MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

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Chaqa
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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#5021 Post by Chaqa » Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:32 pm

Rumi Tobari wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:27 pm
Chaqa wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 11:48 am
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 11:46 am
I'm not massively interested in another 34 hours of this.

Come on, Fellow Townspersons, let's put Snowy out of our misery.
We need 7 hammers on snowy. We have four. I can switch and be #5 but that doesn’t get us there yet
You can switch and be #6.
I’m gonna hold off til I can guarantee the switch causes the hammer and Hamilton gets second-wagon

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#5022 Post by Chaqa » Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:33 pm

Or I can stay put and let others finish it

We’re 100% on Hamilton?

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#5023 Post by President Eden » Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:36 pm

@celaph — thanks for adding to the post; does the nightkill switch tags?

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#5024 Post by Hamilton Brian » Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:38 pm

Hmmm; it seems the snowy wagon has developed from some incontrovertible reasoning (?) mostly issued from PE. The drop-out doesn't look good, and certainly doesn't look good in a pro-town way. However, if that slot is town, (and are all of you on that wagon 100% sure it's not) is there a downside?

Jamie's cop claim? Is this 100% confirmed beyond just belief of the word? And if true, why wouldn't they have been the NK?

I guess I am ok with ##Vote snowy but I am somewhat reserved. For all the big deducing that seems to be driving it, I am still a wagon with Bo and Chaqa sitting on it, although I think Chaqa was just playing some odds.

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#5025 Post by Rumi Tobari » Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:38 pm

Chaqa wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:32 pm
Rumi Tobari wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:27 pm
Chaqa wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 11:48 am


We need 7 hammers on snowy. We have four. I can switch and be #5 but that doesn’t get us there yet
You can switch and be #6.
I’m gonna hold off til I can guarantee the switch causes the hammer and Hamilton gets second-wagon
Chaqa wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:33 pm
Or I can stay put and let others finish it

We’re 100% on Hamilton?
Nono, actually the first quote is a valid point. I know bo is on vacation, but I'm not familiar enough wiht him to say he won't switch.

Also. I just thought about something. Bus driver *has to bus*. If Snowy is bus driver, he won't have the death bomb anymore, will he?

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#5026 Post by President Eden » Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:40 pm

Rumi Tobari wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:38 pm
Chaqa wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:32 pm
Rumi Tobari wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:27 pm

You can switch and be #6.
I’m gonna hold off til I can guarantee the switch causes the hammer and Hamilton gets second-wagon
Chaqa wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:33 pm
Or I can stay put and let others finish it

We’re 100% on Hamilton?
Nono, actually the first quote is a valid point. I know bo is on vacation, but I'm not familiar enough wiht him to say he won't switch.

Also. I just thought about something. Bus driver *has to bus*. If Snowy is bus driver, he won't have the death bomb anymore, will he?
true!

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#5027 Post by Jamiet99uk » Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:41 pm

Chaqa wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:33 pm
Or I can stay put and let others finish it

We’re 100% on Hamilton?
100% on thinking he's scum?

No. I don't think that slot is scum.
Potato, potato; potato.

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#5028 Post by Rumi Tobari » Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:42 pm

President Eden wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:40 pm
Rumi Tobari wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:38 pm
Chaqa wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:32 pm


I’m gonna hold off til I can guarantee the switch causes the hammer and Hamilton gets second-wagon
Chaqa wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:33 pm
Or I can stay put and let others finish it

We’re 100% on Hamilton?
Nono, actually the first quote is a valid point. I know bo is on vacation, but I'm not familiar enough wiht him to say he won't switch.

Also. I just thought about something. Bus driver *has to bus*. If Snowy is bus driver, he won't have the death bomb anymore, will he?
true!
Another thing I kinda suddenly thought of when I was about to ask if you had any ideas on where driver!Snowy had put the bomb now. Did Snowy bus anyone, or had the withdraw already gone through and DRHK did the bus?

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#5029 Post by Hamilton Brian » Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:42 pm

Scum team probably relished having subs get into the game so quickly. Fresh meat.

Something stinks about it but you know me; takes me a while to make the connect the dots and see the forest for the trees.

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#5030 Post by Jamiet99uk » Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:43 pm

Hamilton Brian wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:38 pm
Hmmm; it seems the snowy wagon has developed from some incontrovertible reasoning (?) mostly issued from PE. The drop-out doesn't look good, and certainly doesn't look good in a pro-town way. However, if that slot is town, (and are all of you on that wagon 100% sure it's not) is there a downside?

Jamie's cop claim? Is this 100% confirmed beyond just belief of the word? And if true, why wouldn't they have been the NK?

I guess I am ok with ##Vote snowy but I am somewhat reserved. For all the big deducing that seems to be driving it, I am still a wagon with Bo and Chaqa sitting on it, although I think Chaqa was just playing some odds.
I claimed at the very last moment of EoN so if the scum team did not realise I was cop, they would not have had time to change their orders.

My theory is that Snowy is the Bus Driver. Iso my posts earlier today if you want to see the explanation. If he is not the Bus Driver, then he lied about his name tag yesterday to get Sabi killed, which is not pro-town behaviour.
Potato, potato; potato.

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#5031 Post by Jamiet99uk » Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:45 pm

Rumi Tobari wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:38 pm
Also. I just thought about something. Bus driver *has to bus*. If Snowy is bus driver, he won't have the death bomb anymore, will he?
That is correct, young apprentice.
Potato, potato; potato.

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#5032 Post by President Eden » Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:45 pm

Rumi Tobari wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:42 pm
President Eden wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:40 pm
Rumi Tobari wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:38 pm



Nono, actually the first quote is a valid point. I know bo is on vacation, but I'm not familiar enough wiht him to say he won't switch.

Also. I just thought about something. Bus driver *has to bus*. If Snowy is bus driver, he won't have the death bomb anymore, will he?
true!
Another thing I kinda suddenly thought of when I was about to ask if you had any ideas on where driver!Snowy had put the bomb now. Did Snowy bus anyone, or had the withdraw already gone through and DRHK did the bus?
worth asking certainly, but I don’t know that we’ll know the answer. I would bet on snowy entering an order to ensure his team isn’t left hanging, but it’s possible he didn’t

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#5033 Post by Hamilton Brian » Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:46 pm

Thanks Jamie; that's an important detail I would have missed when I joined in. You weren't a wagon, from what I recall, so was there a reason you would have dropped that knowledge when you did?

Good morning all, btw.

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#5034 Post by Jamiet99uk » Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:49 pm

Hamilton Brian wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:46 pm
Thanks Jamie; that's an important detail I would have missed when I joined in. You weren't a wagon, from what I recall, so was there a reason you would have dropped that knowledge when you did?

Good morning all, btw.
There are no wagons at night.

I revealed my role because I thought there was a strong chance I would be killed. I had useful information regarding the Bus Driver so I felt this was worth sharing with the town, rather than risk it being lost when I died.
Potato, potato; potato.

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#5035 Post by Rumi Tobari » Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:52 pm

President Eden wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:45 pm
Rumi Tobari wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:42 pm
President Eden wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:40 pm

true!
Another thing I kinda suddenly thought of when I was about to ask if you had any ideas on where driver!Snowy had put the bomb now. Did Snowy bus anyone, or had the withdraw already gone through and DRHK did the bus?
worth asking certainly, but I don’t know that we’ll know the answer. I would bet on snowy entering an order to ensure his team isn’t left hanging, but it’s possible he didn’t
Part of the reason I'm putting this out here is because DRHK claimed "intelligent randomization" would be used to choose for Snowy, and my own experience might be wrong, but I would not put it past him to just put a bunch of names in a list or array and apply rand() to it. (although this statement might just mean I don't know him as well as I think)

At least Snowy had opinions that we could maybe predict.

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#5036 Post by Jamiet99uk » Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:57 pm

Rumi Tobari wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:52 pm
President Eden wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:45 pm
Rumi Tobari wrote:
Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:42 pm

Another thing I kinda suddenly thought of when I was about to ask if you had any ideas on where driver!Snowy had put the bomb now. Did Snowy bus anyone, or had the withdraw already gone through and DRHK did the bus?
worth asking certainly, but I don’t know that we’ll know the answer. I would bet on snowy entering an order to ensure his team isn’t left hanging, but it’s possible he didn’t
Part of the reason I'm putting this out here is because DRHK claimed "intelligent randomization" would be used to choose for Snowy, and my own experience might be wrong, but I would not put it past him to just put a bunch of names in a list or array and apply rand() to it. (although this statement might just mean I don't know him as well as I think)

At least Snowy had opinions that we could maybe predict.
Second-guessing the GM is a cul-de-sac best not ventured too far down.

The GM is not going to tell us, anyway.
Potato, potato; potato.

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#5037 Post by Chaqa » Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:59 pm

I think the best alternative to Hamilton is worc.

main reason I can see to let worcej take the hit is that he's the no-voter as far as we know. If he is town, we haven't lost a voting power. There's probably some analysis to be done on whether the no-vote is a liability in late game, but my gut tells me it is.

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#5038 Post by DemonRHK » Mon Aug 22, 2022 12:59 pm

GM VOTE COUNT DAY THREE THE FIRST
(bot count)

snowy801(7): ghug*, Jamiet99uk*, Rumi Tobari*, President Eden*, Bonatogether, celaph*, Hamilton Brian
Hamilton Brian(2): bo_sox48, Chaqa*

Currently, SNOWY801 (VACANT) is set to be KILLED!

33ish hours remain in Day 3.

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#5039 Post by Chaqa » Mon Aug 22, 2022 1:01 pm

We need 2 more hammers on snowy to trigger this.

Thoughts on Hamilton vs. Worc?

13 people left atm. If mafia has 2x vote then voting power currently is

8 votes town
5 votes mafia

If Hamilton is town and town dies tonight we're down to 6 town votes to 5 scum votes tomorrrow.

If we kill worcej instead tomorrow will be 7 town votes to 5 mafia votes which allows us to no kill if needed.

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#5040 Post by Chaqa » Mon Aug 22, 2022 1:01 pm

##vote worcej

I believe this is better. We can manually kill Hamilton tomorrow.

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