50% you, 50% rd, obviously.Maniac wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 3:09 pmAssuming that Vecna dies if you don’t then you have three uncleared. What shape is you coin and how is that 50/50?Jamiet99uk wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 1:48 pmHey scum I've got a deal for you:
Leave me alive, and I'll flip a coin tomorrow.
You get a 50% chance of winning.
Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]
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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]
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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]
I’m more interested in why you killed Kgray D1. Were you worried she’d rumbled you early or did you execute her for shits and giggles?
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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]
Jasnah was a weird choice as he wasn't widely townread and his reads weren't great too. I suspected scum caught some Shaman crumb after Brainbomb telling this, but it's obviously false, so I just don't know.
I hade some suspicions about Maniac because he and Jasnah were talking in Alien language in the first night, but I can't find anything that looked like a crumb from Jasnah. And Maniac isn't the Alien obviously, so I don't see much of a reason from the QT too.
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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]
I think Jasnah is female.rdrivera2005 wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 5:56 pm
Jasnah was a weird choice as he wasn't widely townread and his reads weren't great too. I suspected scum caught some Shaman crumb after Brainbomb telling this, but it's obviously false, so I just don't know.
I hade some suspicions about Maniac because he and Jasnah were talking in Alien language in the first night, but I can't find anything that looked like a crumb from Jasnah. And Maniac isn't the Alien obviously, so I don't see much of a reason from the QT too.
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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]
Oh I meant at the finish line, sorry. I was kind of thinking we'd tie tomorrow...Maniac wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 3:09 pmAssuming that Vecna dies if you don’t then you have three uncleared. What shape is you coin and how is that 50/50?Jamiet99uk wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 1:48 pmHey scum I've got a deal for you:
Leave me alive, and I'll flip a coin tomorrow.
You get a 50% chance of winning.
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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]
There is no benefit in tying when we have a town clear. The town clear then dies at night and we’re no better off. We may as well decide this tomorrow. We also have to hammer before 24hrs just in case scum have that day immunity thing
Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]
Thank you for actually answering the question.rdrivera2005 wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 5:56 pm
Jasnah was a weird choice as he wasn't widely townread and his reads weren't great too. I suspected scum caught some Shaman crumb after Brainbomb telling this, but it's obviously false, so I just don't know.
I hade some suspicions about Maniac because he and Jasnah were talking in Alien language in the first night, but I can't find anything that looked like a crumb from Jasnah. And Maniac isn't the Alien obviously, so I don't see much of a reason from the QT too.
Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]
Agreed.
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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]
You are right, I forgot. Sorry JasnahManiac wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 6:03 pmI think Jasnah is female.rdrivera2005 wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 5:56 pm
Jasnah was a weird choice as she wasn't widely townread and her reads weren't great too. I suspected scum caught some Shaman crumb after Brainbomb telling this, but it's obviously false, so I just don't know.
I hade some suspicions about Maniac because he and Jasnah were talking in Alien language in the first night, but I can't find anything that looked like a crumb from Jasnah. And Maniac isn't the Alien obviously, so I don't see much of a reason from the QT too.
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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]
I fail to see why you didn't claim it while the Shaman was alive and you can coordinate with him, but I will let you explain.
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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]
Then I shall follow the following process:
1. Pick who I think is most likely scum out of the remaining people.
2. Flip a coin to eliminate one of the other two remaining people from my voting scope.
3. Move my vote to the candidate that was not eliminated by my coin toss.
Thanks to Bayesian logic as demonstrated by the Monty Hall problem, there is a 2/3 likelihood that this process will result in me voting for the final scum.
I hope Damo is reading this because he knows it's right.
Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]
There was an item thief, for one, and claiming what I'm doing with it helps mafia avoid it. Everyone also thought the shaman was dead.rdrivera2005 wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 7:57 pmI fail to see why you didn't claim it while the Shaman was alive and you can coordinate with him, but I will let you explain.
Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]
I see no flaws in this logic whatsoever.Jamiet99uk wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 8:21 pmThen I shall follow the following process:
1. Pick who I think is most likely scum out of the remaining people.
2. Flip a coin to eliminate one of the other two remaining people from my voting scope.
3. Move my vote to the candidate that was not eliminated by my coin toss.
Thanks to Bayesian logic as demonstrated by the Monty Hall problem, there is a 2/3 likelihood that this process will result in me voting for the final scum.
I hope Damo is reading this because he knows it's right.
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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]
The question is, Ghug, are you a goat, or a cabriolet?ghug wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 8:26 pmI see no flaws in this logic whatsoever.Jamiet99uk wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 8:21 pmThanks to Bayesian logic as demonstrated by the Monty Hall problem, there is a 2/3 likelihood that this process will result in me voting for the final scum.
I hope Damo is reading this because he knows it's right.
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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]
I was talking about last night when Shaman was in the clear and was the obvious target and Item Thief wasn't a concern? It's non-sense.ghug wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 8:25 pmThere was an item thief, for one, and claiming what I'm doing with it helps mafia avoid it. Everyone also thought the shaman was dead.rdrivera2005 wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 7:57 pmI fail to see why you didn't claim it while the Shaman was alive and you can coordinate with him, but I will let you explain.
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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]
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