Hmm. And any thoughts on why you lost a bunch? Besides the game being hard?Temasek22 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 2:27 pmI actually lost multiple games in a row both as town and scum, my only previous win was as a substitute who did pretty much nothing. Meanwhile, IRL got busy and I missed turns in Diplomacy games and CDed out of multiple of them. I ended up not using the site for a long while, only coming back because one day I randomly remembered it and had free time.
MAfIA 84 - A VERY TENDER THANKSGIVING GAME THREAD
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Re: MAfIA 84 - A VERY TENDER THANKSGIVING GAME THREAD
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Re: MAfIA 84 - A VERY TENDER THANKSGIVING GAME THREAD
Dislike your British use of “they’re”damo666 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 2:28 pmTheir called assumptions. They may we wrong but after all this is just a contrived guessing game. I like to rationalise my guesses.Hamilton Brian wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 2:14 pmIt's some weird mathing damo, and doesn't there have to be some absolute truths for it to work? I'm not mathematician, but...
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Re: MAfIA 84 - A VERY TENDER THANKSGIVING GAME THREAD
This milkshake is awful.
Sickly vanilla.
Made in French Canada…
Sickly vanilla.
Made in French Canada…
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Re: MAfIA 84 - A VERY TENDER THANKSGIVING GAME THREAD
a) he's the only one out of the three with highest frequency count who is voting Tem
b) it's a method!
Main thing is it seems to have sparked some conversation.
Re: MAfIA 84 - A VERY TENDER THANKSGIVING GAME THREAD
Ugh. Just finished my 900 ml.
Now to sit around until they call me.
Who is here to solve this with me?
Or just fill up the thread with chatter.
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Re: MAfIA 84 - A VERY TENDER THANKSGIVING GAME THREAD
Explain the Tem thing to me?
Can you elaborate on your methodology for excluding pairs?
Or give examples of the pairs excluded and why?
I think that’s more interesting than your frequency “math”
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Re: MAfIA 84 - A VERY TENDER THANKSGIVING GAME THREAD
Either that or I got back to reading the murderbot diaries
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Re: MAfIA 84 - A VERY TENDER THANKSGIVING GAME THREAD
If you add the scores it sums to 27 indicating 9 possible teams. I don't particulatly wish to disclose which pairs I excluded.Temasek22 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 2:24 pmOut of curiosity, are Chaqa, Ham and rdr's 11 possible teams in your model here similar? As in neither have had enough interaction with the other possible scum to have too many pairs deemed unlikely?damo666 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 2:11 pmFirstly I assumed certain players were town and then of the remainder I identified any pairs I deemed unlikely. I then listed all the possible teams of the three remaining scum and then counted how many times each individual player appeared in different teams. This gives a frequency count per player as listed above.heartthrob24909 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 12:33 pm
What do you mean frequency? Not sure I understand where this list / numbers are coming from.
So for example although I think Tem may be scum there are only 2 teams I think he can be in so imo he is not a value vote.
Hope this helps.
Re: MAfIA 84 - A VERY TENDER THANKSGIVING GAME THREAD
The pairs you excluded is LITERALLY the only thing that is your reasoning. The rest is bs summaries.damo666 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 2:38 pmIf you add the scores it sums to 27 indicating 9 possible teams. I don't particulatly wish to disclose which pairs I excluded.Temasek22 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 2:24 pmOut of curiosity, are Chaqa, Ham and rdr's 11 possible teams in your model here similar? As in neither have had enough interaction with the other possible scum to have too many pairs deemed unlikely?damo666 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 2:11 pm
Firstly I assumed certain players were town and then of the remainder I identified any pairs I deemed unlikely. I then listed all the possible teams of the three remaining scum and then counted how many times each individual player appeared in different teams. This gives a frequency count per player as listed above.
So for example although I think Tem may be scum there are only 2 teams I think he can be in so imo he is not a value vote.
Hope this helps.
So…why don’t you want to explain your reasoning?
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Re: MAfIA 84 - A VERY TENDER THANKSGIVING GAME THREAD
Base assumption: no bussers on sweetBunnyGo wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 2:26 pmGood question!Temasek22 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 2:24 pmOut of curiosity, are Chaqa, Ham and rdr's 11 possible teams in your model here similar? As in neither have had enough interaction with the other possible scum to have too many pairs deemed unlikely?damo666 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 2:11 pm
Firstly I assumed certain players were town and then of the remainder I identified any pairs I deemed unlikely. I then listed all the possible teams of the three remaining scum and then counted how many times each individual player appeared in different teams. This gives a frequency count per player as listed above.
So for example although I think Tem may be scum there are only 2 teams I think he can be in so imo he is not a value vote.
Hope this helps.
@damo: can you elaborate on some pairs you excluded?
Did you exclude any thruples but allowed subpairs?
Secondary: excluded certain pairings for my own reasons
Re: MAfIA 84 - A VERY TENDER THANKSGIVING GAME THREAD
Three people had 11.damo666 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 2:38 pmIf you add the scores it sums to 27 indicating 9 possible teams. I don't particulatly wish to disclose which pairs I excluded.Temasek22 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 2:24 pmOut of curiosity, are Chaqa, Ham and rdr's 11 possible teams in your model here similar? As in neither have had enough interaction with the other possible scum to have too many pairs deemed unlikely?damo666 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 2:11 pm
Firstly I assumed certain players were town and then of the remainder I identified any pairs I deemed unlikely. I then listed all the possible teams of the three remaining scum and then counted how many times each individual player appeared in different teams. This gives a frequency count per player as listed above.
So for example although I think Tem may be scum there are only 2 teams I think he can be in so imo he is not a value vote.
Hope this helps.
So that’s math contradiction several ways.
What’s up damo?
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Re: MAfIA 84 - A VERY TENDER THANKSGIVING GAME THREAD
Why no bussers? Didn’t you answer the survey with a 1?
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Re: MAfIA 84 - A VERY TENDER THANKSGIVING GAME THREAD
Good evening Macca. Come join us for a maths lesson.
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Re: MAfIA 84 - A VERY TENDER THANKSGIVING GAME THREAD
It means I'm prepared to vote for a lower preference if a kill is more likely. E.g if I were the only vote on rdr, you were voteless, Ham 5, Chaqa 2 I would switch to Ham.BunnyGo wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 2:27 pmWhat does “subject to the constraint of getting a likely kill” mean?damo666 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 2:26 pmMy preferred vote today is
1) rdr (high value and voting Tem)
2) Bunny (voting Tem, slightly less value)
3&4) Ham (high value, vanity voting) or Chaqa (high value, voting stupidly)
5) heart (lesser value voting Tem)
6) Macca (least value voting Tem)
7) Tem
8) in the unlikely event none of the above are viable wagons I'll just have to vote ghug
I hope to be around at EOD and will vote in accordance with above preference subject to the constraint of getting a likely kill (so, if things stood as they are now at T-2 I'd be forced to vote my 7th choice).
All the above is dramatic events notwithstanding.
Re: MAfIA 84 - A VERY TENDER THANKSGIVING GAME THREAD
Doh!BunnyGo wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 2:29 pmDislike your British use of “they’re”damo666 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 2:28 pmTheir called assumptions. They may we wrong but after all this is just a contrived guessing game. I like to rationalise my guesses.Hamilton Brian wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 2:14 pmIt's some weird mathing damo, and doesn't there have to be some absolute truths for it to work? I'm not mathematician, but...
Re: MAfIA 84 - A VERY TENDER THANKSGIVING GAME THREAD
Lol.
And I've discarded my notes. Cba recreating the whole thing but I'll provide a couple of exluded pairs by way of example.
Re: MAfIA 84 - A VERY TENDER THANKSGIVING GAME THREAD
Can you provide us the updated numbers too?
What’s CBA?
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Re: MAfIA 84 - A VERY TENDER THANKSGIVING GAME THREAD
Timezones meant I'm not here for majority of discussion (UTC +8), lack of individual skill, lurked way too much, sheer bad luck. All 4 contributed to my loss streak to various extents.BunnyGo wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 2:29 pmHmm. And any thoughts on why you lost a bunch? Besides the game being hard?Temasek22 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 25, 2023 2:27 pmI actually lost multiple games in a row both as town and scum, my only previous win was as a substitute who did pretty much nothing. Meanwhile, IRL got busy and I missed turns in Diplomacy games and CDed out of multiple of them. I ended up not using the site for a long while, only coming back because one day I randomly remembered it and had free time.
Re: MAfIA 84 - A VERY TENDER THANKSGIVING GAME THREAD
Can’t be arsed?
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik
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Re: MAfIA 84 - A VERY TENDER THANKSGIVING GAME THREAD
No Bussers? Buddy are you crazy? These bitches love to bus, they'd be driving kids to school if we'd let em.
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