M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

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e.m.c^42
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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#2441 Post by e.m.c^42 » Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:05 pm

Trash at vote analysis so will just comment on other people rather than making own.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#2442 Post by BunnyGo » Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:05 pm

bozotheclown wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:00 pm
BunnyGo wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 6:18 pm
bozotheclown wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 6:16 pm
It also seemed to me that BunnyGo was bussing Bob when Bob became the lead wagon.
If by "bussing" you mean "trying to decide on which leading wagon I liked the most" and explain my thoughts? Then yes, I absolutely was.
No, I mean it seemed like you only showed interest in lynching Bob after he became the lead wagon, as if maybe you are his scum partner.
Ok, but there were 3 wagons that all could be leading when I jumped. Yes, I changed my mind. But as I said to Jamie, I was trying hard to find my scummiest read on them and was quickly trying to reread and rethink all of them.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#2443 Post by bozotheclown » Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:06 pm

Balki Bartokomous wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:02 pm
Fluminator wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:00 pm
Watching his stream of conscious go from not wanting to lynch Bob, to convincing himself Bob is scum during eod long before Bob was a certain lynch would be very hard to fake, and completely unnecessary and counterproductive if he was on the scum team.
+1

Also, I think it's reasonable for people to have rapidly changing views about a person like Bob at that stage. I mean, there really wasn't much to learn from Bob's ISO, and we were all sort of forced to think hard about Bob there at the end when the wagons got tight and the end became near. I expect everyone to be thinking hard about that, and wouldn't be surprised to see sincere opinions changing under that pressure.
Not only did BunnyGo change his town read of Bob to a scum read in 8 minutes, he changed his scum read of Chaqa to a town read in the same time frame. The only thing to make him change his mind during that time were other vote changes.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#2444 Post by BunnyGo » Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:06 pm

Fluminator wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 6:55 pm
<snip>
At the risk of sketching out Bunnygo by saying this, I think he's pretty confirmed town at this point tbh
Yeah...stop pocketing me...

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#2445 Post by BunnyGo » Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:07 pm

bozotheclown wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:06 pm
Balki Bartokomous wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:02 pm
Fluminator wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:00 pm
Watching his stream of conscious go from not wanting to lynch Bob, to convincing himself Bob is scum during eod long before Bob was a certain lynch would be very hard to fake, and completely unnecessary and counterproductive if he was on the scum team.
+1

Also, I think it's reasonable for people to have rapidly changing views about a person like Bob at that stage. I mean, there really wasn't much to learn from Bob's ISO, and we were all sort of forced to think hard about Bob there at the end when the wagons got tight and the end became near. I expect everyone to be thinking hard about that, and wouldn't be surprised to see sincere opinions changing under that pressure.
Not only did BunnyGo change his town read of Bob to a scum read in 8 minutes, he changed his scum read of Chaqa to a town read in the same time frame. The only thing to make him change his mind during that time were other vote changes.
If that's all your getting from me trying to post my state of mind, then you aren't reading.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#2446 Post by bozotheclown » Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:07 pm

BunnyGo wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:05 pm
bozotheclown wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:00 pm
BunnyGo wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 6:18 pm


If by "bussing" you mean "trying to decide on which leading wagon I liked the most" and explain my thoughts? Then yes, I absolutely was.
No, I mean it seemed like you only showed interest in lynching Bob after he became the lead wagon, as if maybe you are his scum partner.
Ok, but there were 3 wagons that all could be leading when I jumped. Yes, I changed my mind. But as I said to Jamie, I was trying hard to find my scummiest read on them and was quickly trying to reread and rethink all of them.
Bob was already up by 2 votes when you jumped, you could not put anyone else in the lead.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#2447 Post by Balki Bartokomous » Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:07 pm

bozotheclown wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:03 pm
Fluminator wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:00 pm
Watching his stream of conscious go from not wanting to lynch Bob, to convincing himself Bob is scum during eod long before Bob was a certain lynch would be very hard to fake, and completely unnecessary and counterproductive if he was on the scum team.
He only convinced himself Bob was a good lynch after Bob was already leading by 2 votes, then after making a strong scum read of Bob, he was committed to the Bob lynch.
But this is a reasonable point too. I have to go back and read, but I'll keep this in mind when I do.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#2448 Post by Chaqa » Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:09 pm

bozotheclown wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:06 pm
Balki Bartokomous wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:02 pm
Fluminator wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:00 pm
Watching his stream of conscious go from not wanting to lynch Bob, to convincing himself Bob is scum during eod long before Bob was a certain lynch would be very hard to fake, and completely unnecessary and counterproductive if he was on the scum team.
+1

Also, I think it's reasonable for people to have rapidly changing views about a person like Bob at that stage. I mean, there really wasn't much to learn from Bob's ISO, and we were all sort of forced to think hard about Bob there at the end when the wagons got tight and the end became near. I expect everyone to be thinking hard about that, and wouldn't be surprised to see sincere opinions changing under that pressure.
Not only did BunnyGo change his town read of Bob to a scum read in 8 minutes, he changed his scum read of Chaqa to a town read in the same time frame. The only thing to make him change his mind during that time were other vote changes.
Bunny did specify he changed his read on me after realizing he's never played with scum!Chaqa and I always play like this (in his words)

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#2449 Post by bozotheclown » Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:09 pm

BunnyGo wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:07 pm
bozotheclown wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:06 pm
Balki Bartokomous wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:02 pm

+1

Also, I think it's reasonable for people to have rapidly changing views about a person like Bob at that stage. I mean, there really wasn't much to learn from Bob's ISO, and we were all sort of forced to think hard about Bob there at the end when the wagons got tight and the end became near. I expect everyone to be thinking hard about that, and wouldn't be surprised to see sincere opinions changing under that pressure.
Not only did BunnyGo change his town read of Bob to a scum read in 8 minutes, he changed his scum read of Chaqa to a town read in the same time frame. The only thing to make him change his mind during that time were other vote changes.
If that's all your getting from me trying to post my state of mind, then you aren't reading.
I read very closely, no matter how you justify it, I find your rapid read changes suspicious.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#2450 Post by bozotheclown » Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:10 pm

Chaqa wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:09 pm
bozotheclown wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:06 pm
Balki Bartokomous wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:02 pm

+1

Also, I think it's reasonable for people to have rapidly changing views about a person like Bob at that stage. I mean, there really wasn't much to learn from Bob's ISO, and we were all sort of forced to think hard about Bob there at the end when the wagons got tight and the end became near. I expect everyone to be thinking hard about that, and wouldn't be surprised to see sincere opinions changing under that pressure.
Not only did BunnyGo change his town read of Bob to a scum read in 8 minutes, he changed his scum read of Chaqa to a town read in the same time frame. The only thing to make him change his mind during that time were other vote changes.
Bunny did specify he changed his read on me after realizing he's never played with scum!Chaqa and I always play like this (in his words)
If he has never seen you play as scum, why would he know you do not play that was as scum also?

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#2451 Post by bozotheclown » Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:12 pm

BunnyGo wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:06 pm
Fluminator wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 6:55 pm
<snip>
At the risk of sketching out Bunnygo by saying this, I think he's pretty confirmed town at this point tbh
Yeah...stop pocketing me...
I would like to know why Fluminator thinks you are confirmed town.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#2452 Post by bozotheclown » Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:17 pm

rdrivera2005 wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 5:17 pm
Flum is not happening. I prefer emc or Bob over Chaqa.

##vote emc
You had been voting for Bob before voting for Fluminator, why did you switch to emc?

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#2453 Post by e.m.c^42 » Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:20 pm

Is this a misread, or is Flum townreading Bungo for similar thing that he scumread Chaqa for?

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#2454 Post by e.m.c^42 » Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:22 pm

e.m.c^42 wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:20 pm
Is this a misread, or is Flum townreading Bungo for similar thing that he scumread Chaqa for?
Moving reads as EOD drew near.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#2455 Post by Chaqa » Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:24 pm

bozotheclown wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:10 pm
Chaqa wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:09 pm
bozotheclown wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:06 pm


Not only did BunnyGo change his town read of Bob to a scum read in 8 minutes, he changed his scum read of Chaqa to a town read in the same time frame. The only thing to make him change his mind during that time were other vote changes.
Bunny did specify he changed his read on me after realizing he's never played with scum!Chaqa and I always play like this (in his words)
If he has never seen you play as scum, why would he know you do not play that was as scum also?
I cannot speak for the Energizer Bunny.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#2456 Post by Fluminator » Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:24 pm

There's a difference between watching someone change their reads in realtime, and someone forgetting their reads under pressure.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#2457 Post by Chaqa » Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:25 pm

e.m.c^42 wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:22 pm
e.m.c^42 wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:20 pm
Is this a misread, or is Flum townreading Bungo for similar thing that he scumread Chaqa for?
Moving reads as EOD drew near.
It's like I said - Fluminator especially decided I was scum and is deciding everything I do within that lens. Definition of tunneling.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#2458 Post by Chaqa » Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:25 pm

Fluminator wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:24 pm
There's a difference between watching someone change their reads in realtime, and someone forgetting their reads under pressure.
That's my secret... I'm always forgetting.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#2459 Post by Balki Bartokomous » Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:26 pm

By my count, we have two free mislynches left. I would not waste one on EMC purely for information. Though, the info would be an added bonus to lynching EMC.

That said, just with how hectic and dynamic that EOD was, it just felt like Town vs. Scum to me. It felt like it was important to people, despite two pretty null slots in terms of content. I think I'm a pretty likely NK choice tonight, so I will do my best to put in time to re-read and post my thoughts before the night ends.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#2460 Post by Chaqa » Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:30 pm

Balki Bartokomous wrote:
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:26 pm
By my count, we have two free mislynches left. I would not waste one on EMC purely for information. Though, the info would be an added bonus to lynching EMC.

That said, just with how hectic and dynamic that EOD was, it just felt like Town vs. Scum to me. It felt like it was important to people, despite two pretty null slots in terms of content. I think I'm a pretty likely NK choice tonight, so I will do my best to put in time to re-read and post my thoughts before the night ends.
I don't know... thinking over it some more, the fact we lynched the Goon is interesting to me. What if EMC is actually a more valuable mafia role?

We'll have twelve players alive for Day 4, at 9-3.

Mislynch means Day 5 is 7-3. Mislynch means Day 6 is 5-3. No-lynch means Day 7 is 4-3.

If we lynch EMC and he's town, we're at 7-3 with a mislynch and a no-lynch, but a TON of information...

I'm honestly not sure we have a better play (yet). The night-kill may shed some light.

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