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Chaqa (3971 D(B))
25 Jan 17 UTC
Lusthog time
It's lusthog time. 2 games this go, same as usual:
- Gunboat
- No draws until stalemate
- No NMR
23 replies
Open
The Ambassador (124 D)
25 Jan 17 UTC
Dip Directions?
In episode 11 of the Diplomacy Games podcast Kaner and I discussed longevity aspects and risk management of sites like webDip and vDip to ensure they grow and reduce the chances of going down (either technically speaking or perceptions of IP infringement). We said we'd create a thread for this for others to contribute. What do you reckon?
1 reply
Open
Jamiet99uk (808 D)
03 Jan 17 UTC
(+7)
MAFIA XXVI - GAME THREAD
====================
Page 181 of 196
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Tom Bombadil (4023 D(G))
19 Jan 17 UTC
So I've been thinking more about rdrivera and arj. At this point in the game we have 9 unclears left (everyone but HR, Kak, and DO). For the sake of argument, I will say 8 unclears left because I know that I am town (if you are also town and reading this, you can safely say there are 8 unclears left as well.)

4 of those are town.

That means that on a pure statistical basis, there is a 50% rd or arj is scum.

So the chance of both being scum is (4/8)*(3/7) or 21%. (unless I'm doing my math wrong).

I don't personally think either is scum, but its something to keep in mind as we dig. At the time it seemed highly unlikely that Warden picked two scum for his dream, but now a 21% chance is significant. So I think we can't forget the possibility of arj as scum and he should not be treated as an 'almost clear'.

Durga (3609 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
I'm thinking darg is scum. And if he is, it's likely Rd is scum with him... Because Rd nailed him so hard last time but didn't react much to similar behaviour this game.
DeathLlama8 (514 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
@DO - How would you read Arj if Rd flipped scum?
Durga (3609 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
Rd might flip scum and still tell the truth but we definitely can't just buy it.
DeathLlama8 (514 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
@HR - I like the idea of your hooker analysis, but I don't think that's an accurate list of the unclears under the most pressure. I'll read over Ezio/Flum/Teacon when I can.
DeathLlama8 (514 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
Flum - "@Demon
Ezio is town because he's doing a really good job of seeming like a clueless Townie. I really struggle to see him being on a scum team."

Could you elaborate on why he seems like a clueless townie?
Tom Bombadil (4023 D(G))
19 Jan 17 UTC
I don't think rd flipping scum would have any indication on arj.

If rd is scum and arj is scum, rd would say arj scanned town
If rd is scum and arj is town, rd would say arj scanned town (because we would have lynched arj and found out rd was lying)
DeathLlama8 (514 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
Fluminator interactions with Xorxes -

Flum with Xorxes:
Starts scumreading Xorxes around middle of day 3 and scumreads him at EON. "Xorxes is throwing me off with his HR push. HR has to be scum or something is not right in this world, but this doesn't seem like a bus but xorxes is scummy." on pg140, but goes back to scumreading him and votes him fairly easily near EOD. Xorxes never really mentions his opinion on Flum, which is somewhat suspicious, but he didn't appear to be very engaged and I like Flum's interactions with him.

Tom/Ezio to come
Ezio (2181 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
@tom it would. If RD flips town, there's a roughly 100% chance arj is town. RD flipping scum lowers the chance arj is town.
rdrivera2005 (3533 D(G))
19 Jan 17 UTC
@Tom - rd is town and arj scanned as town :-)
More seriously, I know I am town and I got an inno scan on him, so it´s hard not to treat him as an almost clear (he can´t still be Godfather, but really unlikely).

@DO - I am reading Dargo as scum since N2,after he changed his bahaviour, but he is not playing the same way as on Discord, he only did that at D1, buddying bb like he tryied to do with you there. After D1 he just went into lurking mode, so it´s hard to be sure with so many lurkers. And I would not mind lynching him instead of Teacon today as I am pretty sure he is scum and not the Traitor, so we have 1/3 to hit the Hooker.

Tom Bombadil (4023 D(G))
19 Jan 17 UTC
@Ezio : Rd flipping scum would have no implications on arj, if rd is town obviously agh is as well. I was doing the scenario if rd flipped scum.
Durga (3609 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
Why obviously? There's still a chance for a godfather. Especially since we have an investigative role
Hellenic Riot (1626 D(G))
19 Jan 17 UTC
I can't imagine Rdrivera would take a risk lying about arj if arj is mafia - they had no idea if there was a Role Investigator as well at that point in time, after all. The only way I can see arj as scum is if he's the godfather; regardless of the alignment of rdrivera.
Fluminator (1500 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
RHK seems to be trying to tie with teacon in terms of effort in the game.
DeathLlama8 (514 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
Ezio with Xorx - agrees with Xorxes on pg13 and pg70 on Moscow/Balki and shot timing. On pg129, he says "Xorxes is in both because I'm reading him as both. He's made statements that I absolutely agree with, and I think he's been net pro town. My problem is I think he's even better than that, and he's been trying to string us along by contributing as little as possible to avoid getting scumread, while still being seen as townie." This is his first read on Xorxes.

He scumreads Xorxes on pg141, pg154, and pg158 (twice).

After Maniac flips, though, he doesn't switch to Xorxes, instead pushing a lynch-a-lurker idea without Xorxes and saying most of his case was on a Xorxes-Maniac connection (it wasn't really? he lays out a lot of other reasons), so definitely suspicious.

He also says at one point something like "If Xorxes flips scum that would implicate me as well", which is a point in his favor - I don't think scum-Ezio would say that. He also interacted a lot with Xorxes, which feels interesting. There's a lot of negative evidence though.

Xorxes maintains a slight scumread on Ezio for much of the game, which disappears after Maniac flips town. Not really that alignment-indicative.
Fluminator (1500 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
Interactions with Xorx: (PS, it's annoying to format posts on this forum. I’ll break these posts up.)
(PPS, searching for everytime RD was mentioned was annoying. He needs a better nickname.)

First interaction between them (and first time the two mention each other) was near the end of night 2, right before the nightkill.
RD: "Done working. Are we posting reads? I didnn´t have much time to organize mine and almost half players are null to me."
Xorx: "Do you expect to die rd?"
Rd: "Not really, but you never know, I got nightkilled D1 in my two discord games. I think reads are a good tool if most people gave it, but until know only Kaka seems to be willing to post."
Don't know what to make of it.
Rd's N2 reads mention xorx as scummy. He repeats being suspicious in day 3 once, and relists him as scummy in N4 for the same reason. "Scummy. I usually find xorxes a great town player, but this time he is doing almost nothing, so he could be a lurking scum. No reads, no deep analisys."
Night 3 xorx mentions rd as one of his scum candidates "for not paying attention when he had crucial infromation and almost causing the loss of the Oracle."
Day 4 and 5 rd mentions numerous times he suspects xorx and saying things like he'd be a good gun shot target.
Xorx asks him (along with me) to summarize our reasons for scum reading him.

Final verdict: These interactions for the most part make me think Rd is more likely town.
DeathLlama8 (514 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
@Dargorygel - you mention on pg17 that Teacon7 "is more clever than to simply repeat his huge lurking scum trick". Why don't you think that any more?
Fluminator (1500 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
Dargoyle:
He almost never mentioned xorxes. The first post he made mentioning him was
"# vote xorxes. I still think ezio is scum. But that train is sleeping. Xor is also on my scum read list." right when he was getting lynched which is out of the blue considering he never mentioned him.
Xorx first mention of darg is asking him a clarification question on page 54 but then saying "nm, figured it out". Not really noteworthy. He mentions darg in some analysis posts, but nothing ever specific to darg.

Verdict: No interactions between either of them the whole game. Suspect level moderate.
Fluminator (1500 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
DemonRHK:
His mentions of xorx were usually in his eon reads.
N1: "xorxes - SLIGHT TOWN: @us Supremus - Wasn't really around, and didn't have much when he was, but I expect a scum/3rd xorx to be more active at EoD."
I don't really understand any of that and it looks scummy on it's own but there's probably context I'm missing.
N2: “Null - Xorx isn't hunting, he's commentating. He's at least participating, but not by much.”
N3: “xorxes - Null - Making cases, but is never around long enough to actually push the damn case.”
N4: “xorxes - Slight Scum - Not around enough, just doing enough not to get modkilled”

Interaction 1:
RHK: "Given that ghug is seeming cleared by a oracle dream, what do your scumreads look like now?"
Xorx: "I took ghug off my list. Vecna is climbing up the list because of his voting bb and his argument with rdrivera."

xorx also tells him the night he had the gun “@RHK, you have to shoot tonight in case they nightkill you.” (lol, everything xorx says now looks so scummy in hindsight)

RHK votes xorx the day he’s lynched: “#Vote xorx, I'm fine with this scumread swinging.”
Xorx mentions RHK when brain jokeclaimed rolecop with a guilty on RHK. “@bb, if you're role investigator, what's RHK's role? (Don't tell us Ezio's role.)”

The day he got lynched he voted RHK when his wagon was sizing up before it looked like xorx would get lynched. (despite RHK being on the townier end of his spectrum) before voting llama. Which is interesting. That would imply RHK is either town or a role less important to scum.
(Maniac > teacon > Fluminator > Ezio > DL > dargo > rdrivera > Tom Bombadil > RHK > arj > xorxes) was his spectrum

Verdict: No smoking gun. No good town tells either from RHK. Xorx'es treatment of RHK implies town actually, but it's not enough to change my read on him.
Durga (3609 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
RHK waiting till night to shoot gun makes so much sense as scum that just didn't make sense to me as town. He was obviously just fucking asking his squad what to do with it.
DeathLlama8 (514 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
TomBomb to Xorxes - pg125, he gives Xorxes a "slight scum" read and backs it up with decent reasoning. On pg129 after Xorxes picks up on Ezio listing him twice in reads, he asks Xorxes why he did so and suspects Ezio. He later adds "I wouldn't be surprised if Maniac, Ezio and xorxes are all scum." Switches fairly naturally to Xorxes afterwards.

Xorxes fairly consistently townreads Tom Bombadil until N4, where he becomes a nullread (?). Nothing too suspicious here. Something to note is that Tom Bombadil didn't even mention Xorxes before D3.
Durga (3609 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
Any town would seek advice from his or her fellow town. This is ridiculous, how did we even let him get this far.
Fluminator (1500 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
Tom Bombadil
Tom doesn’t mention xorx until N3 reads.
“Xorxes: slight scum – asks questions but then doesn’t seem to follow up on them. Feels like asking questions to ask questions rather than asking questions to get information. If I recall he asked Ike a question then didn’t particularly care about he answer. Also said he would relook at Moscow, and only posted two shallow observations shortly after.”
Which seems quite genuine. Like those are really good reasons.

Xorx mentions tom a couple times.
“Tom B. thinks bb's comment about the game being biased against Mafia is scummy, but then he says he thinks it was an innocent observation?”
“@Tom, I agree. The only way Balki is scum is if Glen or Ezio are scum as well.”
Xorx apparently reread Tom and said “I didn't find anything particularly scummy about Tom B.” on day 3.

Night 3 read xorx had: “Tom Bombadil: I did a full read of him yesterday and I couldn't find anything that struck me as scummy.” (so much for the first comment he made on Tom. Man, it’s so obvious in hindsight).

Xorx doesn’t really mention him for the rest of the game.
When xorx asked Ezio about listing his name twice, Tom responded with: “Seemed like it would have been better to see how far he may slip xorxes... were you there so quick to stop the bleeding and point it out to him? I would have liked to see if he even knew he listed twice. Too bad you pointed it out for him...”
And actually for the rest of the game Tom actually does a pretty good and genuine sounding push on xorx. One that didn’t look like bussing.

Verdict: I may have been wrong on Tom. Tom’s side of the interactions were really good and townie looking. Xorx throwing shade right off the bat, but then townreading Tom for the rest of the game was a little weird, but that might just be scum xorx messing up and not be something related to Tom’s alignment.
Fluminator (1500 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
I wonder if xorx would have brought to light or noticed so fast that Ezio listed him twice in his reads if Ezio was his scum partner.
Fluminator (1500 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
Like it was within a minute. I don't think he'd be paying so close attention to a scum partner's reads.
Durga (3609 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
There is no way RHK isn't scum. So that's another down.
Fluminator (1500 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
HR: "I'll upload a picture of myself eating a shoe if there's not at least one other mafia in DL8/Ezio/Flum/rdrivera"

A scum team of teacon, RHK, dargo, and Tom is still very possible so don't think I've forgotten this. Although I'm wondering if Rdrivera may be scum after all.
Hellenic Riot (1626 D(G))
19 Jan 17 UTC
@rdrivera

Just what has changed about darg's behaviour since N2?

@Fluminator
I have plenty shoes; but I don't believe they'll need eating.

Interesting point on xorxes/Ezio though. The speed of the reaction could indeed be xorxes looking to start more pressure on a town Ezio.
rdrivera2005 (3533 D(G))
19 Jan 17 UTC
@HR - He changed behaviour from D1 to D2.
D1 he was all around, buddying bb and pushing people. He posted 41 messages (7th of 26), pressured and voted Mos, Maniac, Mos again, Kak and ended on Ezio.
D2 he get into lurking mode: 9 messages, voted on Ezio then on Kak with 24 hours to go and stayed on Kak. And this was his behaviour since D2.
I suspect he got some advice N1 from his scum mates to stay under the radar.
Jamiet99uk (808 D)
19 Jan 17 UTC
VOTE COUNT 6.1

teacon7 (4) - Hellenic Riot, Fluminator, Rdrivera2008, dargorygel
dargorygel (2) - Tom Bombadil, DemonOverlord
Ezio (1) - DeathLlama8

Currently TEACON7 is set to be lynched.

You have 24 HOURS and a few minutes remaining in Day 6.

-----------------------------------------
arj11, Ezio, DemonRHK, Kakarroto, and teacon7 still need to vote.
DemonRHK, Kakarroto, and teacon7 still need to post.

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5860 replies
Flame (125 D)
25 Jan 17 UTC
For Russian-speaking players
I still want to remind that russian-speaking players are also welcomed to Diplomail.Ru webdiplomacy server.
0 replies
Open
WyattS14 (100 D(B))
25 Jan 17 UTC
(+1)
So apparently you can't join more than 10 games...
WebDip thinks I have a life. Funny
29 replies
Open
ssorenn (0 DX)
25 Jan 17 UTC
(+1)
My gunboats are over, time for some new ones
36h,dss, 25pt, gunboats
3 games--please join if you can play all three
Please ready if you can-----
26 replies
Open
fourofswords (415 D)
25 Jan 17 UTC
(+2)
Can we get 901 back?
Is it possible to get known world 901 variant back? with or without fixing bugs? It seems enough people like it.
4 replies
Open
Condescension (10 D)
20 Jan 17 UTC
(+3)
In less than 24 hours, a lunatic will be in control of the nuclear football.
We're fucked.
178 replies
Open
The Ambassador (124 D)
25 Jan 17 UTC
Latest podcast of Diplomacy Games
New podcast episode of DiplomacyGames.com is now live on the website, iTunes & Stitcher. Kaner and I trade barbs over our 1v1 performance, we go down the rabbit hole about the direction of the various Dip sites and have a bit of fun discussing the Africa variant over at VDip. Enjoy!
0 replies
Open
ssorenn (0 DX)
23 Jan 17 UTC
Thomas Sowell
The worst president ever

https://youtu.be/0UpiNiaak18
133 replies
Open
TrPrado (461 D)
24 Jan 17 UTC
(+1)
Most Important Thread of the Year
The Oscars
9 replies
Open
WyattS14 (100 D(B))
14 Jan 17 UTC
Phantasmagoria?
I'm a little confused as to how you would use the word phantasmagorical/phantasmagoria/etc. I understand the words meaning, but would it be used as a negative connotation or positive connotation?
9 replies
Open
Ezio (2181 D)
24 Jan 17 UTC
Most Elegant Stab
I am trying to find some examples of pretty looking stabs. I know people take pride in them, so what do you think is the best stab you've ever done on the site?
11 replies
Open
0k0k0 (4810 D)
24 Jan 17 UTC
Why can't I create a Known World Game?
The option does not appear in the list of variants.
4 replies
Open
sirKristof (15 DX)
23 Jan 17 UTC
901?
I've been unable to find or create any new 901 variant games for a while now. It's still listed as active though! Anyone else have this issue?
2 replies
Open
WyattS14 (100 D(B))
23 Jan 17 UTC
(+1)
US Election and Aftermath
I did this with my Asia Pacific thread. Let's see if a reasonable discussion on the possible outcome of this election could be. (Articles and counterpoints are more than welcome)
24 replies
Open
captainmeme (1723 DMod)
23 Jan 17 UTC
(+3)
diplomacy.avi
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BVvAl7G4xLI
11 replies
Open
brainbomb (290 D)
15 Jan 17 UTC
Why God probably isnt real
I decided to open my imagination
I prayed about something recently. I asked God to give me signs. God gave me all the wrong signs. Therefore I submit this as Exhibit A, God is eother an asshole or doesnt exist. Discuss
173 replies
Open
Jamiet99uk (808 D)
23 Jan 17 UTC
(+4)
"Alternative Facts"
Or, you know, what we used to just called "lies".
131 replies
Open
Ezio (2181 D)
16 Jan 17 UTC
aaron rodgers is a god
I told everyone
6 replies
Open
CommanderByron (801 D(S))
23 Jan 17 UTC
Let's Keep It Real
Conservatives- Resistant to change, confident in the status quo.
Liberals- Supportive of change, dissatisfied with the status quo.
If we stopped attacking each other for a few minutes these traits could be complimentary.
20 replies
Open
Condescension (10 D)
23 Jan 17 UTC
(+1)
Conservatives are socially awkward
I think I just figured it out. Conservatives are just fucking socially awkward. That's the only reason you could possibly not figure out that privilege is a thing.
4 replies
Open
evanej (100 D)
20 Jan 17 UTC
How are you welcoming in Trump?
It is time!
47 replies
Open
JamesYanik (548 D)
23 Jan 17 UTC
NEW WORLD RECORD
after only 4 hours, #alternativefacts is already being overused, just beating out the previous record held by #fakenews.

we fully expect to endure this for the next few days, until it to dies, or develops into something else (such as #bullshitnews)
0 replies
Open
brainbomb (290 D)
21 Jan 17 UTC
I dont believe in the alphabet or languages
I think God did not actually create the alphabet. People did. People also made the tower of babel. Im agaist taxes being used to teach people the alphabet. God didnt create it, so its not important
72 replies
Open
WyattS14 (100 D(B))
20 Jan 17 UTC
Does math Exist, or is it really JUST an idea?
I found
70 replies
Open
CAPT Brad (40 DX)
19 Dec 16 UTC
(+1)
Why I Love The Live Gunboat Games
I have the PC game of Diplomacy and played it to victory pretty much everytime; the few losses from the beginning as i was learning.
36 replies
Open
Chumbles (791 D(S))
22 Jan 17 UTC
Only one needed: gunboat, ancmed
http://www.webdiplomacy.net/board.php?gameID=189485
1 reply
Open
Valis2501 (2850 D(G))
19 Jan 17 UTC
F2F Tournament in MA, USA
As above, below
10 replies
Open
Peregrine Falcon (9010 D(S))
21 Jan 17 UTC
Friends Game
I'm looking for three more people to join me and three friends for a game. We'll keep the meta gaming to a minimum. Post here or message me if you're interested.
7 replies
Open
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