M62: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF REVOLUTIONARY MAFIA GAME THREAD!

[aarodactyl]

I do not believe I said anything that was incorrect.



I did not say there is a 99.2% chance you are scum.

Are you saying you think Yoyo coordinated with Aaro to vote at the same time?

That’s the implication. Something about how Yoyo told me to vote in the QT

Ok. Bozo just said no. But it was speculation about the QT

[bozotheclown]

But also, I’ve picked at everyone’s math this game. I did it to maniac too. They just didn’t double down the same way damo did.

I do not believe I said anything that was incorrect.

There were 23 players D2, so the probability of any 2 players randomly making their first vote in the same minute is 8.43%. The probability of any player randomly making their first vote in the same minute as the coordinator is 0.80%.

I did not say there is a 99.2% chance you are scum.

You didn’t but you made a similar implication. Why else would you point it out like that?

I was just saying it looked suspicious that you and Yoyoyozo voted for the first time D2 in the same minute when we know Yoyoyozo was the coordinator and he could have communicated something to you. Including the probabilities was meant to be a joke because of the was you reacted to damo.

[aarodactyl]

What has changed your opinion of bozo?

Just that I'm having a hard time deciding that anyone is scum. And I think it's possible that bozo is focusing on aaro because aaro is newer and he keeps contradicting himself, so it's easy for bozo to keep looking like he's hunting.

From your perspective, assuming you are town, 1/3 of the remaining scum possibilities are new players, are you not looking at them because they are new?

What do you think of aarodactyl saying he thinks I am town in his reads list, but when I asked him to rank his reads, he put me as the second mist likely scum?

I think everyone is some level of town.

[aarodactyl]

I do not believe I said anything that was incorrect.



I did not say there is a 99.2% chance you are scum.

You didn’t but you made a similar implication. Why else would you point it out like that?

I was just saying it looked suspicious that you and Yoyoyozo voted for the first time D2 in the same minute when we know Yoyoyozo was the coordinator and he could have communicated something to you. Including the probabilities was meant to be a joke because of the was you reacted to damo.

Then why did you get defensive when I compared it to what damo did? Is this related to you saying that you like to tunnel on people to get reactions out of them?

[bozotheclown]

You didn’t but you made a similar implication. Why else would you point it out like that?

I was just saying it looked suspicious that you and Yoyoyozo voted for the first time D2 in the same minute when we know Yoyoyozo was the coordinator and he could have communicated something to you. Including the probabilities was meant to be a joke because of the was you reacted to damo.

Then why did you get defensive when I compared it to what damo did? Is this related to you saying that you like to tunnel on people to get reactions out of them?

I was interested that you criticized the application of probability instead of agreeing it was an odd coincidence.

[aarodactyl]

@bozo am I the only person you find suspicious?

[aarodactyl]

I was just saying it looked suspicious that you and Yoyoyozo voted for the first time D2 in the same minute when we know Yoyoyozo was the coordinator and he could have communicated something to you. Including the probabilities was meant to be a joke because of the was you reacted to damo.

Then why did you get defensive when I compared it to what damo did? Is this related to you saying that you like to tunnel on people to get reactions out of them?

I was interested that you criticized the application of probability instead of agreeing it was an odd coincidence.

It was an odd coincidence. I don’t think I ever argued that I wasn’t. However, I think you using math to argue that it was more than just noise is frustrating. And I think I have a pretty well built up history of getting annoyed by that. Which you know about because you just referenced that you used the calculations as a joke.

[bozotheclown]

@bozo am I the only person you find suspicious?

no

[bozotheclown]

Then why did you get defensive when I compared it to what damo did? Is this related to you saying that you like to tunnel on people to get reactions out of them?

I was interested that you criticized the application of probability instead of agreeing it was an odd coincidence.

It was an odd coincidence. I don’t think I ever argued that I wasn’t. However, I think you using math to argue that it was more than just noise is frustrating. And I think I have a pretty well built up history of getting annoyed by that. Which you know about because you just referenced that you used the calculations as a joke.

It is possible it was just a coincidence and you are still scum.

[aarodactyl]

I was interested that you criticized the application of probability instead of agreeing it was an odd coincidence.

It was an odd coincidence. I don’t think I ever argued that I wasn’t. However, I think you using math to argue that it was more than just noise is frustrating. And I think I have a pretty well built up history of getting annoyed by that. Which you know about because you just referenced that you used the calculations as a joke.

It is possible it was just a coincidence and you are still scum.

Yes, that is possible (ignoring the fact that I know I’m not scum). However, the math was still frustrating. I don’t see why you’re pushing on this so much.

[aarodactyl]

@bozo am I the only person you find suspicious?

no

Can you do a deep dive on one of them then?

[bozotheclown]

@bozo am I the only person you find suspicious?

no

Can you do a deep dive on one of them then?

I could, but my preference is to flip you today.

[celaph]

What has changed your opinion of bozo?

Just that I'm having a hard time deciding that anyone is scum. And I think it's possible that bozo is focusing on aaro because aaro is newer and he keeps contradicting himself, so it's easy for bozo to keep looking like he's hunting.

From your perspective, assuming you are town, 1/3 of the remaining scum possibilities are new players, are you not looking at them because they are new?

What do you think of aarodactyl saying he thinks I am town in his reads list, but when I asked him to rank his reads, he put me as the second mist likely scum?

Regarding the second point, I think it's not unreasonable to have situations where you think that someone is town and also want to vote them out here. We're obviously at a point where none of us look that bad. Hypothetically assume that I know that the last scum is one of four people, but I have no idea which. From my perspective there is a 3/4 chance each one is town which I would call "probably town", yet I would still want to vote one of them out.

[celaph]

no

Can you do a deep dive on one of them then?

I could, but my preference is to flip you today.

Let's say that against my better instincts the town votes aaro out today and don't win. Who do you think it is then?

[Hellenic Riot]

I shall also be in vWDC and thus unavailable for a while tonight, though I doubt I'll last til deadline

I'll ##vote Flum as a banker though, but I'd be open to getting Bozo too. Still opposed to everyone else.

[Chaqa]

I shall also be in vWDC and thus unavailable for a while tonight, though I doubt I'll last til deadline

I'll ##vote Flum as a banker though, but I'd be open to getting Bozo too. Still opposed to everyone else.

Can you explain why you scumread Flum? The only point against him IMO is the potential scum slip.

[Fluminator]

Do you have reasons? No ones actually even given a reason why they think I'm scum outside of gut feelings and asking you to expand on your damo townread.

Meta, NKA, VCA, and interactions with confirmed scum all point to bozo imo.

[Fluminator]

Lol chaqa ninjad me.
Townreading someone is not a scumslip

[Chaqa]

Lol chaqa ninjad me.
Townreading someone is not a scumslip

Idk it’s pretty sus tho

[bozotheclown]

Can you do a deep dive on one of them then?

I could, but my preference is to flip you today.

Let's say that against my better instincts the town votes aaro out today and don't win. Who do you think it is then?

I still think Fluminator is a possibility.