M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]

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aarodactyl
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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]

#262 Post by aarodactyl » Tue Jun 20, 2023 4:24 am

rdrivera2005 wrote:
Tue Jun 20, 2023 2:47 am
aarodactyl wrote:
Tue Jun 20, 2023 2:32 am
It’s also not a binary. There are partial solutions like asking someone to claim when they’re a single and whatnot.
I agree with this, but I don't see such a big deal on claiming. Scum will probably know the pairs after some kills anyway.
I truly believe there are situations where it helps to hide it. And also I don’t see any upside to revealing it on D1. So not claiming now is strictly not bad. On a more whimsical note, it’s boring to reveal roles here.

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brainbomb
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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]

#263 Post by brainbomb » Tue Jun 20, 2023 4:38 am

right, we totally would not want this riveting game to get boring
What can I say? I'm survivin'
Crawling out these sheets to see another day

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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]

#264 Post by aarodactyl » Tue Jun 20, 2023 5:00 am

brainbomb wrote:
Tue Jun 20, 2023 4:38 am
right, we totally would not want this riveting game to get boring
In the nicest way possible, if you were a sports division, you’d be the AL central.

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ghug
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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]

#265 Post by ghug » Tue Jun 20, 2023 5:07 am

aarodactyl wrote:
Tue Jun 20, 2023 4:22 am
##vote worcej
You're really gonna miss his first claim and then vote him for repeating it? Double smell.

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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]

#266 Post by aarodactyl » Tue Jun 20, 2023 5:08 am

ghug wrote:
Tue Jun 20, 2023 5:07 am
aarodactyl wrote:
Tue Jun 20, 2023 4:22 am
##vote worcej
You're really gonna miss his first claim and then vote him for repeating it? Double smell.
Lol. Did I really miss it? I’ll reread.

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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]

#267 Post by brainbomb » Tue Jun 20, 2023 5:11 am

aarodactyl wrote:
Tue Jun 20, 2023 5:00 am
brainbomb wrote:
Tue Jun 20, 2023 4:38 am
right, we totally would not want this riveting game to get boring
In the nicest way possible, if you were a sports division, you’d be the AL central.
the fact you chose major league baseball as your metaphor in the first place kinda tells it all. was professional pickleball on offseason or something?
What can I say? I'm survivin'
Crawling out these sheets to see another day

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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]

#268 Post by aarodactyl » Tue Jun 20, 2023 5:14 am

worcej wrote:
Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:55 pm
ghug wrote:
Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:53 pm
worcej wrote:
Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:45 pm
Which is already accounted for in the 3/7
You are trolling, yes?
I am a process engineer and don’t need to know the complexity of statistics to find an exact percent to justify how I am going to proceed with the problem.

However, my problem is unique because it’s Chaqa.
Ah I remember reading this and thinking it was a fake claim because I thought chaqa wasn’t playing.

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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]

#269 Post by aarodactyl » Tue Jun 20, 2023 5:17 am

I’m less upset with worcej’s claim now because he said it before he agreed it was silly to claim on D1.

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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]

#270 Post by worcej » Tue Jun 20, 2023 5:32 am

aarodactyl wrote:
Tue Jun 20, 2023 4:24 am
rdrivera2005 wrote:
Tue Jun 20, 2023 2:47 am
aarodactyl wrote:
Tue Jun 20, 2023 2:32 am
It’s also not a binary. There are partial solutions like asking someone to claim when they’re a single and whatnot.
I agree with this, but I don't see such a big deal on claiming. Scum will probably know the pairs after some kills anyway.
I truly believe there are situations where it helps to hide it. And also I don’t see any upside to revealing it on D1. So not claiming now is strictly not bad. On a more whimsical note, it’s boring to reveal roles here.
What is the upside potential you see?

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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]

#271 Post by worcej » Tue Jun 20, 2023 5:33 am

aarodactyl wrote:
Tue Jun 20, 2023 5:17 am
I’m less upset with worcej’s claim now because he said it before he agreed it was silly to claim on D1.
At no point have I said it’s silly to claim D1.

I agree that there isn’t a big deal between N1 and D1 but am very interested in why some people think it’s a big deal.

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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]

#272 Post by aarodactyl » Tue Jun 20, 2023 5:37 am

worcej wrote:
Tue Jun 20, 2023 5:33 am
aarodactyl wrote:
Tue Jun 20, 2023 5:17 am
I’m less upset with worcej’s claim now because he said it before he agreed it was silly to claim on D1.
At no point have I said it’s silly to claim D1.

I agree that there isn’t a big deal between N1 and D1 but am very interested in why some people think it’s a big deal.
viewtopic.php?p=351156#p351156

I’m not explaining why waiting longer is good for now. I’ve been very upfront refusing to explain that so I’m just going to stop responding to requests to explain it.

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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]

#273 Post by Vecna » Tue Jun 20, 2023 6:19 am

aarodactyl wrote:
Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:01 pm
Hi. I’m at work but I wanted to post to say that if you’re town, the odds that your partner is scum is 3/11.

Also I meant to spend time thinking about claiming partners but I got distracted by the math.
7 pairings, 3 containing scum

3/7, close to 50%

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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]

#274 Post by Vecna » Tue Jun 20, 2023 6:23 am

Kakarroto wrote:
Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:06 pm
aarodactyl wrote:
Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:01 pm
Hi. I’m at work but I wanted to post to say that if you’re town, the odds that your partner is scum is 3/11.

Also I meant to spend time thinking about claiming partners but I got distracted by the math.
Well, there are 7 teams with 3 teams having 1 mafia, so 4 teams are pure town. Isn't the probability that, when you are town, your partner has a chance of being 3/7th mafia and 4/7th town?
this guy statistics

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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]

#275 Post by Vecna » Tue Jun 20, 2023 6:24 am

DemonRHK wrote:
Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:03 pm
MAFIA!!!

Alright you dirty madafackers we're gonna do something revolutionary.

Imma be nice. Being rude gets tiring.

I hope you've all been well! I missed you all. Small not that if I make it to this weekend, I will be split focus because a Japanese man decided to cross a JRPG with GoT.

##Vote No Kill

Just to have somethin on the books.
this guy seems a lot more flashy and wordy than what i remember. not timed like he tends to be as scum.

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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]

#276 Post by Vecna » Tue Jun 20, 2023 6:25 am

ghug wrote:
Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:04 pm
##VOTE Vecna
<3

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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]

#277 Post by aarodactyl » Tue Jun 20, 2023 6:30 am

Vecna wrote:
Tue Jun 20, 2023 6:19 am
aarodactyl wrote:
Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:01 pm
Hi. I’m at work but I wanted to post to say that if you’re town, the odds that your partner is scum is 3/11.

Also I meant to spend time thinking about claiming partners but I got distracted by the math.
7 pairings, 3 containing scum

3/7, close to 50%
You’re legally required to tell me if you’re trolling or if you’re just bad at math.

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ghug
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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]

#278 Post by ghug » Tue Jun 20, 2023 7:42 am

Vecna wrote:
Tue Jun 20, 2023 6:19 am
aarodactyl wrote:
Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:01 pm
Hi. I’m at work but I wanted to post to say that if you’re town, the odds that your partner is scum is 3/11.

Also I meant to spend time thinking about claiming partners but I got distracted by the math.
7 pairings, 3 containing scum

3/7, close to 50%
No not Vecna too.

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Jamiet99uk
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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]

#279 Post by Jamiet99uk » Tue Jun 20, 2023 7:47 am

brainbomb wrote:
Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:02 pm
The person I am in a chat with openly admitted to being mafia and claimed that no one would ever believe me even if I announced it. I asked them who they were mafia with and they said ezio, Jamie, and sweetandcool.

I asked how that was possible and they said they were only lying about one of the three.
I know that either Brainbomb or his dance partner is lying.
Potato, potato; potato.

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ghug
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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]

#280 Post by ghug » Tue Jun 20, 2023 7:49 am

Jamiet99uk wrote:
Tue Jun 20, 2023 7:47 am
brainbomb wrote:
Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:02 pm
The person I am in a chat with openly admitted to being mafia and claimed that no one would ever believe me even if I announced it. I asked them who they were mafia with and they said ezio, Jamie, and sweetandcool.

I asked how that was possible and they said they were only lying about one of the three.
I know that either Brainbomb or his dance partner is lying.
Did you find a fat version of flum's avatar?

Don't claim things FYI.

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