M73 - Fowl Play - Game Thread [HIDDEN]

[Bonatogether]

gonna go do hw

will check in before EOD, hopefully

celaph wagon preferred, then sabi, then boat man (only so i dont have to read his wallposts)

dont kill kak, jamie, or the Cej

you’re grounded from homework for the next hour son

[BesharamSabi]

Can eden and Chaqa explain their behavior at the last minutes

[Bonatogether]

gonna go do hw

will check in before EOD, hopefully

celaph wagon preferred, then sabi, then boat man (only so i dont have to read his wallposts)

dont kill kak, jamie, or the Cej

Why not cej? Why boatman Wall post and not Edens Wall post?

Macca was not bad, cej hasn't posted.

Boat man's wallposts are terrible

[President Eden]

shame on y’all. told you it was wrong and exactly why

Why were you shouting about breaking a tie when it absolutely wasn’t tied?

because I wanted to bait people into panic switching to kill the mafia instead of the townie

[TheFlyingBoat]

gonna go do hw

will check in before EOD, hopefully

celaph wagon preferred, then sabi, then boat man (only so i dont have to read his wallposts)

dont kill kak, jamie, or the Cej

Why not cej? Why boatman Wall post and not Edens Wall post?

Macca was not bad, cej hasn't posted.

Boat man's wallposts are terrible

Smh you may hate reading them but they're undeniably accurate as shown last game and the game before it.

[Bonatogether]

I like how this fits with both your early focus on Sabi and with your choice of the word stan. Feels quite honest.

@sabi: see for fluffy celaph posts

What to you is fluffy about this?

I was curious why Blamp had a read on Eden after spending the morning only talking about Sabi. He explained his read on Eden as coming from Eden's interactions with Sabi which makes a lot of sense. It also shows that Blamp was seeing Eden's behavior as smart and worthy of emulating (not just towny), hence the use of the word stan.

i explained this later. strange that you're only responding to that now when you were responding to other parts of the conversation in real time

[Jamiet99uk]

Damn. RIP Kak.

We should have got Chaqa instead.

wtf was with that attempt to tie it at the end

There was no attempt to tie it at the end, what do you mean? When I voted Kak, Kak was already in the lead. I was moving it away from being a tie.

[Chaqa]

Damn. RIP Kak.

We should have got Chaqa instead.

wtf was with that attempt to tie it at the end

CAN YOU PEOPLE EVEN READ

[Bonatogether]

what a dumb kill

claiming inactivity is grounds for a kill (not on policy) is dumb and this is why.

i townread basically everyone on the celaph wagon

[TheFlyingBoat]

Damn. RIP Kak.

We should have got Chaqa instead.

wtf was with that attempt to tie it at the end

There was no attempt to tie it at the end, what do you mean? When I voted Kak, Kak was already in the lead. I was moving it away from being a tie.

I was talking about Chaqa's play

[TheFlyingBoat]

Damn. RIP Kak.

We should have got Chaqa instead.

wtf was with that attempt to tie it at the end

CAN YOU PEOPLE EVEN READ

I can but with sub 2 minutes remaining that's dangerous as fuck. Why not do with 5 minutes left or something when you have a reasonable chance to induce a shift in your favor instead of basically causing a counter shift to prevent a tie?

[President Eden]

wtf was with that attempt to tie it at the end

CAN YOU PEOPLE EVEN READ

I can but with sub 2 minutes remaining that’s dangerous as fuck. Why not do with 5 minutes left or something when you have a reasonable chance to induce a shift in your favor instead of basically causing a counter shift to prevent a tie?

it’s precisely because of the danger that it is effective.

seems like you should understand this. you had a very effective plan to use brinksmanship to your advantage in the cursed multiball game before it got called.

[Chaqa]

Can eden and Chaqa explain their behavior at the last minutes

I was trying to see if celaph's teammates would try to save him to pile onto a bullshit Kak wagon, which I think they did.

Celaph scum -> lots of info

[snowy801]

you all disappoint me

[Chaqa]

wtf was with that attempt to tie it at the end

CAN YOU PEOPLE EVEN READ

I can but with sub 2 minutes remaining that's dangerous as fuck. Why not do with 5 minutes left or something when you have a reasonable chance to induce a shift in your favor instead of basically causing a counter shift to prevent a tie?

How is it dangerous?

There's no world it remains tied with 2 minutes left. You're being dramatic.

[TheFlyingBoat]

CAN YOU PEOPLE EVEN READ

I can but with sub 2 minutes remaining that’s dangerous as fuck. Why not do with 5 minutes left or something when you have a reasonable chance to induce a shift in your favor instead of basically causing a counter shift to prevent a tie?

it’s precisely because of the danger that it is effective.

seems like you should understand this. you had a very effective plan to use brinksmanship to your advantage in the cursed multiball game before it got called.

Very different. My play had a high probability in resulting in us going to night with no kill with the worst case outcome being the result that would happen anyways. Here choosing to do it with 2 mins left instead of 5 increased the odds of failure to get Celaph killed instead of Kak not decreased it.

[BesharamSabi]

Anyway I'm doing the data stuff now. Watch me in real time fill out the data I guess.
Colors spooky.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... p=drivesdk

[TheFlyingBoat]

CAN YOU PEOPLE EVEN READ

I can but with sub 2 minutes remaining that's dangerous as fuck. Why not do with 5 minutes left or something when you have a reasonable chance to induce a shift in your favor instead of basically causing a counter shift to prevent a tie?

How is it dangerous?

There's no world it remains tied with 2 minutes left. You're being dramatic.

Imo in order of probability with 2 mins left, my intuition is that people in the panic a) rush to the other side of the vote that induced the tie b) flip around chaotically to prevent the tie c) rush with the person who created the tie

I think with 5 mins left there is enough time for an argument to actually kill celaph to succeed. With sub 2 mins I don't think there is.

[President Eden]

anyway I come away from d1 with something like this.

high confidence town: Bona, brainbomb, ghug
moderate confidence town: Sabi, Boat, Demon*, damo
low confidence/null: Jamie, snowy, Chaqa, Lamp, bozo, Maniac, pyxxy, rivera, worcej
moderate confidence mafia: celaph

I find myself wanting to put Jamie, Chaqa, and Lamp in “moderate confidence town” pile, but I’d need to review the day to figure out why.

note that not all nulls are created equal; people are there for different reasons, and it reflects better or worse on them based on the context of the game.

[snowy801]

How in god's name were 8 of 9 votes at the end for kak
And why did nobody react to this