M1011 - Revenge of the Space Mutants - Game Thread

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worcej
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Re: M1011 - Revenge of the Space Mutants - Game Thread

#641 Post by worcej » Thu May 21, 2020 4:02 pm

damo666 wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 10:04 am
Assuming

1 worcej is town due to claim
2 Neph is town else he would have caused lynch
3 Vecna is town because scumemc would have made an effort to vote

then

if Xorxes is town with me scum were presumably all on one wagon giving only 2 possible scum teams, namely

food Bozo Chaqa OR kgray Tom summit

If Xorxes is scum his team mates must be 2 from kgray Tom and summit.

Therefore logically I must ##vote Xorxes

Assuming I am correct then whichever way he flips we are only one mislynch away from victory.

Hopefully game is solved.

@Xorxes sorry if you're town but if you are you will be happy with my logic.
Assumption #3 is the only one I scratch my head on because emc has shown to be bad about voting in general and that is NAI. I would hope he puts more effort in as scum, but he has shown he puts little to a ton of effort as either alignment.

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Re: M1011 - Revenge of the Space Mutants - Game Thread

#642 Post by Chaqa » Thu May 21, 2020 4:03 pm

Vecna wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 3:55 pm
Chaqa wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 3:21 pm
Vecna wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 3:13 pm


Why not resolve day1 by lynching Chaqa?

If he flips scum we can safely assume both are town
When I flip town, do you owe me Chipotle? lmao
Were not doing that over this, and i think you know why
Because you're scum? :o

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Re: M1011 - Revenge of the Space Mutants - Game Thread

#643 Post by Vecna » Thu May 21, 2020 4:05 pm

##vote Summit

I think lynching summit or Xorxes is correct here

I dont see any reason why the judicator wouldve saved summit after his day1 performance. Roleblock on food is possible (more likely even with Xorxes scum id say), but most of my scumteams have summit on it regardless.

Summit fits in a scumteam with both Xorxes and Chaqa in my mind.

The only downside to lynching summit is that he has a higher likelyhood of simply being the toughguy. Which means that lynching Xorxes might actually be better.

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Re: M1011 - Revenge of the Space Mutants - Game Thread

#644 Post by Vecna » Thu May 21, 2020 4:06 pm

Chaqa wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 4:03 pm
Vecna wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 3:55 pm
Chaqa wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 3:21 pm


When I flip town, do you owe me Chipotle? lmao
Were not doing that over this, and i think you know why
Because you're scum? :o
Are you calling me scum?

You wanna go there?

Say that again. to my face

Cmon then

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Re: M1011 - Revenge of the Space Mutants - Game Thread

#645 Post by Chaqa » Thu May 21, 2020 4:10 pm

Vecna wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 4:06 pm
Chaqa wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 4:03 pm
Vecna wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 3:55 pm


Were not doing that over this, and i think you know why
Because you're scum? :o
Are you calling me scum?

You wanna go there?

Say that again. to my face

Cmon then
https://tenor.com/baH7G.gif

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Re: M1011 - Revenge of the Space Mutants - Game Thread

#646 Post by worcej » Thu May 21, 2020 4:12 pm

foodcoats wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 1:20 pm
foodcoats wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 1:15 pm
xorxes wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 1:12 pm
OPINION POLL

Please add your name below.

I believe that worcej's claim is:

(A) Very likely true:
(B) More likely true than false:
(C) No idea:
(D) More likely false than true: xorxes
(E) Very likely false:
Do not answer this if you are town. PR fishing.
@worcej, if I am right about xorxes, this suggests they may have used an RB last night instead of double cop. You should shoot again today, in case.
Per a question I asked the GM, you get one chance to shoot. I know for a fact if my target was lynched that my shot would be wasted due to instant night - this is also why I did not target anyone that was a wagon.


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Re: M1011 - Revenge of the Space Mutants - Game Thread

#648 Post by Vecna » Thu May 21, 2020 4:22 pm

All solid townreads with good reasons:
Bozotheclown
Damo666
Foodcoats
Kgray
Worcej

Pool containing all 3 scum
Nephthys
Xorxes/Chaqa (not SvS for various reasons)
Summit_fever
Tom Bombadil

Lynching Xorxes today is like a 50/50 but will yield more info
lynching others in this pool is a 66% since I dont really buy that Chaqa and Xorxes are both town in how this has gone down.

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Re: M1011 - Revenge of the Space Mutants - Game Thread

#649 Post by Vecna » Thu May 21, 2020 4:23 pm

although summit in all likelyhood is partnered with either chaqa/xorxes, so TomB or Neph is also a coinflip

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Re: M1011 - Revenge of the Space Mutants - Game Thread

#650 Post by worcej » Thu May 21, 2020 4:30 pm

foodcoats wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 1:57 pm
xorxes wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 1:23 pm
foodcoats wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 1:20 pm


@worcej, if I am right about xorxes, this suggests they may have used an RB last night instead of double cop. You should shoot again today, in case.
If he was roleblocked, he does not get another shot. Maybe read the setup?
Oh, damn. Thanks xorxes.

I am the other Vigilante. I fired at summit and my shot failed.
Okay, if true, then that leaves these options:
  1. One of us was roleblocked, which I find to be unlikely because it is a one-shot ability and N1 would be the least
  2. EMC, Summit, food, or myself were commuted - more possible, but would be interesting as to why we were chosen by said player.
  3. EMC or Summit is the tough guy.

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Re: M1011 - Revenge of the Space Mutants - Game Thread

#651 Post by bozotheclown » Thu May 21, 2020 4:30 pm

damo666 wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 2:53 pm
bozotheclown wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 2:02 pm
damo666 wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 1:53 pm


The 1 minute thing is a bit spurious. With 8 mins to go it was 4-4 with Xorxes and I both on solo vote wagons so it was fairly obvious at that stage it would very likely go to 5-5 so why did nobody jump? Possible reasons:
a) not online
b) assumed Neph would switch
c) didn't want to out themselves as likely scum (especially if it were TvS)
You had not posted since 38 minutes before EOD, your online status was hidden, you said you came online with barely enough time to vote to force the tie, but it should have been obvious to everyone else that you would tie the vote?
Yes. If Xorxes voted for me I was bound to vote for him. I had not indicated I would be absent EOD. My online status has been hidden for many games now, totally NAI.
Your online status may be NAI, but that combined with your lack of posts and your waiting until the last minute to vote made it less than obvious that you were online to vote.

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Re: M1011 - Revenge of the Space Mutants - Game Thread

#652 Post by worcej » Thu May 21, 2020 4:31 pm

Chaqa wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 2:15 pm
foodcoats wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 1:57 pm
xorxes wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 1:23 pm


If he was roleblocked, he does not get another shot. Maybe read the setup?
Oh, damn. Thanks xorxes.

I am the other Vigilante. I fired at summit and my shot failed.
So, possibilities for what happened last night (for you and worc):
1. EMC is tough guy
2. Summit is tough guy
3. EMC was commuted (seems unlikely)
4. Summit was commuted
5. Food was roleblocked
6. Worcej was roleblocked

I don't think I missed anything.. but doesn't this mean we should throw EMC/Vecna and Summit into the lynch pool today?
You forgot that if food and myself were commuted, our actions would fail.

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Re: M1011 - Revenge of the Space Mutants - Game Thread

#653 Post by Vecna » Thu May 21, 2020 4:37 pm

It all nicely overlaps with reads anyway, so it doesnt really matter

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Re: M1011 - Revenge of the Space Mutants - Game Thread

#654 Post by xorxes » Thu May 21, 2020 4:37 pm

Vecna wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 4:22 pm
All solid townreads with good reasons:
Bozotheclown
Damo666
Foodcoats
Kgray
Worcej

Pool containing all 3 scum
Nephthys
Xorxes/Chaqa (not SvS for various reasons)
Summit_fever
Tom Bombadil

Lynching Xorxes today is like a 50/50 but will yield more info
lynching others in this pool is a 66% since I dont really buy that Chaqa and Xorxes are both town in how this has gone down.
The only thing I don't get here is your townread of damo. Other than that, your logic seems ok if you're town (barring any Vig counterclaims).

I know I'm town, so I find it hard to believe that summit is scum the way he voted.

If you are town and your reads are correct, that would leave Chaqa-Tom-Neph as the scumteam. I'll think about it.

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Re: M1011 - Revenge of the Space Mutants - Game Thread

#655 Post by xorxes » Thu May 21, 2020 4:38 pm

Vecna wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 4:23 pm
although summit in all likelyhood is partnered with either chaqa/xorxes, so TomB or Neph is also a coinflip
How does the Chaqa-summit partnership work?

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Re: M1011 - Revenge of the Space Mutants - Game Thread

#656 Post by xorxes » Thu May 21, 2020 4:41 pm

worcej wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 4:30 pm
foodcoats wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 1:57 pm

I am the other Vigilante. I fired at summit and my shot failed.
Okay, if true, then that leaves these options:
  1. One of us was roleblocked, which I find to be unlikely because it is a one-shot ability and N1 would be the least
  2. EMC, Summit, food, or myself were commuted - more possible, but would be interesting as to why we were chosen by said player.
  3. EMC or Summit is the tough guy.
Yes, if you're both telling the truth, 3 seems like the most likely.

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Re: M1011 - Revenge of the Space Mutants - Game Thread

#657 Post by Tom Bombadil » Thu May 21, 2020 4:49 pm

Why do you think its unlikely both worcej and food are telling the truth xorx? Seems pretty plausible to me.

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Re: M1011 - Revenge of the Space Mutants - Game Thread

#658 Post by Vecna » Thu May 21, 2020 4:52 pm

xorxes wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 4:38 pm
Vecna wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 4:23 pm
although summit in all likelyhood is partnered with either chaqa/xorxes, so TomB or Neph is also a coinflip
How does the Chaqa-summit partnership work?
I dont really see the need to speculate on this. Why wouldnt it work?

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Re: M1011 - Revenge of the Space Mutants - Game Thread

#659 Post by xorxes » Thu May 21, 2020 5:00 pm

Tom Bombadil wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 4:49 pm
Why do you think its unlikely both worcej and food are telling the truth xorx? Seems pretty plausible to me.
Mainly because I was scumreading them both before their claims. Neither of them seemed very sure how their role worked. worcej did not even think it was worth mentioning who he shot at first, and food was not aware that he did not keep his shot if he was roleblocked. Maybe they just don't pay attention to these things.

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Re: M1011 - Revenge of the Space Mutants - Game Thread

#660 Post by xorxes » Thu May 21, 2020 5:03 pm

Vecna wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 4:52 pm
xorxes wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 4:38 pm
Vecna wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 4:23 pm
although summit in all likelyhood is partnered with either chaqa/xorxes, so TomB or Neph is also a coinflip
How does the Chaqa-summit partnership work?
I dont really see the need to speculate on this. Why wouldnt it work?
You seem pretty certain summit has to be scum. I understand why you might think that he is scum if I was scum, but I don't get why you would think that he is scum if Chaqa was scum instead of me.

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