M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

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foodcoats
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Re: M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

#3021 Post by foodcoats » Sat May 02, 2020 1:59 pm

And based on what I've seen emc is town two thirds of the time or better.

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Foxcastle
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Re: M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

#3022 Post by Foxcastle » Sat May 02, 2020 2:00 pm

Chaqa wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 1:45 am
Vecna wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 1:37 am
more sobee thoughts tomorre

for now, all have like a big huf and kiss goodnitght.

ps: bit disappointed by tje level of questions. drunk people good source of ibfo n tainnmeint
Vecna is faking being drunk.

Maybe it's his role?
Or he ran it through http://www.zantherus.com/fun/drunkpost.php, which seems to produce similar patterns...

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Re: M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

#3023 Post by e.m.c^42 » Sat May 02, 2020 2:00 pm

Jamie this is what you misunderstood. Xorxes was absolute certain that I'd flip scum. From his perspective that information about Donny would only be true if I flipped town, and he had claimed that he wanted to lynch me to find out Donny's alignment and not necessarily out of scumreading me, do you understand? I didn't know how lined up together.

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Re: M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

#3024 Post by foodcoats » Sat May 02, 2020 2:01 pm

Bismarck returned I see and focused on counting bad guys rather than making reads...

Still seems like a good vote.

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Re: M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

#3025 Post by damo666 » Sat May 02, 2020 2:04 pm

rdrivera2005 wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 1:27 pm
damo666 wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 10:53 am
damo666 wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 10:52 am
Vecna Neph Bozo Flash Demon on my dodgy list.

My town assumptions in no particular order: food brain Jamie March summit Xorxes emc Chaqa

Others: darg fox Sarah kgray Bismark

Missing someone
Sorry rdr. Add to others
I feel a bit offended.
Sorry. Think of it as a +ve

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Re: M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

#3026 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat May 02, 2020 2:04 pm

foodcoats wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 1:59 pm
And based on what I've seen emc is town two thirds of the time or better.
What is the relevance of this appeal to the gambler's fallacy?

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Re: M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

#3027 Post by Foxcastle » Sat May 02, 2020 2:04 pm

e.m.c^42 wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 2:16 am
Chaqa wrote:Can you describe what your role was?

As far as tracking - I think most likely NK if Donny was town are probably xorxes, Vecna, and the like.

I think rivera is fine.
e.m.c wrote:Mhh, I can't quote my PM at all (unfortunately)

but it was basically a third party that would gain the role of whatever role died first.
e.m.c wrote:I had thought a bit about diverting the lynch but it seemed like it would put too much attention on me lol, and gaining either scum or tracker would've been great for me
Chaqa wrote:Why can't you quote it?
e.m.c wrote: Closed setup, can't quote GM communications :P
e.m.c wrote:For telling you my results, I might just end up writing something lol, it's easiest to find and read.

Taunt me into something involving chipotle or whatever, and based on who it includes it'll be whoever rivera visited? And if he did not visit anyone, it'll be solo
Is there anything in this QT that would make sharing it contrary to your win condition?

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Re: M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

#3028 Post by foodcoats » Sat May 02, 2020 2:05 pm

Also worth noting that if you just take the odds, Donny was town.

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Re: M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

#3029 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat May 02, 2020 2:05 pm

e.m.c^42 wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 2:00 pm
Jamie this is what you misunderstood. Xorxes was absolute certain that I'd flip scum. From his perspective that information about Donny would only be true if I flipped town, and he had claimed that he wanted to lynch me to find out Donny's alignment and not necessarily out of scumreading me, do you understand? I didn't know how lined up together.
Donny could be scum tracker, you could be telling the truth about the role (especially as the role is potentially verifiable to some degree) but lying about the alignment.

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Re: M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

#3030 Post by Vecna » Sat May 02, 2020 2:06 pm

damo666 wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 1:27 pm
Vecna wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 12:06 pm
Why are you voting me Damo?
I think you set up the Donny thing
How did I set that up? I noticed a slip, he never even as much as tried to explain it

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Re: M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

#3031 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat May 02, 2020 2:06 pm

foodcoats wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 1:55 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 1:54 pm
Foodcoats, I see you are here.

Please read my last three posts and then vote for EMC, thanks.
You're taking a single line and removing it from context.

I also have information not available to you.
Have you been invited to their QT now as well?

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Re: M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

#3032 Post by foodcoats » Sat May 02, 2020 2:06 pm

Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 2:04 pm
foodcoats wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 1:59 pm
And based on what I've seen emc is town two thirds of the time or better.
What is the relevance of this appeal to the gambler's fallacy?
Lol it's not a gamblers fallacy

That would be like if I assumed since I've been scum a lot I should always roll town for a while

Assigning odds helps decision making

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Re: M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

#3033 Post by foodcoats » Sat May 02, 2020 2:07 pm

Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 2:06 pm
foodcoats wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 1:55 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 1:54 pm
Foodcoats, I see you are here.

Please read my last three posts and then vote for EMC, thanks.
You're taking a single line and removing it from context.

I also have information not available to you.
Have you been invited to their QT now as well?
Did you read my post?

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Re: M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

#3034 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat May 02, 2020 2:07 pm

The point is if EMC's story was straight, he would not ask how flipping him would reveal Donny's alignment.

He got so absorbed in his battle with Xorxes that he let this slip out.

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Re: M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

#3035 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat May 02, 2020 2:08 pm

foodcoats wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 2:07 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 2:06 pm
foodcoats wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 1:55 pm


You're taking a single line and removing it from context.

I also have information not available to you.
Have you been invited to their QT now as well?
Did you read my post?
Probably not. I explained I was still on page 138. You've made over 140 posts. Which one?

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Re: M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

#3036 Post by foodcoats » Sat May 02, 2020 2:08 pm

foodcoats wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 2:06 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 2:04 pm
foodcoats wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 1:59 pm
And based on what I've seen emc is town two thirds of the time or better.
What is the relevance of this appeal to the gambler's fallacy?
Lol it's not a gamblers fallacy

That would be like if I assumed since I've been scum a lot I should always roll town for a while

Assigning odds helps decision making
And like

You guys are convinced your kings are good

Even though there's an ace and there's action on the turn

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Re: M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

#3037 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat May 02, 2020 2:09 pm

Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 2:08 pm
foodcoats wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 2:07 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 2:06 pm


Have you been invited to their QT now as well?
Did you read my post?
Probably not. I explained I was still on page 138. You've made over 140 posts. Which one?
Oh hang on I see your post on page 150, let me read it.

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Re: M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

#3038 Post by damo666 » Sat May 02, 2020 2:11 pm

Vecna wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 2:06 pm
damo666 wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 1:27 pm
Vecna wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 12:06 pm
Why are you voting me Damo?
I think you set up the Donny thing
How did I set that up? I noticed a slip, he never even as much as tried to explain it
You turned his comment into a 'slip'

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Re: M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

#3039 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat May 02, 2020 2:12 pm

Ok Foodcoats I read your big "secret information" post.

Very nice. But since you demand not to be asked any further questions, I can only regard that post as meaningless for now, until further information is available, because right now your big post boils down to this:

"I know a secret that makes me think EMC is town, please believe me".

Which, really, isn't good enough.

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Re: M55: The Last Party - Game Thread

#3040 Post by foodcoats » Sat May 02, 2020 2:12 pm

Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 2:07 pm
The point is if EMC's story was straight, he would not ask how flipping him would reveal Donny's alignment.

He got so absorbed in his battle with Xorxes that he let this slip out.
Emc's arg to xor was "if i absorbed scum why do u believe my 3p story"

You're missing the forest for the trees

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