M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

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Jamiet99uk
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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#1761 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:20 pm

Foxcastle wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:18 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:08 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:08 pm

I am willing to wager that 1-2 of those is scum.
Note - this is not an attempt to violate the rules on betting.
There are no rules on betting, only a legend that those rules exist, and that they are inscribed on a copper tablet that is guarded by an ancient priesthood of rules lawyers.
Don't start this again, Foxcastle.
The GM has ruled:
Nephthys wrote:
Wed Mar 18, 2020 12:55 am
##GM Note

C'mon guys. We've been through this. Leave the betting for outside this game. It's already been ruled by the mods to not be allowed.
If you're here, do you have anything useful to say?

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#1762 Post by Foxcastle » Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:20 pm

Maybe I'm psyching myself out too much over his mythical powers, but maybe Balki is scum.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#1763 Post by Foxcastle » Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:21 pm

Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:20 pm
Foxcastle wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:18 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:08 pm


Note - this is not an attempt to violate the rules on betting.
There are no rules on betting, only a legend that those rules exist, and that they are inscribed on a copper tablet that is guarded by an ancient priesthood of rules lawyers.
Don't start this again, Foxcastle.
The GM has ruled:
Nephthys wrote:
Wed Mar 18, 2020 12:55 am
##GM Note

C'mon guys. We've been through this. Leave the betting for outside this game. It's already been ruled by the mods to not be allowed.
If you're here, do you have anything useful to say?
It's a little joke, Jamiet. Just between us rules lawyers. ;)

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#1764 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:22 pm

Foxcastle wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:20 pm
Maybe I'm psyching myself out too much over his mythical powers, but maybe Balki is scum.
Yes I think he is scum too.

What do you think of my ISO and case on Sulit/McBob?

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#1765 Post by Foxcastle » Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:23 pm

Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:20 pm
If you're here, do you have anything useful to say?
I hate my reads. They feel wrong. Is that useful?

There is scum in my townlist, I can sense it.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#1766 Post by Foxcastle » Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:29 pm

Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:22 pm
Foxcastle wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:20 pm
Maybe I'm psyching myself out too much over his mythical powers, but maybe Balki is scum.
Yes I think he is scum too.

What do you think of my ISO and case on Sulit/McBob?
Well, it's much longer than I expected given the material you were working off, so well done. I think it's reasonable. I think it fits with my theory that one of the *problematic* lurkers is scum and that the killer is a more experienced player who knows his best chance to win is to not get caught by the watcher, and to outlive his useless lurking-to-modkill teammate(s). I think the point about EMC being a scumread because the rest are town (assuming you are) is a stretch. I really don't think BunnyGo is scum, so I'm skeptical about the scum-scum theatre; but even if I were scumreading him, I'm not sure the two of them could pull that off without being too obvious about it.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#1767 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:41 pm

Foxcastle wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:29 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:22 pm
Foxcastle wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:20 pm
Maybe I'm psyching myself out too much over his mythical powers, but maybe Balki is scum.
Yes I think he is scum too.

What do you think of my ISO and case on Sulit/McBob?
Well, it's much longer than I expected given the material you were working off, so well done. I think it's reasonable. I think it fits with my theory that one of the *problematic* lurkers is scum and that the killer is a more experienced player who knows his best chance to win is to not get caught by the watcher, and to outlive his useless lurking-to-modkill teammate(s). I think the point about EMC being a scumread because the rest are town (assuming you are) is a stretch. I really don't think BunnyGo is scum, so I'm skeptical about the scum-scum theatre; but even if I were scumreading him, I'm not sure the two of them could pull that off without being too obvious about it.
I also don't think BunnyGo is scum.

I'm in the process of forming a view on EMC independently of any interaction with Sulit, so I'll give you that in a few moments.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#1768 Post by Foxcastle » Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:44 pm

e.m.c^42 wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 5:59 pm
Sorry, no excuses for lurking but I'll be more active from now on.
When does this start?

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#1769 Post by Chaqa » Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:01 am

BunnyGo wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 7:45 pm
@Chaq can you explain why you were sure to survive the night?
Well, I wouldn’t night kill me if I were scum.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#1770 Post by Chaqa » Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:02 am

BunnyGo wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 9:49 pm
Chaqa wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 9:41 pm
<snip>
I explained I made the change after he flat out lied about “look at the last 10 games I played” bit
Do you think most players check things like this or just say how things feel?
If you make a specific claim, I’m going to fact check. Especially for a player like Vecna

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#1771 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:03 am

Chaqa wrote:
Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:01 am
BunnyGo wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 7:45 pm
@Chaq can you explain why you were sure to survive the night?
Well, I wouldn’t night kill me if I were scum.
No, if you were scum, nightkilling you would be a bad idea for your team. They should try to hit town.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#1772 Post by Chaqa » Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:04 am

xorxes wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 10:41 pm
Chaqa wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 9:41 pm
xorxes wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 7:04 pm

So you went from "endvoting is an awful idea", "endvoting is dumb", "I'm firmly against hammering this", "I won't be one of the 9" to being the one who seals the deal.

Even after Vecna voted to end himself, you were still against it, and needed more persuading.
I explained I made the change after he flat out lied about “look at the last 10 games I played” bit
I would say it was an exaggeration rather than a lie. I'm sure I have said similar things about myself in the past and I know it is not true that I am always killed early even though sometimes it feels that way. So I don't think Vecna saying that was particularly noteworthy. The self-hammer was much worse but you still were opposed to hammering him for that.
Eh, everyone has different things that are important to them.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#1773 Post by Chaqa » Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:05 am

Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:03 am
Chaqa wrote:
Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:01 am
BunnyGo wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 7:45 pm
@Chaq can you explain why you were sure to survive the night?
Well, I wouldn’t night kill me if I were scum.
No, if you were scum, nightkilling you would be a bad idea for your team. They should try to hit town.
You know what I meant. lol

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#1774 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:13 am

EMC ISO:

EMC was actually quite active early on. Of his 21 posts, 11 of them were in the first four pages. He only started lurking after that.

Page 2 contains four posts which talk about the phase end time, the flavour, how excited he is that Balki, Bo and Flum are in the game, as he wants to see how "salty" they will get, and wondering if the new players have any experience. None of this is useful content.

Page 3 starts with a weird remark to Foxcastle about furry porn and slash fic. Then he engages with Brainbomb's stupid DnD game list. He is hurt that Worcej didn't realise he was in the game. None of this is useful content either.

He asks if Balki is "always this teethy"? having just on the previous page commented on how salty he expected Balki to be. This comes across as very fake on re-read.

Page 4 he has some initial comments on people which are actually of some relevance to the game. He thinks Worcej is more "lively" than before, that Chaqa is claiming to be busy "as usual", that he wants Vecna to wake up, and that "Balki is deliciously salty". And he has a read! A townread, on Brainbomb.

On Page 8, EMC wonders if Fluminator is attempting to seem like a noob.

On Page 10, he says he's busy.

Then he vanishes until page 42 (still during D1). He reappears and assesses the case on Temasek, and says doesn't think Temasek is scum.

P.43, he puts a "placeholder" vote on Fluminator. This is with 1hr 21mins until deadline. His vote will remain there until the end, on a pointless one-vote wagon.

On p.45 he expresses surprise at Flum's use of an emoticon.

On p.48 he laughs at a silly remark by Balki. The content of his post is of little importance, HOWEVER, it was made with two minutes to go until the deadline, showing that EMC was online at EoD.

Page 53 (N1) involves a chatty EMC buddying Vecna and saying "Flum is in my niche" (I have no idea what this means). He thinks that Worcej is town, but if scum, he reasons, Worcej would be Patient Zero.

Page 64, "oh no, RIP Brain".

On p.80 he's confused and on p.86 he promises to be more active. Three pages later he seems to have vanished again so no evidence of that.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#1775 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:14 am

Observations:

1. For some reason in the early game EMC is absolutely obsessed with gauging exactly how salty Balki is going to be in this game. This is just really weird. It's as if he has a major crush on Balki.

2. At EoD 1 he parked his vote on Fluminator and left it there. Nobody else was voting for Fluminator and the lead wagon was Temasek. EMC said more than once that he didn't scumread Temasek, but took no action to move his vote while calmly watching Temasek getting lynched and casually making jokey remarks to Flum and Balki.

3. In his first few games here, as town, EMC seemed keen to get into the game and was quite active and generally seemed relatively intelligent. He is a natural coward, and in his early games had a desperate fear of being shouted at for being involved in a mislynch. Such was his fear that he always left it until the last second to vote, so much so that multiple people threatened to make him a policy lynch unless he grew a pair.

In the last game, I observed how he had become somewhat less active and, when he did post, 90% of his posts were irrelevant chatter that did little or nothing to contribute to the game. As a result of this I correctly scumread him and we lynched his scrawny yellow ass.

I am seeing the exact same EMC here.

He is scum.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#1776 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:16 am

Of our three least active players, then, my instinct is now that EMC and Sulit/Bob are scum and, I guess, Pjandy is just a confused noob who is in over his head and will need to be replaced out. Or we could be lucky and all three of them are scum. It's possible.

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#1777 Post by Fluminator » Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:23 am

Keep the Chaqa votes coming

##Vote EMC

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#1778 Post by Chaqa » Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:24 am

I think the kill on bo_sox is indicative of either:
1. Scum hunting PRs
2. Scum wanting the kill to minimize information

It’s curios that none of the usual suspects were killed the first two nights. Xorxes, Balki especially.

Likelihood they are scum is super high

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#1779 Post by Chaqa » Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:25 am

Fluminator wrote:
Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:23 am
Keep the Chaqa votes coming

##Vote EMC
It’s been a long time since you played with me. My meta is much different nowadays, so your entire analysis is off on me

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Re: M54: Not a Carrot Conspiracy

#1780 Post by BunnyGo » Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:25 am

Foxcastle wrote:
Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:29 pm
<snip> I'm not sure the two of them could pull that off without being too obvious about it.
I think I've just been insulted? I feel like my mentor Bugs would have some pithy comeback.

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