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A place to discuss topics/games with other webDiplomacy players.
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gf6455 (100 D)
17 Oct 11 UTC
Only cool people are allowed to join this game...
gameID=70152 Just kidding
1 reply
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Ges (292 D)
17 Oct 11 UTC
EOG: With Marshmallows!
Dear fellow players: Let me apologize for my lousy play as France. Italy, you took advantage of the situation well, but that was one of the sloppiest outings I've had on the site. Best to all in the future.
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gf6455 (100 D)
17 Oct 11 UTC
ONE MORE PLAYER!!!!!!
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redhouse1938 (429 D)
17 Oct 11 UTC
I'm an idiot and I don't know the rules
Hi folks,
The situation I want to discuss follows
8 replies
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Who knows anything about the human heart?
My fiance's father has had two heart attacks in the past month. He is 58 and lived in Paris for most of his life (he moved out north of Marseilles to the country 3 years ago). He is not overweight or underweight; and resists smoking. I am having to drive back and forth every weekend (about 1100 km or 700 miles) for her to visit him. What are his chances for survival? Can he get better?
5 replies
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gf6455 (100 D)
17 Oct 11 UTC
Need 2 more players. Standard game.
0 replies
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Mr. V (0 DX)
16 Oct 11 UTC
Raising taxes on the rich
I was reading the forums and I am displeased by how many people think taxes should be raised on the rich. What an outrageous idea! It is the rich who create jobs that fuel the economy. In fact, last year alone my company made over 100 new jobs. If the rich have their taxes raised, even more jobs will be lost.
91 replies
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Mr. V (0 DX)
16 Oct 11 UTC
Buying this site
I have been looking around this site and it seems like it is a well made site. I have bought websites in the past and this seems like a worthy one. Would the current site owner contact me on how much he/she would charge for the ownership of the site.
66 replies
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SuperSteve (894 D)
17 Oct 11 UTC
Does cancelling a game make it impossible for a mod to investigate cheating?
If I were to cancel a game, would that make it impossible for a mod to investigate cheating in the game?
2 replies
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SuperSteve (894 D)
17 Oct 11 UTC
Locating a mod
Why am I so stupid I can't figure it out? I have what I think is a pretty obvious example of cheating and know enough not to accuse anyone on the forum... but even after checking the FAQ I can't figure out how to find a mod.
5 replies
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Yonni (136 D(S))
16 Oct 11 UTC
Gunboat practice EOG
2 replies
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stratagos (3269 D(S))
17 Oct 11 UTC
Pork from a feminist's perspective
What to vegan feminists think about bacon? Tasty, taste bacon... mmmmm....
3 replies
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Diplomat33 (243 D(B))
11 Oct 11 UTC
Well its time to come clean. Im actually a multi of MadMarx.
Sorry, but i cant go on any longer. Plus MadMarx is a better account anyway. :)
37 replies
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hellalt (24 D)
16 Oct 11 UTC
ABI-36
who's in charge of that?
I would like to join it so send me the pass if you want.
2 replies
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P8er Jackson (0 DX)
17 Oct 11 UTC
good game
http://webdiplomacy.net/board.php?gameID=70169
0 replies
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Thucydides (864 D(B))
16 Oct 11 UTC
I need a sitter
Hey guys. One week from today I will be leaving Dakar for a six week internship in a rural area in Senegal, without any reliable internet access.
6 replies
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MadMarx (36299 D(G))
15 Oct 11 UTC
How to increase your GR, for those of you interested.
Two ways immediately come to mind.
4 replies
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acmac10 (120 D(B))
16 Oct 11 UTC
Inflation in GR?
Does your GR naturally rise over time? Given the statement that you supposedly improve each game you play for each experience, if you are in the top 300 now, is it natural to fall within the, say, top 150 6 months from now?
0 replies
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Yellowjacket (835 D(B))
14 Oct 11 UTC
Draw vs point gain survive
Clearly, in WTA, the draw is superior. But what about in PPSC? Would you rather draw for 1/4 the stack, or take a survive for 1/3 of it? I tend to chose the second option so far, because that will maximize my points, and GR I believe.

Are there those who disagree? Do some people believe that anything less than a draw is a loss, even if it's worth more points/GR, and are these the same people that refuse to play PPSC?
35 replies
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redhouse1938 (429 D)
11 Oct 11 UTC
The State of Science
Dear All,
I believe we have in our midst some people well-inversed in the exact sciences? I wanted to start a little debate, but everybody's included.
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redhouse1938 (429 D)
11 Oct 11 UTC
Thucy, your dad is obviously a man of ideas. Nobel Prizes, father and son pizza outings, make sure you pay attention there.
No I don't think it's Beta I'm talking about, it's A, also on the wiki on the Arrhenius equation.
Never mind that and back to the question though: (see 4:20PM GMT post)
abgemacht (1076 D(G))
11 Oct 11 UTC
@red

I think I address that question in a subsequent post. If not, I can elaborate.
redhouse1938 (429 D)
11 Oct 11 UTC
@ab, by all means elaborate.
abgemacht (1076 D(G))
11 Oct 11 UTC
Let's look an example.

Say I'm a circuit designer. I have a good understanding of circuits, but I'm designing something very complicated. In the past, I would have no choice but to build the circuit as best I could and run tests. If it was wrong, I may need to rebuild the whole circuit. This takes time and money.

Today, I can model my circuit with CAD. Each part, it's true, have been modeled using experimental tests, but *my* circuit hasn't. I can build my circuit, test it (much easier with CAD than on a breadboard, btw) and see if it works. If not, I make changes (for free because I'm not using parts) and then test again. When it looks like it works, I'll make an actual prototype to confirm, but I've saved myself a lot of time and money.
fulhamish (4134 D)
11 Oct 11 UTC
' abge
I didn't say that modelling was ''useless''. I do, however, say that it is (should be) an adjunct to experimental science, rather than the other way round. In my field modellers have insisted that the physical evidence is wrong when it stares them in the face, because it doesn't conform to the model.
You are right, however, to state that it is considerably cheaper and thus much more popular with the powers that be. See also virtual field trips, virtual microscope and similar 'cheap' abominations. There is a real danger that much vital accumulated practical skill and knowledge will be lost to the next generation.
abgemacht (1076 D(G))
11 Oct 11 UTC
@ful

What is your field?

I think we agree, though. We should be using both.
redhouse1938 (429 D)
11 Oct 11 UTC
@abgemacht
I think that's an example from engineering and not science, but I catch your drift.
One thing I think is important is that both the experimentalist and the modeler be very precise in what the assumptions and inaccuracies are.
The world "model" says it: you're taking away things from reality to make reality simpler, but not necessarily more accurate. Which simplifications cause the deviations from the experimental result.
The same goes for the experimentalist: how often did you repeat an experiment before the value you obtained was calculated / determined. What is the spread in your results?
Then the two I think can communicate, otherwise it's just both people pushing their visions. You'd be the Tettleton of science. It could be dangerous.
abgemacht (1076 D(G))
11 Oct 11 UTC
@ful

And, in my example, of course if my prototype doesn't work when my model did I either:

1) Built it wrong
2) Have the wrong model

That problem would need to be addressed.
abgemacht (1076 D(G))
11 Oct 11 UTC
Yes, an engineering example was most readily available to me, as I'm an engineer. But, I think the point still stands.

I agree that models include simplifications, but if you're careful about the simplifications you use, it shouldn't be an issue. In fact, it's sometimes better because in experiments you can't always completely eliminate extraneous noise, but in a model you can. For instance, the Schrodinger equation can be modeled very well, but it is often a pain to make measurements without introducing error.

And of course, like anything else, communication is the key to science.
redhouse1938 (429 D)
11 Oct 11 UTC
PS I totally agree with fulhamish by the way. You model an experiment, not the other way around.
abgemacht (1076 D(G))
11 Oct 11 UTC
Yes, but what is the point of modeling an experiment if you never do anything with that model?
abgemacht (1076 D(G))
11 Oct 11 UTC
OK, here's a example straight out of science:

While searching for the Higgs boson, experimentalists didn't just look throughout the entire universe. They took what they knew, made models and narrowed down the search. Then, they performed experiments. Turns out the models were wrong, but it's still better than randomly searching, no?
The Situation (100 D)
11 Oct 11 UTC
Oh my goodness, a dream come true. Background: prospective physics/music double major in undergrad pursuing a pre-med course of action.
Addressing the topic of computational modeling: The problem lies in that computational modeling relies heavily on human understanding. If there's a slight flaw in the theory, then the data would be wrong (of course). Now take experimentation. Experimentational results are not determined by understanding. Experimentation will always yield the correct results. Not necessarily the intended results, but accurate nonetheless. If at all possible, I think experimentation should always be the choice over computational modeling.
abgemacht (1076 D(G))
11 Oct 11 UTC
@Situation

That could not be more wrong. Experiments require a high level of understanding. Why? Because if you don't understand what you're doing, you're not going to test for it correctly!
redhouse1938 (429 D)
11 Oct 11 UTC
@The Situation
I love the contrast between your nickname and your background, you really caught me off guard there
fulhamish (4134 D)
11 Oct 11 UTC
@ abge. No one said that you should set up an experiment without paying attention to your sampling methodology! :-)
In fact that is the first thing I look for when reading a paper. What effort have these guys made to ensure that their sample reflects the real world (i.e., population)?
abgemacht (1076 D(G))
11 Oct 11 UTC
@ful

What? I don't understand how that relates to what I said about the Higgs boson.
redhouse1938 (429 D)
11 Oct 11 UTC
@abgemacht I believe The Situation (I can't even type that without laughing) is right, within the context of the experiment itself that is. If you measured the speed of light at a little more or less than 3E8 m per second, you obviously made a mistake. But if the dial is where it is, it is the correct outcome of an experiment. A flawed one, but an experiment nonetheless.
The same goes for models, but the difference is that once you control the experiment, you know the correct value. Even if you control the model, your value could still be wrong. (Been there by the way)
fulhamish (4134 D)
11 Oct 11 UTC
@ abge Experiments require a high level of understanding.

Surely over methodology? Heck if they understood the results and discussion before doing the experiment what would be the point? Situation is absolutely correct.
abgemacht (1076 D(G))
11 Oct 11 UTC
@red Performing the wrong experiment is a waste of time. Yeah, I can measure something uncalibrated, but it gives me no information at best and at worst it confuses me into thinking the wrong thing. If I had modeled the test before hand, I would realize me results was completely wrong, and that may help me debug the problem.

@ful

How do you determine where to search for Higgs Boson without modeling? There's no other way.

The point to modeling is that you can use the results of a simple experiment to give you approximations to the results of a complicated experiment. You can then use those results as justification for performing an expensive and complicated experiment.
fulhamish (4134 D)
11 Oct 11 UTC
I think that you guys are mostly younger than me. I would only advise that when your colleges/supervisors keep recommending modelling over experimentation there may well be other motivations than those based on pure scientific research at work. Calling a spade a dirty great shovel I mean finance! More is the pity because this is a very short-sighted view and in my view is the main ''problem'' with science, as raised in this thread.
The Situation (100 D)
11 Oct 11 UTC
Yeah... For those of you wondering, my name is referring to a character in the Jersey Shore. But I assure you I am not an accurate representation of that character.

Anyhow, to the topic at hand. Experimentation merely requires that you be able to interpret the results. (I suppose the word "merely" may not be a good choice to use). However, computational modeling requires that you have a flawless grasp of the theory. Indeed experimentation requires understanding, I'm just saying that computational modeling requires far more.
But I do agree that perhaps computational modeling may be used for guiding the experiments.
abgemacht (1076 D(G))
11 Oct 11 UTC
@ful

Again, what is your field?
Yonni (136 D(S))
11 Oct 11 UTC
An interesting area in computer modeling is monte-carlo simulations.

In reactor physics, many of the variables are known with quite a high degree of precision so MC simulations are very useful in areas where experimentation is impractical.

In general, I have seen a push to move to first principal simulations that don't rely on experimental correlations. As computers get bigger and better these sort of programs will help bridge the perceived gap between physical experiments and computer simulations.
The Situation (100 D)
11 Oct 11 UTC
Wow, every time I type a response, a few of you post while I type. Performing the wrong experiment still yields accurate data. It's the interpretation that would be inaccurate. At that point, it is indeed whether you understand the experiment or not. Modeling, however, will yield inaccurate data.
abgemacht (1076 D(G))
11 Oct 11 UTC
@Situation

In order to perform a useful experiment, you need to understand *how* to test for it. Being able to interpret results is not all that is important.

And, even if modeling requires a perfect understanding of theory, so what? Aren't we after knowledge. Shouldn't we be aiming towards a perfect understanding of theory?
fulhamish (4134 D)
11 Oct 11 UTC
@ abge
How do you determine where to search for Higgs Boson without modeling? There's no other way.

I do not think that anyone is saying modeling has no place are they?

However, using your H-B example that particular modelling required experimentally determined data inputs and the results of the modelling were subjected to experimental testing (as I understand it). It surely makes the case for preeminence of experimental work better than anything else so far raised?
The Situation (100 D)
11 Oct 11 UTC
@Abge. Interpreting the results is typically understanding the factors that lead to them. This is where multiple experiments comes in hand. When you vary different factors, and observe the results, the intended information becomes much easier to extrapolate (correct use of the word? Idunno...).
The problem with requiring a perfect understanding of theory is that you must take into account all factors (I suppose excluding negligible factors such as relativity with regards to macroscopic kinematics) before the model is useful. How would you be able to determine whether you have all the factors taken into account?
redhouse1938 (429 D)
11 Oct 11 UTC
Yeah and we're drifting off topic a bit too (at least, from the topic as I intended it :) ). I guess we can all agree that accurate models are needed to fit to accurate experiments.

So, let me rephrase a debating topic and see if anybody has anything to say about this:

***Compared to say ten, twenty years ago, have there been any fundamental differences in the way experimental and theoretical results were checked against each other? If confidence in results has shifted from experimental to theoretical results, what does that say about the State of Science? Is it a desirable development?
Subquestion: Is a Monte Carlo simulation a good compromise between doing an experiment and a calculation, or is it a third method that can operate indepedently from the two?***
fulhamish (4134 D)
11 Oct 11 UTC
I think someone mentioned they were a chemist? There are multitudes of modelling tools available for thermodynamics, but very few for kinetics in comparison. Why the disparity? The truthful answer is that thermodynamics is so much easier to model, but does that mean it can report the real world (population) to the exclusion of kinetics? Or is there something very wrong with the sampling methodology at work here?

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161 replies
goldfinger0303 (3157 DMod)
16 Oct 11 UTC
NFL Week 6 Pick'em
Obi dropped the ball this week, so I'll put it up. Sorry to have just realized it this late everyone. Hopefully you all get to put in your choices before the games start
3 replies
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hellalt (24 D)
15 Oct 11 UTC
Gunboats are Diplomacy
gameID=67285
that was a god gunboat. congrats turkey.
9 replies
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hellalt (24 D)
04 Oct 11 UTC
good opponents anywhere?
I want to play a high pot game with players who are very good at tactics and do not care about manners. anyone?
69 replies
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Yeoman (100 D)
14 Oct 11 UTC
I am heartbroken
And the way I'm heartbroken builds my future.
74 replies
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Pantera (0 DX)
14 Oct 11 UTC
Rhetorical Questions
Why does country music make me wanna punch a baby in the face? Why does Ford build a 4-cylinder Mustang? Why does most/all nun porn come out of Italy? Speaking of porn...What is up with Russia and rape/incest porn? What is up with Germany and pissing/bukkake porn? Why did I start this thread?

Please pile on with you own rhetorical questions, please. I need a good laugh.
29 replies
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urallLESBlANS (0 DX)
15 Oct 11 UTC
World map needs new player.
Surprisingly the Quebec leaves, then USA and then the strongest player in the game who gained so much from both of those CDs, Western Canada. Its almost pathetic. gameID=68464
0 replies
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SantaClausowitz (360 D)
14 Oct 11 UTC
Uganda Deployment
Now don't get me wrong, the LRA are some nasty fuckers and I doubt anyone on the forum who is familiar with their handywork sympathizes with them, but why this deployment and more importantly why now? Am I missing something?
14 replies
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redhouse1938 (429 D)
14 Oct 11 UTC
On the beautiful game of Diplomacy #3
Hey guys,
I'll defend the following position in this thread:
19 replies
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Tolstoy (1962 D)
14 Oct 11 UTC
How do you clear the Unread Messages icon in a gunboat game?
This is driving me crazy.
The messages are from mods letting people know about players who got banned (I just took over one of them).
10 replies
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montgomery2 (100 D)
15 Oct 11 UTC
How about that Gunboat
Question: In a "No chat, Anonymous" game, is it acceptable that one player is seen to be supporting another and, if so, how are they communicating??
4 replies
Open
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