MAFIA 63: THE SCOURGE [HIDDEN]

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damo666
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Re: MAFIA 63: THE SCOURGE [HIDDEN]

#3901 Post by damo666 » Wed Jan 06, 2021 10:31 am

brainbomb wrote:
Wed Jan 06, 2021 3:49 am
Im the doctor
I self saved both nights
Your pants are on fire.

Only Dr Who can self save on consecutive nights.

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Re: MAFIA 63: THE SCOURGE [HIDDEN]

#3902 Post by damo666 » Wed Jan 06, 2021 10:36 am

I will vote end before halfway through the day to let people have a chance to post.

As bb is the inevitable DK the cop should disclose at very close to EON.

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Re: MAFIA 63: THE SCOURGE [HIDDEN]

#3903 Post by damo666 » Wed Jan 06, 2021 10:41 am

bozotheclown wrote:
Wed Jan 06, 2021 8:21 am
damo's willingness to follow ghug on to brainbomb was odd considering damo was voting for ghug. Also, this post could have been an attempt to build Bonatogether's wagon while Bonatogether was leading both ghug and brainbomb:
damo666 wrote:
Tue Jan 05, 2021 12:54 am
Everyone not on brain ghug or Bona should move now
The post was to get people to not waste their vote and also to not allow scum to hide.

If I were scum then after brain's claim wouldn't I have switched back to Bona?

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Re: MAFIA 63: THE SCOURGE [HIDDEN]

#3904 Post by Jamiet99uk » Wed Jan 06, 2021 10:54 am

Oh nice, the Scum killed Vecna just as Vecna realised he was wrong to tunnel on me.

RIP Vecna :-/

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Re: MAFIA 63: THE SCOURGE [HIDDEN]

#3905 Post by Jamiet99uk » Wed Jan 06, 2021 10:55 am

What's with all these people endvoting before everyone has even spoken?

Clearly Brainbomb is the best vote today but what's the hurry to shut down discussion?

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Re: MAFIA 63: THE SCOURGE [HIDDEN]

#3906 Post by Jamiet99uk » Wed Jan 06, 2021 10:56 am

Why is BunnyGo voting for Fluminator, and why did he try to hide his vote using tiny text?

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Re: MAFIA 63: THE SCOURGE [HIDDEN]

#3907 Post by Jamiet99uk » Wed Jan 06, 2021 11:07 am

There's just one thing that is giving me pause for thought...

At 00:14, the Ghug and Bonatogether wagons were tied.
President Eden moved from Damo to Brainbomb, starting a brand new BB wagon.
Ghug immediately jumped off the Bonatogether wagon and onto the Brainbomb wagon, putting himself in the lead.

Why does Ghug put himself in the lead just to help form a flashwagon on his team-mate?

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Re: MAFIA 63: THE SCOURGE [HIDDEN]

#3908 Post by damo666 » Wed Jan 06, 2021 11:09 am

Jamiet99uk wrote:
Wed Jan 06, 2021 10:55 am
What's with all these people endvoting before everyone has even spoken?

Clearly Brainbomb is the best vote today but what's the hurry to shut down discussion?
Are you going to vote him then?

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Re: MAFIA 63: THE SCOURGE [HIDDEN]

#3909 Post by Jamiet99uk » Wed Jan 06, 2021 11:12 am

Just looking at the vote movements at EoD2 there, it seems to me that Damo almost cannot be scum if Brainbomb is.

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Re: MAFIA 63: THE SCOURGE [HIDDEN]

#3910 Post by Jamiet99uk » Wed Jan 06, 2021 11:13 am

damo666 wrote:
Wed Jan 06, 2021 11:09 am
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Wed Jan 06, 2021 10:55 am
What's with all these people endvoting before everyone has even spoken?

Clearly Brainbomb is the best vote today but what's the hurry to shut down discussion?
Are you going to vote him then?
I should think so, yes. Also, Town Brainbomb would be making some effort to defend himself here, not making a stupid fake Doctor claim.

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Re: MAFIA 63: THE SCOURGE [HIDDEN]

#3911 Post by damo666 » Wed Jan 06, 2021 11:17 am

Jamiet99uk wrote:
Wed Jan 06, 2021 11:07 am
There's just one thing that is giving me pause for thought...

At 00:14, the Ghug and Bonatogether wagons were tied.
President Eden moved from Damo to Brainbomb, starting a brand new BB wagon.
Ghug immediately jumped off the Bonatogether wagon and onto the Brainbomb wagon, putting himself in the lead.

Why does Ghug put himself in the lead just to help form a flashwagon on his team-mate?
To accelerate the brain wagon hoping some ghug voters would move to brain and Bona would be the kill. Ghug and brain could switch to Bona at last moment.

Ghug maybe thought the Bona wagon had maxed out and he was therefore in trouble and wanted to create movement.

That's my guess.

Anyway it doesn't really matter if brain is town he has to go doesn't he? (Unless we luckily kill GF today and cop has inno scan on brain, most unlikely).

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Re: MAFIA 63: THE SCOURGE [HIDDEN]

#3912 Post by Jamiet99uk » Wed Jan 06, 2021 12:48 pm

damo666 wrote:
Wed Jan 06, 2021 11:17 am
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Wed Jan 06, 2021 11:07 am
There's just one thing that is giving me pause for thought...

At 00:14, the Ghug and Bonatogether wagons were tied.
President Eden moved from Damo to Brainbomb, starting a brand new BB wagon.
Ghug immediately jumped off the Bonatogether wagon and onto the Brainbomb wagon, putting himself in the lead.

Why does Ghug put himself in the lead just to help form a flashwagon on his team-mate?
To accelerate the brain wagon hoping some ghug voters would move to brain and Bona would be the kill. Ghug and brain could switch to Bona at last moment.

Ghug maybe thought the Bona wagon had maxed out and he was therefore in trouble and wanted to create movement.

That's my guess.

Anyway it doesn't really matter if brain is town he has to go doesn't he? (Unless we luckily kill GF today and cop has inno scan on brain, most unlikely).
Brainbomb has to go today, yes.

##VOTE BRAINBOMB

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Re: MAFIA 63: THE SCOURGE [HIDDEN]

#3913 Post by Jamiet99uk » Wed Jan 06, 2021 12:50 pm

I reiterate that I don't want to hammer, at the very least not until BunnyGo explains the subject and manner of his Flum vote, and ideally EMC reappears.

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Re: MAFIA 63: THE SCOURGE [HIDDEN]

#3914 Post by e.m.c^42 » Wed Jan 06, 2021 1:55 pm

Jamiet99uk wrote:
Wed Jan 06, 2021 12:50 pm
I reiterate that I don't want to hammer, at the very least not until BunnyGo explains the subject and manner of his Flum vote, and ideally EMC reappears.
Hello, I have reappeared. There seem to be exponentially less posts to catch-up with than usual.

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Re: MAFIA 63: THE SCOURGE [HIDDEN]

#3915 Post by Chaqa » Wed Jan 06, 2021 2:18 pm

I don't see any point in not dropping the hammer now.

Any info we need can be disclosed during the night. Better to have brain's flip ASAP so we don't waste time on bad info.

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Re: MAFIA 63: THE SCOURGE [HIDDEN]

#3916 Post by damo666 » Wed Jan 06, 2021 2:37 pm

My current thinking:

Name: ALIGNMENT GUESS

Reasoning. %strength of my read [top of the head numbers, not be over analysed]

Aaro: TOWN

Timing of ghug vote putting ghug 6:4 ahead of Bona most unlikely as scum. 85/15

Bona: TOWN

Very slight chance of GF but D2 strongly indicates town. 98/2

Brain: SCUM

Looks almost certain. 92/08

Bozo: SCUM

His reads and reasoning seem a bit odd and he voted Bona. 60/40

Bunny: TOWN

Bunny definitely acting oddly but the timing of his vote (making ghug 7-6) strongly points to town. Slight chance of a busser. 90/10

Celaph: TOWN

My weakest town. Voting history not great. I'm intrigued as to why the N1 K (RHK) voted celaph D1. What did he see? However celaph was highly critical og ghug (though not voting him). Tips the balance to town but only just just. 54/46

Chaqa: TOWN

Has sounded town throughout. D1 vote a bit odd. D2 vote good though just could be a bus. I know I shouldn't be but I'm a tiny bit swayed by gambler's fallacy. 75/25

Donny: TOWN

Sounding very towny of late. Interactions with ghug imply town (see HR's readlist). D2 vote a concern. 70/30

Durga/Flum: SCUM

Mainly because I'm not getting a towny feel plus the D2 vote. 53/47

EMC: UNDECIDED

Voting a concern. Why the switch from ghug to Jamie D2. His EOD excuse for not revoting due to bot and danger of a tie is believable. If there were a 3p in the game he would be it. Fingers crossed for a cop scan. 50/50

HB: TOWN

Fairly evident. 96/4

HR: SCUM

Has sounded generally towny but I have my doubts. Off main wagons D1 and voted Bona D2. Was first to doubt brain's claim (prior knowledge?) was first to openly say HB is cop. EON read list could be scum misdirection to look town. 55/45

Jamie: TOWN

Has screamed town throughout. Led ghug vote. If he is scum he's played it better than ever before. 91/9

ND/worcej: TOWN

Has sounded town since entrance. First to vote ghug D2. Could have got trapped in a bus but unlikely. 80/20

PE : TOWN

Like Jamie has screamed town BUT awful EOD2. I'm giving him the benefit of the doubt. 86/14

rdr: TOWN

General tone a positive particularly his post questioning new wagons near EOD2. Voting history a negative. 58/42

Summary: Scum team guess is BRAIN BOZO FLUM HR with EMC as a sub if one of the are wrong.

Complete scum to town list:

Name %scum

Brain 92
Bozo 60
HR 55
Flum 53
EMC 50
Celaph 46
Donny 30
Chaqa 25
Worcej 20
Aaro 15
PE 14
Bunny 10
Jamie 9
HB 4
Bona 2

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Re: MAFIA 63: THE SCOURGE [HIDDEN]

#3917 Post by damo666 » Wed Jan 06, 2021 2:40 pm

##END

Let's save 24 hours and have an elongated night.

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Re: MAFIA 63: THE SCOURGE [HIDDEN]

#3918 Post by Hamilton Brian » Wed Jan 06, 2021 2:46 pm

damo666 wrote:
Wed Jan 06, 2021 2:37 pm
My current thinking:
Interesting way of a reads list. I like the "not to be over-read" disclaimer.

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Re: MAFIA 63: THE SCOURGE [HIDDEN]

#3919 Post by Hamilton Brian » Wed Jan 06, 2021 2:46 pm

##Vote Brainbomb

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Re: MAFIA 63: THE SCOURGE [HIDDEN]

#3920 Post by damo666 » Wed Jan 06, 2021 2:49 pm

Hamilton Brian wrote:
Wed Jan 06, 2021 2:46 pm
damo666 wrote:
Wed Jan 06, 2021 2:37 pm
My current thinking:
Interesting way of a reads list. I like the "not to be over-read" disclaimer.
over-analysed

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