I just want to point the irony of this:
When it comes to debating creationists, atheists will assert the claim that there is a high probability of life forming when the planet meets all suitable conditions.
However suddenly when it comes to arguing about alien life, you guys are saying the probability is near 0.
Either you have to accept that the creationists are right and that life shouldn't exist on earth without the help of a creator, or you have to accept that there is alien life somewhere out there in the universe. There is no in between without creating a contradictory and hypocritical argument.
The arguments used by evolutionists to describe how single cell life originated on this planet is directly applied here, except rather then using one planet as our sample the far larger (~500000000000000000000000>1) number of planets in our universe will be used.
You can't have it both ways, and remember we know of at least one case where life was formed on a planet, and we estimate that first instances of life on earth started within the first 600 million years after earth met most of the required conditions for life to form, which given that we estimate the earth will be a habitable planet for the next 5 billion years (unless us humans destroy the planet first), that means of the ~9 billion years the earth should exist as a habitable planet, it took less then 1/15th of that for life to form on this planet. The point is remember, if life formed on earth 100 millions years earlier, we still would have had a strong chance of evolving into intelligent life. If we assume it takes an average of 3.9 billion years for life to evolve into intelligent life (as our sample size of 1 gives us that), then the first instances of life on earth could have formed 1 billion years from now and we'd still have a good chance of evolving into intelligent life.
Thats my point, a planet that meets the necessary conditions for life has a far greater chance then a billion to 1, and as I said before, given enough time, a planet that meets the conditions to create life will create life. This is a statistical certainty:
http://evolutionfaq.com/articles/probability-life
The question is then how many planets out there meet all of the conditions required to contain life. Of course we don't know the answer to that, but there is no way you can claim to me that the answer is 0, as we know of at least one example (earth).
My point is since we know the odds of life forming out there have to be high enough so that life can form, the odds are insanely high that there is other life out there.