MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

[BK3K]

AI solving the game folks

(11 choose 4)/(16 choose 4)

Put that in Google.

If you type "(11 choose 4)/(16 choose 4)" into Google, it will evaluate the expression and return the result as a decimal. The result should be approximately 0.0661.

if youre playing mafia with 16 people, 4 are mafia, and 5 players begin with B, what is the odds that at least one mafia begins with b?

To calculate the odds that at least one mafia begins with "B", we can use the complement rule, which says that the probability of an event happening is equal to 1 minus the probability that it doesn't happen.

Let's start by finding the probability that none of the 4 mafia members start with "B". There are a total of 16 people, and 5 of them start with "B", so there are 11 people who do not start with "B". The probability that the first mafia member does not start with "B" is 11/16, the probability that the second mafia member does not start with "B" is 10/15, the probability that the third mafia member does not start with "B" is 9/14, and the probability that the fourth mafia member does not start with "B" is 8/13. Therefore, the probability that none of the mafia members start with "B" is:

(11/16) * (10/15) * (9/14) * (8/13) = 0.198

So the probability that at least one mafia member starts with "B" is:

1 - 0.198 = 0.802 or approximately 80.2%

Therefore, the odds that at least one mafia member starts with "B" is about 4 to 1, or 80.2 to 19.8.

[President Eden]

Good enough for me

##VOTE damo666

[Chaqa]

I plugged this all into chatGPT and it told me I was scum.

I don't think it's quite ready yet.

[BK3K]

I plugged this all into chatGPT and it told me I was scum.

I don't think it's quite ready yet.

like all 38 pages?

[President Eden]

I plugged this all into chatGPT and it told me I was scum.

I don't think it's quite ready yet.

Your 24-hour pass is about to expire and your account is not looking good

[BunnyGo]

I plugged this all into chatGPT and it told me I was scum.

I don't think it's quite ready yet.

Fun fact: Burger here used chatGPT for some quite good flavor text. Not as good as what he wrote, but still impressive.

[Chaqa]

I plugged this all into chatGPT and it told me I was scum.

I don't think it's quite ready yet.

Your 24-hour pass is about to expire and your account is not looking good

I already nailed Flum as scum, I'm just waitng til the day ends

[President Eden]

I plugged this all into chatGPT and it told me I was scum.

I don't think it's quite ready yet.

Your 24-hour pass is about to expire and your account is not looking good

I already nailed Flum as scum, I'm just waitng til the day ends

what

Flum’s unironically in my top 5 right now

[KoalaAttack]

Koala seems off, but it’s D1 of his second game.

Honestly, I really struggle with how to get through the shitposting phase. Last time I ended up incorrectly tunneling on worcej, so that didn't work. Must try a different approach.

What should I do differently? Though you might be Mafia this game, so must take with a grain of salt!

[BK3K]

@chaqa @eden

youre both calling out flum rn, and I have no notes on him of substance. can you bring me in?

[ghug]

I am here, I guess I didn't know what I was getting myself into. Is there a way to see who people are voting for so I can try to make sense of this? there's more messages in this thread per hour than all my messages in everything else I'm doing combined.

I'd recommend just declaring bankruptcy and starting to read from where we are now rather than burden yourself with catching up.

Shouldn’t you want him catching up and giving coherent thoughts if you’re voting him

I'd rather he participate than not engage at all because the prospect is overwhelming.

[ghug]

I plugged this all into chatGPT and it told me I was scum.

I don't think it's quite ready yet.

Or maybe it is...

[brainbomb]

Whats funny is imagining chaqa actually going to chat gpt, uploading an entire mafia game to it. pouring over its results.

but being unable to goto peterlunds bot and see who the top posters in this game are

[President Eden]

@chaqa @eden

youre both calling out flum rn, and I have no notes on him of substance. can you bring me in?

Top 5 town for me, not mafia

I’ll have to go back and pick out the quotes later. Flum is always jovial, but as mafia he hides behind that and just sees how far he can get by being likeable and not putting on appearances of hunting. He’s been more searching (town indicative) and I’ve liked a couple of his TFB callout. Also thought his question about whether damo’s odds calculations were factoring himself was pretty smart.

[President Eden]

I'd recommend just declaring bankruptcy and starting to read from where we are now rather than burden yourself with catching up.

Shouldn’t you want him catching up and giving coherent thoughts if you’re voting him

I'd rather he participate than not engage at all because the prospect is overwhelming.

that’s fair. I realized my question was kind of dumb after I said it

[brainbomb]

I an hesistant to go into this route but flum has felt a bit opportunistic to some and standoffish to others. namely I think he hasnt really challenged me on anything and has mostly avoided interactions with me. but has not had an issue with challenging eden.
I dont have flum as town. but he isnt scummy either

[Bonatogether]

• BK3K
o me
• Bonatogether
o Fought a little with him
o Seems to be trying to figure shit out – asking me a lot of probing questions
• Bozotheclown
o silent
• brainbomb
o angry at participation
• BunnyGo
o Nuff said
• Chaqa
o Likes the Eagles
o Likes IASIP
• damo666
• Fluminator
• Ghug
• Jamiet99uk
• KoalaAttack
o Seems to jump to reaching conclusions
• lfischl
• President Eden
o Might be biased since Bunny shared his advice at work with us
o Trust him, but not strongly
• rdrivera2005
• swordsman3003
o silent
• TheFlyingBoat

started to take notes, I'll try to pay attention better to who is like what

i don't think we fought bishkek

you're making me sad

[Jamiet99uk]

Why is Beancomb being accused of "not pressuring anyone" when we're 16 hours into D1 and four people have basically not participated at all yet?

Give the guy a break, at least he's doing something.

You literally +1ed Rdr's post giving him hassle for that

What does that matter?

I splurge out +1's left, right, centre.

[Jamiet99uk]

Love this post! So honest!!

Did you like Jamie's too?

No.

(And my post was in jest to rile up Jamie; I don’t get his earlier “rage”)

I have not expressed any rage, to this point.

Mild annoyance at most.

[Bonatogether]

Why is Beancomb being accused of "not pressuring anyone" when we're 16 hours into D1 and four people have basically not participated at all yet?

Give the guy a break, at least he's doing something.

^ Newbie note ^

This is known as "buddying". As scum I would do this to try to make Brainbomb like me, so that he won't vote me later on.

But today, I'm town, not scum.

I'm tricky, you see.

meta posts are trickerly