Aha, let's make a list to copy/paste
=========
Claimed PR
=========
xorx
teac
=========
Claimed VT
=========
chaq
emc
#521 Post by e.m.c^42 » Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:49 pm
Aha, let's make a list to copy/paste
#522 Post by Chaqa » Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:49 pm
If I had to pick three currently?goldfinger0303 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:26 pm@Chaqa - right now, who are your top three scum targets. Gotta have that much if you want the Money Hall solution
#523 Post by Chaqa » Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:50 pm
Agreed. the town!Jamiet, scum!EMC type notation is not new or unique to EMC, I was more confused by it being used a bit differently (such as not!PR).xorxes wrote: ↑Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:26 pmYou're not the only one. I do it often and I copied it from someone else, it wasn't that hard to figure out. Not sure what Jamiet's game is here.e.m.c^42 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:20 pmI've done this in most of my games here, but this is the first time anyone mentioned not being able to understand, so I assumed y'all got the gist of it :)Jamiet99uk wrote: ↑Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:17 pmJesus shitting Christ.
I have a law degree, but do I constantly pepper my posts with snatches of courtroom latin?
No, I don't. Because even though I can be a prick sometimes, I'm not that much of a prick.
#524 Post by Chaqa » Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:51 pm
Nah, as it turns out I just don't understand probability.peterlund wrote: ↑Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:35 pmThis seems like scum trying to confuse town. It is not a Monty Hall problem at all with one of 3 doors being reveals not having the prize behind it.Chaqa wrote: ↑Tue Dec 31, 2019 6:38 pmFor a bit further explanation on my Monty Hall thing, see here:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem
In our terms, from an objective observer's view, there is a 5/20 chance that any player is scum. If an all-knowing GM were to reveal that 10 players were not scum, the immediate thought is that any remaining player is now at a 50/50 chance to be scum, but in the broader sense, it's really a 75% in our case, as the "masked" PRs have not actually been revealed.
But by "opening" those doors with Dargo's masked claim idea, we have a VERY good chance to hit scum.
I may be slightly misapplying the Monty Hall problem here, but it makes sense to me.
If all 10 town PRs claim truthfully, and everone else claim VT, we have 3 scum, 1 PR and one BH in the group of 10 VT claimants. The vig has then a 50% chance of hitting scum/RP/BH no more no less.
But the probability that "all 10 town claim truthfully without any CC" is very low imho.
It seems like Chaqa is just doing his best to confuse town. Scummy as hell i m o.
#525 Post by xorxes » Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:51 pm
No, I didn't get what the referents of "you" or "that" were.
#526 Post by Chaqa » Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:53 pm
For additional references:
#527 Post by e.m.c^42 » Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:54 pm
#528 Post by teacon7 » Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:56 pm
Agree. The use there was confusing because the ! is something of a logical operator. So is the word "not." Using them together makes life difficult. I've always understood the ! to indicate some manner of condition. Like this:
#529 Post by xorxes » Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:57 pm
- dargo proposed PRs claim non-specifically and then... vanishedChaqa wrote: ↑Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:53 pmFor additional references:
- worcej supported the idea of a massclaim
- Rivera said he would claim once xorxes revealed
- Jamiet said he would claim once six others had (two to go)
#530 Post by e.m.c^42 » Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:57 pm
Yep yep I corrected myself afterwardsteacon7 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:56 pmAgree. The use there was confusing because the ! is something of a logical operator. So is the word "not." Using them together makes life difficult. I've always understood the ! to indicate some manner of condition. Like this:
{in cases where this condition is true of} ! {this person}
#531 Post by e.m.c^42 » Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:58 pm
#532 Post by Chaqa » Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:58 pm
#533 Post by Chaqa » Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:59 pm
Don't make me start using lambda expressions in my posts, EMC.e.m.c^42 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:57 pmYep yep I corrected myself afterwardsteacon7 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:56 pmAgree. The use there was confusing because the ! is something of a logical operator. So is the word "not." Using them together makes life difficult. I've always understood the ! to indicate some manner of condition. Like this:
{in cases where this condition is true of} ! {this person}
#534 Post by ND » Tue Dec 31, 2019 8:06 pm
#535 Post by rdrivera2005 » Tue Dec 31, 2019 8:08 pm
I just don't want you back tracking with a "that was just a reaction test" as I early suspected you as the RP.xorxes wrote: ↑Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:17 pmrivera and Jamiet are being scummy if they're waiting for a reveal that they cannot doubt will be forthcoming. I'm getting more results from not proving my claim yet. Massclaim is about claims, not about GM reveals and sheeping the clear.Chaqa wrote: ↑Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:09 pmWell, my not understanding mathematics notwithstanding, I still really like the maskclaim idea. Let's roll with it.
@xorx - please please please reveal ASAP. If you delay it it just causes confusion and will 100% have some players being obstinate out of spite. We have three claims now (you, me, EMC). Rivera says he'll claim if you reveal. That's four. Jamiet will be seventh, so if we get two more, we're like halfway there.
#536 Post by ND » Tue Dec 31, 2019 8:08 pm
#537 Post by Tom Bombadil » Tue Dec 31, 2019 8:08 pm
1) Massclaim makes sense. I think a full blown masslciam makes sense, but if we want to do the weird PR or non-PR as a compromise I suppose that's fine too. The problem is that if not everyone does it its not all that usesful.teacon7 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:47 pm@tom bombadil
@vecna
I didn't even realize you were playing until I checked the bot. Yep, you're on the list. Your assignment, due at least 12 hours before EoD, is this:
Please support/qualify/refute the following statements:
1) Town PR should massclaim right now.
2) Jamie isn't hunting for scum.
3) bozo's play to this point is against the rules, as he's not speaking in english.
#538 Post by ND » Tue Dec 31, 2019 8:08 pm
#539 Post by Kitsune » Tue Dec 31, 2019 8:14 pm
In a case where:
#540 Post by goldfinger0303 » Tue Dec 31, 2019 8:15 pm
Two quiet votes and rdrivera? That's a surprise. Given how active you've been, especially in pushing the massclaim, I thought you'd have a bit more insight.Chaqa wrote: ↑Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:49 pmIf I had to pick three currently?goldfinger0303 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 31, 2019 7:26 pm@Chaqa - right now, who are your top three scum targets. Gotta have that much if you want the Money Hall solution
Vecna - guilty until proven innocent
Rivera - very offput by a few posts of his and general weirdness
Flavius - he's been much too quiet
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