M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

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Bonatogether
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Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#9381 Post by Bonatogether » Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:12 pm

Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:11 pm
Bonatogether wrote:
Sat Oct 02, 2021 8:54 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sat Oct 02, 2021 8:38 pm


I am an actual VT.

It's all I've got.

What do you want me to do?
Either go through the reasoning against you and show that it makes some leap that's most likely (from an outside perspective) wrong, or come up with a great case against someone else.
I have done the former.

Repeatedly.
I don't recall, do you mind summarizing it?

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Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#9382 Post by ghug » Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:13 pm

##VOTE Tom

#hype

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Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#9383 Post by DemonRHK » Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:13 pm

Completely Fallible Human Yet GM Vote Count Day Four The Fourth
(Through post 9381)

Jamiet99uk(5) - ghug, Bonatogether, President Eden, Fluminator, BunnyGo
snowy801(5) - Vecna, Doom427, Chaqa, TheFlyingBoat, Jamiet99uk
ghug(3) - Tom Bombadil, worcej, kgray
Tom Bombadil(3) - snowy801, rdrivera2005, Durga
BesharamSabi(1) - BesharamSabi

Currently, NO ONE is set to be killed.

~45 Minutes remain in Day 4

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Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#9384 Post by DemonRHK » Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:15 pm

Completely Fallible Human Yet GM Vote Count Day Four The Fourth EDIT
(Through post 9382)

snowy801(5) - Vecna, Doom427, Chaqa, TheFlyingBoat, Jamiet99uk
Jamiet99uk(4) - Bonatogether, President Eden, Fluminator, BunnyGo
Tom Bombadil(4) - snowy801, rdrivera2005, Durga, ghug
ghug(3) - Tom Bombadil, worcej, kgray
BesharamSabi(1) - BesharamSabi

Currently, SNOWY801 is set to be killed.

~45 Minutes remain in Day 4

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Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#9385 Post by kgray » Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:21 pm

DemonRHK wrote:
Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:15 pm
Completely Fallible Human Yet GM Vote Count Day Four The Fourth EDIT
(Through post 9382)

snowy801(5) - Vecna, Doom427, Chaqa, TheFlyingBoat, Jamiet99uk
Jamiet99uk(4) - Bonatogether, President Eden, Fluminator, BunnyGo
Tom Bombadil(4) - snowy801, rdrivera2005, Durga, ghug
ghug(3) - Tom Bombadil, worcej, kgray
BesharamSabi(1) - BesharamSabi

Currently, SNOWY801 is set to be killed.

~45 Minutes remain in Day 4
worcej is on snowy I think?

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Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#9386 Post by BesharamSabi » Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:23 pm

Quietest EOD so far jeez

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Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#9387 Post by kgray » Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:23 pm

Yeah snowy feels worse than Tom or Jamie. Guess I like the Jamie wagon more, so ##vote Jamie

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Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#9388 Post by kgray » Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:24 pm

BesharamSabi wrote:
Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:23 pm
Quietest EOD so far jeez
You should vote for someone who isn't you

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Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#9389 Post by Chaqa » Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:24 pm

Voting snowy out would decrease the amounts of shitposting, unsure if that’s optimal

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Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#9390 Post by DemonRHK » Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:25 pm

Completely Fallible Human Yet GM Vote Count Day Four The Fifth
(Through post 9389)

snowy801(6) - Vecna, Doom427, Chaqa, TheFlyingBoat, worcej, Jamiet99uk
Jamiet99uk(4) - Bonatogether, President Eden, Fluminator, BunnyGo
Tom Bombadil(4) - snowy801, rdrivera2005, Durga, ghug
ghug(2) - Tom Bombadil, kgray
BesharamSabi(1) - BesharamSabi

Currently, SNOWY801 is set to be killed.

35 Minutes remain in Day 4

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Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#9391 Post by kgray » Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:25 pm

Sorry Demon :lol:

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Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#9392 Post by Bonatogether » Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:25 pm

alright nerds

let's see some action

##vote snowy

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Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#9393 Post by BesharamSabi » Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:26 pm

kgray wrote:
Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:24 pm
BesharamSabi wrote:
Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:23 pm
Quietest EOD so far jeez
You should vote for someone who isn't you
I dunno who to vote for ahhhhh this is so hard.

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Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#9394 Post by Bonatogether » Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:27 pm

BesharamSabi wrote:
Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:26 pm
kgray wrote:
Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:24 pm
BesharamSabi wrote:
Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:23 pm
Quietest EOD so far jeez
You should vote for someone who isn't you
I dunno who to vote for ahhhhh this is so hard.
hit snowy, we'll see what people think

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Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#9395 Post by kgray » Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:28 pm

BesharamSabi wrote:
Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:26 pm
kgray wrote:
Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:24 pm
BesharamSabi wrote:
Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:23 pm
Quietest EOD so far jeez
You should vote for someone who isn't you
I dunno who to vote for ahhhhh this is so hard.
Honestly all of the leading wagons are decent imo but snowy is my least favorite

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Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#9396 Post by ghug » Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:29 pm

I'm gonna think aloud for a bit because y'all are boring. We have, amongst those alive + jasnah:

4 people I'm comfortable considering certain town for mechanical reasons
Bonatogether
BunnyGo
TheFlyingBoat
worcej

4 people I'm comfortable considering near-certain town for read reasons
Fluminator (this is also partially mechanical, but it's contingent on Chaqa)
Durga
BesharamSabi
jasnah

1 Chaqa:
Chaqa

3 people in the POE pool that I townread, most to least:
Vecna
Eden
Snowy

5 others in the POE pool, scum to town:
Jimmit
kgary
Mhmbadil
rd
Doom

First, let's assume Chaqa is scum. He has two teammates. He did move off of jasnah onto worcej in the final moments, which was super weird, and bozo did too, but either someone would have had to bus Jasnah there, or the last scum is in me/snowy/sabi. I guess a Chaqa/jasnah/bozo/snowy team is an option, but not a super likely one. Outside of that, I think Eden, rdr, and snowy all look good for the way the D1 voting played out, and sadly probably kgray too. This leaves Tom, Jimmit, and Doom as possible teammates. On day 2, I imagine this team is probably a little bus shy. Tom only voted for worcej and kgray. Doom did vote Tom, but wasn't around EoD and probably would have thought this was a safe vote. Jambo voted Tom early, but not for long, and joined the bozo wagon when it was in the lead, which I think makes it more plausible as a bus (it did get smaller and he rode it out, but again I think Jamie's the type to commit to the bus when he's on it). All in all, these teams are plausible, but I'm not in love with any of them. I'm starting to think Chaqa's just town.

If Chaqa's scum, we've got three to find. Let's look at plausible pairings.

Jamie - I think his avoidance of lurker-pushing this game could be because he has some as teammates, which would make rd, Doom, and Tom all potential options. I think Eden in particular is unlikely because of the whole gladiate thing, and I doubt he just hops on Snowy as he has here and lets it be SvS, but really anyone else is fair game.

kyrgyzstan - Tom is out of the question, I think. The interplay with rd has been more awkward than usual, so there might be something there. She voted for a bunch of townies day 1, and mostly Chaqa/Bozo/Tom day 2, though she did briefly put snowy into the lead over Vecna that day, so the former is slightly less likely (the latter was a joke wagon, so I don't really think there's any protection to read into. She did vote Jamie yesterday, but I don't know that we can read too much into anything that happened D3.

Rom Com - I know I just said not to read into Day 3, but Eden, Snowy, rdr, and Doom were all essential in making that a wagon. Much like in the Chaqascum scenario above, I think scum's a little likelier to be bus-shy after one of them is caught, and Tom definitely didn't need to be sacrificed. There could easily be like one busser there, but I'd look at Jamie and Vecna first, probably. It'd also be useful to look into who pushed the idea N2 that Tom was likely town due to how he nearly got killed. Maybe I'll do that overnight if y'all don't turn around and kill me.

rd - Really not a lot to dig into here. Again, the kgray interactions are awkward, and the Tom vote makes them unlikely teammates. I think specifically a Doom/Tom/rdr team is very unlikely. Scum Doom and rdr both getting on a small Tom wagon while their teammate was leading D2 is weird to think about if just both of them are scum, let alone if all three are.

Doom - Maybe Jamie and kgray. Maybe some of my nonclear townreads. Probably not Tom or rd. Not much to draw on here.

Overall, I think the most plausible looking teams are:
bozo + kgray + 2 (in order of likelihood) of Jamie, rd, Doom (not with rd), Eden (not with Jamie), snowy, Vecna
bozo + Tom + Jamie + Vecna, maybe swapping one of the latter two out with someone else that isn't Doom or kgray
bozo + Jamie + 2 of rd, Doom, Snowy
bozo + Chaqa + Jamie + Doom or Tom
worcej + bona + THB + ghug (best team)

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Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#9397 Post by President Eden » Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:31 pm

Very shrug tier EOD

I prefer a few other wagons to snowy but don’t think he’s a bad kill

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Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#9398 Post by ghug » Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:32 pm

It's odd how little of a fuck snowy's giving here.

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Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#9399 Post by snowy801 » Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:32 pm

Huh, well I'm not ordinarily one to go quietly into the night but I simply don't have time right now. Still, anything can happen EoD

Wish I had something for you guys, like "I'm secretly the cop" or something but I got nothing

I'll have some thoughts for you by EoD probably

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Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#9400 Post by snowy801 » Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:33 pm

ghug wrote:
Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:32 pm
It's odd how little of a fuck snowy's giving here.
my b

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