Mafia 88: Murder at the Meadery - GAME THREAD

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BunnyGo
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Re: Mafia 88: Murder at the Meadery - GAME THREAD

#1041 Post by BunnyGo » Fri May 03, 2024 2:25 am

Spartaculous wrote:
Fri May 03, 2024 1:23 am
BunnyGo wrote:
Thu May 02, 2024 11:08 pm
Spartaculous wrote:
Thu May 02, 2024 8:26 pm


There were no votes on Will until right before the end. All of the votes on him seemed to come out of nowhere. I think it is unlikely that another Mafia player would start that wagon (I think I am using that term correctly?) on the godfather so close to the end. I could be wrong, though, but I have updated my probabilities that so that sweetandcool is somewhat less likely to be Mafia that he was previously (and others are more likely to be Mafia).

I need to think more about what to make of the other six who voted for Will.
I know I'm tunneling, but the phrasing "seemed to come out of nowhere" sounds like a shocked scum shaking his head.
Two genuine questions:

What does "tunneling" mean here?

I will definitely admit to being shocked by this turn of events. With an hour and a half to go in the phase, Will had no votes. I assumed that one of me, Bonatogether, or sweetandcool was done for. But then, Will went 0 -> 7 just like that. Is this kind of rapid pileup common in previous games?
tunneling: digging deeper and deeper on the same one read and only seeing things confirm it.

Yes...speed wagons are quite common. I'm often the one being wagoned.
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak

Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik

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Re: Mafia 88: Murder at the Meadery - GAME THREAD

#1042 Post by Bonatogether » Fri May 03, 2024 2:25 am

damo666 wrote:
Thu May 02, 2024 10:22 pm
Chaqa wrote:
Thu May 02, 2024 10:11 pm
GM Note:
Suddenly, a swarm of bees comes out of nowhere and sting someone to death!

"No you fool! Not the bees! They're MY BEES!"

Foodcoats has died! He was the Beekeeper!
Sorry Food. Not my finest hour!
dim-o

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Re: Mafia 88: Murder at the Meadery - GAME THREAD

#1043 Post by Bonatogether » Fri May 03, 2024 2:27 am

sweetandcool wrote:
Thu May 02, 2024 11:05 pm
My respect for damo's ability as a player makes me think this is less likely to be a mistake.

##VOTE damo for now until I can wrap my head around this sordid affair and also complete my D1 analysis.
scum post

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Re: Mafia 88: Murder at the Meadery - GAME THREAD

#1044 Post by BunnyGo » Fri May 03, 2024 2:27 am

bozotheclown wrote:
Fri May 03, 2024 1:27 am
BunnyGo wrote:
Thu May 02, 2024 11:16 pm
bozotheclown wrote:
Thu May 02, 2024 11:14 pm


Assume I am town for a minute and consider the following:

Assuming you're town I'd then question the statement "Spartaculous had 3 town votes" because I have no idea foods alignment and I'm very disturbed that you do in this theoretical scenario.

I agree...I strongly think Sparta is scum. This is not a statement I'm disputing. Read my analysis. I'm strongly considering reposting it as the 9 separate posts it was that created it.
Are you sure you do not know foodcoats alignment?
Ah...yes...

If you are town, then I think Sparta is likely town. How did scum not push him harder while also letting the Foreman go?

Maybe it was because Just had given him a 3 DAY PASS?!
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak

Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik

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Re: Mafia 88: Murder at the Meadery - GAME THREAD

#1045 Post by Bonatogether » Fri May 03, 2024 2:28 am

damo666 wrote:
Thu May 02, 2024 11:28 pm
@Bona you are voting for a dead person
newly aware

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Re: Mafia 88: Murder at the Meadery - GAME THREAD

#1046 Post by Bonatogether » Fri May 03, 2024 2:30 am

BunnyGo wrote:
Thu May 02, 2024 11:41 pm
sweetandcool wrote:
Thu May 02, 2024 11:40 pm
Holy shit, stop it now.

##VOTE Bunny
##END
no...you read....you play to win...
for real

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Re: Mafia 88: Murder at the Meadery - GAME THREAD

#1047 Post by Bonatogether » Fri May 03, 2024 2:34 am

sweetandcool wrote:
Fri May 03, 2024 12:06 am
Okay, my assessment of this sordid affair:

1. Town has no reason to claim since it only invites angry retribution. New players are more likely to do this. Is damo really so remorseful that they would claim?

Scum points for damo.

2. Scum could and probably should stay silent. However, they have the option to try to earn town cred by claiming. Like such a bad play that they can't be scum.

Conclusion: while I can see town boneheadedly stinging Food, I think the choice to claim more likely to come from scum.

Maybe further analysis of D1 will change my mind or make me consider someone else to be a better candidate for the DK but that's where I currently am at.
terrible analysis

1. why would any town not place cards onto the table? this makes no sense.

2. you ignore this in your conclusion, which you make before you even typed this out. why?

nice hedge at the end

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Re: Mafia 88: Murder at the Meadery - GAME THREAD

#1048 Post by BunnyGo » Fri May 03, 2024 2:37 am

Bonatogether wrote:
Fri May 03, 2024 2:34 am
sweetandcool wrote:
Fri May 03, 2024 12:06 am
Okay, my assessment of this sordid affair:

1. Town has no reason to claim since it only invites angry retribution. New players are more likely to do this. Is damo really so remorseful that they would claim?

Scum points for damo.

2. Scum could and probably should stay silent. However, they have the option to try to earn town cred by claiming. Like such a bad play that they can't be scum.

Conclusion: while I can see town boneheadedly stinging Food, I think the choice to claim more likely to come from scum.

Maybe further analysis of D1 will change my mind or make me consider someone else to be a better candidate for the DK but that's where I currently am at.
terrible analysis

1. why would any town not place cards onto the table? this makes no sense.

2. you ignore this in your conclusion, which you make before you even typed this out. why?

nice hedge at the end
hmm...you may be right.
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak

Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik

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Re: Mafia 88: Murder at the Meadery - GAME THREAD

#1049 Post by Bonatogether » Fri May 03, 2024 2:39 am

Spartaculous wrote:
Fri May 03, 2024 2:21 am
BunnyGo wrote:
Thu May 02, 2024 11:40 pm
Post 7:

<snipped>

Sparta!
BunnyGo: As I am sure you are aware, this is my first game of Mafia.

Before playing, I thought about what my strategy should be. I believe that most people who play this are way too overconfident in their ability to guess alignments based solely off of day 1 chitchat, and I have even less faith in my own abilities to do so.

Accordingly, I resolved to pick one other person at random, vote them at the very start of the phase, and then refuse to switch. You can see that that is exactly what I did. Once I put in my vote for damo, I basically gave myself 48 hours to chitchat and engage in general silliness (it's the end of the term for me, so I was in a silly mood). If memory serves, I only made one really meaningful post - I asked rdrivera about lurking, and that was a genuine question. (I am still wondering if lurkers tend to survive longer in this game.)

Now, things are different - I have actual votes to analyze knowing that Will was mafia, along with the bees incident to sleep on tonight. But I am still trying to not emotions and words influence me too much. For example, I have had positive interactions with sweetandcool elsewhere on this forum. I appreciate those, but I don't want that to make me more likely to think of him as on my team. (As I said before, I am genuinely impressed by him being the one to start the Will wagon.)

Going in the opposite direction: I know it feels hollow for me to say this now, but I'll say it anyways: I was put off by the patronizing attitude that Will showed here:
JustAGuyNamedWill wrote:
Mon Apr 29, 2024 8:29 pm
Oh as per official newb shield Spartaculous will not receive my vote until day 3 or later. Lord of Words maybe bc hes played elsewhere
Even before the flash wagon (thanks bozo!) on him, I was seriously thinking about voting him on day 2. But still, I was unsure how much I was simply influenced by finding him annoying - I didn't want that to turn into undue suspicion. I still feel like we (speaking on behalf of all of the players) got lucky on Will more than anything else. Maybe I'm just too inexperienced here.

One last thing: I didn't lie in my response to Will's question about me learning to vote. I dodged it; there's a difference in that to me.
what's the vote you derive from this

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Re: Mafia 88: Murder at the Meadery - GAME THREAD

#1050 Post by Bonatogether » Fri May 03, 2024 2:40 am

BunnyGo wrote:
Fri May 03, 2024 2:37 am
Bonatogether wrote:
Fri May 03, 2024 2:34 am
sweetandcool wrote:
Fri May 03, 2024 12:06 am
Okay, my assessment of this sordid affair:

1. Town has no reason to claim since it only invites angry retribution. New players are more likely to do this. Is damo really so remorseful that they would claim?

Scum points for damo.

2. Scum could and probably should stay silent. However, they have the option to try to earn town cred by claiming. Like such a bad play that they can't be scum.

Conclusion: while I can see town boneheadedly stinging Food, I think the choice to claim more likely to come from scum.

Maybe further analysis of D1 will change my mind or make me consider someone else to be a better candidate for the DK but that's where I currently am at.
terrible analysis

1. why would any town not place cards onto the table? this makes no sense.

2. you ignore this in your conclusion, which you make before you even typed this out. why?

nice hedge at the end
hmm...you may be right.
bongo will you assist me in going 2 for 2


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Re: Mafia 88: Murder at the Meadery - GAME THREAD

#1052 Post by BunnyGo » Fri May 03, 2024 2:47 am

Bonatogether wrote:
Fri May 03, 2024 2:40 am
BunnyGo wrote:
Fri May 03, 2024 2:37 am
Bonatogether wrote:
Fri May 03, 2024 2:34 am


terrible analysis

1. why would any town not place cards onto the table? this makes no sense.

2. you ignore this in your conclusion, which you make before you even typed this out. why?

nice hedge at the end
hmm...you may be right.
bongo will you assist me in going 2 for 2
Maybe. I'm really tired and feeling real confident in my bozo/sparta read.

Will take a look later, but you're starting to convince me.
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak

Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik

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Re: Mafia 88: Murder at the Meadery - GAME THREAD

#1053 Post by rdrivera2005 » Fri May 03, 2024 2:58 am

Just want to say I am alive and will try to catch up on D2 tomorrow. But we are under a several flooding in my state and I might need to request a sub (probably won't be needed).

Just want to say I was happy with catching scum Just yesterday. Then I saw two PR dead in the bot and thought what the hell was happening. Then I read the Damo hipfired a PR. This is either a great scum play or a stupid town play. Either way I want to apologize to Balki (if he is town obviously).

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Re: Mafia 88: Murder at the Meadery - GAME THREAD

#1054 Post by damo666 » Fri May 03, 2024 3:38 am

Bonatogether wrote:
Fri May 03, 2024 2:18 am
damo666 wrote:
Thu May 02, 2024 9:40 pm
My scumlist in order is

food
Balki
sparta
Brian
Bozo
Vecna
most scum to least scum or least scum to most scum
Most to least unfortunately

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Re: Mafia 88: Murder at the Meadery - GAME THREAD

#1055 Post by damo666 » Fri May 03, 2024 3:43 am

Spartaculous wrote:
Fri May 03, 2024 2:22 am
I'm not sure what to make of the dramatic bee-related mishap earlier, but I wonder if the bees gift to damo was intended to be used on me. (foodcoats voted for me in the previous round, and I voted for damo; foodcoats being happy with damo using the bees on me seems like a logical outcome.)

damo, why didn't you sting me instead of foodcoats?
I considered you but food_s voting clinched it.

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Re: Mafia 88: Murder at the Meadery - GAME THREAD

#1056 Post by damo666 » Fri May 03, 2024 3:47 am

I get my play was unfortunate but why stupid?

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Re: Mafia 88: Murder at the Meadery - GAME THREAD

#1057 Post by Lord of Words » Fri May 03, 2024 3:49 am

The Will was something of a surprise, but it could provide a decent roadmap for us going forward given his reads.

I'm working from home the next few days, so my play should be uninterrupted.

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Re: Mafia 88: Murder at the Meadery - GAME THREAD

#1058 Post by damo666 » Fri May 03, 2024 3:53 am

Bonatogether wrote:
Fri May 03, 2024 2:25 am
damo666 wrote:
Thu May 02, 2024 10:22 pm
Chaqa wrote:
Thu May 02, 2024 10:11 pm
GM Note:
Suddenly, a swarm of bees comes out of nowhere and sting someone to death!

"No you fool! Not the bees! They're MY BEES!"

Foodcoats has died! He was the Beekeeper!
Sorry Food. Not my finest hour!
dim-o
Well you were voting him.

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Re: Mafia 88: Murder at the Meadery - GAME THREAD

#1059 Post by ghug » Fri May 03, 2024 3:57 am

bozotheclown wrote:
Fri May 03, 2024 1:40 am
ghug wrote:
Wed May 01, 2024 7:51 pm
##VOTE bona
ghug wrote:
Wed May 01, 2024 7:54 pm
Bonatogether wrote:
Wed May 01, 2024 7:52 pm
the opposition hates me because they know i'm right
I just want a tie man.

I have no reads.
ghug wrote:
Wed May 01, 2024 7:54 pm
##VOTE damo

Would also entertain Bunny for the sake of paradox.
Why did you choose Bonatogether and damo to vote for over Spartaculous during this sequence?
Ties, but work I don't like killing new players.

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Re: Mafia 88: Murder at the Meadery - GAME THREAD

#1060 Post by ghug » Fri May 03, 2024 4:00 am

Bonatogether wrote:
Fri May 03, 2024 2:22 am
kingofthepirates wrote:
Thu May 02, 2024 9:57 pm
bozotheclown wrote:
Thu May 02, 2024 9:03 pm


What did you think the reasons for suspecting Just were?
currently catching up, so I'm not sure if this question is still relevant or if you still want the answer. If you do, it is as follows: I don't remember the exact reasons, I'll have to check back through the logs, but I do distinctly remember that the other tiebreak (damo iirc) didn't seem to have any really concrete reasons for suspicion (I remember at least 1 vote was from the very start of the day, with no reasons given at all). I'll elaborate more once I have caught up.
speak now or forever hold this L
Bona, you should consider being slightly less of a caricature of yourself.

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