Probably not.kgray wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:30 amDo you actually think Flum is scum?ghug wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 3:50 amConfirmation bias is a really natural instinct in these games, I think because there's so much time to stew on a hunch and so much game to read through for evidence.aarodactyl wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 3:44 am
I've been wondering about this in general. Whenever I reread someone, I almost always decide they're scum until I realize I'm just looking for confirmation, not looking at it objectively.
My strategy is to only reread on scum flips, and never read anyone in full isolation (add their name and common nicknames in the bot search and check the "enough if one true" box).
I usually end up in massive tunnels anyway. If Flum were town, he'd probably have noticed that I didn't have a dominant early game tunnel this game.
M62: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF REVOLUTIONARY MAFIA GAME THREAD!
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Re: M62: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF REVOLUTIONARY MAFIA GAME THREAD!
- Fluminator
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Re: M62: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF REVOLUTIONARY MAFIA GAME THREAD!
scribbles something in notepadaarodactyl wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:25 amwe're going to end up in the last three and then vote each other while the last scum wins.
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Re: M62: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF REVOLUTIONARY MAFIA GAME THREAD!
bitch why do you think i scumread you the first 3 days. You could have obvtowned quicker and save me a lot of shade throwing on youghug wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:31 amProbably not.kgray wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:30 amDo you actually think Flum is scum?ghug wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 3:50 am
Confirmation bias is a really natural instinct in these games, I think because there's so much time to stew on a hunch and so much game to read through for evidence.
My strategy is to only reread on scum flips, and never read anyone in full isolation (add their name and common nicknames in the bot search and check the "enough if one true" box).
I usually end up in massive tunnels anyway. If Flum were town, he'd probably have noticed that I didn't have a dominant early game tunnel this game.
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Re: M62: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF REVOLUTIONARY MAFIA GAME THREAD!
@flum how's your suggestion about voting out the new players going?
Re: M62: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF REVOLUTIONARY MAFIA GAME THREAD!
I actually considered a tinfoil theory where scum didn't get the max number of PRs so they assumed that town didn't either and scum!HR gambled on there not being a CC and claimed priest - right up until I hit preview and realized that we already had confirmed priest because Durga survived for an extra day.Fluminator wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:21 amLets just say HR is lucky he saved someone because I would have assumed there was no priest otherwise and he was doing a scum gambit.aarodactyl wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:19 amI enjoy how you're saying that they'll kill kgray over the confirmed town PR.Fluminator wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 4:59 amwait yeah, did I miscount.
12-assuming they kill Tom or Kgray
11- kill balki/maniac/bona
10-Tom or kgray
9- kill balki/maniac/bona
8- HR maybe
7- kill balki/maniac/bona
6- aaro/bona/celaph/bozo/flum/ghug
Yeah, they'd probably kill celaph there. not aaro
- Fluminator
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Re: M62: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF REVOLUTIONARY MAFIA GAME THREAD!
How does Durga still have 72 more posts than me when she's been dead for 3 days
Re: M62: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF REVOLUTIONARY MAFIA GAME THREAD!
No it's not.ghug wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:31 amHis thing is bad.kgray wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:28 amDude let him do his thing.ghug wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 3:39 am
You've found a reason to scumread Chaqa, and you're reading through his game to look for more evidence to corroborate that scumread. You did a similar thing with Flum, and with me and damo, and it's a pretty common pattern for you in general. Have you ever started one of those rereads and found something that convinced you to townread the person instead?
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Re: M62: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF REVOLUTIONARY MAFIA GAME THREAD!
lol, I'm still shocked all three of you are around and didn't run away from the community after this gongshow of a game.aarodactyl wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:34 am@flum how's your suggestion about voting out the new players going?
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Re: M62: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF REVOLUTIONARY MAFIA GAME THREAD!
After this post, I'll still be 42 behind brain and they've been dead for since D2Fluminator wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:36 amHow does Durga still have 72 more posts than me when she's been dead for 3 days
Re: M62: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF REVOLUTIONARY MAFIA GAME THREAD!
I only obvtown as scumFluminator wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:33 ambitch why do you think i scumread you the first 3 days. You could have obvtowned quicker and save me a lot of shade throwing on you
Re: M62: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF REVOLUTIONARY MAFIA GAME THREAD!
You got quiet, mellow brain.aarodactyl wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:38 amAfter this post, I'll still be 42 behind brain and they've been dead for since D2Fluminator wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:36 amHow does Durga still have 72 more posts than me when she's been dead for 3 days
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Re: M62: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF REVOLUTIONARY MAFIA GAME THREAD!
Me? I'm pulling a chaqa and am playing among usghug wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 6:04 amYou got quiet, mellow brain.aarodactyl wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:38 amAfter this post, I'll still be 42 behind brain and they've been dead for since D2Fluminator wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:36 amHow does Durga still have 72 more posts than me when she's been dead for 3 days
Re: M62: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF REVOLUTIONARY MAFIA GAME THREAD!
No, like the version of brain you got was the quiet, mellow version.aarodactyl wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 6:21 amMe? I'm pulling a chaqa and am playing among usghug wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 6:04 amYou got quiet, mellow brain.aarodactyl wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:38 am
After this post, I'll still be 42 behind brain and they've been dead for since D2
- Chaqa
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Re: M62: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF REVOLUTIONARY MAFIA GAME THREAD!
idk man you seemed pretty eager to jump off that wagon.
Is this the reverse of last game?
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Re: M62: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF REVOLUTIONARY MAFIA GAME THREAD!
ohhh yeah, fair. The way people talk about brain doesn't really match up to the brain I saw
- Chaqa
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Re: M62: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF REVOLUTIONARY MAFIA GAME THREAD!
I played earlier! Eden and bona were there. Then I had D&D.aarodactyl wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 6:21 amMe? I'm pulling a chaqa and am playing among usghug wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 6:04 amYou got quiet, mellow brain.aarodactyl wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:38 am
After this post, I'll still be 42 behind brain and they've been dead for since D2
It's been a fun night
- Balki Bartokomous
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Re: M62: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF REVOLUTIONARY MAFIA GAME THREAD!
(1) How come you put my teacon vote in the middle? That's the one I casted last. That's the one that counted.bozotheclown wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 3:36 amI still do not like Balki's vote movement D1 EOD, and I think it is possible he agreed to vote BunnyGo with kgray to pull her vote off of teacon.Balki Bartokomous wrote: ↑Fri Nov 27, 2020 10:56 pm##vote Hamilton Brian
Only vote I feel good about.
(2) Talk me through my strategy on pulling kgray off of teacon. Why wouldn't I just stay on BunnyGo if that is what I was up to? Wouldn't I think, after BunnyGo didn't...er, go...that kgray would go back to teacon? Did I leave the BunnyGo wagon first or did kgray? (I actually don't remember, but it seems like this might be something you would have looked at?)
Seems like for your theory to hold, I would have pried kgray off of teacon to bunnygo, and then stayed there, right? Also, if that's what I'm thinking, then I would be highly concerned about kgray moving back to teacon, wouldn't I? After I cast my teacon vote, there were something like five more posts that got in before EOD. Wouldn't I be expecting a kgray vote for teacon to be one of them?
What would be the point of me actively moving one of the teacon votes, just to replace it with my own teacon vote? Wouldn't a better strategy for that be to sit back and enjoy the beach and ignore you weirdos?
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Re: M62: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF REVOLUTIONARY MAFIA GAME THREAD!
you missed their next post where they say they put the order wrong by mistakeBalki Bartokomous wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 6:54 am(1) How come you put my teacon vote in the middle? That's the one I casted last. That's the one that counted.bozotheclown wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 3:36 amI still do not like Balki's vote movement D1 EOD, and I think it is possible he agreed to vote BunnyGo with kgray to pull her vote off of teacon.Balki Bartokomous wrote: ↑Fri Nov 27, 2020 10:56 pm##vote Hamilton Brian
Only vote I feel good about.
(2) Talk me through my strategy on pulling kgray off of teacon. Why wouldn't I just stay on BunnyGo if that is what I was up to? Wouldn't I think, after BunnyGo didn't...er, go...that kgray would go back to teacon? Did I leave the BunnyGo wagon first or did kgray? (I actually don't remember, but it seems like this might be something you would have looked at?)
Seems like for your theory to hold, I would have pried kgray off of teacon to bunnygo, and then stayed there, right? Also, if that's what I'm thinking, then I would be highly concerned about kgray moving back to teacon, wouldn't I? After I cast my teacon vote, there were something like five more posts that got in before EOD. Wouldn't I be expecting a kgray vote for teacon to be one of them?
What would be the point of me actively moving one of the teacon votes, just to replace it with my own teacon vote? Wouldn't a better strategy for that be to sit back and enjoy the beach and ignore you weirdos?
Re: M62: PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF REVOLUTIONARY MAFIA GAME THREAD!
If there is a priest CC, they just claim now and we kill them then HR. One of those two must be the last scum so we win. Any cc after tonight is just automatically scum.aarodactyl wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:22 amtbh, I wouldn't be surprised if someone else priest claims at some point.Fluminator wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:21 amLets just say HR is lucky he saved someone because I would have assumed there was no priest otherwise and he was doing a scum gambit.aarodactyl wrote: ↑Thu Dec 10, 2020 5:19 am
I enjoy how you're saying that they'll kill kgray over the confirmed town PR.
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