MAFIA 78: Random Facts [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

[brainbomb]

I dont think damo and tfb can be scum together here. I dislike how long into the day it was before TFB suddenly had a scumread besides swords

[Bonatogether]

Shit. On a wagon with all my scum leans. Not good.

what a bullshit reason to suddenly move

[Fluminator]

It's day ONE. I bet you are not comparing like with like.

Scum (alpha): viewtopic.php?p=320131#p320131

Scum (alpha): viewtopic.php?p=273446#p273446

Town (ordered, though in response to a bozo survey): http://webdiplomacy.net/contrib/phpBB3/ ... 47#p248247

I mean I did a quick perusal of games going back to M69 and the only times you ever seem to give full reads lists D1 are when you're scum (both times alphabetized) or in response to a survey (in which case you gave it ordered).

OK, so I was re-reading TFB per Bozo's prompt to see if I should reconsider. And I found this post.

As a Data Scientist, this analysis is incorrect because it does not mean the threshold of what we call statistical significance, not even close.

But on the Random Fact Logic level, this is a very compelling case. Hmm. I now have more suspicion of TFB and at the same time more suspicion of Damo. And maybe slightly less suspicion of Bozo? Hmm.

TFB, how many scum games has Damo had where he doesn't give a list?

[Bonatogether]

##vote damo

what a brave move to such a risky wagon! a medal for bongo

[brainbomb]

damo lives in the UK and also is not usually around for EODs? is this correct? or am I just making that up

[Fluminator]

@Flum this is a sincere question

do you not think that any of the top three wagons are potential scum here?

I could see Bona being scum, but he's got more than enough votes right now and going to die regardless of what I say

@Bona, you're going to die, can you tell us who you think is scum on your wagon?

i don't agree with your premise

swordsman is unreadable
chaqa is accusing me but i don't care
damo is acting stupid which i believe is a towntell for him
eden keeps asking people (me) to elaborate but has not posted as much as i would expect from him

Has Chaqa been wrong on you before historically?

[ghug]

##VOTE Bunny

[TheFlyingBoat]

It's day ONE. I bet you are not comparing like with like.

Scum (alpha): viewtopic.php?p=320131#p320131

Scum (alpha): viewtopic.php?p=273446#p273446

Town (ordered, though in response to a bozo survey): http://webdiplomacy.net/contrib/phpBB3/ ... 47#p248247

I mean I did a quick perusal of games going back to M69 and the only times you ever seem to give full reads lists D1 are when you're scum (both times alphabetized) or in response to a survey (in which case you gave it ordered).

OK, so I was re-reading TFB per Bozo's prompt to see if I should reconsider. And I found this post.

As a Data Scientist, this analysis is incorrect because it does not mean the threshold of what we call statistical significance, not even close.

But on the Random Fact Logic level, this is a very compelling case. Hmm. I now have more suspicion of TFB and at the same time more suspicion of Damo. And maybe slightly less suspicion of Bozo? Hmm.

I mean yes, if you were to run a chi-squared test it would probably fail, but in mafia we will rarely get the sample sizes to get nice pretty p-values <0.05. It is something concrete-ish which is more than any other wagon has.

[Bonatogether]

Here let me help

##vote bona

this screams opportunistic

As opposed to me saying all day I’d be happy to vote you? What does opportunistic mean to you?

i didn't think you were scumreading me
i thought you just disliked that i posted so much

opportunistic means you're jumping on and off my wagon on the flimsiest reasonings lmao (oh no i'm voting with people i scumread! i suddenly care about that and will vote for damo)

[brainbomb]

##vote bunnygo

[brainbomb]

https://youtu.be/psuRGfAaju4

[President Eden]

Shit. On a wagon with all my scum leans. Not good.

what a bullshit reason to suddenly move

[brainbomb]

Panzer Attack on Bunnygo

[Bonatogether]

It's day ONE. I bet you are not comparing like with like.

Scum (alpha): viewtopic.php?p=320131#p320131

Scum (alpha): viewtopic.php?p=273446#p273446

Town (ordered, though in response to a bozo survey): http://webdiplomacy.net/contrib/phpBB3/ ... 47#p248247

I mean I did a quick perusal of games going back to M69 and the only times you ever seem to give full reads lists D1 are when you're scum (both times alphabetized) or in response to a survey (in which case you gave it ordered).

OK, so I was re-reading TFB per Bozo's prompt to see if I should reconsider. And I found this post.

As a Data Scientist, this analysis is incorrect because it does not mean the threshold of what we call statistical significance, not even close.

But on the Random Fact Logic level, this is a very compelling case. Hmm. I now have more suspicion of TFB and at the same time more suspicion of Damo. And maybe slightly less suspicion of Bozo? Hmm.

the data range is limited. statistical significance is bullshit, but you have to be right eventually. also there's not just random wack numbers but actual reasonings and things you can understand to make things work out

[Fluminator]

##Vote Bunnygo

[ghug]

##vote bunnygo

I thought you didn't like wagoning someone new EoD.

[Bonatogether]

I could see Bona being scum, but he's got more than enough votes right now and going to die regardless of what I say

@Bona, you're going to die, can you tell us who you think is scum on your wagon?

i don't agree with your premise

swordsman is unreadable
chaqa is accusing me but i don't care
damo is acting stupid which i believe is a towntell for him
eden keeps asking people (me) to elaborate but has not posted as much as i would expect from him

Has Chaqa been wrong on you before historically?

i believe once he townread me when i was scum

[Bonatogether]

Shit. On a wagon with all my scum leans. Not good.

what a bullshit reason to suddenly move

vote me

no balls

[damo666]

With all these vote swaps one of the lead wagons is very likely scum. Not me though.

[Bonatogether]

Panzer Attack on Bunnygo

here for it

##vote bunnygo