M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

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BunnyGo
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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#4601 Post by BunnyGo » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:06 pm

kgray wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:06 pm
Fluminator wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:05 pm
lol, looking at the brightside, this was better than voting no lynch in the end.
Definitely, no mislynch plus tons of info
Info good. Ending scummy.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#4602 Post by kgray » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:06 pm

BunnyGo wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:06 pm
Fluminator wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:05 pm
lol, looking at the brightside, this was better than voting no lynch in the end.
no...no it wasn't. That was the scummiest possible end to the day.
Wait, how so?

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Jamiet99uk
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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#4603 Post by Jamiet99uk » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:06 pm

BunnyGo wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:06 pm
Nephthys wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:04 pm
No one has died.

Night has begun
Thank god we're done with Brain's flavor text.
You're no fun. I liked Brainbomb's flavour.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#4604 Post by damo666 » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:07 pm

kgray wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:05 pm
Balki, Jamie and Bunny are town
Idiot

It could have been TvT with 2 scum on one and PZ the other.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#4605 Post by bozotheclown » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:07 pm

BunnyGo's vote change to damo looks bad after he was pushing to lynch kgray for 2 days.

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BunnyGo
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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#4606 Post by BunnyGo » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:08 pm

kgray wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:06 pm
BunnyGo wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:06 pm
Fluminator wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:05 pm
lol, looking at the brightside, this was better than voting no lynch in the end.
no...no it wasn't. That was the scummiest possible end to the day.
Wait, how so?
Why didn't scum swap teams? Either:

1) It was S v S
or more likely
2) We had S v T and one of the town needs to change. But hard to know which on.

I guess the plus side, in case 2 it means one wagon was 3 scum 1 town and the other wagon was 4 town.

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BunnyGo
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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#4607 Post by BunnyGo » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:08 pm

damo666 wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:07 pm
kgray wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:05 pm
Balki, Jamie and Bunny are town
Idiot

It could have been TvT with 2 scum on one and PZ the other.
And neither scum jumped? What, they don't like winning?

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#4608 Post by kgray » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:08 pm

damo666 wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:07 pm
kgray wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:05 pm
Balki, Jamie and Bunny are town
Idiot

It could have been TvT with 2 scum on one and PZ the other.
If any scum were on your wagon they would have switched to mine in the end for the mislynch. I didn't think of PZ, though, I guess you're right one of them could be PZ who doesn't know either of our alignments.

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Balki Bartokomous
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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#4609 Post by Balki Bartokomous » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:09 pm

This was a great thing that happened.

I don't really know what conclusions to draw yet. But this was definitely the best way to get to No Lynch.

Hopefully everyone can put in time over the next 24 hours to work and solve this, because anyone could be the Night Kill.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#4610 Post by bozotheclown » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:09 pm

kgray wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:05 pm
Balki, Jamie and Bunny are town
You assume everyone not voting for you are town?

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#4611 Post by BunnyGo » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:09 pm

kgray wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:08 pm
damo666 wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:07 pm
kgray wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:05 pm
Balki, Jamie and Bunny are town
Idiot

It could have been TvT with 2 scum on one and PZ the other.
If any scum were on your wagon they would have switched to mine in the end for the mislynch. I didn't think of PZ, though, I guess you're right one of them could be PZ who doesn't know either of our alignments.
If it was T v T, then scum could always move either way. They don't care.

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Jamiet99uk
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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#4612 Post by Jamiet99uk » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:10 pm

As much as I was townreading Kgray….

That could have been a S v S end to the day.

If it was T v T, scum would surely have jumped to ensure someone got lynched, thus ensuring their win.

If it was T v S, scum would jump to save their buddy.

If it's S v S, keeping a tie is the best outcome for scum in that scenario.

Thoughts?

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#4613 Post by xorxes » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:10 pm

damo666 wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:07 pm
kgray wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:05 pm
Balki, Jamie and Bunny are town
Idiot

It could have been TvT with 2 scum on one and PZ the other.
If it was TvT one of the scum could have changed their vote and won.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#4614 Post by kgray » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:10 pm

BunnyGo wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:09 pm
kgray wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:08 pm
damo666 wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:07 pm


Idiot

It could have been TvT with 2 scum on one and PZ the other.
If any scum were on your wagon they would have switched to mine in the end for the mislynch. I didn't think of PZ, though, I guess you're right one of them could be PZ who doesn't know either of our alignments.
If it was T v T, then scum could always move either way. They don't care.
I realize that. But I know I'm town, so I know that nonPZ scum knew I would be a mislynch.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#4615 Post by damo666 » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:10 pm

BunnyGo wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:08 pm
kgray wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:06 pm
BunnyGo wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:06 pm


no...no it wasn't. That was the scummiest possible end to the day.
Wait, how so?
Why didn't scum swap teams? Either:

1) It was S v S
or more likely
2) We had S v T and one of the town needs to change. But hard to know which on.

I guess the plus side, in case 2 it means one wagon was 3 scum 1 town and the other wagon was 4 town.
Not case 1

It could be TvT

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#4616 Post by Fluminator » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:10 pm

damo666 wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:07 pm
kgray wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:05 pm
Balki, Jamie and Bunny are town
Idiot

It could have been TvT with 2 scum on one and PZ the other.
Do you think scum would find it too risky to switch their vote and win the game out of it?

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Jamiet99uk
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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#4617 Post by Jamiet99uk » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:11 pm

damo666 wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:10 pm
BunnyGo wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:08 pm
kgray wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:06 pm


Wait, how so?
Why didn't scum swap teams? Either:

1) It was S v S
or more likely
2) We had S v T and one of the town needs to change. But hard to know which on.

I guess the plus side, in case 2 it means one wagon was 3 scum 1 town and the other wagon was 4 town.
Not case 1

It could be TvT
But then surely a scum would have moved?

There's no incentive for scum to prolong the game in that situation.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#4618 Post by Fluminator » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:12 pm

BunnyGo wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:06 pm
Fluminator wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:05 pm
lol, looking at the brightside, this was better than voting no lynch in the end.
no...no it wasn't. That was the scummiest possible end to the day.
You're crazy if you disagree.... hmmm

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Balki Bartokomous
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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#4619 Post by Balki Bartokomous » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:12 pm

Jamiet99uk wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:10 pm
As much as I was townreading Kgray….

That could have been a S v S end to the day.

If it was T v T, scum would surely have jumped to ensure someone got lynched, thus ensuring their win.

If it was T v S, scum would jump to save their buddy.

If it's S v S, keeping a tie is the best outcome for scum in that scenario.

Thoughts?
That is incomplete. It's not that simple, and I think you can see some of the other possible scenarios. For example, if it was TvS, it is possible that there was no bussing, or no known bussing. It is also possible that scum was thinking hard about swapping, but it just felt too dangerous. But...this needs a lot of analysis. There is definitely info to be gleaned.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#4620 Post by BunnyGo » Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:12 pm

Jamiet99uk wrote:
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:10 pm
As much as I was townreading Kgray….

That could have been a S v S end to the day.

If it was T v T, scum would surely have jumped to ensure someone got lynched, thus ensuring their win.

If it was T v S, scum would jump to save their buddy.

If it's S v S, keeping a tie is the best outcome for scum in that scenario.

Thoughts?
This ^

There's no way it was T v T. So our goal for tonight is figure out if it was S v S or S v T. In the S v T case, then ALL the scum were voting on the town (or could have jumped to win).

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