MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

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Jamiet99uk
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Re: MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

#4441 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat Jan 11, 2020 6:52 pm

I think he keeps mentioning Tom to be his wife for whatever reason.

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Re: MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

#4442 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat Jan 11, 2020 6:52 pm

Voting seems quite divided now. Is gold the better lynch? Kalel feels like the more threatening one.

##Vote kalel

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Re: MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

#4443 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat Jan 11, 2020 6:52 pm

Huh, GG bozo. Didn't expect you to get NKed.

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Re: MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

#4444 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat Jan 11, 2020 6:53 pm

I think scum are just trying to keep this up. My guess is goldie is actual BH. ##vote worcej

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Re: MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

#4445 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat Jan 11, 2020 6:53 pm

Huh, the agent wasn't in the VT pool? I really think Fox is MT1 now.

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Re: MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

#4446 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat Jan 11, 2020 6:53 pm

↑Jamiet99uk: ":tumbleweed:"

I don't get this. Care to explain?

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Re: MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

#4447 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat Jan 11, 2020 6:54 pm

God dammit damo. Why Did you do this?

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Re: MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

#4448 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat Jan 11, 2020 6:54 pm

I am NOT rP, as a matter of fact just a VT. I fear damo has been revered.

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Re: MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

#4449 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat Jan 11, 2020 6:54 pm

##Vote Tem

I made a mistake on purpose, kill me.

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Re: MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

#4450 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat Jan 11, 2020 6:54 pm

GG guys. It was fun while it lasted. I bet I'll lose my fifth game running. Best of luck to the reavers and the other mafia team.

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Re: MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

#4451 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat Jan 11, 2020 6:55 pm

To be honest, I didn't expect this amount of copy pasta.

##vote nolynch

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Re: MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

#4452 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat Jan 11, 2020 6:55 pm

To the assassin.

Let's work together now, optimistically assuming Bunny used his commute N2 or N3 instead of N1, I still have my kill as he has a 2 phase countdown. I suggest dargo or xorx for your kill.

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Re: MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

#4453 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat Jan 11, 2020 6:55 pm

Hello peter, kinda awkward seeing someone type out my full user name, but whatever.

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Re: MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

#4454 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat Jan 11, 2020 6:56 pm

Blegh
Blegh
Blegh

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Re: MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

#4455 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat Jan 11, 2020 6:57 pm

There, CHaqa, I have now re-posted Temasek's entire game, every post, in order. If that doesn't satisfy you, I don't know what will.

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Re: MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

#4456 Post by goldfinger0303 » Sat Jan 11, 2020 6:58 pm

Alright, here's my case on why you should not lynch me

The current situation is this: 7 town, 1 assassin, 3 reavers and me.
7-1-3-1

D0 You lynch me. For argument's sake, lets say that damo is still town and Bunny is still town and Jamiet is still town.
N0 You lose a guaranteed kill to the assassin
6-1-3-0
D1 Lets say damo hits his scan and you lynch the assassin
N1 And lets say Jamiet is lucky and gets a save here
6-0-3-0
D2 lynch tem
N2 successful NK
5-0-2-0
D3 lynch teacon and he flips reaver
N3 successful NK
4-0-1-0
You have two days of guessing to get the right person. Not bad, in this most ideal scenarios. But let's see what happens if we go a different route.

D0 You lynch Foxcastle. Let's go with some bad luck, so let's assume Foxcastle flips town and Jamiet never saves someone.
N0 You lose one kill to scum.
5-1-3-1
D1 - You lynch assassin, because of process of elimination from today's lynch.
N1 - Successful NK
4-0-3-1
D2 - Lynch tem
N2 - Scum are forced to NK me because I probably have two bounties by this point
4-0-2-0
D3 - lynch teacon and he flips reaver
N3 - Successful NK
3-0-1-0

In this worst of case scenarios - we lynch a town and Jamiet never gets a save - the end game plays out almost exactly the same as your ideal scenario after lynching me. Throw in a Jamiet town save assumption and the results are identical. If Foxcastle is actually the assassin, you win pretty much on the spot today. So why not make that play? You're delaying an assassin lynch by one if not two days - giving scum free kills. Because again, if damo was reavered on N3 and you rely on him for the assassin scan, you pretty much lose on the spot.

So you're between two choices here. One of which is fairly neutral (lynch me) with a chance that you could instantly lose. The other has a risk of being slightly negative (mislynch Fox) but by no means game-ending, with the chance that you'd instantly win.

If I had two bounties collected this would be a different matter, but at the end of the day I don't have two bounties collected. I am not a risk. And if I can guess the scum NKs tonight, I don't think I'll be a risk tomorrow either.

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Re: MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

#4457 Post by goldfinger0303 » Sat Jan 11, 2020 7:00 pm

Now, I'll be traveling for most of the day, but remember this.

Scum want to lynch me. It lets the assassin live longer, and 2 NKs per night is the *only* way that either of those teams will win, so they will be working together. That's 4 scum pushing my lynch. Put that against 7 town voices, convince maybe one or two, and all of a sudden it seems like there's a majority against me and everyone else goes along with it.

##Vote Foxcastle the assassin

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Re: MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

#4458 Post by Chaqa » Sat Jan 11, 2020 7:03 pm

Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sat Jan 11, 2020 6:57 pm
There, CHaqa, I have now re-posted Temasek's entire game, every post, in order. If that doesn't satisfy you, I don't know what will.
You messed up the quote again lol

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Re: MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

#4459 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat Jan 11, 2020 7:06 pm

Chaqa wrote:
Sat Jan 11, 2020 7:03 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sat Jan 11, 2020 6:57 pm
There, CHaqa, I have now re-posted Temasek's entire game, every post, in order. If that doesn't satisfy you, I don't know what will.
You messed up the quote again lol
No, I reposted everything word for word. I'm not doing it again. You're just taking the piss.

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Re: MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

#4460 Post by Chaqa » Sat Jan 11, 2020 7:14 pm

Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sat Jan 11, 2020 6:53 pm
↑Jamiet99uk: ":tumbleweed:"

I don't get this. Care to explain?
This isn’t a proper quote.

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