MAFIA 77: RETURN TO THE WEST [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

[BunnyGo]

Yeah...I could see voting voting Chaqa

[BunnyGo]

Yeah alright.

DAMO MATHING WRONG AGAIN!!!

Yeah, sort of gambler's fallacy.

Say more about that? I'm not following. I want to follow.

[damo666]

DAMO MATHING WRONG AGAIN!!!

Yeah, sort of gambler's fallacy.

Say more about that? I'm not following. I want to follow.

It's rubbish, not worth worrying about.

Ask Bayes.

[damo666]

Yeah...I could see voting voting Chaqa

What what?

[BunnyGo]

Yeah, sort of gambler's fallacy.

Say more about that? I'm not following. I want to follow.

It's rubbish, not worth worrying about.

Ask Bayes.

NO! You explain math to me...I want to understand what you were saying!

[BunnyGo]

Yeah...I could see voting voting Chaqa

What what?

on phone...in doctors office.

[damo666]

@Bunny if we kill Bo and

i) he flips scum, Bozo is quasi cleared, who of Balki Chaqa rdr next? Chaqa?

ii) he flips town (damo says toldya so), then what? Bozo? Chaqa? Balki? not rdr anyway

This is the danger of a Bo flip, if he flips town we are in a mess.

Can't we flip Chaqa?

[damo666]

Say more about that? I'm not following. I want to follow.

It's rubbish, not worth worrying about.

Ask Bayes.

NO! You explain math to me...I want to understand what you were saying!

It was bad. I guess I was saying a 2-1 lurker split more likely than 3-0 (I think that would be avoided even if they were all natural lurkers) and maybe more likely than 1-2.

But tbh I don't see much value in pursuing that route.

[BunnyGo]

@Bunny if we kill Bo and

i) he flips scum, Bozo is quasi cleared, who of Balki Chaqa rdr next? Chaqa?

ii) he flips town (damo says toldya so), then what? Bozo? Chaqa? Balki? not rdr anyway

This is the danger of a Bo flip, if he flips town we are in a mess.

Can't we flip Chaqa?

I don't see the difference in your option 1 and 2, besides the miskill

[BunnyGo]

It's rubbish, not worth worrying about.

Ask Bayes.

NO! You explain math to me...I want to understand what you were saying!

It was bad. I guess I was saying a 2-1 lurker split more likely than 3-0 (I think that would be avoided even if they were all natural lurkers) and maybe more likely than 1-2.

But tbh I don't see much value in pursuing that route.

Just trying to see if damo's bad math implied an Baysean assumption he already KNEW...

jury still out...

but take 3 scum points.

[damo666]

@Bunny if we kill Bo and

i) he flips scum, Bozo is quasi cleared, who of Balki Chaqa rdr next? Chaqa?

ii) he flips town (damo says toldya so), then what? Bozo? Chaqa? Balki? not rdr anyway

This is the danger of a Bo flip, if he flips town we are in a mess.

Can't we flip Chaqa?

I don't see the difference in your option 1 and 2, besides the miskill

Answer the questions

[damo666]

NO! You explain math to me...I want to understand what you were saying!

It was bad. I guess I was saying a 2-1 lurker split more likely than 3-0 (I think that would be avoided even if they were all natural lurkers) and maybe more likely than 1-2.

But tbh I don't see much value in pursuing that route.

Just trying to see if damo's bad math implied an Baysean assumption he already KNEW...

jury still out...

but take 3 scum points.

Yes as a recently high poster I suggested a relatively high poster as scum to set myself up.

It is as clear as mud I'm town. An added reason to suspect Chaqa.

[BunnyGo]

@Bunny if we kill Bo and

i) he flips scum, Bozo is quasi cleared, who of Balki Chaqa rdr next? Chaqa?

ii) he flips town (damo says toldya so), then what? Bozo? Chaqa? Balki? not rdr anyway

This is the danger of a Bo flip, if he flips town we are in a mess.

Can't we flip Chaqa?

I don't see the difference in your option 1 and 2, besides the miskill

Answer the questions

What do you learn flipping Chaqa?

We *can* flip Chaqa. Not sure we *should*, but I'm happy to leave the possibility here.

[bozotheclown]

Balki gets scummier with every post.

Rdr my strongest townread of the VTs

I wonder if Bo is pocketing me.

I think Bozo would be more 'solvey' as town.

I still maintain Chaqa is the way to go today.

Followed by Bozo 'solvey' posts. Coincidence?

I disagree that I had not previously been trying to solve the game. Also, this seems like is was a trap post where you could scum read me for posting something or for not posting something.

[damo666]

I don't see the difference in your option 1 and 2, besides the miskill

Answer the questions

What do you learn flipping Chaqa?

We *can* flip Chaqa. Not sure we *should*, but I'm happy to leave the possibility here.

It's bugging me that he claimed watcher and remains alive.

A bo Chaqa team particularly fits the ghug kill. However so does anyone/Chaqa.

[damo666]

Balki gets scummier with every post.

Rdr my strongest townread of the VTs

I wonder if Bo is pocketing me.

I think Bozo would be more 'solvey' as town.

I still maintain Chaqa is the way to go today.

Followed by Bozo 'solvey' posts. Coincidence?

I disagree that I had not previously been trying to solve the game. Also, this seems like is was a trap post where you could scum read me for posting something or for not posting something.

1. Thought you were just tunnelling on bo.
2. I can see that but it wasn't.

If we are both town who is the team?

[bozotheclown]

No need for thumbs on the scale this early. My %s are shifting!

Come on Mafia, you can do a sneaky last-minute bus of KoalaAttack – don't you wanna give it a go?

My reads have been flip floping all the time today.

I was set on Damo but he has been really better last days and I am not sure anymore.
Balki have been a lot less townie but I don't feel like voting him.
Bozo tunnel on Bo remembers me scum Bozo at some points but he is less afraid of giving reads then scum Bozo I remember.
Chaqa is giving me a weird feeling, he seems to not have doubts and all I have this game is doubts. I know he is capable of this as town like last game, but it doesn't feel the same.
And Bo have been my top town read today, but the lack of really pushing his reads make me raise an eyebrow.

Still don't want to vote Bo and Balki today.

##vote Chaqa

@bozo: when was the last time I played a game with you and you were scum? Was it the one where you were the scum player who didn't know his teammates? OR was there another one?

I checked some of the games where I remember being mafia, and the only one I found so far that you were in is M60.

[bozotheclown]

<snip>

It is clear that the remaining mafia were distancing from lfischl.

To summarize: you found posts where all the remaining VTs were pushing fish?

Yes, not including myself.

[BunnyGo]

@damo:

For the Dumb (and Distracted) Bunny, can you elaborate again on why not rdr? I'm also not looking to vote him today, but I'm getting lost on why *you* don't want to.

[bozotheclown]

Followed by Bozo 'solvey' posts. Coincidence?

I disagree that I had not previously been trying to solve the game. Also, this seems like is was a trap post where you could scum read me for posting something or for not posting something.

1. Thought you were just tunnelling on bo.
2. I can see that but it wasn't.

If we are both town who is the team?

bo_sox/rdrivera is my top suspect pair.