Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]

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ghug
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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]

#6121 Post by ghug » Tue Mar 30, 2021 4:14 pm

Maniac wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 3:09 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 1:48 pm
Hey scum I've got a deal for you:

Leave me alive, and I'll flip a coin tomorrow.

You get a 50% chance of winning.
Assuming that Vecna dies if you don’t then you have three uncleared. What shape is you coin and how is that 50/50?
50% you, 50% rd, obviously.

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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]

#6122 Post by ghug » Tue Mar 30, 2021 4:17 pm

Rd, Maniac, why do y'all think jasnah was killed?

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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]

#6123 Post by Maniac » Tue Mar 30, 2021 5:56 pm

ghug wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 4:17 pm
Rd, Maniac, why do y'all think jasnah was killed?
I’m more interested in why you killed Kgray D1. Were you worried she’d rumbled you early or did you execute her for shits and giggles?

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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]

#6124 Post by rdrivera2005 » Tue Mar 30, 2021 5:56 pm

ghug wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 4:17 pm
Rd, Maniac, why do y'all think jasnah was killed?

Jasnah was a weird choice as he wasn't widely townread and his reads weren't great too. I suspected scum caught some Shaman crumb after Brainbomb telling this, but it's obviously false, so I just don't know.

I hade some suspicions about Maniac because he and Jasnah were talking in Alien language in the first night, but I can't find anything that looked like a crumb from Jasnah. And Maniac isn't the Alien obviously, so I don't see much of a reason from the QT too.

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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]

#6125 Post by rdrivera2005 » Tue Mar 30, 2021 5:57 pm

@Ghug - Which item did you have by the way?

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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]

#6126 Post by Maniac » Tue Mar 30, 2021 6:03 pm

rdrivera2005 wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 5:56 pm
ghug wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 4:17 pm
Rd, Maniac, why do y'all think jasnah was killed?

Jasnah was a weird choice as he wasn't widely townread and his reads weren't great too. I suspected scum caught some Shaman crumb after Brainbomb telling this, but it's obviously false, so I just don't know.

I hade some suspicions about Maniac because he and Jasnah were talking in Alien language in the first night, but I can't find anything that looked like a crumb from Jasnah. And Maniac isn't the Alien obviously, so I don't see much of a reason from the QT too.
I think Jasnah is female.

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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]

#6127 Post by Jamiet99uk » Tue Mar 30, 2021 6:15 pm

Maniac wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 3:09 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 1:48 pm
Hey scum I've got a deal for you:

Leave me alive, and I'll flip a coin tomorrow.

You get a 50% chance of winning.
Assuming that Vecna dies if you don’t then you have three uncleared. What shape is you coin and how is that 50/50?
Oh I meant at the finish line, sorry. I was kind of thinking we'd tie tomorrow...

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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]

#6128 Post by Jamiet99uk » Tue Mar 30, 2021 6:16 pm

Because tomorrow is May-Kill-Lose-day, yes?

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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]

#6129 Post by Maniac » Tue Mar 30, 2021 6:21 pm

Jamiet99uk wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 6:16 pm
Because tomorrow is May-Kill-Lose-day, yes?
There is no benefit in tying when we have a town clear. The town clear then dies at night and we’re no better off. We may as well decide this tomorrow. We also have to hammer before 24hrs just in case scum have that day immunity thing

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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]

#6130 Post by ghug » Tue Mar 30, 2021 6:30 pm

rdrivera2005 wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 5:56 pm
ghug wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 4:17 pm
Rd, Maniac, why do y'all think jasnah was killed?

Jasnah was a weird choice as he wasn't widely townread and his reads weren't great too. I suspected scum caught some Shaman crumb after Brainbomb telling this, but it's obviously false, so I just don't know.

I hade some suspicions about Maniac because he and Jasnah were talking in Alien language in the first night, but I can't find anything that looked like a crumb from Jasnah. And Maniac isn't the Alien obviously, so I don't see much of a reason from the QT too.
Thank you for actually answering the question.

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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]

#6131 Post by ghug » Tue Mar 30, 2021 6:30 pm

rdrivera2005 wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 5:57 pm
@Ghug - Which item did you have by the way?
Triage kit. I'll be using it tonight.

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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]

#6132 Post by ghug » Tue Mar 30, 2021 6:32 pm

Maniac wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 6:21 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 6:16 pm
Because tomorrow is May-Kill-Lose-day, yes?
There is no benefit in tying when we have a town clear. The town clear then dies at night and we’re no better off. We may as well decide this tomorrow. We also have to hammer before 24hrs just in case scum have that day immunity thing
Agreed.

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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]

#6133 Post by rdrivera2005 » Tue Mar 30, 2021 7:53 pm

Maniac wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 6:03 pm
rdrivera2005 wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 5:56 pm
ghug wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 4:17 pm
Rd, Maniac, why do y'all think jasnah was killed?

Jasnah was a weird choice as she wasn't widely townread and her reads weren't great too. I suspected scum caught some Shaman crumb after Brainbomb telling this, but it's obviously false, so I just don't know.

I hade some suspicions about Maniac because he and Jasnah were talking in Alien language in the first night, but I can't find anything that looked like a crumb from Jasnah. And Maniac isn't the Alien obviously, so I don't see much of a reason from the QT too.
I think Jasnah is female.
You are right, I forgot. Sorry Jasnah

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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]

#6134 Post by rdrivera2005 » Tue Mar 30, 2021 7:57 pm

ghug wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 6:30 pm
rdrivera2005 wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 5:57 pm
@Ghug - Which item did you have by the way?
Triage kit. I'll be using it tonight.
I fail to see why you didn't claim it while the Shaman was alive and you can coordinate with him, but I will let you explain.

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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]

#6135 Post by Jamiet99uk » Tue Mar 30, 2021 8:21 pm

Maniac wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 6:21 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 6:16 pm
Because tomorrow is May-Kill-Lose-day, yes?
There is no benefit in tying when we have a town clear. The town clear then dies at night and we’re no better off. We may as well decide this tomorrow. We also have to hammer before 24hrs just in case scum have the Potato of Zargon.
Then I shall follow the following process:

1. Pick who I think is most likely scum out of the remaining people.

2. Flip a coin to eliminate one of the other two remaining people from my voting scope.

3. Move my vote to the candidate that was not eliminated by my coin toss.

Thanks to Bayesian logic as demonstrated by the Monty Hall problem, there is a 2/3 likelihood that this process will result in me voting for the final scum.

I hope Damo is reading this because he knows it's right.

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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]

#6136 Post by ghug » Tue Mar 30, 2021 8:25 pm

rdrivera2005 wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 7:57 pm
ghug wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 6:30 pm
rdrivera2005 wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 5:57 pm
@Ghug - Which item did you have by the way?
Triage kit. I'll be using it tonight.
I fail to see why you didn't claim it while the Shaman was alive and you can coordinate with him, but I will let you explain.
There was an item thief, for one, and claiming what I'm doing with it helps mafia avoid it. Everyone also thought the shaman was dead.

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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]

#6137 Post by ghug » Tue Mar 30, 2021 8:26 pm

Jamiet99uk wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 8:21 pm
Maniac wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 6:21 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 6:16 pm
Because tomorrow is May-Kill-Lose-day, yes?
There is no benefit in tying when we have a town clear. The town clear then dies at night and we’re no better off. We may as well decide this tomorrow. We also have to hammer before 24hrs just in case scum have the Potato of Zargon.
Then I shall follow the following process:

1. Pick who I think is most likely scum out of the remaining people.

2. Flip a coin to eliminate one of the other two remaining people from my voting scope.

3. Move my vote to the candidate that was not eliminated by my coin toss.

Thanks to Bayesian logic as demonstrated by the Monty Hall problem, there is a 2/3 likelihood that this process will result in me voting for the final scum.

I hope Damo is reading this because he knows it's right.
I see no flaws in this logic whatsoever.

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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]

#6138 Post by Jamiet99uk » Tue Mar 30, 2021 9:06 pm

ghug wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 8:26 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 8:21 pm
Thanks to Bayesian logic as demonstrated by the Monty Hall problem, there is a 2/3 likelihood that this process will result in me voting for the final scum.

I hope Damo is reading this because he knows it's right.
I see no flaws in this logic whatsoever.
The question is, Ghug, are you a goat, or a cabriolet?

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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]

#6139 Post by rdrivera2005 » Tue Mar 30, 2021 9:21 pm

ghug wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 8:25 pm
rdrivera2005 wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 7:57 pm
ghug wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 6:30 pm


Triage kit. I'll be using it tonight.
I fail to see why you didn't claim it while the Shaman was alive and you can coordinate with him, but I will let you explain.
There was an item thief, for one, and claiming what I'm doing with it helps mafia avoid it. Everyone also thought the shaman was dead.
I was talking about last night when Shaman was in the clear and was the obvious target and Item Thief wasn't a concern? It's non-sense.

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Re: Mafia 65: Dreamland II [Hidden]

#6140 Post by dargorygel » Tue Mar 30, 2021 10:00 pm

--[[ PLEASE HOLD ]]--
STOP THIS RAUCOUS NOISE

(adjudication taking place)

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