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A place to discuss topics/games with other webDiplomacy players.
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obiwanobiwan (248 D)
03 Oct 13 UTC
NFL Week 5: Pick 'em--Wherein, Hey, There Are Actually a Lot of Good/Interesting Games!
So we kick off the week tonight with a game which looked like crap at the beginning of the year and now...looks slightly less like crap with the Bills and Browns going at it. Seattle meets Indy, the Niners and Texans square off on Sunday Night, the Raiders and Chargers play a LATER Sunday Night game no one outside California will watch, Pats/Bengals, Lions/Packers, and so on...so, once again, we ask you to...PICK 'EM!
56 replies
Open
krellin (80 DX)
02 Oct 13 UTC
(+4)
Federal Education Spending
We'll starting cutting the budget here...No more Dept of "Education"

http://www.cato.org/blog/should-americas-ceos-listen-ed-sec-arne-duncan?utm_content=buffer44265&utm_source=buffer&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Buffer
339 replies
Open
Hamilton Brian (811 D(B))
07 Oct 13 UTC
Openings for a learning game
I enjoyed both the School of War and Dojo of War experiences this summer. Doing both at the same time was idiocy on my part, and I still owe an EoG for Dojo. However, the amount of learning was good, and humbling. I am proposing another learning game.
3 replies
Open
steephie22 (182 D(S))
05 Oct 13 UTC
Best way to make more money out of money?
So there's a bunch of money I'm not planning to spend for at least 2 years. Can I best keep it on a bank account as usual or are there more lucrative options that have about the same risk level as a bank account (practically none, since in this case the government returns the money if the bank goes boom)?
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blankflag (0 DX)
06 Oct 13 UTC
i left so i did not answer. i do not know about holland, but goldfingers suggestion is maybe ok. there is nothing nice about 4% however, you will be losing money to inflation. but in two years there is nothing much you can do. but yes, if the inflation gets really high, which it can, then these can be one of the riskiest options. those people who bought american bonds for their retirements a few years ago are totally screwed. they got a few percent interest while the cost of living has something like doubled. but i guess it beats those who put their money into small businesses, they got wiped out.

maybe your money already is in something like bonds...

but yeah, you could lend money to a safe government or a safe company. but those will not have high returns. you only get high returns if you are lending to some piece of crap like a company on the verge of bankruptcy or greece or something.

gold is risky. properties are risky. basically anything that i would think makes sense long term is risky and may not make sense if you are only looking at 2 years. but i would not buy paper gold either way. risky both for the price of gold and the potential for an inability to fulfill the contract.
steephie22 (182 D(S))
06 Oct 13 UTC
Inflation is 2.89% here. I would still earn with 4% interest. And even if I wouldn't higher interest is better, right?

Even if you were right, I'd still rather have 4% than 1.something%.

So is there a catch to the government bonds? I'm having trouble finding the actual interest you get on them right now.
Putin33 (111 D)
06 Oct 13 UTC
(+1)
Investing is for blood suckers.
Draugnar (0 DX)
06 Oct 13 UTC
And now we hear from the fucking communist shit sucker.

Steephie - If local CDs (I was forgetting you weren't in the US) aren't making as much then don't use them. But as has been pointed out, you aren't going to make 20% and you aren't even going to make more than 5% if you don't take risks. Great reward requires great risk. The best way to reduce that risk is with research and knowledge.
steephie22 (182 D(S))
06 Oct 13 UTC
I know. I don't expect 20%. I don't expect 5%. I was just using that to explain how cautious I am.

I'm just looking for something above, like, 2.0%.

So any catches to government bonds? Anyone? Or confirm there aren't any? Elaborate on the topic?
Sleepcap (100 D)
06 Oct 13 UTC
The most important thing is not to spend your money.
If you make 4% of $1000 it's just $40 a year. You can earn this money just by buying a computer game on sale instead of release or do some hours extra-work.
The more important part is the $1000 you already have...
(Just to put this in perspective.)
krellin (80 DX)
06 Oct 13 UTC
I'm happier than shit at my leveraged 3X S&P 500 fund and leveraged 3X tech fund. (SOXL and SPXL) - doing insanely well and making me money hand over fist. <wipes the bloody smears off my face....licks my fingers...)

Steephie, if you don't know how to/what to invest in, your best option is to choose an indexed fund. The funds I refernced above are leveraged funds - meaning they are intended to perform at 3 times the performance of the index they track...meaning higher risk/higher reward.

Typically under a dead-locked split government, stock market does OK, because businesses know there are no radical changes coming -- so putting your money in a fund that track the S&P 500 is a good safe bet to make more than the pitiful interest you will make in a bank. If you are outside the US and can't invest in US funds for some reason, there are probably comparable tools available to you.
Draugnar (0 DX)
06 Oct 13 UTC
You can actually buy annuities that are longer term and give better interest rates. We have one on a fixed rate that is paying 5.75%. Of course it was bought in a better market, but look around for annuities. They are zero risk.
Draugnar (0 DX)
06 Oct 13 UTC
Bonds versus stock market...

When bonds do well, stocks do poorly and vice versa, at least with US bonds. Right now the bond market is slowing because the stock market is improving so it is tile to get out of bonds and convert them to stocks.
krellin (80 DX)
06 Oct 13 UTC
Draug -- The only problem with the annuity for his situation is the likely minimum investment amount, and the fact that he will have zero access to the money if he needs it. Plus, he's going to get, what, maybe 4 to 5%? I would be *shocked* if he can't get that much in the S&P overt the next 2 years.

Look at the 3 Y chart for the S&P 500 - it's a damned ski slope!!

http://investing.money.msn.com/investments/charts?symbol=$US:SPX#{%22zRange%22:%227%22,%22startDate%22:%222010-10-6%22,%22endDate%22:%222013-10-6%22,%22chartStyle%22:%22mountain%22,%22chartCursor%22:%221%22,%22scaleType%22:%220%22,%22yaxisAlign%22:%22right%22,%22mode%22:%22pan%22}

krellin (80 DX)
06 Oct 13 UTC
The Fed has also recently announced that their QE program has esentially no end in site - stock market loves this. Plus, as stated before, under gridlock we have no reasonable expectation of radical tax changes. The market have already absorbed and adjusted to new employment levels and corporations are profitable. Barring Obamacare truly fucking up the economy or another majotr Mid-East war (doubtful), stock should continue to do well through the rest of Obama's presidency - just my prediction...I am not a certified advisor. :)

And then, come 2016 when we finally get a free-market conservative capitalist in the White House, and we *truly* unleash the power of a pent up market....whooo boy...!
Draugnar (0 DX)
06 Oct 13 UTC
Actually, the annuity we have grants us access by checkbook to the funds in a minimum of $250 withdrawals. But yes, the initial deposit was 50k minimum and they don't allow us to deposit more in now that it is in effect unless it is at least 50k as well.
Draugnar (0 DX)
06 Oct 13 UTC
And he said no risk. I can't speak to what is available where he lives, but the annuity is guaranteed by the FDIC/FSLIC. Zero risk.
krellin (80 DX)
06 Oct 13 UTC
Ah - I used to have a GMAC Demand Note acount which worked in a similar way. Min balance requirement, minimum check ($250 as well), and gave a rate that was probably about 2% above prime at the time. Was good as a savings account, but I still wouldn't use it as a primary investment tool - more of a "this is where I keep emergency funds" account.

Seems finding anything with a decent fixed rate of return is damned near impossible these days unless you have fat cash to invest.
krellin (80 DX)
06 Oct 13 UTC
NO risk? Yeah, I ignored that. If he wants to make money with no risk, then he's just another communist. No risk doesn't exist in making money.

Even your annuity has risk -- if you lock your money in to an annuity and the economy tanks and interst rates and inflation sky-rocket, you can effectively lose money in an annuity. Yes - the risks are much more minimized, but they are there.

That why, again, I referenced the S&P 500 -- you can find a no-load mutual fund, out your money in and only marginally keep an eye on it for a couple years. He'll make money that way -- I think there is a very small risk of the S&P losing money over a 2 year period.
Draugnar (0 DX)
06 Oct 13 UTC
Assuming terrorists don't fly airplanes into major buildings.
krellin (80 DX)
06 Oct 13 UTC
Yes, I am making such an assumption. I'm also assuming that the Democrats will not capture the House in 2014. If that happens, all bets are off and we're all fucked.
Draugnar (0 DX)
06 Oct 13 UTC
They do and I immediately convert back to bonds.ay as well get something for paying 50% in taxes.
@steephie - with a government bond, the only risk is that the government will default on the loan. And with something from the ECB or the Netherlands, that won't happen. Even Spanish bonds are fairly safe now, if you're only looking at a two year time period.

Just don't put it in the stock market. I'm pulling my investments out right now (as are many institutional investors) because I expect a 20% correction in the next 6 months.
Draugnar (0 DX)
06 Oct 13 UTC
And the bonds are great if that 20% correction as it will just drive the bonds up.
Well, it would drive the price of bonds up, Draug, which means the yields would go down.
Draugnar (0 DX)
06 Oct 13 UTC
You can trade in bonds, not just buy them and hold them till they reach maturity.
That's true. I just don't know if steephie would be willing to do that.
Maniac (189 D(B))
07 Oct 13 UTC
Steephie - how about this 300 year old chinese vase for 124 Euros?

http://www.ebay.nl/itm/Antique-Chinese-handpainted-Kangxi-Century-Roling-vase-Signed-/131008364194?pt=LH_DefaultDomain_146&hash=item1e80b4fea2

There has to be a profit here suely...
steephie22 (182 D(S))
07 Oct 13 UTC
Lot to digest here...

So...

As for the risk of annuity due to inflation: first of all: I will probably not put all my money into anything. Second, if there's, like, 6% inflation, I would still be hesitant to invest in something risky instead of save. 3rd, aren't there also unnuities that take inflation into account? So basically give you back the same value at the end including interest, so with a lot of inflation a lot of money? Wouldn't that be safer than just putting it on a bank?

What Draugnar has could actually work for me, although I wonder for how many years that deal was? I may be moving out and all when I'm 18 and I don't want to get into trouble because of money I can't reach.

Other than that, I think I will never figure something out that works much better for me, is no risk and easier to do. Maybe I'm asking for too much, although I'm just looking for more than 2% :P

After I've had Draugnar's answer I think I'll maybe research if that does indeed work for me and then I'll just tell my parents I don't plan to spend it soon and if they know a way to safely get a bit more profit and all that. They are probably a little bit more into this topic than me and I don't have to double check everything they say :P

Either way, thanks everybody for trying, I do think it was a fun discussion but I'm too busy to have it now I fear :)

So yeah, if Draugnar could answer if that is a 2-year annuity I'll probably drop it after.
Draugnar (0 DX)
07 Oct 13 UTC
You can get to the money in the annuity we have at any time by simply writing a check. It is just a minimum $250 to withdraw. The key is the initial deposit is big: $50,000. But it does earn way better than a bank is giving even on 2-year CDs.
Draugnar (0 DX)
07 Oct 13 UTC
And the term is lifetime or until you have withdrawn it all.
steephie22 (182 D(S))
07 Oct 13 UTC
Then that sounds perfect. So where do you get an annuity? You imply it's not a bank, so where do you buy it? Is it from the government? Insurance company?

Sorry for asking questions that may seem obvious to many of you :P

What I noticed is that with many of these things you can't just google and find a good deal. You really have to search, and for that I have to know a bit what I'm looking for, hence all the questions.
steephie22 (182 D(S))
07 Oct 13 UTC
And yes, I know that's 4 more questions while I said I would be done now :P
Draugnar (0 DX)
07 Oct 13 UTC
Ours is from Western Southern Life. But I don't know what is available to you on that side of the Atlantic.

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97 replies
Yonni (136 D(S))
07 Oct 13 UTC
Advice on building a media server
Figure there must be some expertise on this forum...
4 replies
Open
tendmote (100 D(B))
06 Oct 13 UTC
When is it OK to start watching basketball again?
I stopped watching basketball altogether after the LeBron James "Decision" and strike-shortened season turned the NBA into a soap opera telenovela. Is the nonsense over yet? Are people playing basketball again? Like they mean business? Is there a new Bill Laimbeer out there fouling out and taking a bow before a booing crowd?
17 replies
Open
redhouse1938 (429 D)
07 Oct 13 UTC
Interesting Poll
What would happen if during an election between two candidates for a political office a poll was held, where instead of preference for either candidate, people could "mix" the candidates, assigning percentages to each..? That should yield interesting and data on your electorate distribution..
1 reply
Open
semck83 (229 D(B))
07 Oct 13 UTC
(+3)
Interview with Antonin Scalia
I thought this was a very interesting interview. I'm sure many here hate the man, but irrespective of that, he's always interesting. So I thought I'd post this for y'all.

http://nymag.com/news/features/antonin-scalia-2013-10/
0 replies
Open
NigeeBaby (100 D(G))
07 Oct 13 UTC
Why is John Kerry a twat?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-24424933
"I think it's a credit to the Assad regime, frankly. It's a good beginning and we welcome a good beginning."
2 replies
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MadMarx (36299 D(G))
29 Sep 13 UTC
Anonymous/Blind GR Challenge Tournament
If you post in this thread, you will be automatically disqualified from participating, you must PM me your interest. More info within.
54 replies
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The Fox (115 D)
06 Oct 13 UTC
1day 50pts WTA
I was looking for a fair paced standard diplomacy game to enter, but there were none, so here it is. Come one come all
gameID=127129
0 replies
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blankflag (0 DX)
02 Oct 13 UTC
(+1)
reputation
i think you can get along fine until you pass a certain threshold of douchebaggery, then you get a reputation, and a flood of stories get brought up in everyday gossip and your cause is lost.

so does anybody have strategies for maximizing douchebaggery without losing reputation? i think the only hope is to conform. if you are a nonconformist, then any small thing will seem big because people will constantly hear of it because you are often talked about.
20 replies
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redhouse1938 (429 D)
21 Sep 13 UTC
Mercilessness
for those responsible

http://edition.cnn.com/2013/09/21/world/africa/kenya-mall-gunbattle/index.html?hpt=hp_t1
65 replies
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Putin33 (111 D)
06 Oct 13 UTC
European migration policy is a disgrace
http://www.dw.de/search-postponed-for-migrant-shipwreck-victims-in-lampedusa/a-17135414
14 replies
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Crazy Anglican (1067 D)
06 Oct 13 UTC
(+2)
My first triathlon tomorrow
I'm 46. What am I thinking?
11 replies
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zultar (4180 DMod(P))
06 Oct 13 UTC
(+1)
String theory, God particle, A Capella, Agent Based Modeling and YOU
My wife, who's learning agent based modeling --> which makes my brain hurts<--, found these videos that just made my day.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2rjbtsX7twc
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VtItBX1l1VY
3 replies
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krellin (80 DX)
05 Oct 13 UTC
Gov Shutdown? 83% Disagree...
http://washingtonexaminer.com/wheres-sense-of-crisis-in-a-17-percent-government-shutdown/article/2536862

That's right, 83% of Federal Spending is still flowing. Time to take the 17% that is "non-essential" and give it to the states where it belongs, or let private industry perform the same functions.
39 replies
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LakersFan (899 D)
06 Oct 13 UTC
17/17 tournament thread
What happened to it? Did I mistakenly mute it or something?
1 reply
Open
2ndWhiteLine (2596 D(B))
12 Sep 13 UTC
(+3)
Daily Big Lebowski Reading
For those of us who may not get as much from the Bible, but still like reading something every day.
75 replies
Open
steephie22 (182 D(S))
04 Oct 13 UTC
Animal Day dilemma
This day makes me wonder: what's better for the animals? Buy biological meat instead of standard meat or donate the money you would otherwise pay extra to an organisation supporting animals? Discuss.
40 replies
Open
philcore (317 D(S))
05 Oct 13 UTC
where are the stars?
The threads that I've posted on no longer have stars next to them. Did I miss a discussion about this? Did I even comment on said discussion and just can't find it because the star is gone?
6 replies
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SantaClausowitz (360 D)
03 Oct 13 UTC
Place your bets
Who fired the shots at the capital?
48 replies
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bo_sox48 (5202 DMod(G))
05 Oct 13 UTC
Tell Me This Isn't the Play of the Year
http://nesn.com/2013/10/smus-garrett-gilbert-completes-unbelievable-two-point-conversion-to-force-overtime-video/
0 replies
Open
NigeeBaby (100 D(G))
04 Oct 13 UTC
Stop paying the politicians
Politicians keep paid to do a job. If they stop doing that job why not stop paying them ........ there won't so many tea parties then if they have no money.
35 replies
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SantaClausowitz (360 D)
01 Oct 13 UTC
(+2)
Who else isn't allowed to work tomorrow?
… or get paid?
91 replies
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obiwanobiwan (248 D)
28 Sep 13 UTC
(+2)
10 Years Ago...
Give 1 pop culture thing you liked 10 years ago you now like less/dislike, and then 1 pop culture thing you disliked/liked less 10 years ago that you now like.
Give 1 religious/political thought/stance you agreed with 10 years ago that you now disagree with, and 1 religious/political thought/stance you disagreed with that you now agree with.
And to cap it off--1 book that's risen in your estimation over the last 10 years, and 1 that's fallen.
13 replies
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fulhamish (4134 D)
04 Oct 13 UTC
Isolationism
I don't know all that much about American history (self evident some might say), but I found this piece in the New York Review of Books challanged some of my preconceptions. The piece is a review of a recently published book on the New Deal. I found this section on isolationism as a function of US sectionalism particularly thought provoking -
5 replies
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obiwanobiwan (248 D)
02 Oct 13 UTC
(+3)
LET'S GO PITTSBURGH PIRATES!
We have far more important things to worry about--I'll just leave the government shutdown talk for you all...you can probably guess who I back anyway--but for now, let's take a minute and unite in rooting the Pittsburgh Pirates on tonight! After *21 YEARS* of futility, they've FINALLY made it back to the postseason for this Wild Card Playoff against the Reds! The Mets were out of this before the season began...so let's all root for the Buccos (and their long-suffering fans!)
147 replies
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bo_sox48 (5202 DMod(G))
03 Oct 13 UTC
Kill Your Neighbor for Bitcoins
THIS IS AWESOME.

http://news.yahoo.com/silk-road-website-dealt-drugs-guns-assassins-bitcoins-190640637--abc-news-topstories.html
12 replies
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bo_sox48 (5202 DMod(G))
02 Oct 13 UTC
(+2)
RIP Tom Clancy
Legendary.
133 replies
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