Tiny Hunt I Game Thread

[Jamiet99uk]

@Jamiet I said your case was shit. It's a shit case and it's always a shit case d1 against ND. It also destroyed all other EoD wagons and caused a likely mislynch

Wait are you going back to saying you're confident ND was town after all?

Didn't you just say that was "bullshit" that you made up as a rxn test?

You keep changing your story.

[Jamiet99uk]

Now Ezio has scurried off to the Witches QT to seek advice.

[Jamiet99uk]

Goodness me it sure went quiet right after Ezio's scumslip, huh?

[Vecna]

Prima Facie prob ND scum =3/13, town 10/13

Assume if ND town he did not fail to use his save and further assume he outthought scum and did not use it on Vecna as being too obvious (and Vecna claims no save) then chance of saving anyone else in particular = 1/11.

Let us also assume scum did not target Vecna.

Prob scum hit protected gambler = (1/11)*(1/2) = 1/22

Prob scum hit protected clown = (1/11)*(2/12) = 1/66

Prob ND saved target = (10/13)*(1/11)*(1/11) = .006357

Bit of double counting because ND could have saved protected clown or gambler but this tiny and therefore negligible.

The sum of these 3 probabilities is 0.067 (to 3 dps).

This implies probabilty of a deliberate no NK (and ND town) is (1-0.067-10/13) or roughly 70%. This strikes me as somewhat high. Are scum really that likely to try and confuse us and dispense with a kill?

So either:

ND scum 3/13 (23.0%)
we were very lucky 6.7%
scum were clever (70.3-x)%

or SOMETHING IS FISHY x%

Now what could be fishy? Perhaps ND saved Vecna and Vecna's no claim is lie? Obviously if someone claims Vecna is off the hook. That is why my vote remains on Vecna until someone claims.

You realize that even if I would lie about being saved id still be towncleared right?

You put all these (wrong fyi) statistics in your post, and then you completely fluke on the interpretation of it.

If I was scum, and we did a no kill, It'd obviously be claiming to be saved to be fake towncleared.

[Vecna]

Also y'all (specifically vecna) are gonna have to tell me if Bo sox is doing something super scummy, because he's successfully sucked my dick enough to make me townread him for the rest of the gsme, pretty much regardless of what else he does.

Im sad to have to tell you that im historically really shit at reading Bo_sox.#

I do know that him sucking dick does not really have to be scum indicative.

[damo666]

Why is everybody ignoring the no kill?

[damo666]

I mean the 8/11

[Vecna]

I have a feeling that ND was scum and that the remaining two witches are Squigs and DoubtingThomas.

Vote Squigs

My largest townread in this game is now without doubt our lovely BOZO. Every town from the BOZO slot has been a purely town slot. He wasnt afraid to go against the grain on his Thomas read, and his reasoning was in fact pure unadulterated town reasoning. Thomas has felt a little off this game. Almost like he's just trying to get by on his accomplished meta of trying to be a teenage mutant ninja badass.

My vote on squish is because every post he has made so far is feeling way too clean. There is no real outstanding unique type of opinion. It all feels too clinical. Too crafted. Too much fake scummy nonsense of "I have to sound towny" instead of just actually being towny. i might be wrong though, since it does have some towny smell to it, but so far I deem it fake'ish. And there was that weird thing he did where he voted Damo at EOD1, before quickly changing to ND. Almost like he wanted to show us really hard how he really did want to lynch Damo instead of ND. I find this pretty scummy behaviour, regardless of ND's aligntment.

[Vecna]

##vote squigs

[Vecna]

I do apologize for my gibberish in my preceding post, it might have something to do with the whiskey.

"Every post from the BOZO slot has been a purely town post."

Apparently my somewhat inhibited brain has problems with typing the word post

[Vecna]

Also, the recent Jamiet posts feel pretty terrible. I do not know yet how to interpret them. They almost feel too shitty to come from town jamiet. And that is a pretty impressive threshold to pass.

Bravo

[Jamiet99uk]

Vecna, would you give me your opinion regarding Ezio, in light of what I have posted on the last two pages?

[Jamiet99uk]

Oh, crosspost.

What exactly is so terrible about my questioning of Ezio, or the conclusions I drew from his crappy responses?

[Vecna]

He asked me to talk about Bo_sox sucking dick. There has to be a towntell in there somewhere, I swear

[Vecna]

His snide tone just reminds me of him, just before he got shot last game. Picture-perfect face, asking to be splooshed on

[Vecna]

Anyways, taking me serious right now is probably a mistake.

Ask me stuff again in like 12 hours.

[damo666]

I take it your pissed (English style) Vecna?

[Jamiet99uk]

@Squiggs
@Damo

I can see you are here. What do you have to say?

[Squigs44]

Sorry, just got home. Was reading/catching up while driving on the freeway.

Jamie, do you have any specific questions, or just general thoughts about you and Ezio. I'll go look back at your case more closely.

[Jamiet99uk]

Sorry, just got home. Was reading/catching up while driving on the freeway.

Jamie, do you have any specific questions, or just general thoughts about you and Ezio. I'll go look back at your case more closely.

For now I'd just like your opinion on my observations regarding Ezio, yes.