MAFIA XXXVI: ODDJOB'S REVENGE

[Jamiet99uk]

Unless I've got my numbers wrong there, depending on how informative tonight's kill is, it might (I stress *might*) be in our interest to no-lynch tomorrow.

[RagingIke297]

Unless I've got my numbers wrong there, depending on how informative tonight's kill is, it might (I stress *might*) be in our interest to no-lynch tomorrow.

If Darg is the hooker I might be able to make a save tonight, we should keep that in mind too

[thamrick]

RIP peter. Well played.

Sorry all. These last couple days have been crazy for me. I’ve also got my bachelors party this weekend so pretty unlikely that I’ll be super invested in the game. If you need me to be the last mislynch before LYLO I’d understand. There’s a lot of uncertainty around my slot and I’d probably be an easy target for scum to lynch and won’t really be around to defend myself.

I still feel like snowy is probably town. I need to go back and look closer at those EoDs with snowy on the block but his reactions just seemed towny.

I’m assuming Ike is actually the Doc. If I were Doc, I would have CC’d Ike before EoN last night after peter’s scan turned out true. That’d most likely give 3 exposed scum and a lot of info to find the other 2. Also, no other RB claims that I’ve seen and I don’t see a way a hidden doc wouldn’t try to save Cop.

I don’t know what to think about Ezio. Seems weird that darg and bo would sit on him so long if he’s scum, but Ezio has shown that he’s very okay with bussing. It also feels like he’s opportunistically jumping on me after the Balki flip.

Work again today until 8pm and I hope to have a chance to reread Bo and darg tonight.

##VOTE darg
##END

[DrCJG]

First off, there are 32 hours left in the phase... its premature to be going off on people... I was asleep for at least half of the time so far this phase.

Second, the vote seems pretty obvious ##Vote Darg. We should absolutely be doing some heavy rereading and posting readlist will be very useful... but that does take time.

[RagingIke297]

First off, there are 32 hours left in the phase... its premature to be going off on people... I was asleep for at least half of the time so far this phase.

Second, the vote seems pretty obvious ##Vote Darg. We should absolutely be doing some heavy rereading and posting readlist will be very useful... but that does take time.

Yes, but 5 of the 6 people we're going off on didn't post in the night phase either. Ezio, Foxcastle, snowy801, TrPrado and yourself have all avoided posting for the past 32 hours and some of us are salty about it.

[rdrivera2005]

Well, I was wanting to see if someone will bother to analyze the doc claim, but only Tham (that I still scumread) seems to consider it.

At this point, there is no reason for Doc to not counter claim Ike. If Ike is not the Doctor, the real Doc should have saved Peter, unless he was roleblocked. But in this case scum knows who the doctor is and he should have claimed. So, Ike is our Doctor and he is probably the next NK.

Jamiet, I don't agree with you about no-lynch tomorrow. We still have one myslinch and we should have a regular day with voting and discussion after two empty days with obvious lynches. Then IF we myslinch we can consider a no-lynch in the next day.

[Jamiet99uk]

Well, I was wanting to see if someone will bother to analyze the doc claim, but only Tham (that I still scumread) seems to consider it.

At this point, there is no reason for Doc to not counter claim Ike. If Ike is not the Doctor, the real Doc should have saved Peter, unless he was roleblocked. But in this case scum knows who the doctor is and he should have claimed. So, Ike is our Doctor and he is probably the next NK.

Jamiet, I don't agree with you about no-lynch tomorrow. We still have one myslinch and we should have a regular day with voting and discussion after two empty days with obvious lynches. Then IF we myslinch we can consider a no-lynch in the next day.

Count it out for me. Show me where my numbers are wrong. Tomorrow is not MyLo, are you sure?

[RagingIke297]

Well, I was wanting to see if someone will bother to analyze the doc claim, but only Tham (that I still scumread) seems to consider it.

At this point, there is no reason for Doc to not counter claim Ike. If Ike is not the Doctor, the real Doc should have saved Peter, unless he was roleblocked. But in this case scum knows who the doctor is and he should have claimed. So, Ike is our Doctor and he is probably the next NK.

Jamiet, I don't agree with you about no-lynch tomorrow. We still have one myslinch and we should have a regular day with voting and discussion after two empty days with obvious lynches. Then IF we myslinch we can consider a no-lynch in the next day.

There isn't going to be a counterclaim, I've said it before and I'll say it again. We do have an odd man advantage against scum, so I do think that unless Darg is hooker and I can make a tonight that a no-lynch needs to be evaluated if I die.

[RagingIke297]

It's 7 to 4 right now
N6 it will be 7 to 3
D7 will be 6 to 3 UNLESS darg is hooker and I make a save, but this is unlikely
N7 With a mislynch it's 5 to 3 With a no lynch it's 6 to 3 still
D8 its 4 to 3
Mislynch is game

So it looks like right now we have two mistakes we can make before game over, I would NOT no lynch unless a save is made.

[RagingIke297]

It's 7 to 4 right now
N6 it will be 7 to 3
D7 will be 6 to 3 UNLESS darg is hooker and I make a save, but this is unlikely
N7 With a mislynch it's 5 to 3 With a no lynch it's 6 to 3 still
D8 its 4 to 3 After no lynch it's 5 to 3
Mislynch is game in both cases

So it looks like right now we have two mistakes we can make before game over, I would NOT no lynch unless a save is made as it takes away a mislynch.

[rdrivera2005]

Well, I was wanting to see if someone will bother to analyze the doc claim, but only Tham (that I still scumread) seems to consider it.

At this point, there is no reason for Doc to not counter claim Ike. If Ike is not the Doctor, the real Doc should have saved Peter, unless he was roleblocked. But in this case scum knows who the doctor is and he should have claimed. So, Ike is our Doctor and he is probably the next NK.

Jamiet, I don't agree with you about no-lynch tomorrow. We still have one myslinch and we should have a regular day with voting and discussion after two empty days with obvious lynches. Then IF we myslinch we can consider a no-lynch in the next day.

Count it out for me. Show me where my numbers are wrong. Tomorrow is not MyLo, are you sure?

We are at 7-4 today. We lynch Dargo and scum NK (probably Ike) we will be 6-3 tomorrow (D7) If we myslinch we will be at 4-3 on D8 and it's lylo. So tomorrow it's not Mylo.
If we no-lynch on D7 it will be 5-3 on D8 and it's Mylo and we can no-lynch again, but what's the point to trade a myslinch for two no-lynches?

[RagingIke297]

Well, I was wanting to see if someone will bother to analyze the doc claim, but only Tham (that I still scumread) seems to consider it.

At this point, there is no reason for Doc to not counter claim Ike. If Ike is not the Doctor, the real Doc should have saved Peter, unless he was roleblocked. But in this case scum knows who the doctor is and he should have claimed. So, Ike is our Doctor and he is probably the next NK.

Jamiet, I don't agree with you about no-lynch tomorrow. We still have one myslinch and we should have a regular day with voting and discussion after two empty days with obvious lynches. Then IF we myslinch we can consider a no-lynch in the next day.

Count it out for me. Show me where my numbers are wrong. Tomorrow is not MyLo, are you sure?

We are at 7-4 today. We lynch Dargo and scum NK (probably Ike) we will be 6-3 tomorrow (D7) If we myslinch we will be at 4-3 on D8 and it's lylo. So tomorrow it's not Mylo.
If we no-lynch on D7 it will be 5-3 on D8 and it's Mylo and we can no-lynch again, but what's the point to trade a myslinch for two no-lynches?

You know, i didn't really think about a double no lynch, but as you said I don't really see the benefit of trading a double no lynch for a mislynch. At least with a lynch we might hit scum, no lynch has a 0 probability

[TrPrado]

Hello all. I’m terribly sorry, but I haven’t got much say in life events that determine how much time I have for this game. The past several days have been pretty busy for me, and I’m glad it was when we got lucky enough to have cop pull a lot of town weight. I should have a lot more time in the next few days and will be able to do a more thorough read.

THAT BEING SAID, pretty soon I’ll be going to lunch with a family member I don’t get to see often so it’ll be a few hours from now at the earliest that I can put in the work I need.

With that I’ll trust the cop and ##VOTE DARG, but I sincerely hope we have a lot more discussion than the average copscan day.

[Jamiet99uk]

@RagingIke - once again you haven't voted. Why's that?

[RagingIke297]

@RagingIke - once again you haven't voted. Why's that?

Because it doesn't matter, we're lynching Darg regardless of when I vote. ##vote Darg

RDR hasn't voted either.

[rdrivera2005]

Just saw in the tool I didn't vote yet, so ##vote Dargorygel

[rdrivera2005]

Crosspost

[Tom Bombadil]

Vote Count 6.1

Dargorygel (7): Jamiet99uk, yavuzovic, thamrick, DrCJG, TrPrado, RagingIke297, rdrivera2005

End Votes: 3/11: Jamiet99uk, yavuzovic, thamrick


The following players have yet to vote: dargorygel, Ezio, Foxcastle, snowy801


Currently dargorygel is set to be lynched.

There is 1 day, 5 hours remaining in D6.

[Foxcastle]

Sorry all, I'm at a conference for work and haven't had time to follow much the past few days. Seems obvs to ##vote darg though.

[Foxcastle]

Also, not sure there's much point to waiting out the phase. Peter led us true, so I'm good to ##end