^ +1 sleeps in. Also lets take a quick look at 'freedom of speech' - it shall not be infringed by the government. That means there should he no law which allows the arrest of people for their speech. It doesn't mean (for example) we have to listen to the ideas of the likes of Milo, or invite them to speak at a Universty. Doesn't mean we have to offer anyone a platform. In fact it specifically means students should be allowed protest is a speaker comes to their university espousing a message of hate. That is the students freedom of speech, and if it means someone is banned from talking at that university, it means the their protest was effective.
Eg: washingtontimes.com/news/2016/jul/7/milo-yiannopoulos-banned-from-depaul-university-fo/

oh wait, he might still have me muted

Todays latest polling data. Alleged fallout from new email scandals has not effected the general election totals as much as the media is sensationalizing.

State by state little has changed at all, leading me to wonder if voters actually care about the emails, (hint: the numbers show they dont).

Virginia - Clinton +6 (washington post)
Virginia - Clinton +4 (Emerson)

Pennsylvania - Was only +2 for Hillary yesterday, opens today at +11 Hillary (Frankin&Marshall)

ABC News has Trump only +1, and there isnt likely to be any further boost to the latest numbers unless Hillary literally is found guilty, or She morphs into a Marilith Demon and devours the entire state of Florida.

Another ABC News/Washington Post sample has Trump +1 in the general.

LA Times has Trump +4 in the general. (could be true but seems to be the outlier among the polls)

Rasmussen a very GOP biased poll has Trump - Hillary in a tie.

I doubt Clinton would even be indicted until after the election.

@orathaic

Hahahaha you misunderstand. even his band from TWITTER he said: It's their right, they're a private company, but they pretend like they're a free speech platform and they're not.

Actively censoring unpopular opinions, is no free speech, but I don't blame you. I don't watch much MSNBC, and that's my choice. Same for Breitbart.

but it's not

". It doesn't mean (for example) we have to listen to the ideas of the likes of Milo, or invite them to speak at a University."

like you said


it was a group of kids pulling a fire alarm on one occasion, and on others, literally blocking the entrance for HOURS. The kids have NO RIGHT to determine who the UNIVERSITY CHOOSES as a speaker.

but instead of: ignoring them, NOT GOING TO THE ASSEMBLY, being decent people:

they were pissed off little fruitcakes.


don't get me wrong, much of the alt right can be vile too, but blocking speakers is MUCH more common with liberal students

I'm fine with a protest, that's civil disobedience:

but their methods, have been as morally upholding as BLM

NBC News reporting that Clinton leads by 6 points, again this much like the LA Times poll seems to be the outlier.

More interesting when asked if the FBI announcement mattered to the voter at all 55% said it was important, 44% said it was a distraction from the issues. But only 30% or less of those questioned from both groups said they would be voting on that issue.

Both Bill and Hillary campaigning in Florida, will be interesting to see what impact her presence there has to the current numbers as of tomorrow and into the week.

Analysts stating that early voting has pretty much sealed Trumps fate in Nevada, Colorado, and Virginia where the majority of votes show Hillary winning by larger margins than are being forecasted in the national polling numbers.

24 million people have already voted.

(nydailynews - source)

From the book "Personality Politics? The Role of Leader Evaluations in Democratic Elections" (2014) :

"The chapter by Amanda Bittner makes a very strong case for the fact that leader traits derive from perceptions about partisan stereotypes...It provides very strong evidence that electors find that Conservative leaders are rated more positively on the competence dimension and Left leaders are rated more positively on the character dimension. What is more important, these differences remain significant, even when controlling for the party identification of the elector...Do voters infer character traits from political traits or vice versa? The answer is in line with Bittner’s findings. Namely, Huber finds that voters infer character traits from their political positions, but not vice versa...Thus, these results suggest that judgements on character traits have a political basis"

So why should we expect simple problems like 'emails' or 'sexual harassment' to have any real impact on voting? Sure, in polls, everybody seems to hate both candidates. But a lot of voters feel they have no choice, they need to vote to advance their party. The character of a candidate can matter a lot in many cases, but the sad fact is that for all of the chaos from this election, people don't evaluate our presidents rationally. We don't approach every election with a clear mind, free from biases. We rely, almost intentionally, on our partisan approaches for nearly everything. And for that reason alone, I can confidently say Trump never had a fucking chance this election. Obama's approval rating skyrocketed this past year; for all the rhetoric and bullshit of this election cycle, Americans are satisfied with the status quo.

@orthaic. Securities fraud. See, e.g., securities Act of 1933. There are a ton of options a good prosecutor could have used.

I'd imagine the latest email nontroversy might end up helping Clinton, if only because it is yet another substanceless accusation that makes the Republicans look like lying idiots. Combining it with the stories of the dedicated Trump server talking to a Moscow bank on a super secure line and the NYT revelations that Trump looks to have violated tax law on a massive scale, and it gets even clearer that Comey is just another stupid witchhunter.

@sleepsinallday
Actually, the two drivers of the generic Republican v Democrat in this cycle were always going to be the economy and Obama's approval numbers. Both have been very solid for the Democrats most of this year.

I'm legitimately curious if and how all these late-October revelations hurt Clinton.

Obamacare premiums spiking 25%, CNN person leaking the questions to Clinton for the debate, and now the Comey email letter. All combined with *relative* quiet from the Trump side.

Gonna be interesting.

http://www.270towin.com/maps/8XApJ

Worst case scenario for Hillary still has her winning. (Losing Fla and NC)

Well so far Chaqa it hasnt really impacted things at all. Trump got a boost in the general but not in swing states. Tells you less than 30% of voters care about that.

I don't know. Nevada, Colorado, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania are all still *somewhat* competitive. If Trump were to flip even one of them, things could start to happen.

At this point it's hard to tell. The polling is a bit crazy late in the race.

Even if Clinton does win, which seems more likely than not, I think her latest issues will probably tip the House and Senate back towards Republicans.

In PA here there's a TON of ads for the McGinty-Toomey race. I'm not the biggest fan of Pat Toomey, but he's going to get my vote just so the Democrats don't get the Senate back.

With regards to the premiums, if congress had devised a plan in the last 7 years other than repeal, I gotta imagine this would have been fixed ages ago.

I think the blame lies in the people who lied about Obamacare to begin with.

"You'll be able to keep your doctors. Your premiums won't go up."

Bold-faced lyin Obama

Typically true Chaqa. Usually voters split their tickets. Missouri is expecting Kander to upset Roy Blunt. But Missouri is solidly going for Trump by +11

And now idiots are going to elect Clinton, even more corrupt and pockets lined with corporate money... lol

Im not a fan of Obamacare. I want fully socialiazed single payer healthcare at any cost. Even a 60% tax rate. Free weed, free meds, all that shit

I want us to have the cheapest healthcare on the planet with no out of pocket cost.

If you're paying a 60% tax rate, it's not the cheapest, brain.

Perhaps yer right

The incentive to leave this country grows every year I hear,about quality of life in scandinavia. Sigh. I have my family tho. And my honda accord.

EARLY VOTING: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/11/01/early-voters-predict-who-wins-this-is-good-news-for-democrats/

"Since people’s actual votes are secret, these predictions are generally based on the number of registered Democrats and Republicans who have voted early. But how well does the early vote actually predict election outcomes?"


JUST LIKE THE FRAUDULENT MEDIA POLLING DATA....the predictions of ":Candidate X is winning becuse we know the early voting results is COMPLETE AND UTTER BULLSHIT.

In Nevada 30,000 more democrats registered to vote and did so already. Registered Democrats wont be voting Trump.