You gotta double count the double town pairs essentiallyKakarroto wrote: ↑Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:06 pmWell, there are 7 teams with 3 teams having 1 mafia, so 4 teams are pure town. Isn't the probability that, when you are town, your partner has a chance of being 3/7th mafia and 4/7th town?aarodactyl wrote: ↑Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:01 pmHi. I’m at work but I wanted to post to say that if you’re town, the odds that your partner is scum is 3/11.
Also I meant to spend time thinking about claiming partners but I got distracted by the math.
M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]
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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]
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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]
This is spooky because pre-game I contemplated on announcing that I was Mafia (I am not) to my dance partner, just to see their reaction.brainbomb wrote: ↑Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:02 pmThe person I am in a chat with openly admitted to being mafia and claimed that no one would ever believe me even if I announced it. I asked them who they were mafia with and they said ezio, Jamie, and sweetandcool.
I asked how that was possible and they said they were only lying about one of the three.
Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]
Just the wonderful world of Mundartsweetandcool wrote: ↑Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:04 pmIs Wiener Walzerkoenig drunk? Because he sounds like he is slurring his words.Kakarroto wrote: ↑Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:01 pmSuddenly all the lights went dark for a second, then the overhead installed spotlights went on and moved around over the gathered crowd. After a short moment of silence, the crowd began to chatter.
"LADIES AND GENTLEMEN!" a female voice rang out towards the crowd, "LET US WELCOME ONE OF OUR SPECIAL GUESTS! HE IS THE FIGARO OF FEET, THE DEVIL OF THE DANCEFLOOR, THE SAINT OF SPINS! DIRECTLY FROM THE IMPERIAL CITY OF VIENNA, WELCOME THE SECOND WIENER WALZERKÖNIG, FRANZL J.!" Thundering applause roared through the hall, some people not entirly sure if from the crowd or from installed and hidden speakers.
"Jo mai," he began to say "I bin wiaglich so froa dos I hia bin." smiling and waved to the crowd. "Daham in Wean san de Leit ned hoibald so laud, wissans? I bin so froa des I sea olle glott umoaman ded." He waved another time towards the crowd while smiling. "Owa des ded mai liabe Sissi ned zualossn, wissns, sie is a goanz liabe. I wissad ned, wos I ohne se dadat."
After a short period where translations happened, the host began again to speak. "Of course, I'm sure everyone here welcomes you with open arms, since everyone will love to watch you dance here to the music. But I've asked myself; why would someone from Vienna come here and be part of this whole journey?" He smiled and waved towards the crowd again as he answered. "Jo, des is gonz afoch: des hia is a wundavois Schiffal und I kon ma nix bessas vuistöhn ois bei da eastn foat dabeizusei. I hob scho imma de majestätischn Schiffal vo Ihra Majestät gean ghobt, vo dem hea is es ka Wunda, dos I hia bin und mitfoa. Oiso, I hoff ea wiad no gonz long lebn."
With that, the music started to play and he began to wave again towards the crowd while smiling. Meanwhile he hoped that his Sissi would come fast so he could dance.

Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]
3/7. There are 7 pairs and scum cannot double up.aarodactyl wrote: ↑Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:01 pmHi. I’m at work but I wanted to post to say that if you’re town, the odds that your partner is scum is 3/11.
Also I meant to spend time thinking about claiming partners but I got distracted by the math.
Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]
3/7, but who is counting.aarodactyl wrote: ↑Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:01 pmHi. I’m at work but I wanted to post to say that if you’re town, the odds that your partner is scum is 3/11.
Also I meant to spend time thinking about claiming partners but I got distracted by the math.
Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]
Also hello everyone. As I stated in pregame, and on discord if you have anyone you would like a meta analysis on or anything feel free to ask. your neighborhood archivist is ready to work.
What can I say? I'm survivin'
Crawling out these sheets to see another day
Crawling out these sheets to see another day
Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]
Beating Ezio to the punch. Interesting lolDemonRHK wrote: ↑Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:03 pmMAFIA!!!
Alright you dirty madafackers we're gonna do something revolutionary.
Imma be nice. Being rude gets tiring.
I hope you've all been well! I missed you all. Small not that if I make it to this weekend, I will be split focus because a Japanese man decided to cross a JRPG with GoT.
##Vote No Kill
Just to have somethin on the books.
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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]
Lets start with some introductory flavour. What was the first dance you did with your partner?
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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]
Also there’s a 3/11 chance your partner is scum (if you’re town). There is a 5/22 chance someone you’re not partners with is scum. 3/11>5/22 so watch your backs while dancing.
Also this intro is 50% because I want to make sure we don’t get bad math arguments and 50% to make durga happy she didn’t join.
Also this intro is 50% because I want to make sure we don’t get bad math arguments and 50% to make durga happy she didn’t join.
Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]
The ChatGPT Boogiesweetandcool wrote: ↑Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:10 pmLets start with some introductory flavour. What was the first dance you did with your partner?
Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]
##vote aaroaarodactyl wrote: ↑Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:10 pmAlso there’s a 3/11 chance your partner is scum (if you’re town). There is a 5/22 chance someone you’re not partners with is scum. 3/11>5/22 so watch your backs while dancing.
Also this intro is 50% because I want to make sure we don’t get bad math arguments and 50% to make durga happy she didn’t join.
Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]
While I don't believe this exchange actually occured, I think you make what could be an interestiung thought exercise gamer.brainbomb wrote: ↑Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:02 pmThe person I am in a chat with openly admitted to being mafia and claimed that no one would ever believe me even if I announced it. I asked them who they were mafia with and they said ezio, Jamie, and sweetandcool.
I asked how that was possible and they said they were only lying about one of the three.
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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]
Also I don’t hold anything against those of you that are saying 3/7 but bayes is rolling in his grave. Maybe don’t do that to him.
Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]
Do you thinkDemonRHK wrote: ↑Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:11 pmWhile I don't believe this exchange actually occured, I think you make what could be an interestiung thought exercise gamer.brainbomb wrote: ↑Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:02 pmThe person I am in a chat with openly admitted to being mafia and claimed that no one would ever believe me even if I announced it. I asked them who they were mafia with and they said ezio, Jamie, and sweetandcool.
I asked how that was possible and they said they were only lying about one of the three.
A. he didnt really say those three?
B. he didnt really admit to being mafia?
C. I am lying
D. he isnt a he.
What can I say? I'm survivin'
Crawling out these sheets to see another day
Crawling out these sheets to see another day
Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]
Anyway, I talked with my dance partner (further known as 'Sissi' until reveal), and we thought a bit about the pro's and con's of everyone claiming their dance partners. Maybe we didn't think of every possibility, but it looked to us that claiming head on is much more beneficial for town, than it is for mafia, right?
So in that regard, I'd like to hear from everyone here what you think, should we reveal our dance partners right here on the first day?
Btw, I think my partner is more likely town, so if I didn't misread my dear Sissi, that would be two towns leaning on revealing today.
So in that regard, I'd like to hear from everyone here what you think, should we reveal our dance partners right here on the first day?
Btw, I think my partner is more likely town, so if I didn't misread my dear Sissi, that would be two towns leaning on revealing today.
Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]
Ironic no?worcej wrote: ↑Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:10 pmBeating Ezio to the punch. Interesting lolDemonRHK wrote: ↑Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:03 pmMAFIA!!!
Alright you dirty madafackers we're gonna do something revolutionary.
Imma be nice. Being rude gets tiring.
I hope you've all been well! I missed you all. Small not that if I make it to this weekend, I will be split focus because a Japanese man decided to cross a JRPG with GoT.
##Vote No Kill
Just to have somethin on the books.
To be clear, I do not believe in a no kill. I just want to be lazy while saving the GMs the hassle of typing the "Vote or be replaced' lines in VCs for D1
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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]
Cbrainbomb wrote: ↑Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:13 pmDo you thinkDemonRHK wrote: ↑Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:11 pmWhile I don't believe this exchange actually occured, I think you make what could be an interestiung thought exercise gamer.brainbomb wrote: ↑Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:02 pmThe person I am in a chat with openly admitted to being mafia and claimed that no one would ever believe me even if I announced it. I asked them who they were mafia with and they said ezio, Jamie, and sweetandcool.
I asked how that was possible and they said they were only lying about one of the three.
A. he didnt really say those three?
B. he didnt really admit to being mafia?
C. I am lying
D. he isnt a he.
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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]
Reminder that all chats involving living players are closed until nighttime.
Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]
There are 7 dance groups.aarodactyl wrote: ↑Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:11 pmAlso I don’t hold anything against those of you that are saying 3/7 but bayes is rolling in his grave. Maybe don’t do that to him.
There is a scum in each group.
If you’re town, you have 3/7 odds of being in a scum containing dance group.
QED
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Re: M81: A Night To Remember [GAME THREAD]
This is absolutely an awful idea, and I'm hoping this isn't just Mafia fishing for dance partners.Kakarroto wrote: ↑Mon Jun 19, 2023 11:13 pmAnyway, I talked with my dance partner (further known as 'Sissi' until reveal), and we thought a bit about the pro's and con's of everyone claiming their dance partners. Maybe we didn't think of every possibility, but it looked to us that claiming head on is much more beneficial for town, than it is for mafia, right?
So in that regard, I'd like to hear from everyone here what you think, should we reveal our dance partners right here on the first day?
Btw, I think my partner is more likely town, so if I didn't misread my dear Sissi, that would be two towns leaning on revealing today.
##VOTE Kakarroto
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