MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]
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- Chaqa
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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]
Okay, so you're saying the worst case for the stones is... status quo?Maniac wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2019 1:34 pm@Chaqa - it’s an interesting idea to get people to self vote now and get confirmed Town to carry out a Lynch and catch any stones, but then what happens? At night scum can kill one person and get their stone and steal from someone else on the lunch before those stones can be passed on.
Is that what you want?
Let's walk through this. We lynch Vapor, and let's say he has stone(s) (as the case where he doesn't doesn't factor into this discussion).
If we let anyone onto the wagon, Thanos will get more stones. This is very bad, as stones mafia has are strong as fuck.
If we let the town clears and a few trusted town on, then yes, the mafia could steal them back, but the thing is:
1. The stones are assigned randomly
2. Mafia would have to guess correctly
So yeah, there's a decent chance they get the stones back, but we'd have the stones for a phase at least, and a small to medium chance of bringing stone(s) into town posesssion is way better than NOT doing so.
- Jamiet99uk
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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]
Sorry, what question are you attempting to answer here?
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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]
Good points, well made.Chaqa wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2019 1:50 pmOkay, so you're saying the worst case for the stones is... status quo?Maniac wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2019 1:34 pm@Chaqa - it’s an interesting idea to get people to self vote now and get confirmed Town to carry out a Lynch and catch any stones, but then what happens? At night scum can kill one person and get their stone and steal from someone else on the lunch before those stones can be passed on.
Is that what you want?
Let's walk through this. We lynch Vapor, and let's say he has stone(s) (as the case where he doesn't doesn't factor into this discussion).
If we let anyone onto the wagon, Thanos will get more stones. This is very bad, as stones mafia has are strong as fuck.
If we let the town clears and a few trusted town on, then yes, the mafia could steal them back, but the thing is:
1. The stones are assigned randomly
2. Mafia would have to guess correctly
So yeah, there's a decent chance they get the stones back, but we'd have the stones for a phase at least, and a small to medium chance of bringing stone(s) into town posesssion is way better than NOT doing so.
- Jamiet99uk
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- Jamiet99uk
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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]
@Maniac you are claiming to be Gamora, yes?
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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]
Okay, I'm thinking about this. Chaqa has taken the reigns, but out of the new town alliance that has formed I've gone back and forth on Chaqa being T/S. As I've reviewed my position the scumlean I had was because he was after me for a bit so I can agree that's not a valid rational.Chaqa wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2019 1:34 pmBasically, my thinking is:
1. Thanos can have at most 2 stones right now (assuming Dargo didn't fuck up giving the Mind Stone to Thanos). This means we need the winning wagon to be 3 votes ahead of any other wagon.
2. We have three town "clears" (Jamiet, Espresso, Temasek) - really only Jamiet is 100% clear, but for this purpose we assume they're all clear. Therefore, we need at least 1 more person to vote for Vapor.
3. We want, more than anything, for Thanos to not get the stone, so SK candidates should NOT be on this wagon (this means Rivera, Kitsune, Kalel) - as I am fine clearing Neph of being SK based on the Bunny stuff.
Therefore, my plan:
1. Everyone self-vote except, in order of how many votes we need to secure this lynch:
Jamiet/Espresso/Temasek > Chaqa/Foxcastle > Neph/foodcoats > Maniac/sulit
The following NEED to self-lynch:
- Kalel
- Rivera
- Kitsune
- Damo
Vapor will not play nice, or may pretend to.
This is our best bet for today for dealing with obv scum Vapor.
Jamiet is the only one I'm clear on.. the other's have just claimed (and since we don't know who EMC was it means a contra-claim may never show up). But Jamiet is not voting Vapor. He's voting for Food, which I've townleanig just slightly.
@ Jamiet... and advice?
I'm going to go back and ISO the two of you. I've got some time to change my vote, and at the moment it's 5 to 2.
I wish I had a character to throw crumbs... that sounds fun, so here's the best guess I've got... maybe I'll get lucky like bunny and it'll be true.
Enjoy -> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NrI-UBIB8Jk
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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]
I'm clutching at recyclable straws like everyone else. The evidence that Sulit is SK and I'm his prey 'fits', but as we know of old, I could be wrong.
I'm desperate to know if I'm right.
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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]
I never realized self-lynch was an option.Maniac wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2019 2:32 pmGood points, well made.Chaqa wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2019 1:50 pmOkay, so you're saying the worst case for the stones is... status quo?Maniac wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2019 1:34 pm@Chaqa - it’s an interesting idea to get people to self vote now and get confirmed Town to carry out a Lynch and catch any stones, but then what happens? At night scum can kill one person and get their stone and steal from someone else on the lunch before those stones can be passed on.
Is that what you want?
Let's walk through this. We lynch Vapor, and let's say he has stone(s) (as the case where he doesn't doesn't factor into this discussion).
If we let anyone onto the wagon, Thanos will get more stones. This is very bad, as stones mafia has are strong as fuck.
If we let the town clears and a few trusted town on, then yes, the mafia could steal them back, but the thing is:
1. The stones are assigned randomly
2. Mafia would have to guess correctly
So yeah, there's a decent chance they get the stones back, but we'd have the stones for a phase at least, and a small to medium chance of bringing stone(s) into town possession is way better than NOT doing so.
Now that Jamie is on board (and saves me about an hour of ISO). I'll fall in line. Are we sure 6 to 2 is a big enough gap to off set any Scum last minute switches (with the time stone), or the SK joining on?
Irrelevant ranting - I'm not trying to take everyone calling me scum for so long personally, but it's a bit emotionally draining. "I'm sorry, but I didn't know how this machine worked."
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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]
Really glad you're bringing back the discussion on this idea. I'm on board!Chaqa wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2019 1:34 pmBasically, my thinking is:
1. Thanos can have at most 2 stones right now (assuming Dargo didn't fuck up giving the Mind Stone to Thanos). This means we need the winning wagon to be 3 votes ahead of any other wagon.
2. We have three town "clears" (Jamiet, Espresso, Temasek) - really only Jamiet is 100% clear, but for this purpose we assume they're all clear. Therefore, we need at least 1 more person to vote for Vapor.
3. We want, more than anything, for Thanos to not get the stone, so SK candidates should NOT be on this wagon (this means Rivera, Kitsune, Kalel) - as I am fine clearing Neph of being SK based on the Bunny stuff.
Therefore, my plan:
1. Everyone self-vote except, in order of how many votes we need to secure this lynch:
Jamiet/Espresso/Temasek > Chaqa/Foxcastle > Neph/foodcoats > Maniac/sulit
The following NEED to self-lynch:
- Kalel
- Rivera
- Kitsune
- Damo
Vapor will not play nice, or may pretend to.
This is our best bet for today for dealing with obv scum Vapor.
I'm happy with you being the fourth vote.
- Chaqa
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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]
I'm sick of the fucking Chewbacca-Gamora defense.
- Chaqa
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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]
I think we really want to have 5 votes. Fox is someone I'm comfortable with. There's an outside chance he is scum but I really don't think so.EspressoPatronum wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2019 2:56 pmReally glad you're bringing back the discussion on this idea. I'm on board!Chaqa wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2019 1:34 pmBasically, my thinking is:
1. Thanos can have at most 2 stones right now (assuming Dargo didn't fuck up giving the Mind Stone to Thanos). This means we need the winning wagon to be 3 votes ahead of any other wagon.
2. We have three town "clears" (Jamiet, Espresso, Temasek) - really only Jamiet is 100% clear, but for this purpose we assume they're all clear. Therefore, we need at least 1 more person to vote for Vapor.
3. We want, more than anything, for Thanos to not get the stone, so SK candidates should NOT be on this wagon (this means Rivera, Kitsune, Kalel) - as I am fine clearing Neph of being SK based on the Bunny stuff.
Therefore, my plan:
1. Everyone self-vote except, in order of how many votes we need to secure this lynch:
Jamiet/Espresso/Temasek > Chaqa/Foxcastle > Neph/foodcoats > Maniac/sulit
The following NEED to self-lynch:
- Kalel
- Rivera
- Kitsune
- Damo
Vapor will not play nice, or may pretend to.
This is our best bet for today for dealing with obv scum Vapor.
I'm happy with you being the fourth vote.
Once we have the proper votes in order, we should also probably hammer the phase.
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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]
Any last minute switches are scum claims imo. It's anti-town to mess with the plan after everyone implements it.KalelChase wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2019 2:45 pm
[...]
Now that Jamie is on board (and saves me about an hour of ISO). I'll fall in line. Are we sure 6 to 2 is a big enough gap to off set any Scum last minute switches (with the time stone), or the SK joining on?
[...]
As long as we have a big enough margin + ppl don't switch, the SK won't be a problem.
- Jamiet99uk
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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]
I'd rather have Neph as the 5th vote, but Fox works too.Chaqa wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2019 3:00 pmI think we really want to have 5 votes. Fox is someone I'm comfortable with. There's an outside chance he is scum but I really don't think so.EspressoPatronum wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2019 2:56 pmReally glad you're bringing back the discussion on this idea. I'm on board!Chaqa wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2019 1:34 pmBasically, my thinking is:
1. Thanos can have at most 2 stones right now (assuming Dargo didn't fuck up giving the Mind Stone to Thanos). This means we need the winning wagon to be 3 votes ahead of any other wagon.
2. We have three town "clears" (Jamiet, Espresso, Temasek) - really only Jamiet is 100% clear, but for this purpose we assume they're all clear. Therefore, we need at least 1 more person to vote for Vapor.
3. We want, more than anything, for Thanos to not get the stone, so SK candidates should NOT be on this wagon (this means Rivera, Kitsune, Kalel) - as I am fine clearing Neph of being SK based on the Bunny stuff.
Therefore, my plan:
1. Everyone self-vote except, in order of how many votes we need to secure this lynch:
Jamiet/Espresso/Temasek > Chaqa/Foxcastle > Neph/foodcoats > Maniac/sulit
The following NEED to self-lynch:
- Kalel
- Rivera
- Kitsune
- Damo
Vapor will not play nice, or may pretend to.
This is our best bet for today for dealing with obv scum Vapor.
I'm happy with you being the fourth vote.
Once we have the proper votes in order, we should also probably hammer the phase.
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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]
Look up South Park Chewbacca defence. It's great!
- Chaqa
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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]
I'm 99% confident Fox isn't SK, and about 75% that is isn't scum.EspressoPatronum wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2019 3:02 pmI'd rather have Neph as the 5th vote, but Fox works too.Chaqa wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2019 3:00 pmI think we really want to have 5 votes. Fox is someone I'm comfortable with. There's an outside chance he is scum but I really don't think so.EspressoPatronum wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2019 2:56 pm
Really glad you're bringing back the discussion on this idea. I'm on board!
I'm happy with you being the fourth vote.
Once we have the proper votes in order, we should also probably hammer the phase.
Neph I am about 95% confident isn't SK, but only about 50% that he isn't scum.
Both are fine choices if we want to feel super safe with 6 people on the wagon.
- Chaqa
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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]
We need rivera and KalEl to self-vote at a bare minimum right now, as well as Temasek to vote for Vapor.
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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]
What? We’re playing a guessing game where the smallest kernel of information is extrapolated to try, convict and lynch people. I’m pretty sure the Chewbacca defence is as valid as any other.Chaqa wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2019 2:58 pmI'm sick of the fucking Chewbacca-Gamora defense.
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Re: MAFIA 49 -Avengers "Re-release"- GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]
No... no, no.Maniac wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2019 3:18 pmWhat? We’re playing a guessing game where the smallest kernel of information is extrapolated to try, convict and lynch people. I’m pretty sure the Chewbacca defence is as valid as any other.
Are you going to self-vote today, Maniac?
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