Alright, I looked at every possible scenario I could think of that would lead us to where we are at.
Scenario1:
N1: Chaqa suicides and Cult expands. Asimov dies.
Cult: 2, Masons: 1
N2: Cult takes over HR, who is Deep Throat. Masons therefore have no action. HR dies.
Cult: 2. Masons: 0
So we know this is not true, because Xorxes turned up Mason.
Scenario2:
N1: Chaqa suicides. Cult expands. Asimov dies.
Cult: 2, Masons: 1
N2: Masons expand. Cult expands. HR perishes.
Cult: 2, Masons: 2
N3: Masons expand. Cult expands.
Cult: 3, Masons: 3
Jamie claims Cultists were unable to convert N3, which is impossible in this scenario.
N4: Cult targets a Mason (who was part of the Masoning crew for the night). Xorxes therefore goes solo and suicides. Maniac is shot.
Cult: 3, Masons: 1
This seems unlikely, as we don’t seem to be facing 3 Cultists.
Scenario3:
N1: Chaqa suicides. Cult expands. Asimov dies.
Cult: 2, Masons: 1
N2: Cult expands. Masons expand. HR is shot.
Cult: 2, Masons: 2
N3: Cult converts Mason. Masons expand.
Cult: 3, Masons: 2
Jamie claims Cultists were unable to convert N3, which is impossible in this scenario.
N4: Cult cannot expand. Xorxes suicides. Maniac is shot.
Cult: 2, Masons: 1
This is the scenario we have been working with, I’d say. Do note that Cult knows who the last Mason is.
Scenario4:
N1: Chaqa suicides and Cult expands. Asimov gets shot.
Cult: 2, Masons: 1
N2: Masons expand, Cult expands, HR gunned.
Cult: 2, Masons: 2
N3: Cult converts Deep Throat. Deep Throat had voted to Mason, with Xorxes abstaining, so Masons do not expand (GM just confirmed this to me).
Cult: 3, Masons: 1
N4: Xorxes suicides. Cult cannot expand. Maniac is shot.
Cult: 2, Masons: 0
N5: Cult knows there are no Masons left, but they don't tell. Cult takes over control.
This seems far-fetched, but the outcome matches what we've seen so far. I’m not buying it though, as I would expect Deep Throat to let Xorxes do the Masoning in N3.
Any other scenario I was able to cook up led to 3 Cultists. That's not an option, right?