M89: Baldurs Gate Mafia Game Thread

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foodcoats
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Re: M89: Baldurs Gate Mafia Game Thread

#6901 Post by foodcoats » Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:32 pm

sweetandcool wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 8:59 pm
These reads are accurate, and doubters need to adopt them or we will lose.

Worcej is TOWN. If worcej was Mafia, would he react to my very helpful reaction test where I tell everyone how GUILTY Food is by rambling about Food being a PR? NOT A CHANCE.

Bona is TOWN. Suppose Bona and President Eden were Mafia. Would it make any sense for them to randomly start bussing each other N5? NO!

Also, Bona is projecting serious Town vibes, I can read him well and I'm telling you he is Town.

Will is TOWN. I know there are reasons to scumread him, and I know his meme was ridiculously fast and consequently looks like a scumslip. But his meme was actually a gift to us because it shows us he is TOWN in two different ways.

1. Scum has DAYCHAT. They would restrain Will from making idiotic blunders like this. And Will would be posting there before here. Like, he would post there, then post here in like 5 minutes. The only way that is possible is if he posted it in scum chat and then copy pasted, but his teammates would be like "noooooooo".

2. President Eden is having a great time whipping everyone into a frenzy over the meme. Opportunistic scum? Yes!

MadMonarch is TOWN. Mafia has ZERO MOTIVATION to defend Will here and MM has found a defense of Will's meme that is totally Townie.

President Eden is MAFIA.

Case:

Starting the case off stupid, but please read Eden's N5 as if he was scum. He has allowed his mask to slip because he can't resist "gloating" and he is actively pushing against several Town players.
Eden has been given a free pass due to BM being Mafia (which I still assume is the case).

This is what happened:

1. Mafia knows that Dip is going down.
2. Mafia wants to clear with the BM lfischl (Eden).
3. Balki taunts Squigs to see if he can peel off some lfisch Town voters.
4. Squigs and sweetandcool move from lfischl to Balki.
5. BM is activated right before the Duel is announced.
6. If the duel hadn't been announced, the plan was probably to have Mafia bussers of lfischl to jump to ghug, but of course any wagon of convenience would have worked out.
7. The lfischl wagon collapses, and probably ghug would have been 2nd place wagon (but of course the duel ruined this plan).

This plan for Mafia makes so much sense because every voter of lfischl was voting them for lurking. So Mafia probably had confidence they could shift votes from lfischl, especially since they were on him anyways.

Consequently, Aaro and Colby look incredibly likely to be the Mafia bussers that were on lfischl, before the duel was announced.

Even if you don't agree with this conclusion, at the very least it is incredibly realistic that Eden is scum, please don't townclear him like I've been doing the entire game because of lfischl being a top wagon when BM was presumably activated.

Please look at Eden closely. His votes, his ISO, his behavior N5, and you will see that he is confident Mafia.

TOWN

sweetandcool
Bona
worcej
Will
Food
Mad Monarch

Probably Town

Fox

POE

Aaro
Ezio
Bunny
Colby

MAFIA

Eden

Probably Mafia

Aaro
Colby

That actually just leaves Bunny and Ezio. And there is a small chance I am wrong about MM, but I doubt it. Between those two, Ezio has done a great job of seeming townie the whole game, and I predict he will actually be the NK, possibly solving the game for us if we resist the urge to MK today.
Sweet, first of all, I appreciate this. Thank you.

Regarding Will, do you not think this is a major case of WIFOM? A scumteam including Will could recursively decide for Will to play extremely scummy. Personally I think this is slightly more likely because Will’s typical game is not straight-laced and organized; as in, I highly doubt any scumteam with Will would have Will play Sherlock.

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Re: M89: Baldurs Gate Mafia Game Thread

#6902 Post by sweetandcool » Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:32 pm

JustAGuyNamedWill wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:31 pm
No we still have another miskill left
Not if Mafia has a power to fuck us. Just assume we have no MK.

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Re: M89: Baldurs Gate Mafia Game Thread

#6903 Post by BunnyGo » Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:32 pm

foodcoats wrote:
Wed Jun 12, 2024 7:26 pm
I guess we know MM has voteparked on 5 town in a row. So… maybe there’s some mathematical reason to kill her.

But now I’m just tilted and tunnelled.
I think you’re tilted and tunneled. But I also think I don’t want to be a kilo with her around. It’s bad for town if she’s town and bad for town if she’s scum.

That said…


##vote sweet
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak

Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik

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Re: M89: Baldurs Gate Mafia Game Thread

#6904 Post by JustAGuyNamedWill » Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:33 pm

I will towncase sweet later but please do not kill him

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Re: M89: Baldurs Gate Mafia Game Thread

#6905 Post by JustAGuyNamedWill » Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:33 pm

sweetandcool wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:32 pm
JustAGuyNamedWill wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:31 pm
No we still have another miskill left
Not if Mafia has a power to fuck us. Just assume we have no MK.
Valid point

##VOTE EDEN

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Re: M89: Baldurs Gate Mafia Game Thread

#6906 Post by JustAGuyNamedWill » Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:34 pm

Food is still probably scum. Genuinely, if he is claiming PR the chance he is mafia is way higher then him being town.

I hate to rope statistics into this but thats what i think as well

Would be more than happy to kill food

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Re: M89: Baldurs Gate Mafia Game Thread

#6907 Post by foodcoats » Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:35 pm

JustAGuyNamedWill wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:33 pm
sweetandcool wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:32 pm
JustAGuyNamedWill wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:31 pm
No we still have another miskill left
Not if Mafia has a power to fuck us. Just assume we have no MK.
Valid point

##VOTE EDEN
Will, please explain why you scumread Eden.

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Re: M89: Baldurs Gate Mafia Game Thread

#6908 Post by BunnyGo » Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:35 pm

JustAGuyNamedWill wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:33 pm
I will towncase sweet later but please do not kill him
This cannot be right.

It cannot be right to let sweet stay in the game when he’s playing like this.
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak

Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik

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Re: M89: Baldurs Gate Mafia Game Thread

#6909 Post by foodcoats » Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:35 pm

JustAGuyNamedWill wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:34 pm
Food is still probably scum. Genuinely, if he is claiming PR the chance he is mafia is way higher then him being town.

I hate to rope statistics into this but thats what i think as well

Would be more than happy to kill food
Can you please explain those statistics, Will?

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Re: M89: Baldurs Gate Mafia Game Thread

#6910 Post by BunnyGo » Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:35 pm

JustAGuyNamedWill wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:34 pm
Food is still probably scum. Genuinely, if he is claiming PR the chance he is mafia is way higher then him being town.

I hate to rope statistics into this but thats what i think as well

Would be more than happy to kill food
This is horrible.
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak

Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik

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Re: M89: Baldurs Gate Mafia Game Thread

#6911 Post by BunnyGo » Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:36 pm

foodcoats wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:35 pm
JustAGuyNamedWill wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:34 pm
Food is still probably scum. Genuinely, if he is claiming PR the chance he is mafia is way higher then him being town.

I hate to rope statistics into this but thats what i think as well

Would be more than happy to kill food
Can you please explain those statistics, Will?
The stats are higher still for a supposed math enthusiast who claims PR for a while…
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak

Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik

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Re: M89: Baldurs Gate Mafia Game Thread

#6912 Post by foodcoats » Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:36 pm

I feel like Will is a serial killer who has entered his berserker stage.

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Re: M89: Baldurs Gate Mafia Game Thread

#6913 Post by JustAGuyNamedWill » Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:36 pm

foodcoats wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:35 pm
JustAGuyNamedWill wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:33 pm
sweetandcool wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:32 pm


Not if Mafia has a power to fuck us. Just assume we have no MK.
Valid point

##VOTE EDEN
Will, please explain why you scumread Eden.
I do not necessarily scumread eden but my goodness is sweet a bad flip, rather eden then sweet, and sweet is already voting eden

Plus they were a large proponent in ‘will scumslipped he pulled up a meme’ which may have been just trying to set up one of the final miskill

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Re: M89: Baldurs Gate Mafia Game Thread

#6914 Post by JustAGuyNamedWill » Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:38 pm

Well, assuming there are 3 mafia prs left and 2 town left, it is statistically likely that food is scum if he is being truthful about his chats with the dead

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Re: M89: Baldurs Gate Mafia Game Thread

#6915 Post by BunnyGo » Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:38 pm

JustAGuyNamedWill wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:36 pm
foodcoats wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:35 pm
JustAGuyNamedWill wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:33 pm


Valid point

##VOTE EDEN
Will, please explain why you scumread Eden.
I do not necessarily scumread eden but my goodness is sweet a bad flip, rather eden then sweet, and sweet is already voting eden

Plus they were a large proponent in ‘will scumslipped he pulled up a meme’ which may have been just trying to set up one of the final miskill
Monarch before Eden…can you imagine being in KiLo, she disappears and we either have to vote whatever her last vote was or lose? Ugh.

That said…sweet is scum.

I’m either voting sweet to stay away from KiLo or voting TheMad to protect while in KiLo.

And your defense of sweet is insane. Make the case or stop posting this sh**.
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak

Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik

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Re: M89: Baldurs Gate Mafia Game Thread

#6916 Post by foodcoats » Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:40 pm

JustAGuyNamedWill wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:36 pm
foodcoats wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:35 pm
JustAGuyNamedWill wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:33 pm


Valid point

##VOTE EDEN
Will, please explain why you scumread Eden.
I do not necessarily scumread eden but my goodness is sweet a bad flip, rather eden then sweet, and sweet is already voting eden

Plus they were a large proponent in ‘will scumslipped he pulled up a meme’ which may have been just trying to set up one of the final miskill
Okay, but you responded “good point” to sweet saying we may only have one miskill.

And now you say you do not scumread Eden.

So why, if you think we may have only one miskill, would you vote for someone you do not scumread?

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Re: M89: Baldurs Gate Mafia Game Thread

#6917 Post by JustAGuyNamedWill » Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:40 pm

BunnyGo wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:35 pm
JustAGuyNamedWill wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:33 pm
I will towncase sweet later but please do not kill him
This cannot be right.

It cannot be right to let sweet stay in the game when he’s playing like this.
I really think most of the push on sweet is, ‘sweet is scummy, lets kill him as a safe bet’ and not really because his actions are super mafia indicative.

“ It cannot be right to let sweet stay in the game when he’s playing like this.” is not how you win a game, its how mafia get easy miskills

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Re: M89: Baldurs Gate Mafia Game Thread

#6918 Post by Ezio » Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:41 pm

##vote justanotherguynamedwill

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Re: M89: Baldurs Gate Mafia Game Thread

#6919 Post by foodcoats » Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:41 pm

JustAGuyNamedWill wrote:
Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:38 pm
Well, assuming there are 3 mafia prs left and 2 town left, it is statistically likely that food is scum if he is being truthful about his chats with the dead
Why do you think there are three mafia PRs “left” and two town PRs “left?”

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Re: M89: Baldurs Gate Mafia Game Thread

#6920 Post by Ezio » Thu Jun 13, 2024 9:41 pm

Er
##vote justaguynamedwill

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