MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

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brainbomb
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Re: MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

#2901 Post by brainbomb » Mon Feb 20, 2023 8:57 pm

probably reading it too literal.
maybe just meant id be happy to be dead
What can I say? I'm survivin'
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President Eden
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Re: MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

#2902 Post by President Eden » Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:02 pm

oh never mind lol. That’s pretty funny that it even works because it’s BK and the three Councilors.

I can confirm I haven’t talked to BK about any forum drama here or in any context :-D

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Re: MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

#2903 Post by President Eden » Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:04 pm

##end

meh

I want this flip lol

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Re: MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

#2904 Post by brainbomb » Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:08 pm

lol, yea I doubt it wouldve been people bringing up the past anyway
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Re: MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

#2906 Post by BK3K » Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:12 pm

brainbomb wrote:
Mon Feb 20, 2023 8:56 pm
brainbomb wrote:
Mon Feb 20, 2023 5:46 pm
BK3K wrote:
Mon Feb 20, 2023 5:45 pm


I don't think it's a bad one. We know a confirmed town for a day, and then he gets to be night killed and quit this forum lol. Had he not revealed, some one is still getting nk'd but we have a higher chance of mk. So yes, I'd reveal in the same position i think.

Are you playing the ground work to throw sus on him when you turn scum with the second question? I don't understand what you're asking
What does this mean? Where did I exude a desire to quit the forum?


Anybody else notice this?

the only person ive ever told I was quitting the forum too was eden in a private message and the mafia council. chaqa and eden are the only people who couldve relayed this to BK and ive never mentioned this game wanting to quit this forum.

so how did BK get such an idea?

🤔
You're over thinking it. I'm saying that from my point of view, getting killed would be a benefit. I think it's no surprise I'm not 100% in it. I know nothing about you

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Re: MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

#2907 Post by President Eden » Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:12 pm

I’ll point out that ghug is mafia and possibly could have mentioned something offhand, which wouldn’t necessarily require any other combination of mafia.

But I’m not comfortable speculating about that when he’s not here to speak up, I don’t want to make him sound like a gossip. I highly doubt he would anyway




Hey BK since you’re here, what did you mean?

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Re: MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

#2908 Post by BK3K » Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:14 pm

President Eden wrote:
Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:12 pm
I’ll point out that ghug is mafia and possibly could have mentioned something offhand, which wouldn’t necessarily require any other combination of mafia.

But I’m not comfortable speculating about that when he’s not here to speak up, I don’t want to make him sound like a gossip. I highly doubt he would anyway




Hey BK since you’re here, what did you mean?
From my pov, getting killed is a good thing. It's meant to be a light joke, that's all

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Re: MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

#2909 Post by damo666 » Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:14 pm

It probably doesn't matter if you kill me- it will go like this

Now 9-3
Kill me 8-3
NK (not brain) 7-3
Assume Maf block (TFB say) and TFB claims "I am doc and saved brain" and real doc doesn't cc before EOD you panic and switch to a town 6-3
NK 5-3 Real doc counterclaims EON
Kill TFB 5-2
NK doc 4-2 with brain as clear (unless he is dead doc).
Have to get it right, assume success 4-1
NK (brain if not already dead) 3-1
No kill
NK 2-1

Hope for the best.

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Re: MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

#2910 Post by damo666 » Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:19 pm

Can we please no hammer until fish has spoken.

He just might claim doc who did not save brain.

We then have a straight Brain v fish fight.

If fish posts (and seems to have caught up) but does not claim doc then feel free to hammer mk me.

@lfischl when you post please make a reference to brain's reveal and my theory, thanks.

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Re: MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

#2911 Post by brainbomb » Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:21 pm

right the guy youve been asking to have shot
and youve tried to eliminate two days in a row
and youve concluded in your scum pairings had to be scum

now hes town and the doc and holds the key to showing im lying
What can I say? I'm survivin'
Crawling out these sheets to see another day

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Re: MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

#2912 Post by damo666 » Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:24 pm

brainbomb wrote:
Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:21 pm
right the guy youve been asking to have shot
and youve tried to eliminate two days in a row
and youve concluded in your scum pairings had to be scum

now hes town and the doc and holds the key to showing im lying
I'm saying he might be. He hasn't spoken yet.

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Re: MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

#2913 Post by brainbomb » Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:28 pm

damo666 wrote:
Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:24 pm
brainbomb wrote:
Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:21 pm
right the guy youve been asking to have shot
and youve tried to eliminate two days in a row
and youve concluded in your scum pairings had to be scum

now hes town and the doc and holds the key to showing im lying
I'm saying he might be. He hasn't spoken yet.

Is this really how you want to go down? have some dignity
What can I say? I'm survivin'
Crawling out these sheets to see another day

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Re: MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

#2914 Post by damo666 » Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:28 pm

When I flip town have a long hard look at those who just flat out assumed I am scum.

And also reflect on the fact that I was instrumental in killing scum ghug and consider I wasn't that bad after all.

Also assuming lfischl says nothing exciting and I am today's kill please kill TFB 2m.

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Re: MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

#2915 Post by damo666 » Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:34 pm

brainbomb wrote:
Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:28 pm
damo666 wrote:
Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:24 pm
brainbomb wrote:
Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:21 pm
right the guy youve been asking to have shot
and youve tried to eliminate two days in a row
and youve concluded in your scum pairings had to be scum

now hes town and the doc and holds the key to showing im lying
I'm saying he might be. He hasn't spoken yet.

Is this really how you want to go down? have some dignity
What's wrong with asking for a stay of execution until fish speaks? OK I understand it's frustrating for you if you are town (which looks highly likely now I admit) but consider how frustrating it is for me with nearly everyone incorrectly assuming I'm scum.

If fish has nothing interesting to say I won't fight any more any you can mk me.

I don't see what is undignified about my stance.

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Re: MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

#2916 Post by brainbomb » Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:35 pm

if you flip town you will have played your worst game ever humanly imaginable and should take up a new hobby of singing in a mens choir for locals
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Re: MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

#2917 Post by damo666 » Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:37 pm

bozotheclown wrote:
Mon Feb 20, 2023 6:47 pm
damo666 wrote:
Mon Feb 20, 2023 3:00 pm
Why would mafia roleblock when it creates a clear?
Obviously RBing the NK is standard mafia play there.
But it's not a standard RB is it?

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Re: MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

#2918 Post by Chaqa » Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:38 pm

damo666 wrote:
Mon Feb 20, 2023 4:50 pm
Chaqa wrote:
Mon Feb 20, 2023 4:27 pm
damo666 wrote:
Mon Feb 20, 2023 1:22 pm


No. I believe the doc save was successful.
Brain claimed he was also saved
I know.

Either

a) he is VT and doc successfully saved
b) his is doc and self saved
c) he is lying town (most unlikely)
d) he is lying scum
The only reason to vote for him is if you think he's scum, and if he is, you must also think they held the roleblock and the kill.

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Re: MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

#2919 Post by rdrivera2005 » Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:40 pm

bozotheclown wrote:
Mon Feb 20, 2023 8:20 pm
KoalaAttack wrote:
Mon Feb 20, 2023 8:10 pm
bozotheclown wrote:
Mon Feb 20, 2023 6:59 pm
Since there is such a consensus on damo, he obviously is going to be flipped before the end of the game, but doing it today wastes a very good opportunity for town.

If damo is DKed today, regardless of whether he is mafia or town, if we are about to DK a mafia at D4 EOD, and the doctor is still hidden, as would be preferable, the mafia about to be DKed can claim doctor at EOD and potentially cause us to waste one of our available mis-kills, force the the doctor to counterclaim, or both.

However, if we do not DK damo D3, and we about to DK a mafia at D3 EOD, if they claim doctor, it will redirect the DK to damo, who is either mafia, or a mis-kill that we are going to make eventually anyway.

This takes away a potential opportunity from the mafia.

The downside is that we lose the information we would get from the confirmation of damo's alignment, but I think that can wait until D4.
The logic of this strategy makes sense to me, but I have 2 caveats:

Caveat A – if this was Confirmed Townie brainbomb proposing this, it would be one thing, but you are not a Confirmed Townie. Last game, you also had solid Townie logic the entire game AFAICT... and then engaged in shameless koala murder as a Mafia. So I'm very wary of such remote deferral plans.

Caveat B – while this makes sense from the pure min-maxing of moves, what about the psychology of folks who are currently engaged in building all sorts theories on the premise of "Damo is Mafia". For example, Confirmed Townie brainbomb is going "Damo, Chaqa, then who can be a deep-lying Mafia with them"... Damo is clearly Town's overall Suspect #1, Chaqa is my personal Suspect #1 – but I for one sure would find it valuable to confirm whether this is the right play or a witch hunt that Mafia is all to happy to send us down.

Put another way, does it not help Mafia to prolong the state of ambiguity for a day – and does it not help Town to bring the state of confirmed clarity ASAP?
I understand your suspicion, and I agree part B is the one downside, as I pointed out, but I think the tradeoff is worth it for D3.
Bozo - I agree with you that leaving Damo alive as a backup kill is a tactically good move. It takes from scum the chance of fakeclaimimg. But I don't think it will work cause of psychological reasons as you already saw.

Most people aren't logic and rational. People instinctively wants the satisfaction ok being right and killing a scum. Also, they don't want to do the effort of going after another scum today, they already have called the day. So, it will be damo and any scum in the block will claim doc until real doc is dead or forced to claim.

And ayone scumreading you for this suggestion should go back to Mafia101 or take your lessons.

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Re: MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

#2920 Post by Chaqa » Mon Feb 20, 2023 9:41 pm

bozotheclown wrote:
Mon Feb 20, 2023 6:59 pm
Since there is such a consensus on damo, he obviously is going to be flipped before the end of the game, but doing it today wastes a very good opportunity for town.

If damo is DKed today, regardless of whether he is mafia or town, if we are about to DK a mafia at D4 EOD, and the doctor is still hidden, as would be preferable, the mafia about to be DKed can claim doctor at EOD and potentially cause us to waste one of our available mis-kills, force the the doctor to counterclaim, or both.

However, if we do not DK damo D3, and we about to DK a mafia at D3 EOD, if they claim doctor, it will redirect the DK to damo, who is either mafia, or a mis-kill that we are going to make eventually anyway.

This takes away a potential opportunity from the mafia.

The downside is that we lose the information we would get from the confirmation of damo's alignment, but I think that can wait until D4.
I strongly disagree with this.

If Damo IS town and is left for later, it's a town loss.

Better to get the "obvious" thing done now and if we fucked up to know.

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