attempts to gun for the solo. If the east breaks apart like the west did, then new cooperative groups will form with new lines of attack. I don't really think that the east is going to remain as it is because Turkey can only sit so long and do nothing. He's either going to be eliminated because he's expendable, or he's going to join the offensive and start attacking the back of one of his allies.