MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

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Nephthys
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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#4021 Post by Nephthys » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:12 pm

BunnyGo wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:11 pm
Nephthys wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:09 pm
BunnyGo wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:07 pm


Most likely Thanos has it.

However if scum has it and I am scum (both unlikely) then wouldn’t they have triggered the day?
It it most likely that Thanos has it correct, however its also possible that your scum buddy just isn't online
Could you actually make an argument that I’m scum?

It’s kinda annoying listening to you prattle and plead. You’re going to feel pretty stupid whenever I flip. And then they’ll have to lunch you...cause you made that stupid claim about lynching you next (even though you’re probably town).
Did you not read my case on you?

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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#4022 Post by BunnyGo » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:12 pm

Maniac wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:11 pm
dargorygel wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:07 pm
Foxcastle wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:06 pm
Do we think scum have the time stone? They have an incentive to make EOD as inconvenient as possible.
I was thining this, too.
Well if scum do have time stone and haven't used it, it's because they didn't want Tem lynched. Think we have to stay on lynch for this reason alone. If we keep switching between say 3 or 4 people and just one of them is town, scum can choose that moment to end the day.
This is the most thoughtful and logical thing said in the last hour.

And that makes baby Jesus cry.

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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#4023 Post by BunnyGo » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:13 pm

Nephthys wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:12 pm
BunnyGo wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:11 pm
Nephthys wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:09 pm


It it most likely that Thanos has it correct, however its also possible that your scum buddy just isn't online
Could you actually make an argument that I’m scum?

It’s kinda annoying listening to you prattle and plead. You’re going to feel pretty stupid whenever I flip. And then they’ll have to lunch you...cause you made that stupid claim about lynching you next (even though you’re probably town).
Did you not read my case on you?
I did. It was pretty wishy-washy and circumstantial. You’ve become so convinced you’ve refused to challenge your assumptions and give a serious reread to reconsider. Then you dug in more.

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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#4024 Post by Chaqa » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:13 pm

It's also quite possible that they just want the phase back to normal too...

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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#4025 Post by foodcoats » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:14 pm

Maniac wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:08 pm
Foxcastle wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:04 pm
Maniac wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:03 pm
Out of those lead wagons I read BunnyGo as town and wanted to make sure SK couldn't influence the lynch on their own.
Do you not think the SK has an incentive to find scum right now? I think they do.
I'm not overly concerned with SK motivations to be honest. Sure if he knew someone was scum and have a stone, we'd want them to control a lynch i suppose, but they have no more idea who is scum than we do. They do have more info than us about other stuff which might lead them to lynch townies.
That's silly, your most involved iso was about the SK

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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#4026 Post by BunnyGo » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:14 pm

Chaqa wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:13 pm
It's also quite possible that they just want the phase back to normal too...
Wouldn’t they have ended it now then?

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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#4027 Post by Nephthys » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:14 pm

BunnyGo wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:12 pm
Maniac wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:11 pm
dargorygel wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:07 pm


I was thining this, too.
Well if scum do have time stone and haven't used it, it's because they didn't want Tem lynched. Think we have to stay on lynch for this reason alone. If we keep switching between say 3 or 4 people and just one of them is town, scum can choose that moment to end the day.
This is the most thoughtful and logical thing said in the last hour.

And that makes baby Jesus cry.
Is it? It assumes that None of the 8 players on yuuki was SK (8/17) AND that it randed to scum (MAX 1/2)

Tops youre getting 23% chance this is true. When you factor in personal motivations, much less

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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#4028 Post by BunnyGo » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:15 pm

Nephthys wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:14 pm
BunnyGo wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:12 pm
Maniac wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:11 pm


Well if scum do have time stone and haven't used it, it's because they didn't want Tem lynched. Think we have to stay on lynch for this reason alone. If we keep switching between say 3 or 4 people and just one of them is town, scum can choose that moment to end the day.
This is the most thoughtful and logical thing said in the last hour.

And that makes baby Jesus cry.
Is it? It assumes that None of the 8 players on yuuki was SK (8/17) AND that it randed to scum (MAX 1/2)

Tops youre getting 23% chance this is true. When you factor in personal motivations, much less
Did you notice how he started with the word “if”

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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#4029 Post by BunnyGo » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:15 pm

If means “assume that”

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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#4030 Post by Nephthys » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:15 pm

Nephthys wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:14 pm
BunnyGo wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:12 pm
Maniac wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:11 pm


Well if scum do have time stone and haven't used it, it's because they didn't want Tem lynched. Think we have to stay on lynch for this reason alone. If we keep switching between say 3 or 4 people and just one of them is town, scum can choose that moment to end the day.
This is the most thoughtful and logical thing said in the last hour.

And that makes baby Jesus cry.
Is it? It assumes that None of the 8 players on yuuki was SK (8/17) AND that it randed to scum (MAX 1/2)

Tops youre getting 23% chance this is true. When you factor in personal motivations, much less
Oops, maths slighty wrong. Its 26%

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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#4031 Post by RagingIke297 » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:16 pm

Nephthys wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:10 pm
##Call GM

Most GMs accept a order for the future

ie "Use vig shot in 6 hours"

Would you allow

"Use timestone if X becomes the lead wagon?"
I do my absolute best to accept all orders, this includes conditional orders such as this

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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#4032 Post by BunnyGo » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:16 pm

Nephthys wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:15 pm
Nephthys wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:14 pm
BunnyGo wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:12 pm


This is the most thoughtful and logical thing said in the last hour.

And that makes baby Jesus cry.
Is it? It assumes that None of the 8 players on yuuki was SK (8/17) AND that it randed to scum (MAX 1/2)

Tops youre getting 23% chance this is true. When you factor in personal motivations, much less
Oops, maths slighty wrong. Its 26%
Your maths don’t matter much when your logic sucks.

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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#4033 Post by Nephthys » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:16 pm

BunnyGo wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:15 pm
Nephthys wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:14 pm
BunnyGo wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:12 pm


This is the most thoughtful and logical thing said in the last hour.

And that makes baby Jesus cry.
Is it? It assumes that None of the 8 players on yuuki was SK (8/17) AND that it randed to scum (MAX 1/2)

Tops youre getting 23% chance this is true. When you factor in personal motivations, much less
Did you notice how he started with the word “if”
Yes but why are you considering things that have such a small chance of being correct?

It's almost like you wanna distract from the main topic of the thread

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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#4034 Post by BunnyGo » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:17 pm

Since the day isn’t over. Go read me again. Or ask someone you trust to. Really try and make the case I’m town. See if you can convince yourself. If you can’t, cool. But try.

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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#4035 Post by Nephthys » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:18 pm

BunnyGo wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:17 pm
Since the day isn’t over. Go read me again. Or ask someone you trust to. Really try and make the case I’m town. See if you can convince yourself. If you can’t, cool. But try.
Why would I enter a read looking for an outcome? Are you familiar with confirmation bias?

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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#4036 Post by foodcoats » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:19 pm

Bunny is very upset over being second wagon and is doing the same thing as with EP, harping on a tiny little point

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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#4037 Post by damo666 » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:19 pm

BunnyGo wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:07 pm
Foxcastle wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:06 pm
Do we think scum have the time stone? They have an incentive to make EOD as inconvenient as possible.
Most likely Thanos has it.

However if scum has it and I am scum (both unlikely) then wouldn’t they have triggered the day?
Not if tem is scum

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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#4038 Post by Nephthys » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:19 pm

damo666 wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:19 pm
BunnyGo wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:07 pm
Foxcastle wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:06 pm
Do we think scum have the time stone? They have an incentive to make EOD as inconvenient as possible.
Most likely Thanos has it.

However if scum has it and I am scum (both unlikely) then wouldn’t they have triggered the day?
Not if tem is scum
Trueeeeee

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foodcoats
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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#4039 Post by foodcoats » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:19 pm

Scum spiral i say i say scum spiral

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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#4040 Post by BunnyGo » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:19 pm

Nephthys wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:18 pm
BunnyGo wrote:
Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:17 pm
Since the day isn’t over. Go read me again. Or ask someone you trust to. Really try and make the case I’m town. See if you can convince yourself. If you can’t, cool. But try.
Why would I enter a read looking for an outcome? Are you familiar with confirmation bias?
I sure am. THIS IS HOW SCIENCE WORKS. YOU TRY AND DISPROVE YOUR HYPOTHESIS.

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