webdiplomacy.net

Current thoughts (principally note to self)

TOWN

brain, Chaqa, ghug

SLIGHT TOWN

bozo, Jamie

NULL

Bona, Pyxxy

SLIGHT SCUM

Flum, Bunny, Eden

thoughts and scenarios


the scumteam killed rivera because eden and pyxxy are both scum and rivera was maybe doc

the scumteam killed rivera because they thought he was doc

the scumteam killed rivera because all his reads were wrong and they want town to over analyze and waste time wondering about it

the scumteam killed rivera eden is scum but not with pyxxy and bunny-ghug are town so mafia couldnt be obvious and kill them. mafia also wanted to hit doc but also wanted to give eden one less voter. so they chose rivera to get pyxxy killed since pyxxy is rising up better now.

Maybe they're using the magic 8-ball

there is no actual argument or evidence or anything to even engage with here and it’s infuriating

tell me what I should be doing here instead because I’m at a loss. was I supposed to have hard solved the game in two IRL days with one town flip?

well ok two now but you get what I mean

Gotta be honest I really dig these shortened phases.

President Eden wrote: ↑

Fri Jun 02, 2023 4:02 pm

there is no actual argument or evidence or anything to even engage with here and it’s infuriating

tell me what I should be doing here instead because I’m at a loss. was I supposed to have hard solved the game in two IRL days with one town flip?

there are totally things you can discuss

like either the mafia team wanted to kill one of your would be voters because they felt he was the doc

or the mafia is trying to set up riveras reads to seem accurate

those are the two thoughts youd likely have

brainbomb wrote: ↑

Fri Jun 02, 2023 3:42 pm

Jamiet99uk wrote: ↑

Fri Jun 02, 2023 3:39 pm

Brain, are you suggesting that I am scum with Eden and Bozo?

Is that your theory?

yea. I am. but it could be some permutation like jamie-pyxxy-eden or bozo-jamie-eden. something in that range.

im more of the mind that damo is scum with bozo but im toying with this idea maybe eden got spooked seeing his whole team up for grabs

Earlier in this phase you theorised that I would not NK Rdrivera.

What caused your theory to change?

damo666 wrote: ↑

Fri Jun 02, 2023 3:59 pm

Current thoughts (principally note to self)

TOWN

brain, Chaqa, ghug

SLIGHT TOWN

bozo, Jamie

NULL

Bona, Pyxxy

SLIGHT SCUM

Flum, Bunny, Eden

how tf does that scumteam make any sense.

If Mafia kills someone who thinks Town Eden is a good wagon

Then they dont want town eden to die?

and they dont care about mis chopping town eden.

they care only about finding the doc and nothing else.


do you agree with this logic line eden, jamie, chaqa?

I plan to vote within ghug/Flum/Bona today.

brainbomb wrote: ↑

Fri Jun 02, 2023 4:05 pm

President Eden wrote: ↑

Fri Jun 02, 2023 4:02 pm

there is no actual argument or evidence or anything to even engage with here and it’s infuriating

tell me what I should be doing here instead because I’m at a loss. was I supposed to have hard solved the game in two IRL days with one town flip?

there are totally things you can discuss

like either the mafia team wanted to kill one of your would be voters because they felt he was the doc

or the mafia is trying to set up riveras reads to seem accurate

those are the two thoughts youd likely have

why the fuck do I matter to any of this?

the only thing I know about rdr is that he wasn’t out of anyone’s POE. so scum took a potential miskill off the table. there’s not many reasons why you do that. PR hunting is the obvious one so it’s the one I’m most likely to believe. but attempting to speculate as to whether unknown mafia ABC would have viewed rdr as enough of a threat to kill him despite him being miskillable is essentially impossible to do with any reliability.

Well in a world where mafia kills someone who wanted to kill you; theyre doing you a favor and improving your odds of living.

so if thats the case; scum wants you alive that would mean the kill isnt about you and its about pyxxy.

if it isnt about either of you then mafia is so comfortable that they dont care about removing POE players, theyre so comfy they dont fear you at all, theyre so comfy that this is like a drive down the freeway with the wind blowing in their hair in a convertible.

President Eden wrote: ↑

Fri Jun 02, 2023 4:06 pm

damo666 wrote: ↑

Fri Jun 02, 2023 3:59 pm

Current thoughts (principally note to self)

TOWN

brain, Chaqa, ghug

SLIGHT TOWN

bozo, Jamie

NULL

Bona, Pyxxy

SLIGHT SCUM

Flum, Bunny, Eden

how tf does that scumteam make any sense.

Why not? It probably isn't but why not?

Jamiet99uk wrote: ↑

Fri Jun 02, 2023 4:06 pm

brainbomb wrote: ↑

Fri Jun 02, 2023 3:42 pm

Jamiet99uk wrote: ↑

Fri Jun 02, 2023 3:39 pm

Brain, are you suggesting that I am scum with Eden and Bozo?

Is that your theory?

yea. I am. but it could be some permutation like jamie-pyxxy-eden or bozo-jamie-eden. something in that range.

im more of the mind that damo is scum with bozo but im toying with this idea maybe eden got spooked seeing his whole team up for grabs

Earlier in this phase you theorised that I would not NK Rdrivera.

What caused your theory to change?

Im still thinking about if you fit in this or not. Maybe you dont. Your reactions are interesting. Not sure

damo666 wrote: ↑

Fri Jun 02, 2023 4:15 pm

President Eden wrote: ↑

Fri Jun 02, 2023 4:06 pm

damo666 wrote: ↑

Fri Jun 02, 2023 3:59 pm

Current thoughts (principally note to self)

TOWN

brain, Chaqa, ghug

SLIGHT TOWN

bozo, Jamie

NULL

Bona, Pyxxy

SLIGHT SCUM

Flum, Bunny, Eden

how tf does that scumteam make any sense.

Why not? It probably isn't but why not?

bunny erratic eod behavior but mostly has felt town. replace bunny with jamie or pyxxy and it gets interesting too

brainbomb wrote: ↑

Fri Jun 02, 2023 4:09 pm

If Mafia kills someone who thinks Town Eden is a good wagon

Then they dont want town eden to die?

and they dont care about mis chopping town eden.

they care only about finding the doc and nothing else.


do you agree with this logic line eden, jamie, chaqa?

I think speculating on the nightkill is best left as a circumstantial evidence and not something we should base theories around.

Im engaging you in a very reasonable way eden but do you know the concept of EV in mafia? I dislike the term but do you know what it is?

Chaqa wrote: ↑

Fri Jun 02, 2023 4:17 pm

brainbomb wrote: ↑

Fri Jun 02, 2023 4:09 pm

If Mafia kills someone who thinks Town Eden is a good wagon

Then they dont want town eden to die?

and they dont care about mis chopping town eden.

they care only about finding the doc and nothing else.


do you agree with this logic line eden, jamie, chaqa?

I think speculating on the nightkill is best left as a circumstantial evidence and not something we should base theories around.

you dont have to indulge it but its a tool and I will always use it for theory crafting

brainbomb wrote: ↑

Fri Jun 02, 2023 4:17 pm

Im engaging you in a very reasonable way eden but do you know the concept of EV in mafia? I dislike the term but do you know what it is?

yes