Mafia 47 - The Sixth Mass Extinction - GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

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xorxes
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Re: Mafia 47 - The Sixth Mass Extinction - GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#3401 Post by xorxes » Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:37 am

From D1: {EP|foodcoats|bo_sox, worcej, dargo|Vapor, flash, Jamiet}
From D2: {Jamiet|EP|flash, Vapor|foodcoats|bo_sox, dargo, worcej}

foodcoats and bo_sox voted together both days. We need dargo to be scum for D2, so that would clear Vapor.

Then the team is worcej, dargo, flash, Jamiet and one of foodcoats|bo_sox.

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Re: Mafia 47 - The Sixth Mass Extinction - GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#3402 Post by foodcoats » Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:37 am

xorxes wrote:
Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:31 am
EspressoPatronum wrote:
Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:23 am
xorxes wrote:
Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:12 am


Assuming no bussing, then it's either dargo or Vapor, so: {EP|foodcoats|bo_sox, worcej, dargo|Vapor, flash, Jamiet}.

worcej, flash and Jamiet confirmed scum.
As much as I want to see worcej and Jamiet confirmed scum, it's worth noting that your conclusion heavily relies on reveals being con!town or assumed!town. That being said, I'm happy to put it to the test.

Hypo: if we lynch any of Vapor|darg or Worcej/flash/Jamie and they're town, how does that impact your results?
This is not very serious, just playing assuming scum don't want to vote together if they don't need to.

If you are town, then dargo would be scum according to this theory.
Seems pretty rude to worcej, flash and Jamie. How are they confirmed again?

This is always where I belonged...

##VOTE xorxes

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Re: Mafia 47 - The Sixth Mass Extinction - GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#3403 Post by foodcoats » Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:39 am

This sorting is shenanigans. It literally is based on so many assumptions.


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Re: Mafia 47 - The Sixth Mass Extinction - GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#3405 Post by Foxcastle » Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:40 am

xorxes wrote:
Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:37 am
From D1: {EP|foodcoats|bo_sox, worcej, dargo|Vapor, flash, Jamiet}
From D2: {Jamiet|EP|flash, Vapor|foodcoats|bo_sox, dargo, worcej}

foodcoats and bo_sox voted together both days. We need dargo to be scum for D2, so that would clear Vapor.

Then the team is worcej, dargo, flash, Jamiet and one of foodcoats|bo_sox.
Although if it gets you to vote Worcej and Dargo, sure, I can support that.

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Re: Mafia 47 - The Sixth Mass Extinction - GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#3406 Post by xorxes » Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:41 am

Foxcastle wrote:
Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:33 am
Again, Xorxes, assuming Chaqa, Percy, or Damo are likely town because of their claims is irrational.
I'm not assuming they are town only because of the claims, it's the way their claims came about, and I don't really see anything very scummy about their play (I have some doubts about Percy, but not that strong).

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Re: Mafia 47 - The Sixth Mass Extinction - GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#3407 Post by xorxes » Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:42 am

foodcoats wrote:
Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:37 am
xorxes wrote:
Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:31 am
EspressoPatronum wrote:
Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:23 am


As much as I want to see worcej and Jamiet confirmed scum, it's worth noting that your conclusion heavily relies on reveals being con!town or assumed!town. That being said, I'm happy to put it to the test.

Hypo: if we lynch any of Vapor|darg or Worcej/flash/Jamie and they're town, how does that impact your results?
This is not very serious, just playing assuming scum don't want to vote together if they don't need to.

If you are town, then dargo would be scum according to this theory.
Seems pretty rude to worcej, flash and Jamie. How are they confirmed again?

This is always where I belonged...

##VOTE xorxes
For being rude?

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Re: Mafia 47 - The Sixth Mass Extinction - GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#3408 Post by worcej » Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:46 am

Vaporwave wrote:
Tue Jul 23, 2019 10:22 pm
Thanks for explainig this in depth, xorxes
I don’t understand why you didn’t understand when I was bringing that up.

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Re: Mafia 47 - The Sixth Mass Extinction - GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#3409 Post by xorxes » Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:48 am

EspressoPatronum wrote:
Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:35 am
xorxes wrote:
Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:31 am
EspressoPatronum wrote:
Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:23 am


As much as I want to see worcej and Jamiet confirmed scum, it's worth noting that your conclusion heavily relies on reveals being con!town or assumed!town. That being said, I'm happy to put it to the test.

Hypo: if we lynch any of Vapor|darg or Worcej/flash/Jamie and they're town, how does that impact your results?
This is not very serious, just playing assuming scum don't want to vote together if they don't need to.
Ah kk, just checking. I wasn't sure how much weight you were giving to the conclusions you were drawing.
If you are town, then dargo would be scum according to this theory.
Do you mean Vapor? I don't see the EP/dargo dynamic reflected in your assumptions.
Yes, I thought I was replying to Vapor for some reason.

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Re: Mafia 47 - The Sixth Mass Extinction - GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#3410 Post by Vaporwave » Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:50 am

worcej wrote:
Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:46 am
Vaporwave wrote:
Tue Jul 23, 2019 10:22 pm
Thanks for explainig this in depth, xorxes
I don’t understand why you didn’t understand when I was bringing that up.
I trust xorxes

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Re: Mafia 47 - The Sixth Mass Extinction - GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#3411 Post by xorxes » Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:51 am

Foxcastle wrote:
Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:40 am
xorxes wrote:
Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:37 am
From D1: {EP|foodcoats|bo_sox, worcej, dargo|Vapor, flash, Jamiet}
From D2: {Jamiet|EP|flash, Vapor|foodcoats|bo_sox, dargo, worcej}

foodcoats and bo_sox voted together both days. We need dargo to be scum for D2, so that would clear Vapor.

Then the team is worcej, dargo, flash, Jamiet and one of foodcoats|bo_sox.
Although if it gets you to vote Worcej and Dargo, sure, I can support that.
I don't know, for some reason I don't find worcej scummy. What do you think of flash?

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Re: Mafia 47 - The Sixth Mass Extinction - GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#3412 Post by xorxes » Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:55 am

If bozo is scum things change a bit because he was a wagon both days and then there may be more scum concentration on the competing wagons.

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Re: Mafia 47 - The Sixth Mass Extinction - GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#3413 Post by worcej » Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:56 am

Vaporwave wrote:
Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:50 am
worcej wrote:
Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:46 am
Vaporwave wrote:
Tue Jul 23, 2019 10:22 pm
Thanks for explainig this in depth, xorxes
I don’t understand why you didn’t understand when I was bringing that up.
I trust xorxes
Blind trust is a fool’s gamble.

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Re: Mafia 47 - The Sixth Mass Extinction - GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#3414 Post by Vaporwave » Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:57 am

##VOTE flash

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Re: Mafia 47 - The Sixth Mass Extinction - GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#3415 Post by Vaporwave » Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:57 am

let's do it, xorxes

I can be you assistant today ;)

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Re: Mafia 47 - The Sixth Mass Extinction - GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#3416 Post by Vaporwave » Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:58 am

Foxsuke and xorjam are my trustees

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Re: Mafia 47 - The Sixth Mass Extinction - GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#3417 Post by xorxes » Wed Jul 24, 2019 1:00 am

##VOTE dargo for now, Vapor's wagon feels a bit crowded.

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Re: Mafia 47 - The Sixth Mass Extinction - GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#3418 Post by Vaporwave » Wed Jul 24, 2019 1:01 am

scum in claimants: Chaqa or Percy or both

Percy more believable than Chaqa tho

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Re: Mafia 47 - The Sixth Mass Extinction - GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#3419 Post by xorxes » Wed Jul 24, 2019 1:02 am

Vaporwave wrote:
Wed Jul 24, 2019 1:01 am
scum in claimants: Chaqa or Percy or both

Percy more believable than Chaqa tho
No point in lynching Chaqa before Tom is dead.

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Re: Mafia 47 - The Sixth Mass Extinction - GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#3420 Post by foodcoats » Wed Jul 24, 2019 1:03 am

I think what I don't like about xorxes' sorting is that it is too complicated. I want to use Occam's razor to catch just one scum. From there it should get easier and easier.

I was looking at the wagons and xorxes and Espresso were on both emc wagons and are on the current Vapor wagon. (Fox was also on both emc wagons but is clear.)

But then the simpler answer is that they are both town because there are more town and scum most likely rotated through the wagons. Scum is more likely to not reappear day after day.

...

What if we just use bozo's list? It's imperfect but it's simple. It averages out the scumvibes.

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