MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

[Bonatogether]

literal smoothbrain

Keep it up and the parental controls on the Internet come back, little man.

[President Eden]

current: 9 townies v 3 mafia
N3: presumably Jamie gets strongman killed, 8v3
D4: miss #1, 7v3
N4: presume either ghug or an obvtown gets killed and Doc guesses wrong, 6v3
D5: miss #2, 5v3
N5: presume either ghug or an obvtown gets killed and Doc guesses wrong, 4v3
D6 to infinity: LYLO

We have two misses left right now. If the deathbomb hits a mafia or the Doc saves someone, we still have two misses but we get a more favorable outcome (more clears or a free mafia kill). The deathbomb can be one of our misses, so caution is still advisable, especially as we no longer have any idea where it is.

~~~

I was gonna start actually narrowing the POE but I got halfway through and got tired and it was still a wall that needed editing down so I’m not posting it.

Only interesting thing in it anyway was that worcej is a little to me now when you look at the actual results. He bled town when we were fighting early D2, but both his D1 & D2 votes were actually completely unexplained (go check his posts, he never gives a direct read on either damo or rdrivera or really mentions them at all). His main interaction in the game involved hard shading me and softly pushing back on Jamie for going after Byz, even though he never states a read on Byz or snowy. His vote pattern also looks like what you would expect somebody protecting snowByz to look like. I’m not saying that necessarily makes him sus, just wrong about snowByz, but I never felt like I got any reason from him why he was so firmly on Byz’s side of things. On balance he’s still probably town (random chance is what, 70%?) but I’m less confident in him than I should be.

[ghug]

Can anyone think of any benefit of me peeking? It seems like the risk of hitting the oracle isn't worth knowing my predeath tag, but maybe knowing would help sus things out in the eventual massclaim. Also I want to.

[President Eden]

Can anyone think of any benefit of me peeking? It seems like the risk of hitting the oracle isn’t worth knowing my predeath tag, but maybe knowing would help sus things out in the eventual massclaim. Also I want to.

dopamine

[ghug]

Can anyone think of any benefit of me peeking? It seems like the risk of hitting the oracle isn’t worth knowing my predeath tag, but maybe knowing would help sus things out in the eventual massclaim. Also I want to.

dopamine

But think of the embarrassment if RHK has to pop into the thread to tell y'all I'm town again.

[President Eden]

Can anyone think of any benefit of me peeking? It seems like the risk of hitting the oracle isn’t worth knowing my predeath tag, but maybe knowing would help sus things out in the eventual massclaim. Also I want to.

dopamine

But think of the embarrassment if RHK has to pop into the thread to tell y’all I’m town again.

that would be capital G gaming

[Jamiet99uk]

Can anyone think of any benefit of me peeking? It seems like the risk of hitting the oracle isn't worth knowing my predeath tag, but maybe knowing would help sus things out in the eventual massclaim. Also I want to.

You ought to currently have the tag that I had when I scanned you.

It's originally Neon's tag, but I got it from Sabi.

I don't know what it is.

[Hamilton Brian]

lol

never mind

It momentarily looked good.

[Hamilton Brian]

Gotta give props to Eden. At least when he's writing outloud that he thinks the team consists of me/rdr/celaph he won't double down but still work through some other possibilities. I haven't read much from worcej but today's a good day to dive specifically into Vecna, chaqa, and worcej. Celaph I have a hard time reading and from what I've read their style has undergone a change due to life situations.

[Chaqa]

I will be at a work event for most of today. I *should* be back well before EoN but it largely depends on the turnpike.

[Jamiet99uk]

I will be at a work event for most of today. I *should* be back well before EoN but it largely depends on the turnpike.

True story: Due to the boozy excesses of our fat, corrupt, incompetent Prime Minister during lockdown, people in the UK now jokingly refer to going to the pub and getting smashed as "a work event".

[Chaqa]

I will be at a work event for most of today. I *should* be back well before EoN but it largely depends on the turnpike.

True story: Due to the boozy excesses of our fat, corrupt, incompetent Prime Minister during lockdown, people in the UK now jokingly refer to going to the pub and getting smashed as "a work event".

Well, there will be games, food, and drink at the event, so I think America is on the same page here! :D

[Hamilton Brian]

I will be at a work event for most of today. I *should* be back well before EoN but it largely depends on the turnpike.

Chaqa with the “you can ask me questions but I ain’t gonna be around to answer” card ready to play. :)

[Hamilton Brian]

THings that stand out based on D1 reads part 1.

Bona really seemed to employ a sense of Byz meta as scum to call them out on it; was in it with PEden. Both really seemed to drive that train, as far as I can see right now. I think it would be a large problem for the scum team to bus THAT hard unless they felt confident that the other wagon would happen, which…it did. As of this reading, those two are high town.

RDR had a relatively weak D1; they came out with an appreciation for the new players. Given that we know Byz was mafia, does this imply anything? Not really, but then chose to just drop the vote on Jamie instead of making a firm commitment to one of the top wagons, one of which was mafia. I get the time for activity is different and usually catches Rivera during the work day. Still…meh? Not scum, but not nearly town enough.

Poor Sabi got ridden hard D1.

Neon? Kind of convoluted. I can see how there’d be some suspicion there. I think it’s how I came off when I first started playing here. Even as town I would wrap myself up in my own words then Durga would put on the barrister robes and shout, “Why did you lie.” Anyway, I’m confused at what Neon was writing. Let me obvtown my way through the game.

I do reserve the right to alter my opinion as I continue the reading.

[Jamiet99uk]

Who lives in a pineapple under the sea?
Hamilton Brian!
Absorbent and yellow and porous is he
Hamilton Brian!
If nautical nonsense be something you wish
Hamilton Brian!
Then drop on the deck and flop like a fish!
Hamilton Brian!

[Hamilton Brian]

I think you got into my stash of shrooms, Jamie.

[Hamilton Brian]

D1 Reads Cont:
Celaph:
Early validation with Byz; wound up on the damo wagon (not good). Day 1 isn’t the insightful, inquisitive, dot-connector that I’ve come to view Celap as. Meh.

Chaqa:
Town points to chaqa for the vote to put Byz tied with damo, and also for the hammer. I don’t like the hammers, but I can rationalize this one because of the confidence AND because of the eventual scum flip. Posting content…blech; combination of shitposts and minimal digging. Again, town points for that D1 vote, but I need N1 and beyond before I am willing to drop him in with Eden and Bona. This is especially since the vote was after Eden’s. What’s it mean? Maybe not much in the long run.

Vecna:
Bona to Damo, Damo to Byz, then Byz to Damo for the townkill and the scumsave. Shades Rivera; that seems to almost be the most “challenging” Vecna is toward anyone throughout D1.

Bo:
Interesting passage from bo regarding their final vote after moving off of Rumi: “The degree to which Chaqa and Jamie are following each other around like lost children is intriguing to me and I think they should both be wagons ##VOTE Chaqa” I say I didn’t notice such a relationship when reading Chaqa, so this seems to be making something up just to cast a vote. Which was an inconsequential vote. Most intense dialogue between bo and anyone else was with darg. Not sure how relevant that is. Darg is dead, bo isn’t. I hope reading their N1 and D2 opens up some more.

Jamie:
The professed cop. Points for being on the Byz wagon, I think Eden followed up to make it more competitive. I think Jamie relishes the D1 shitposting more than anyone else. However, other town credit can be gained through the encouragement of the vanity voters to consolidate.

[worcej]

Let's start to talk about our target for tomorrow.

Vecna has not posted for over 28 hours.

Celaph has not posted this phase.

Worcej's only posts in the last 24 hours have been "oh, what's happening?" posts.

Bo_Sox has also had very little to say lately.


A target in this group? I think so.

FWIW, I was busy on the weekend and a lot of shit went down since then to suck some energy out of me, especially knowing my vote is worthless.

Scum have no motivation to ever target me and a PR would be stupid to as well. I am effectively just a tree stump in this game now lol

[worcej]

Let's start to talk about our target for tomorrow.

Vecna has not posted for over 28 hours.

Celaph has not posted this phase.

Worcej's only posts in the last 24 hours have been "oh, what's happening?" posts.

Bo_Sox has also had very little to say lately.


A target in this group? I think so.

Vecna is fully capable of doing that EOD1 shenanigans as scum, but the lack of participation isn't AI for him.

Bo vote at EOD2 makes me think he is town, scum openly voting to save a partner is rare. He also voted Snowy into the lead when he was tied with me.

Worcej is going down fast on my townreads. His willingness to park a vote on me when I was the counter to Snowy also makes me suspect him. Same is valid for Celaph but I don't think both are scum, probably just one.

I have no motivation to provide counter context because I cannot do anything. Kill me at MiLO or sooner please lol

[worcej]

In any case I'd like Vecna, Rivera, or Chaqa as a wagon tomorrow.

Pretty lame choice. Do you think Chaqa was hard bussing Byz D1? And you think Snowy tryng to set me is also bussing?

Vecna I agree, but 1 out of 3 is lame.

I could buy Chaqa bussing.

I could honestly buy just about anyone bussing snowy tbh