not every post a mafia makes raises alarms. in fact I would wager that celaph’s style inherently lends itself to not raising alarms. rather he’s going to be a wallflower and disappear for stretches, say things that sound decent enough but are missing the bite of critical analysis that defines town celaph’s game. town celaph isn’t a high volume poster but is probably the highest quality poster for his post count in a given game, or close to it.
and he doesn’t HAVE to be mafia, but it’s a rather decent shot. as snowy pointed out, wagonomics really look bad for him in light of Kak’s flip.
it’s certainly true that not everybody who was reticent to hang Kak or celaph is mafia. but there ARE four of them out there to find, and kicking the tires in that group is the best way to do it.