M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

[Chaqa]

##Vote Temasek22

[xorxes]

Whats the percent you think I'm town/scum versus the percent you think Tem is town/scum?

For Squigs I lean town. let's call it 55/45. If I was given even money I'd bet that you're town.

For Temasek the only idea gnawing at me is that I believe town!Sarah was more likely to leave this game compared to scum!Sarah. I do believe Temasek is lying, and not being here right now isn't helping that. 70/30 scum.

okay so lynching me gives a 16.5% of lynching 2 town, and a 38.5% chance of lynching 1 scum 1 town, with a 45% chance of lynching 1 scum, no town.

Lynching Tem gives a 70% chance of lynching 1 scum, no town, and a 30% chance of lynching 1 town, 0 scum.

So lynching you gives us 83.5% of lynching scum, and lynching Temasek only 70%, right?

[Nephthys]

The interesting thing is:

Everyone voting on Tem feels like theyre somewhat willing to change back.

People on Squigs are just stuck for the most part

Im really wondering if mafia knows they lose if tem flips and they have to take a stand.

You do realise the people voting squigs expect tem to flip as well?

[Squigs44]

At least Tem can't move off my wagon to save himself. I'm pretty happy with this

[Chaqa]

I’m not sold either way yet but I am going to say since we can’t get unanimous on Squigs, we should just get Temasek now.

[worcej]

Vote Count 5.1
Temasek22 (6) Squigs44 Vecna damo666 summit_fever Jamiet99uk BunnyGo
Squigs44 (6) xorxes* bozotheclown Nephthys foodcoats Temasek22 Chaqa*

End-votes (2/12): xorxes Chaqa

The Island is currently set to have a peaceful day.

8 minutes left.

[Vecna]

I feel ive produced some very solid arguments, but noone is even engaging them from "that camp".

Xorxes even admits he thinks Tem is scum. so why so unwilling to compromise?

Because youre afraid we dont know when lylo will be?

[foodcoats]

##VOTE Temasek

[Squigs44]

For Squigs I lean town. let's call it 55/45. If I was given even money I'd bet that you're town.

For Temasek the only idea gnawing at me is that I believe town!Sarah was more likely to leave this game compared to scum!Sarah. I do believe Temasek is lying, and not being here right now isn't helping that. 70/30 scum.

okay so lynching me gives a 16.5% of lynching 2 town, and a 38.5% chance of lynching 1 scum 1 town, with a 45% chance of lynching 1 scum, no town.

Lynching Tem gives a 70% chance of lynching 1 scum, no town, and a 30% chance of lynching 1 town, 0 scum.

So lynching you gives us 83.5% of lynching scum, and lynching Temasek only 70%, right?

Okay but lynching me gives a 55% chance of losing town and lynching Tem gives a 30% chance of losing town.

Lynching me gives a 16.5% chance of losing 2 town and lynching Tem gives a 0% chance of lynching 2 town

[Chaqa]

Lynching Tem also provides potential upside late game for Squigs if he’s Vengeful and reduces the number of people needing to be investigated

[Nephthys]

Lynching Tem also provides potential upside late game for Squigs if he’s Vengeful and reduces the number of people needing to be investigated

I mean taking Squigs and Tem out of the equation reduces the pool even further...

[xorxes]

I feel ive produced some very solid arguments, but noone is even engaging them from "that camp".

Xorxes even admits he thinks Tem is scum. so why so unwilling to compromise?

Because youre afraid we dont know when lylo will be?

I engaged with most of your arguments and explained why lynching Squigs is better.

[Chaqa]

Lynching Tem also provides potential upside late game for Squigs if he’s Vengeful and reduces the number of people needing to be investigated

I mean taking Squigs and Tem out of the equation reduces the pool even further...

I don’t disagree, but what do we do if Tem jumps off the Squigs wagon last second?

[Squigs44]

Lynching Tem also provides potential upside late game for Squigs if he’s Vengeful and reduces the number of people needing to be investigated

I mean taking Squigs and Tem out of the equation reduces the pool even further...

If you leave me alive you never have to scan me, you just lynch me to find my alignment

[Chaqa]

Let’s see if Vecna is full of tinfoil.

[Chaqa]

Lynching Tem also provides potential upside late game for Squigs if he’s Vengeful and reduces the number of people needing to be investigated

I mean taking Squigs and Tem out of the equation reduces the pool even further...

If you leave me alive you never have to scan me, you just lynch me to find my alignment

Yes, this is what I meant. No one should waste a scan on Squigs.

[Vecna]

Were down to anywhere between 7-9 townies by now. We cannot just sacrefise any that could potentially be town when we have a scum lynch.

Why would Tem come out and claim the way he did?

What other reason besides being afraid of getting blown up by Squigs?

[Vecna]

I really hate being in this position constantly to have to push the hard decisions.

Please let me be right on this

[Nephthys]

Sigh ##vote tem

[Nephthys]

I really hate being in this position constantly to have to push the hard decisions.

Please let me be right on this

Yikes
60% tem flips town