Mafia 56: Scout Camp

[Hellenic Riot]

emc is also clear.

One of worcej/Jamie/Bismarck is scum.

One of HR/summit/rivera/Durga/damo/Bob/bozo/brain is scum.

I don't think we should focus on the PR scum tomorrow, let the Mafia narrow that down for us.

Finding the scum in the VT haystack is what's going to take some effort.

Ofc we focus on the PR group. How will scum help. I know they've been very helpful so far but ....

How many mislynches we have left?

2 mafia 13 town left alive atm, probably 12 tomorrow.

2 10 (1 ML)
2 8 (2 ML)
2 6 (3 ML)
2 4 (4 ML)

If mafia get a double kill in one night, that'd be

2 9
2 7
2 5
2 3

So they'd have to get at least two double-kills in to get rid of one of those ML's.

[BobMcBob]

im currently making some chumps watch bob. Ill probably change it later, but just in case the night end time gets weirded up somehow, if u dont hear anything else from me, thats the target.

Okay, I'm fine with that. I mean I personally wouldn't watch me obviously, but it'd be nice to actually get cleared for once.

[xorxes]

Ofc we focus on the PR group. How will scum help. I know they've been very helpful so far but ....

How many mislynches we have left?

2 mafia 13 town left alive atm, probably 12 tomorrow.

2 10 (1 ML)
2 8 (2 ML)
2 6 (3 ML)
2 4 (4 ML)

If mafia get a double kill in one night, that'd be

2 9
2 7
2 5
2 3

So they'd have to get at least two double-kills in to get rid of one of those ML's.

I think at 2-3 we have already lost.

[worcej]

emc is also clear.

One of worcej/Jamie/Bismarck is scum.

One of HR/summit/rivera/Durga/damo/Bob/bozo/brain is scum.

I don't think we should focus on the PR scum tomorrow, let the Mafia narrow that down for us.

Finding the scum in the VT haystack is what's going to take some effort.

Ofc we focus on the PR group. How will scum help. I know they've been very helpful so far but ....

How many mislynches we have left?

I have an answer but will let our resident math expert weigh in first.

[Hellenic Riot]

How many mislynches we have left?

2 mafia 13 town left alive atm, probably 12 tomorrow.

2 10 (1 ML)
2 8 (2 ML)
2 6 (3 ML)
2 4 (4 ML)

If mafia get a double kill in one night, that'd be

2 9
2 7
2 5
2 3

So they'd have to get at least two double-kills in to get rid of one of those ML's.

I think at 2-3 we have already lost.

Possibly. Realistically we have at least 3 ML's though.

[worcej]

2 mafia 13 town left alive atm, probably 12 tomorrow.

2 10 (1 ML)
2 8 (2 ML)
2 6 (3 ML)
2 4 (4 ML)

If mafia get a double kill in one night, that'd be

2 9
2 7
2 5
2 3

So they'd have to get at least two double-kills in to get rid of one of those ML's.

I think at 2-3 we have already lost.

Possibly. Realistically we have at least 3 ML's though.

Well, since the cat is out of the bag. 3 is the number I arrived at.

[worcej]

@Bismark - can you please summarize your case why I am scum?

@Jamie - between Bismark and me, who do you believe to be the scum and why?

[Squigs44]

Deadline moved 2 D earlier.

Note that this means Night is just less than 24 hours long.

[worcej]

Deadline moved 2 D earlier.

Note that this means Night is just less than 24 hours long.

totally fine with me.

[BunnyGo]

How many mislynches we have left?

2 mafia 13 town left alive atm, probably 12 tomorrow.

2 10 (1 ML)
2 8 (2 ML)
2 6 (3 ML)
2 4 (4 ML)

If mafia get a double kill in one night, that'd be

2 9
2 7
2 5
2 3

So they'd have to get at least two double-kills in to get rid of one of those ML's.

I think at 2-3 we have already lost.

The math doesn't change on #of_mislynch if we get one right on the way and it is 1-2.

[xorxes]

2 mafia 13 town left alive atm, probably 12 tomorrow.

2 10 (1 ML)
2 8 (2 ML)
2 6 (3 ML)
2 4 (4 ML)

If mafia get a double kill in one night, that'd be

2 9
2 7
2 5
2 3

So they'd have to get at least two double-kills in to get rid of one of those ML's.

I think at 2-3 we have already lost.

The math doesn't change on #of_mislynch if we get one right on the way and it is 1-2.

At 1-2 we can still win by lynching correctly. At 2-3 we have lost because even if we lynch correctly it is then 1-3 that night and the last scum knows who to double kill.

[xorxes]

D1:

Macca573 (7) xorxes rdrivera2005 bozotheclown Durga summit_fever Hellenic Riot damo666
bozotheclown (6) JF1981 worcej Vecna BobMcBob TheFlyingBoat Chaqa
worcej (2) BismarckAlive Macca573
brainbomb (1) flash2015
flash2015 (1) TheRealCottonmouth
Chaqa (1) Donny Dude
damo666 (1) brainbomb
TheRealCottonmouth (1) e.m.c^42


So at most one scum was bussing macca D1. One for sure unless brain or Bob are scum.

[xorxes]

D1:

Macca573 (7) xorxes rdrivera2005 bozotheclown Durga summit_fever Hellenic Riot damo666
bozotheclown (6) JF1981 worcej Vecna BobMcBob TheFlyingBoat Chaqa
worcej (2) BismarckAlive Macca573
brainbomb (1) flash2015
flash2015 (1) TheRealCottonmouth
Chaqa (1) Donny Dude
damo666 (1) brainbomb
TheRealCottonmouth (1) e.m.c^42


So at most one scum was bussing macca D1. One for sure unless brain or Bob are scum.

If there was no bussing at all, then Bismarck has to be scum, because macca was voting for worcej and Donny for Chaqa.

[BunnyGo]

D1:

Macca573 (7) xorxes rdrivera2005 bozotheclown Durga summit_fever Hellenic Riot damo666
bozotheclown (6) JF1981 worcej Vecna BobMcBob TheFlyingBoat Chaqa
worcej (2) BismarckAlive Macca573
brainbomb (1) flash2015
flash2015 (1) TheRealCottonmouth
Chaqa (1) Donny Dude
damo666 (1) brainbomb
TheRealCottonmouth (1) e.m.c^42


So at most one scum was bussing macca D1. One for sure unless brain or Bob are scum.

If there was no bussing at all, then Bismarck has to be scum, because macca was voting for worcej and Donny for Chaqa.

Having not seen how that day developed, why did scum not manage to mislynch bozo (assuming he's town)?

[bozotheclown]

I managed to miss all of D3.

[bozotheclown]

I hope we win something good bozo.

What do you think of Donny now Bozo?

Only 12 players got a full entry in on time, with 12 unique combinations. There are only 7 players left in the running:

bozo: Jamie, flash, Donny, rdrivera
brainbomb: Donny, Jamie, rdrivera, summit
HR: Donny, brainbomb, Jamie, xorxes
summit: Donny, damo, flash, JF
TFB: Donny, Jamie, emc, HR
Bismarck: worcej, Donny, brainbomb, Bob
Damo: Donny, Durga, emc, JF

summit and I are the only ones who had Donny and flash, although summit is already out of the running because he had JF.

[BismarckAlive]

D1:

Macca573 (7) xorxes rdrivera2005 bozotheclown Durga summit_fever Hellenic Riot damo666
bozotheclown (6) JF1981 worcej Vecna BobMcBob TheFlyingBoat Chaqa
worcej (2) BismarckAlive Macca573
brainbomb (1) flash2015
flash2015 (1) TheRealCottonmouth
Chaqa (1) Donny Dude
damo666 (1) brainbomb
TheRealCottonmouth (1) e.m.c^42


So at most one scum was bussing macca D1. One for sure unless brain or Bob are scum.

If there was no bussing at all, then Bismarck has to be scum, because macca was voting for worcej and Donny for Chaqa.

Non-sequitur Xorxes. Why are you putting mud on me? Is that because your scummate Worcej is on my radar? No way I am scum. I am consistent with my reads. D1 I called Donny, Brainbomb and Worcej dirty, and I have voted that way - that day I started voting Donny, but when Worcej did what he did, I voted Worcej. Go bark up a different tree.

[bozotheclown]

D1:

Macca573 (7) xorxes rdrivera2005 bozotheclown Durga summit_fever Hellenic Riot damo666
bozotheclown (6) JF1981 worcej Vecna BobMcBob TheFlyingBoat Chaqa
worcej (2) BismarckAlive Macca573
brainbomb (1) flash2015
flash2015 (1) TheRealCottonmouth
Chaqa (1) Donny Dude
damo666 (1) brainbomb
TheRealCottonmouth (1) e.m.c^42


So at most one scum was bussing macca D1. One for sure unless brain or Bob are scum.

If there was no bussing at all, then Bismarck has to be scum, because macca was voting for worcej and Donny for Chaqa.

Having not seen how that day developed, why did scum not manage to mislynch bozo (assuming he's town)?

It is possible all scum were off the top 2 wagons D1, but not likely.

[bozotheclown]

D1:

Macca573 (7) xorxes rdrivera2005 bozotheclown Durga summit_fever Hellenic Riot damo666
bozotheclown (6) JF1981 worcej Vecna BobMcBob TheFlyingBoat Chaqa
worcej (2) BismarckAlive Macca573
brainbomb (1) flash2015
flash2015 (1) TheRealCottonmouth
Chaqa (1) Donny Dude
damo666 (1) brainbomb
TheRealCottonmouth (1) e.m.c^42


So at most one scum was bussing macca D1. One for sure unless brain or Bob are scum.

If there was no bussing at all, then Bismarck has to be scum, because macca was voting for worcej and Donny for Chaqa.

Non-sequitur Xorxes. Why are you putting mud on me? Is that because your scummate Worcej is on my radar? No way I am scum. I am consistent with my reads. D1 I called Donny, Brainbomb and Worcej dirty, and I have voted that way - that day I started voting Donny, but when Worcej did what he did, I voted Worcej. Go bark up a different tree.

xorxes is cleared.

[BismarckAlive]

@Bismark - can you please summarize your case why I am scum?

@Jamie - between Bismark and me, who do you believe to be the scum and why?

I already have:
(1) coaching noob scums how to think about massclaims;
(2) outing your chat buddy knowing that you two will not be double-killed;
(3) waiting till last to claim a PR role, ensuring there were 9 PRs (When all the arguments for the massclaim had been laid out, and majority of players had already claimed, making it a foregone conclusion.);
(4) I licked my lips in gleeful satisfaction when you claimed FAE, because you are now confirmed scum
Cheers!
(4)