Player List/Votes
1. - Espi (No vote)
2. - guak (bo 4)
3. - TrPrado (phil 1, DL 2, guak 4, unvote guak 7, bo 7, slacker 9)
4. - phil_a_s (Yoyo 1, Espi 3)
5. - ND (DL 1, unvote DL 4)
6. - bo_sox48 (Espi 9)
7. - Yoyoyozo (Jeff 3, Balki 5, SS 8)
8. - DeathLlama9 (bo 4, SS 7, unvote SS 8)
9. - americaslacker (No vote, inactive)
10. - Jeff Kuta (Espi 2, bo 3, Tr 10)
11. - SaladinSmith (Jeff 6)
12. - Balki Bartokomous (Espi 8)
13. - Lucland (guak 10)
Page 1:
DL, ND, phil, Tr, yoyo and I are the main posters on this page, which is mostly joking. Yoyo mentions needing 45 minutes before he cooks dinner (this is at 6:12, he later is posting at 7:08 but leaves at 7:14). DL tries to guide the conversation away from joke posting and phil casts the first vote on Yoyo which leads to ND with a DL vote and Tr with a phil vote. I mention the cop revealing and ND, DL and phil quickly inform me that there isn't a question about the cop revealing although DL does say fakeclaiming might have merit. phil also is the second to outright claim town, and yoyo is asking the GM what I see to be simple questions.
Question to Balki, I mentioned Wjessop losing the game last Mafia based on a mistimed kill, thus bringing up my wanting to discuss the cop. You did not mention this, which is the first item that was cut out of my quotes posts so far. What lead you to ignore this first part and then assume I was uncertain?
Overall the first page doesn't have a lot of information, that can be seen yet anyway. I wonder about the names that lead the conversation to begin with. I am assuming a few things right now, the mafia will have 1 person lurking, 1 person jumping on bandwagons and 1 person trying to lead a discussion and become a 'town read'. Please let me know if this guess is off base. I am also assuming one of the leaders in the Mafia is also on the first page, this could very easily be wrong, or all 3 of the Mafia could be on the first page. Time will tell, I hope.
Page 2:
The same players are on this page, and there is some slight discussion of Mafia to Town odds, the cops revealing, and why you shouldn't lock in a vote so early on. Tr switches from phil to DL after only a few posts when he reaffirmed that he thought phil was lying, this is likely still joke mode but slightly worries me. I mention a joke tracker but no one comments on this. More joke posting and Jeff begins his vote on me. DL seems to start guiding the direction of this page, by asking somewhat more serious questions while also joking. Not too sure how to read this page.
Page 3:
I bring up the 5th post that bo brings up later, but with a :) which I hope comes across as following the joking. Just to be clear, this was a joke, I noticed that it was going to be my 5th post and thought I might remark on it. Jeff mentions something about promising the community not to play his standard role, there isn't that much comment on this aside from guak saying please don't, can someone explain the history on this more to me? Jeff switches his vote from me to bo, Yoyo votes Jeff, and phil switches his vote from Yoyo to me. phil continues to only joke around while others are beginning to become more serious, is this normal for phil? ND is seeking clarifications, Tr is sort of in the background giving some advice and commenting on the flow so far, DL does begin to try and get on a positive track and only slightly votes. Balki makes a large introduction and Yoyo wonders why I am taking a few minutes to get back to him. Jeff continues to attack lurkers which I saw Wjessop do last game when he was Mafia, and which sticks out to me as suspicious. Why spend your time on lurkers when there are actual posts going on with info? Jeff and guak also state as things to know about the game that yoyo is always scummy. guak specifically mentions Jeff and phil in his posts, any reason in particular for that guak?
Page 4:
Tr points out the 2 scum claims on Yoyo by saying Yoyo doesn't seem scummy yet. ND mentions that guak is posting early which isn't normal apparently. Tr also begins to heavily question my own posts, with ND and DL jumping aboard. DL switches between me and phil in his questions. guak jumps on the voting bo train. Jeff protests my not voting early and also brings up the bo wagon happening. Yoyo also tries to convince me to vote earlier. Tr switches votes again from phil to DL to guak. DL makes a joke claim about being cop and scanning bo as a mafia and hops on the bo wagon as well. Balki tries to stop random voting and DL immediately unvotes bo. I am seeing ND and Tr working closely together so far, with Balki being a third party, and phil and DL being at slight odds. As a point yoyo said he would be going to cook dinner and this page is about the time he said he would be gone by. ND unvotes from DL.
Page 5:
Yoyo is still on, after his 45 minutes before he goes to cook, and votes for Balki. I mention my leaning toward trusting Jeff, Yoyo, Balki and ND which I am going to change back to Null at this point. Balki continues about not randomly voting while DL says all he is doing now is randomly voting, Yoyo leaves to cook dinner. DL mentions Yoyo not seeming scummy which makes his scummy but is also not a good reason to suspect. Tr mentions guak coming in, posting a bit then leaving which I find to be a very good point. DL comments on jokeposting more, then after saying earlier his posts are short as he can't contribute a lot this early on (he made similar points earlier) he comments about my not contributing. Jeff mentions guak having a point on bo thus Jeff staying on bo, but also ignores the others who have commented on bo so far.
Page 6:
guak comes back in for a bit and mentions Jeff possibly buddying up to him. DL continues to pressure me to hunt scum and yet has said before that he doesn't have enough info to hunt scum, can I get a clarification on this DL? guak states that we should all be paranoid (honest statement or trying to confuse us?) Jeff states that guak copied his voting on bo and not the other way around, but guak focuses on Jeff trying to schmooze him and Tr later mentions that he doesn't see Jeff doing this. DL jumps off at this point. phil mentions guak usually taking a while to start and guak mentions that he knows what he is doing, although confirms that he is still bored which is why he isn't lurking yet. Bo appears to be online now but doesn't post which worries a few people, mostly Tr. SS comes on and votes Jeff but Tr points out that his first post doesn't contribute much. As this was SS's first post, Tr how did you expect him to contribute, his post was like a lot of our first posts.
Page 7:
Tr unvotes guak but then votes for bo after questioning guak on persisting so heavily on Bo. I wonder at this move as he ignores the rest of the bo train, I see guak as mostly being pressured to explain why he is on the bo train by Tr. Tr points out that Lucland, bo and slacker are the only ones who haven't posted yet. Lucland said he would be late and slacker hadn't been online yet (bo later mentions that he had posted saying he would be late but I don't recall this). DL switches to SS and continues to go after people he says aren't contributing, but I don't see him doing much more contribution, he also mentions that most people are gathering info for later after already saying most of this stuff was useless for now, although you do mention wanting more information in particular about me so that might be a redeeming factor. Why is that DL? Jeff states his annoyance with bo. phil gets off for now.
Page 8:
Jeff checks out for now. SS mentions seeing no other votes on Jeff when Jeff was voted back on page 3, although Yoyo switched that vote to Balki on 5 so his comment on no votes is understandable. Although why Jeff, there are a few others who don't have votes on them yet SS.
As a note, ghug posts "DAY ONE VOTE COUNT 1.5:
bo_sox48 (3): Jeff Kuta, guak, TrPrado
Espi (1): phil_a_s
Balki Bartokomous (1): Yoyoyozo
Jeff Kuta (1): SaladinSmith
SaladinSmith (1): DeathLlama9
Unvoted: ND
No Vote: Espi, bo_sox48, americaslacker, Balki Bartokomous, Lucland
Currently BO_SOX48 is set to be lynched. The day ends in 45 hours."
DL tries to probe people for more info on who they think is scum. Tr posts the first actual read but not a lot of people comment on it. DL is worries that Trs Town reads are only based on contribution. Tr continues to ask why the bo wagon is happening, well more in point, why guak has only given a joke reason for being on the wagon while he agrees with Jeffs reason as trying to pressure bo to talk. DL unvotes SS, and Yoyo comes back jumping in with Balki to vote SS, but doesn't feel that I am contributing at all (understandable). DL focuses on the topic of Lynching again. Balki makes an analysis of me and votes for me and wants me to convince him that I am not town. I really hope that Balki is town, because I am liking him so far.
Page 9:
Yoyo says he thinks I am town right after Balki posts a very good reason for me not to be town, but doesn't really think I am scum. He believes I am a clueless townie. Both perceptions have their merits, but if you think I am a clueless townie, why aren't you trying to counter Balkis points more, helping the clueless townie is more of a Town benefit then just saying I could be slight town. Others have tried to help me early on, so this action of yours confuses me. There is still little actual comment on Tr and BB's analysis. Tr probes into phil a bit more.
Answer to ND: This is my findings so far, or the majority of them anyway. I have a few more things I am going to be working on but I still have time to look back over the posts more. When I mentioned not putting time into my posts, I meant not being as clear and concise as I could be. A lot of that is my wanting to focus on the big picture instead of just trying to defend myself. I think I can redeem myself later on, when a lot of my reasons can hopefully become more justifiable. I am trying to make myself a target to see how people respond. A lot of my analysis of the game is how people are responding to my making myself a target, as I have said before. Maybe this is dumb, or maybe it works, as I am new to the game I feel I can afford some recklessness in order to see if a theory of mine is correct. I am scumhuting and feel that my acting more scummy now, leads to a discussion which can provide more information on others. If you would like for me to stop now, I will sit back and work more on reading posts instead of responding to them, but I feel that might be more of a scum tell then anything else. Also ND, DL and I were thinking BB was like Wjessop, not Sali. Honestly now I can't recall why I made that point, aside from it reminded me of Wjessop managing to act as Town until the very end of the last 2 games.
ND goes onto questioning a lot of things that don't add up to him and made some very good points. Jeff and Balki point out my scummyness, but Yoyo still doesn't seem to think I am scummy, although Jeff finds my response to Balki to be a defense when it was very clearly a poor response to his well thought out questions. Another reason I like being the target is I know, more or less, what I am trying to do with my posts. Reading how people respond to my posts is easier then reading how they respond to someone else. I know how poorly my response was, and Balki thought so to, why did you think that just means I could be a clueless townie? Although it is somewhat understandable that you wish to focus on bo, as he is not on and as you think I could be scum, why aren't you pressuring me more? SS responds to some questions and heads off. Yoyo also jumps onto my having a terrible response to BB's questions.
bo comes on and responds to those who have been messaging him. I feel the same way as you do about my defense, I did an okay job at it but only an ok job, do you agree with Jeff on his thoughts about my response, or do you lean more toward agreeing with Yoyo and BB that my defense was really poor? You seem to be leaning toward Jeff by thinking I atleast had some good material in there (which would mean I am more coherent then I feel I am coming across as, which might be good) Also I think I responded to the rest of your question earlier on. I am a new player, so my trying to dig up as much info as I can for the more experienced players to look back on might help. Please let me know if you think I am really wrong on this point. As I don't think I will be a Day 1 lynch and only worry about a night kill, which wouldn't be the best Mafia move, I think I am safe for the first 2 days anyway. Also thanks for your questioning SS on the poor response to me, that is what I was hoping for. I feel bo does a very good job of catching up. Tr votes for slacker, which means that Tr has been the one voting the most for the least reasons. It is page 9, there is a lot of material to go through, and you are still voting for people who aren't on, why? bo votes for me.
DL once again is waiting for more info on me and questions BB on some of his questions to me.
Page 10:
Tr heads off. Bo mentions my 5th post which I mentioned earlier. Lucland comes on finally and makes some quick responses but says little. Guak mentions my fear about BB putting a lot of effort into appearing town, but for some reason I still think BB is town. Jeff votes Tr with my point about switching votes a lot. bo mentions it is dumb to pressure people who haven't shown up yet, and questions Lucland and Jeff on their opinions.
Lucland, what leads you to like me, and think that I have been playing a good game so far? Many people, including myself, do not feel this way. Why do you think that bo is a joke when he has done a nice job so far in his limited time on? BB, I agree with your opinion on me and that sharing reads, thank you for that. You still worry me as trying to hard but I find myself wanting to think you are a Town. One thing I disagree with, you mention my claiming town early on is a mafia tell, while I see how, my intention once again is for people who think I am scum to be able to re-read my posts and see where I am coming from. I knew back then that I would likely appear as scum early on, I usually do, so I wanted to make sure people knew who I really am. Obviously I am doing a poor job of convincing you on this, but I hope my later game shows you that I am sincere. For background, I am 20, making my way through college, have played 3 partial games of diplomacy FTF prior to November of 2014, after that I joined webDip and played 1 or 2 games a month until earlier this year when I really became active. In Mafia I have played 2 partial RL games as well as 5 or so board game versions of Mafia. Most of my games IRL have been at the local University Gamers Club. Also BB, you quotes a vote on bo, I am not sure if that might accidentally be registered as you voting.
phil also sees BB's strong case on me, and I am curious as to how you see this response I am making. This is my answer to you btw. Tr admits to not having really read BB's case on me, but after reading it agrees with Yoyo. Yoyo says he wants to stop fooling around (what took you so long) and only does so by clarifying a point to BB. Tr, is giving me the benefit of the doubt wise? If I am scum then you get rid of me, if I am Town then you have 9 or 8 left at the end of the day. Also phil, why are you calling certain reads lame, and not seeing the benefit of doing early reads?
Summary:
Sorry for the scattered material above, I was going through each page while as work and typing down my thoughts while also working. This is my first real analysis and although it isn't that good of a job, I did pose some questions and hope this shows you how I am thinking for now. Please ask me for clarification and I would appreciate advice for how to go about later reads.
As a point, I don't think I will be lynched on day 1 as there are other, more experienced targets that I imagine people will think are scum, and if the Mafia kills me on night 1, they won't be able to use my inexperience against me end game which could be to their benefit. But I could be wrong.